Employment Projections to 2020 Florida Workforce Estimating Conference

Labor Market Statistics Center September 7, 2012 Tallahassee, FL

Employment Projections - Background

• Employment forecast covers the period 2012-2020 • Independent variables included national and Florida industry employment, population, personal income, unemployment rates, and housing starts • Staffing patterns derived from the 2011 annual occupational survey, with over 55,000 employer responses representing more than 4.1 million workers, were used to produce the occupational projections

1

Employment Projections - Assumptions

• Florida population growth will be slower and is not forecast to return to pre-recession rates in the forecast period • Long-term job growth is expected to be weaker due to: – A prolonged, sluggish recovery at the state and national levels – Continuing global financial and economic problems • The unemployment rate is forecast to decline to 6.5 percent by 2020 • Entry level educational requirements for occupations will not change significantly

2

Industry Employment Demand to 2020 Highlights

• Florida is projected to gain more than one million new jobs between 2012 and 2020 (1.6% annual growth) • The projected employment in 2020 is just over 9 million jobs • Nearly 80 percent in this forecast will be the regaining of jobs lost during the recent economic downturn • All major industry sectors will see employment gains, except information and natural resources and mining; however, only 5 of the 12 major industry sectors are projected to exceed their pre-recession employment peak • Some industries hardest hit by job losses between 2007 and 2012 will experience more job gains over the long term and they will have above average growth rates as they regain some jobs from their lowest employment levels in a decade

3

Employment Forecast by Major Industry Sector Florida 2012-2020

Ranked by Annual Employment Level Change Industry Total, All Industries

Professional and Business Services Education and Health Services Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Leisure and Hospitality Construction Government Self-Employed and Unpaid Family Workers Financial Activities Other Services (except Government) Manufacturing Information Natural Resources and Mining

Employment 2012 2020 8,087,670

1,070,220 1,123,036 1,511,848 973,816 335,954 1,086,917 657,068 489,217 311,142 309,974 132,154 86,324

9,092,891

1,287,322 1,335,211 1,651,109 1,105,742 449,302 1,163,101 706,032 526,575 345,770 311,954 130,016 80,757

Annual Change Level Percent 125,653

27,138 26,522 17,408 16,491 14,169 9,523 6,121 4,670 4,329 248 -267 -696

1.6

2.5

2.4

1.2

1.7

4.2

0.9

0.9

1.0

1.4

0.1

-0.2

-0.8

Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center, Employment Projections Program, Forecast to 2020, released September 2012.

4

Employment Growth by Major Industry Sector Florida 2012-2020

Professional and Business Services Education and Health Services Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Leisure and Hospitality Construction Government Self-Employed and Unpaid Family Workers Financial Activities Other Services (Except Government) Manufacturing Information Natural Resources and Mining 217,102 212,175 139,261 131,926 113,348 1,980 -2,138 -5,567 76,184 48,964 37,358 34,628 Level Change -6.4

-10 -1.6

0 0.6

9.2

7.0

7.5

7.6

10 11.1

13.5

20 20.3

18.9

Percent Change 30 33.7

40 Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center, Employment Projections Program, Forecast to 2020, released September 2012.

5

Employment Change by Major Industry Sector Florida 2012-2020

Projected Employment Change 2012-20

Professional and Business Services Education and Health Services Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Leisure and Hospitality Construction Government Self-Employed and Unpaid Family Workers Financial Activities Other Services (Except Government) Manufacturing Information Natural Resources and Mining 217 102 212 175 139,261 131 926 113 348 76,184 48 964 37 358 1 980 34,628 Recovery of Jobs Lost 2007-2012 -2 138 -5 567 Growth beyond Recovery Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center, Employment Projections Program, Forecast to 2020, released September 2012.

6

Professional and Business Services Is Projected to Gain the Most Jobs

1,600,000 1,400,000

2020 Projected

1,200,000 1,000,000

2012

800,000 600,000 400,000 200,000 0 1972 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007 2012 2017 Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center, Employment Projections Program, Forecast to 2020, released September 2012.

7

Construction Is Projected to Grow the Fastest

700,000 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000

2012 2020 Projected

100,000 0 1972 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007 2012 2017 Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center, Employment Projections Program, Forecast to 2020, released September 2012.

