Transcript Florida Community College System A Case for Capacity Building Governmental Services Committee of the Florida Taxation and Budget Reform Commission Sanford Shugart, President Valencia Community.

Florida Community College System
A Case for Capacity Building
Governmental Services Committee of the Florida Taxation and
Budget Reform Commission
Sanford Shugart, President
Valencia Community College
August 1st, 2007
Front Door Enrollment Demand
Recent High School Graduates
State University and Community College Systems of Florida
Growth Rate Scenarios
114,000
Entering Students
104,000
42 %
94,000
↑ Postsecondary
Continuation Rate
84,000
21 %
74,000
↑ H. S. Graduation Rate
Baseline Growth
24 %
64,000
Higher Education Demand in Florida to 2015: A Threat to Access or Opportunity for Competitive Advantage? Valencia Community College. Report 05-01A: August, 2005.
Growth rate scenarios based on population projections, high school graduation rates, and postsecondary continuation rates as of April, 2005.
Barriers to the Baccalaureate
Early Impact of Growing Demand…
1996
UF, FSU & UCF
Source:
2006
Applied
Admitted
Rate
SAT
55,401
37,077
67%
1180
State University Factbooks. Available at http://www.flbog.org/factbook/.
Avg.
Applied
Admitted
Rate
SAT
75,734
37,741
49.8%
1232
Avg.
Economic Growth & Community College Enrollment
1.50%
60,000
1.00%
40,000
0.50%
20,000
0.00%
0
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
-0.50%
(20,000)
-1.00%
(40,000)
-1.50%
(60,000)
Unemployment Rate
Unduplicated Enrollment
Source: Florida Center for Workforce Innovation & Florida Community College System Factbook: 1995-2007
FCCS Enrollments
Annual Change
FL. Unemployment Rate
Annual Change
Counter-Cyclical Relationship
U.S. Labor Force Growth: 1970 -2080
Supply & Demand for Workers in the U.S.
2004 to 2014
Projected # of Replacement Jobs
35 million
Projected # of New
Workers
15 million
Projected # of New Jobs
19 million
Hecker, Daniel. Employment outlook: 2004–14. Occupational projections to 2014: Retiring boomers. Monthly Labor Review. November, 2005. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Reflects average annual rate.
Educational Requirements: New Jobs
2004 to 2014
Distribution of Total Jobs
Distribution of New Job Openings
2004
2004 to 2014
47%
53%
H. S. Grad. or Less
36%
64%
College Education
By 2014, 12.6 million newly
created jobs will require a
college education.
Hecker, Daniel. Employment outlook: 2004–14. Occupational projections to 2014: Retiring boomers. Monthly Labor Review. November, 2005. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Reflects average annual rate.
Operating Cost Comparisons: SUS to FCCS
Undergraduate Enrollment: AY2005-06
Avg. System $
Cost/FTE
$11,623 ($ Cost/FTE)
$12,037
$78.3 M
SUS
$9,000
FCCS $5,000
$8,988
$61.9 M
$53.1 M
$44.5 M
$5,693
$5,289
$4,602
$24.3 M
$20.9 M
Florida Gulf Coast
Annual FTE
Operating Cost
$ Cost/FTE
Source:
3,832
$44,537,706
$11,623.2
St. John's River
CC
3,687
$20,990,162
$5,693.0
Univ. of West Florida
5,146
$61,942,306
$12,037.4
Pasco-Hernando
CC
Univ. of North
Florida
Brevard CC
5,282
$24,312,089
$4,602.7
8,716
$78,343,323
$8,988.0
10,036
$53,082,605
$5,289.1
State University Facts & Figures. Available at http://www.flbog.org/factbook/InteractiveData.asp.
Florida Community College-2007 Factbook. Available at http://www.fldoe.org/arm/cctcmis/pubs/factbook/default.asp
Operating Cost Comparisons: SUS to FCCS
Lower Division Undergraduate Enrollment: AY2005-06
Avg. System $
Cost/FTE
$30.1 M
SUS
$7,300
FCCS $5,000
$9,021 ($/FTE)
$8,489
$7,568
$21 M
$6,980
$17.4 M
$5,962
$5,693
$16.4 M
$13.8 M
$11.6 M
Annual FTE
Operating Costs
$ Cost/FTE
Source:
Florida Gulf Coast
Lake-Sumter CC
Univ. West Florida
Chipola CC
Univ. of North FL.
St. John's River CC
1,925.9
$17,374,859
$9,021.7
2,312.40
$13,787,663
$5,962.5
1,936.9
$16,443,501
$8,489.6
1,661.60
$11,597,943
$6,980.0
3,977.5
$30,099,937
$7,567.6
3,687
$20,990,162
$5,693.0
State University Facts & Figures. Available at http://www.flbog.org/factbook/InteractiveData.asp.
Florida Community College-2007 Factbook. Available at http://www.fldoe.org/arm/cctcmis/pubs/factbook/default.asp