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THE EUROPEAN COMPETITIVENESS INDEX: CONCEPT, MEASUREMENT, IMPLICATIONS AND LINKS WITH RESILIENCE Robert Huggins The Management School University of Sheffield Presentation to the International Conference on Small States and Economic Resilience Valletta, Malta, 23-25th April 2007 Outline The Concept of Competitiveness Introducing the European Competitiveness Index The Role of the Knowledge-Base of an Economy Competitiveness and Resilience Conclusions. European Council: "Europe must renew the basis of its competitiveness, increase its growth potential and its productivity and strengthen social cohesion, placing the main emphasis on knowledge, innovation and the optimisation of human capital” Source: Presidency Conclusions, European Council, March 2005 What is Competitiveness? We define competitiveness as the capability of an economy to attract and maintain firms with stable or rising market shares in an activity, while maintaining stable or increasing standards of living for those who participate in it. Regional Competitiveness The competitiveness of a region will depend on its ability to anticipate and successfully adapt to internal and external economic and social challenges, by providing new economic opportunities, including higher quality jobs. What Makes a Competitive Region? Competitiveness is influenced by a number of different factors including public and private investment in human capital, the quality of physical infrastructure, the productivity of the workforce, institutional capacity, social capital, innovation and research facilities, accessibility to markets, and so on. In other words, competitiveness is increasingly being measured in terms of creativity, knowledge and environmental conditions, rather than purely on accumulated wealth. European Competitiveness Index – Geographic Scope: The European Competitiveness Index 2006- include all EU-25 nations and their respective NUTS-1 regions, as well as Norway and Switzerland. The continued focus on regions, as well as nations, reflects the growing consensus that it is regions that are the primary spatial unit that compete to attract investment, and the level at which knowledge is circulated and transferred, resulting in agglomerations, or clusters, of industrial and service sector enterprises. Throughout the report an index value of 100 refers to the mean average of the EU-25 regions plus Norway and Switzerland. Methodology (1) All data are first converted so that the mean and variance of each variable is set at zero and one respectively. After the standardisation, factor analysis is applied to the data set. To extract the common part of variations among the original variables (i.e. commonalities), image factoring is employed. The dimensions obtained are then rotated. Varimax is used with Kaiser normalisation. While identifying common dimensions of the underlying structure, factor analysis also shows the location of each case (i.e. region in this study) within the underlying structure, by providing the case's scores for the dimensions identified. Methodology (2) We use these scores for the dimensions as sub-composite indices. Subsequently, we aggregate these sub-composite indices with a view to obtaining a single composite. Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) is used to obtain a single composite index from the above sub-composite indices. DEA is a linear programming technique originally developed for the estimation of the relative efficiency of a set of units (called decision making units, DMUs) producing a set of outputs from common inputs. It neither assigns weights to variables with any dependent variable chosen a priori, nor assigns weights set a priori. Instead, it seeks a set of weights for each unit that maximises a weighted sum of variables. Is Competitiveness Similar to Resilience? Resilience Versus Competitiveness of European Nations R2 = 0.5692 0.9 Resilience Index (Briguglio et al., 2005) 0.85 0.8 0.75 0.7 0.65 0.6 0.55 0.5 0 50 100 150 European National Competitiveness Index 200 Towards a European Regional Resilience Index Adaptation of Briguglio et