8

Detailed Industries Gaining the Most New Jobs Florida 2012-2020

Ranked by Annual Level Change Detailed Industry

Administrative and Support Services Ambulatory Health Care Services Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services Food Services and Drinking Places Local Government Specialty Trade Contractors Nursing and Residential Care Facilities Educational Services (Private) Hospitals (Private) Construction of Buildings

Employment 2012 2020

513,095 409,882 457,359 622,048 740,109 231,615 180,918 157,890 260,681 61,493 625,202 503,623 550,795 713,994 816,460 303,510 214,449 190,151 290,647 88,576

Annual Change Level Percent

14,013 11,718 11,680 11,493 9,544 8,987 4,191 4,033 3,746 3,385 2.7

2.9

2.6

1.8

1.3

3.9

2.3

2.6

1.4

5.5

Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center, Employment Projections Program, Forecast to 2020, released September 2012.

9

Fastest-Growing Detailed Industries* Florida 2012-2020

Ranked by Average Annual Growth Rate Detailed Industry

Construction of Buildings Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction Specialty Trade Contractors Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing Ambulatory Health Care Services Administrative and Support Services Educational Services Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services Social Assistance Nursing and Residential Care Facilities

Employment 2012

61,493 42,846 231,615 14,843 409,882 513,095 157,890 457,359 113,665 180,918

2020

88,576 57,216 303,510 18,473 503,623 625,202 190,151 550,795 136,341 214,449

Annual Change Level

3,385 1,796 8,987 454 11,718 14,013 4,033 11,680 2,835 4,191

Percent

5.5

4.2

3.9

3.1

2.9

2.7

2.6

2.6

2.5

2.3

*

includes industries with a minimum of 3,500 jobs in 2012

Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center, Employment Projections Program, Forecast to 2020, released September 2012.

10

Projections by Occupational Group Florida 2012-2020

• All occupational groups are projected to gain jobs between 2012 and 2020, except farming, fishing, and forestry • Five occupational groups (clerical, sales, food service, healthcare professionals, and construction) will account for 50 percent of new jobs • Clerical, sales, and food service occupations will gain the most new jobs • Construction, healthcare support, and healthcare professional occupations will grow the fastest

11

Employment Forecast by Major Occupational Group Florida 2012-2020

Ranked by Level Change Occupational Group Total, All Occupations

Office and Administrative Support Sales and Related Food Preparation and Serving Related Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Construction and Extraction Business and Financial Operations Education, Training, and Library Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Healthcare Support Personal Care and Service Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Transportation and Material Moving Management Computer and Mathematical Protective Service Community and Social Services Production Legal Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical, and Social Science Farming, Fishing, and Forestry

Employment 2012 2020 8,087,670

1,410,497 1,082,200 759,392 474,914 326,534 412,456 436,018 342,429 226,888 264,686 329,889 430,687 358,190 171,019 221,485 109,844 280,108 91,344 140,694 107,495 43,484 67,417

9,092,891

1,543,361 1,195,145 867,868 560,152 405,311 476,253 498,246 387,710 269,948 306,636 371,729 471,889 386,407 195,398 241,495 126,155 296,232 107,098 154,025 116,870 49,472 65,491

2012-20 Change Level Percent 1,005,221

132,864 112,945 108,476 85,238 78,777 63,797 62,228 45,281 43,060 41,950 41,840 41,202 28,217 24,379 20,010 16,311 16,124 15,754 13,331 9,375 5,988 (1,926)

12.43

9.42

10.44

14.28

17.95

24.13

15.47

14.27

13.22

18.98

15.85

12.68

9.57

7.88

14.26

9.03

14.85

5.76

17.25

9.48

8.72

13.77

-2.86

Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center, Employment Projections Program, Forecast to 2020, released September 2012.

12

Employment Change by Major Occupational Group Florida 2012-2020

132,864 Office and Administrative Support Sales and Related Food Preparation and Serving Related Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Construction and Extraction Business and Financial Operations Education, Training, and Library Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Healthcare Support Personal Care and Service Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Transportation and Material Moving Management Computer and Mathematical Protective Service Community and Social Services Production Legal Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical, and Social Science Farming, Fishing, and Forestry 28,217 24,379 20,010 16,311 16,124 15,754 13,331 9,375 5,988 -1,926 45,281 43,060 41,950 41,840 41,202 63,797 62,228 85,238 78,777 112,945 108,476 Recovery of Jobs Lost, 2007-2012 Growth beyond Recovery Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center, Employment Projections Program, Forecast to 2020, released September 2012.

