Demographic Transition Theory

Defining DTT

Stages of DTT

Causes in DTT

The Historical Record • Princeton’s European Fertility Project • Recent experience of “developing countries”

Restatements • Economic theory – Chicago school – Easterlin • Caldwell – Modernization vs. Westernization – Wealth flows • Culture/Ideational theory – Lesthaeghe • Governmental influence • Diffusion

What do you think?

• Theory?

• Generalization?

• Framework?

• Idea?

• Historical or predictive model?

• Mere descriptive term?