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Florida Job Openings to 2020

• • • Openings include: – Newly created jobs due to industry growth – Vacancies due to workers retiring or leaving the workforce • Openings do not include moving from one employer to another within the same occupation There are 2,586,721 projected total job openings, cumulative for the period 2012-2020: – 1,563,802 openings due to replacement need (Baby Boomers retiring) – 1,022,919 openings due to industry growth Of the 2,586,721 projected job openings: – 2,236,178 (86 percent) will require an Associate degree or less – 250,922 (10 percent) will require a Bachelor’s degree – 99,621 (4 percent) will require a Master’s degree or higher

14

Projected Job Openings by Major Occupational Group Florida 2012-2020

Office and Administrative Support Sales and Related Food Preparation and Serving Related Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Construction and Extraction Education, Training, and Library Business and Financial Operations Transportation and Material Moving Personal Care and Service Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Management Healthcare Support Production Protective Service Computer and Mathematical Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Community and Social Services Legal Architecture and Engineering Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Life, Physical, and Social Science 0 48,691 47,252 42,558 19,801 16,823 16,813 16,157 15,913 12,701 12,536 11,803 10,748 8,567 8,094 7,891 6,219 From Growth From Replacement Needs  5,394 4,316 3,525 3,489 2,038 2,010 Job openings from growth in healthcare practitioners, healthcare support, construction, and legal occupations will exceed job openings from replacement 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center, Employment Projections Program, Forecast to 2020, released September 2012.

15

Occupational Employment Projections to 2020

• Of the top 10 occupations expected to gain the most new jobs, most are among the largest occupations in the state; have widespread demand within numerous industries; involve considerable part-time work; and have minimal requirements for entry • All 10 occupations expected to gain the most jobs are in service industries • Workers in the postal service, publishing, and farming are among the top 10 declining occupations

16

Occupations Gaining the Most New Jobs Florida 2012-2020

RANK OCCUPATIONAL TITLE EMPLOYMENT 2012 2020 8 9 10 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Retail Salespersons Registered Nurses Food Prep. & Serving Workers, incl. Fast Food Waiters and Waitresses Customer Service Representatives Office Clerks, General Landscaping and Groundskeeping Workers Cashiers Nursing Aides, Orderlies, and Attendants Receptionists and Information Clerks

H.S.

– High School PSAV – Postsecondary Adult Vocational Certificate

305,158 344,703 169,514 200,870 162,731 191,930 184,178 210,945 170,001 193,425 144,894 165,167 95,115 114,021 207,350 225,722 90,283 105,594 77,331 91,697 ANNUAL CHANGE LEVEL PERCENT AVERAGE HOURLY WAGE EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT 4,943 3,920 3,650 3,346 2,928 2,534 2,363 2,297 1,914 1,796 1.62

2.31

2.24

1.82

1.72

1.75

2.48

1.11

2.12

2.32

12.18

31.31

8.89

10.22

14.51

12.91

11.10

9.53

11.64

12.55

High School Associate Less than H.S.

Less than H.S.

PSAV High School Less than H.S.

High School PSAV High School

Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center, Employment Projections Program, Forecast to 2020, released September 2012.

17

Occupations with the Largest Projected Employment Declines Florida 2012-2020

RANK OCCUPATIONAL TITLE 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 Postal Service Mail Sorters and Processors Postal Service Mail Carriers Farmers, Ranchers, & Other Ag. Managers Farmworkers & Laborers, Crop, Nurs., & Grnhs Postal Service Clerks Switchboard Operators, incl. Answering Svc Data Entry Keyers Printing Press Operators and Job Printers Reporters and Correspondents Prepress Technicians and Workers

H.S.

– High School PSAV – Postsecondary Adult Vocational Certificate

EMPLOYMENT 2012 2020 6,954 17,294 47,505 49,084 3,497 6,986 19,743 8,909 2,742 1,741 4,115 15,613 45,901 47,649 2,069 5,747 19,109 8,329 2,297 1,323 ANNUAL CHANGE LEVEL PERCENT AVERAGE HOURLY WAGE EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT -355 -210 -201 -179 -179 -155 -79 -73 -56 -52 -5.10

-1.22

-0.42

-0.37

-5.10

-2.22

-0.40

-0.81

-2.03

-3.00

24.53

25.39

32.84

9.49

26.01

11.82

13.15

15.88

23.43

16.60

High School High School Associate Less than H.S.

High School High School High School High School Bachelor's PSAV

Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center, Employment Projections Program, Forecast to 2020, released September 2012.

18

Occupations with the Most Projected Openings All Training Levels Florida 2012-2020

Average Annual Wage

$25,346 Retail Salespersons 14,013

Training Level

H.S.

Waiters and Waitresses 12,685 21,263 Less H.S.

Cashiers 12,377 19,837 H.S.

Food Prep. & Serving Workers, incl. Fast Food 8,388 18,504 Less H.S.

Customer Service Representatives 7,715 30,197 PSAV Registered Nurses 6,865 65,127 Assoc.

Office Clerks, General 5,068 26,853 H.S.

Laborers & Freight, Stock, & Material Movers 4,311 24,636 Less H.S.

Receptionists and Information Clerks 4,166 26,093 H.S.

Landscaping and Groundskeeping Workers 4,029 23,096 Less H.S.

From Growth Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Hskpng 3,715 From Replacement Need 21,662 Less H.S.

Stock Clerks and Order Fillers 3,714 24,327 H.S.

Secretaries, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive 3,562 30,994 PSAV First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers 3,501 43,608 PSAV Cooks, Restaurant 3,442 24,122 PSAV H.S. – High School Less H.S. – Less than High School PSAV – Post Secondary Adult Vocational Certificate Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center, Employment Projections Program, Forecast to 2020, released September 2012.

19

• Florida statewide APG = 1.6%

Fastest-Growing Occupations* All Training Levels Florida 2012-2020

Annual Percent Growth

Cost Estimators Home Health Aides Personal and Home Care Aides Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers Veterinary Technologists and Technicians Drywall and Ceiling Tile Installers Market Research Analysts and Marketing Specialists Heating, A.C., and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers Diagnostic Medical Sonographers Nonfarm Animal Caretakers Meeting and Convention Planners Tile and Marble Setters First-Line Superv. of Construction and Extraction Workers Paralegals and Legal Assistants Operating Engineers/Construction Equipment Operators 4,11 3,95 3,95 3,87 3,80 3,67 3,47 3,40 3,39 3,38 3,31 4,53 4,44 4,38 4,30

Average Annual Wage

$58,380 22,177 20,700 31,762 29,756 33,800 58,674

Training Level

Assoc.

PSAV PSAV PSAV Assoc.

PSAV Bach.

41,694 59,272 21,903 49,345 29,971 PSAV PSAV Less H.S.

Assoc.

PSAV 57,800 47,622 37,634 Assoc.

PSAV PSAV

*This table includes occupations with a minimum of 4,000 jobs in 2012

H.S. – High School Less H.S. – Less than High School PSAV – Post Secondary Adult Vocational Certificate Assoc. – Associate Degree Bach. – Bachelor’s Degree Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center, Employment Projections Program, Forecast to 2020, released September 2012.

20

Wages by Training Level Florida 2012

Training Level Total, All Education Levels

Master's or Higher Bachelor's Associate Post Sec. Adult Voc. Certificate High School Less Than High School

Average Annual Wage $41,503

$103,232 $68,527 $62,737 $38,006 $28,478 $21,821

Entry Annual Wage $19,222

$57,173 $41,868 $39,914 $25,426 $20,025 $17,437 Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center, Employment Projections Program, Forecast to 2020, released September 2012.

21

Occupations with the Most Projected Openings Associate, PSAV, High School, and Lower Education Level Florida 2012-2020

Retail Salespersons Waiters and Waitresses 12,685 14,013

Average Annual Wage

$25,346 21,263

Training Level

H.S.

Less H.S.

Cashiers 12,377 19,837 H.S.

Food Prep. & Serving Workers, incl. Fast Food 8,388 18,504 Less H.S.

Customer Service Representatives 7,715 30,197 PSAV Registered Nurses 6,865 65,127 Assoc.

Office Clerks, General 5,068 26,853 H.S.

Laborers & Freight, Stock, & Material Movers 4,311 24,636 Less H.S.

Receptionists and Information Clerks 4,166 26,093 H.S.

Landscaping and Groundskeeping Workers 4,029 23,096 Less H.S.

Janitors and Cleaners, exc. Maids and Hskpg 3,715 21,662 Less H.S.

Stock Clerks and Order Fillers 3,714 From Growth From Replacement 24,327 H.S.

Secretaries, Except Legal, Medical, & Executive 3,562 30,994 PSAV First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers 3,501 43,608 PSAV Cooks, Restaurant 3,442 24,122 PSAV H.S. – High School Less H.S. – Less than High School PSAV – Post Secondary Adult Vocational Certificate Assoc. – Associate Degree Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center, Employment Projections Program, Forecast to 2020, released September 2012.

22

Fastest-Growing Occupations* Associate, PSAV, High School, and Lower Education Level Florida 2012-2020

• Florida statewide APG = 1.6% Cost Estimators

Annual Percent Growth

4,53

Average Annual Wage

$58,380

Training Level

Assoc.

Home Health Aides 4,44 22,177 PSAV Personal and Home Care Aides 4,38 20,700 PSAV Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers 4,30 31,762 PSAV Veterinary Technologists and Technicians 4,11 29,756 Assoc.

Drywall and Ceiling Tile Installers 3,95 33,800 PSAV Heating, A.C., and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers 3,87 41,694 PSAV Diagnostic Medical Sonographers 3,80 59,272 PSAV Nonfarm Animal Caretakers 3,67 21,903 Less H.S.

Meeting and Convention Planners 3,47 49,345 Assoc.

Tile and Marble Setters 3,40 29,971 PSAV First-Line Superv. of Construction and Extraction Workers 3,39 57,800 Assoc.

Paralegals and Legal Assistants 3,38 47,622 PSAV Operating Engineers/Construction Equipment Operators 3,31 37,634 PSAV Helpers - Electricians 3,29 26,283

*This table includes occupations with a minimum of 4,000 jobs in 2012

H.S. – High School Less H.S. – Less than High School PSAV – Post Secondary Adult Vocational Certificate Assoc. – Associate Degree Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center, Employment Projections Program, Forecast to 2020, released September 2012.

Less H.S.

23

Highest-Paying Occupations Associate, PSAV, High School, and Lower Education Level Florida 2012 Occupational Title 1. Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers 2. Air Traffic Controllers 3. Compensation and Benefits Managers 4. Purchasing Managers 5. General and Operations Managers 6. Industrial Production Managers 7. Administrative Services Managers 8. Training and Development Managers 9. Construction Managers 10. First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers Annual Wage $136,260 $115,673 $112,686 $107,693 $106,429 $105,901 $100,007 $98,303 $97,935 $94,660

Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center, Employment Projections Program, Forecast to 2020, released September 2012.

24

Occupations with the Most Projected Openings Bachelor’s Degree Level Florida 2012-2020

Accountants and Auditors Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education Management Analysts Secondary School Teachers, Exc. Special and Voc. Ed.

Middle School Teachers, Exc. Special & Voc. Education Market Research Analysts and Marketing Specialists Securities and Financial Services Sales Agents Chief Executives Sales Managers Public Relations Specialists Civil Engineers Personal Financial Advisors Software Developers, Systems Software Financial Managers Kindergarten Teachers, Except Special Education 660 604 600 581 575 537 530 506 784 756 1,451 1,239 1,869 From Growth 2,889 From Replacement 3,237

Average Annual Wage

$66,757 50,955 74,164 53,577 51,429 58,674 88,069 191,746 129,492 59,425 83,102 82,424 90,723 122,959 50,438 Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center, Employment Projections Program, Forecast to 2020, released September 2012.

25

Fastest-Growing Occupations* Bachelor’s Degree Level Florida 2012-2020

• Florida statewide APG = 1.6%

Annual Percent Growth

Market Research Analysts and Marketing Specialists Training and Development Specialists Personal Financial Advisors Software Developers, Systems Software Business Teachers, Postsecondary Management Analysts Special Education Teachers, Preschool - Elementary Public Relations Specialists Medical and Health Services Managers Civil Engineers Kindergarten Teachers, Except Special Education Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education Middle School Teachers, Exc. Special & Voc. Education Clergy Marketing Managers 1,98 1,94 1,92 1,88 1,88 2,27 2,09 2,06 2,00 2,68 2,67 2,55 2,48 2,35 3,95

*This table includes occupations with a minimum of 4,000 jobs in 2012

Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center, Employment Projections Program, Forecast to 2020, released September 2012.

Average Annual Wage

$58,674 53,525 82,424 90,723 93,018 74,164 53,644 59,425 104,282 83,102 50,438 50,955 51,429 44,510 111,117

26

Highest-Paying Occupations Bachelor’s Degree Level Florida 2012

Occupational Title Annual Wage 1. Chief Executives 2. Petroleum Engineers 3. Sales Managers 4. Broadcast News Analysts 5. Computer and Information Systems Managers 6. Financial Managers 7. Engineering Managers 8. Marketing Managers 9. Natural Sciences Managers 10. Public Relations Managers $191,746 $129,927 $129,492 $128,450 $126,587 $122,959 $118,692 $111,117 $110,512 $110,018

Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center, Employment Projections Program, Forecast to 2020, released September 2012.

27

Occupations with the Most Projected Openings Master’s or Higher Degree Level Florida 2012-2020

Lawyers Pharmacists Physical Therapists Health Specialties Teachers, Postsecondary Educational, Vocational, and School Counselors Dentists, General Child, Family, and School Social Workers Instructional Coordinators Medical and Public Health Social Workers Occupational Therapists Operations Research Analysts Family and General Practitioners Librarians Mental Health Counselors Speech and Language Pathologists 316 307 286 273 263 260 396 372 370 344 492 480 455 806 2,119 From Growth From Replacement

Average Annual Wage

$121,855 113,702 83,477 111,183 55,919 149,061 41,068 55,388 47,426 81,032 57,514 174,499 57,571 41,138 71,068 Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center, Employment Projections Program, Forecast to 2020, released September 2012.

28

Fastest-Growing Occupations* Master’s or Higher Degree Level Florida 2012-2020

Annual Percent Growth

Medical and Public Health Social Workers Occupational Therapists Physical Therapists Mental Health Counselors Health Specialties Teachers, Postsecondary Art, Drama, and Music Teachers, Postsecondary Architects, Except Landscape and Naval Family and General Practitioners Instructional Coordinators English Language & Literature Teachers, Postsecondary Lawyers Mental Health and Substance Abuse Social Workers Educational, Vocational, and School Counselors Pharmacists Dentists, General 2,13 2,00 1,98 1,96 1,92 1,88 2,63 2,59 2,52 2,41 2,40 2,24 2,19 2,14 2,96

Average Annual Wage

$47,426 81,032 83,477 41,138 111,183 70,557 79,080 174,499 55,388 72,659 121,855 38,087 55,919 113,702 149,061

*This table includes occupations with a minimum of 4,000 jobs in 2012

Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center, Employment Projections Program, Forecast to 2020, released September 2012.

29

Highest-Paying Occupations Master’s or Higher Degree Level Florida 2012

Occupational Title 1. Anesthesiologists 2. Judges, Magistrate Judges, and Magistrates 3. Obstetricians and Gynecologists 4. Surgeons 5. Internists, General 6. Orthodontists 7. Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons 8. Psychiatrists 9. Family and General Practitioners 10. Pediatricians, General Average Annual Wage $261,571 $240,180 $233,327 $230,862 $217,857 $213,257 $182,465 $179,989 $174,499 $165,417

Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center, Employment Projections Program, Forecast to 2020, released September 2012.

30

Number of Jobs by Educational Requirement by Industry Florida 2012 2012 Employment

Education and Health Services Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Professional and Business Services Leisure and Hospitality Self-Employed and Unpaid Family Workers Government Financial Activities Construction Other Services Manufacturing Information Natural Resources and Mining 0 500 000 1 000 000 1 500 000 Less Than High School High School Post Sec. Adult Voc. Cert.

Associate Degree Bachelor's Master's or Higher Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center, Employment Projections Program, Forecast to 2020, released September 2012.

31

Jobs Requiring a Bachelor’s Degree by Industry Florida 2012

Financial Activities 7.5% Information Trade, 2.4% Transportation, and Utilities 4.3% Manufacturing 4.2% Construction 1.0% N atural Resources and Mining 0.2% Self-Employed and Unpaid Family Workers Government 7.8% 8.5% Other Services 5.1% Professional and Business Services 18.2% 39.2% Leisure and Hospitality 1.7% • Close to 40 percent of all jobs requiring a B achelor’s degree are in education and health services Education and Health Services Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center, Employment Projections Program, Forecast to 2020, released September 2012.

32

Jobs Requiring a PSAV or an Associate Degree by Industry Florida 2012

Trade, Transportation, and Utilities 15.1% Manufacturing 3.7% Construction 6.2% N atural Resources and Mining 0.7% Self-Employed and Unpaid Family Workers 10.6% Government 8.6% Other Services 4.1% Information 2.0% Financial Activities Leisure and Hospitality 5.7% 8.0% Professional and Business Services 13.4% Education and Health Services 21.9% • More than 20 percent of all jobs requiring a PSAV or an Associate degree are in education and health services Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center, Employment Projections Program, Forecast to 2020, released September 2012.

33

Jobs Requiring a Master’s or Higher Degree by Industry Florida 2012

Financial Activities 0.7% Prof essional and Business Services 15.5% Inf ormation 0.1% Trade, Transportation, and Utilities 4.2% Manuf acturing 0.2% Construction 0.1% Natural Resources and Mining 0.0% Self -Employed and Unpaid Family Workers 11.6% Government 7.8% Other Services 0.5% Leisure and Hospitality 0.4% 58.8% • Education and Close to 60 percent of all jobs requiring a M aster’s degree or higher are in education and health services Health Services Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center, Employment Projections Program, Forecast to 2020, released September 2012.

34

Employment by Training Level Florida 2012 vs. 2020

• The proportion of jobs requiring a high school diploma will decrease slightly, while the proportion of new jobs requiring a Bachelor’s degree or higher will increase slightly between 2012 and 2020

2012 2020 PSAV 35.96% Associate Degree 13.90% PSAV 36.01% Associate Degree 13.99% Bachelor's 10.05% Bachelor's 10.15% High School 19.11% Master's or Higher 3.72% High School 18.64% Master's or Higher 3.88% Less Than High School 17.26% Less Than High School 17.34%

PSAV = Postsecondary Adult Vocational Certificate Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center, Employment Projections Program, Forecast to 2020, released September 2012.

35

New Jobs by Training Level Level Change Florida 2012-2020

• Occupations requiring PSAV will gain the most new jobs PSAV Less than High School High School Associate Degree Bachelor's Master's or Higher 0 365,446 50,000 51,369 100,000 110,726 180,907 148,668 148,105 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 400,000 PSAV = Postsecondary Adult Vocational Certificate Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center, Employment Projections Program, Forecast to 2020, released September 2012.

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New Jobs by Training Level Percent Change Florida 2012-2020

• Occupations requiring the most training are projected to grow the fastest Master's or Higher Bachelor's Associate Degree Less Than High School PSAV Total, All Levels High School 0.00% 5.00% 9.62% 10.00% 13.63% 13.18% 12.96% 12.56% 12.43% 15.00% 17.06% 20.00% PSAV = Postsecondary Adult Vocational Certificate Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center, Employment Projections Program, Forecast to 2020, released September 2012.

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Contact Information

Florida Department of Economic Opportunity Labor Market Statistics Center Caldwell Building MSC G-020 107 E. Madison Street Tallahassee, Florida 32399-4111 Phone (850) 245-7211 Vesselka McAlarney Manager, Employment Projections & Occupational Statistics [email protected]

www.floridajobs.org/lmsc www.floridawages.com

http://www.whatpeopleareasking.com/index.shtm

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