al.’s (2005) National Resilience Index: Macroeconomic stability index - adjusted to account for regional GDP (per capita) and unemployment rates. Social development index - adjusted to account for regional educational rates (based on numbers in upper secondary and vocational education). Governance index – although in world of multi-level governance the regional level is becoming increasingly prominent there are few existing metrics. Microeconomic efficiency index – regulation is still largely a national issue, although markets often have a regional focus. A Very Tentative European Regional Resilience Index Rank Region Resilience Index Rank Region Resilience Index 1 Uusimaa, Finland 0.781 21 Prague, Czech Republic 0.679 2 Denmark 0.758 22 Stockholm, Sweden 0.679 3 Etelä-Suomi, Finland 0.753 23 Övre Norrland, Sweden 0.678 4 Pohjois-Suomi, Finland 0.751 24 Östra Mellansverige, Sweden 0.677 5 Länsi-Suomi, Finland 0.737 25 Norway 0.676 6 Itä-Suomi, Finland 0.729 26 Wales, UK 0.675 7 Southern and Eastern, Ireland 0.726 27 Småland med öarna, Sweden 0.674 8 Switzerland 0.719 28 West Midlands, UK 0.673 9 Noord-Nederland, Netherlands 0.718 29 East Midlands, UK 0.671 10 Westösterreich, Austria 0.718 30 Västsverige, Sweden 0.671 11 Oost-Nederland, Netherlands 0.702 31 South West, UK 0.668 12 Zuid-Nederland, Netherlands 0.701 32 Sydsverige, Sweden 0.667 13 West-Nederland, Netherlands 0.699 33 Vlaams Gewest, Belgium 0.666 14 Südösterreich, Austria 0.698 34 North West, UK 0.664 15 Ostösterreich, Austria 0.693 35 Hamburg, Germany 0.662 16 North East, UK 0.692 36 Yorkshire and The Humber, UK 0.662 17 Région de Bruxelles-Capitale, Belgium 0.688 37 Baden-Württemberg, Germany 0.650 18 Mellersta Norrland, Sweden 0.685 38 Scotland, UK 0.649 19 Norra Mellansverige, Sweden 0.679 39 Estonia 0.647 20 Border, Midlands and Western, Ireland 0.679 40 Bremen, Germany 0.646 A Very Tentative European Regional Resilience Index (2) Rank Region Resilience Index Rank Region Resilience Index 41 Região Autónoma da Madeira, Portugal 0.644 61 Noreste, Spain 0.615 42 Eastern, UK 0.644 62 Bassin Parisien, France 0.613 43 Hessen, Germany 0.642 63 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, Germany 0.613 44 South East, UK 0.642 64 Continente, Portugal 0.612 45 Northern Ireland, UK 0.642 65 Ouest, France 0.612 46 Bayern, Germany 0.637 66 Région Wallonne, Belgium 0.611 47 Île de France, France 0.637 67 Malta 0.608 48 London, UK 0.635 68 Região Autónoma dos Açores, Portugal 0.607 49 Nordrhein-Westfalen, Germany 0.629 69 Berlin, Germany 0.607 50 Comunidad de Madrid, Spain 0.626 70 Közép-Magyarország, Hungary 0.607 51 Luxembourg 0.625 71 Sachsen-Anhalt, Germany 0.604 52 Saarland, Germany 0.625 72 Méditerranée, France 0.604 53 Rheinland-Pfalz, Germany 0.623 73 Sur, Spain 0.603 54 Nord - Pas-de-Calais, France 0.623 74 Thüringen, Germany 0.602 55 Niedersachsen, Germany 0.623 75 Sud-Ouest, France 0.601 56 Brandenburg, Germany 0.618 76 Noroeste, Spain 0.600 57 Canarias, Spain 0.617 77 Sachsen, Germany 0.598 58 Schleswig-Holstein, Germany 0.617 78 Centro, Spain 0.596 59 Est, France 0.616 79 Este, Spain 0.594 60 Centre-Est, France 0.615 80 Bratislavský, Slovakia 0.584 A Very Tentative European Regional Resilience Index (3) Rank Region Resilience Index Rank Region Resilience Index 81 Sicilia, Italy 0.570 98 Molise, Italy 0.545 82 Lombardia, Italy 0.568 99 Centro, Italy 0.545 83 Nord Est, Italy 0.567 100 Strední Morava, Czech Republic 0.544 84 Emilia-Romagna, Italy 0.566 101 Severozápad, Czech Republic 0.539 85 Slovenia 0.561 102 Latvia 0.534 86 Dunántúl, Hungary 0.560 103 Strední Cechy, Czech Republic 0.534 87 Campania, Italy 0.558 104 Cyprus 0.523 88 Jihovýchod, Czech Republic 0.558 105 Centralny, Poland 0.509 89 Nord Ovest, Italy 0.557 106 Poludniowo-Zachodni, Poland 0.501 90 Jihozápad, Czech Republic 0.556 107 Pólnocno-Zachodni, Poland 0.501 91 Abruzzo, Italy 0.553 108 Poludniowy, Poland 0.500 92 Alföld és Észak, Hungary 0.552 109 Pólnocny, Poland 0.500 93 Sud, Italy 0.552 110 Východné Slovensko, Slovakia 0.499 94 Sardegna, Italy 0.551 111 Lithuania 0.498 95 Severovýchod, Czech Republic 0.549 112 Západné Slovensko, Slovakia 0.496 96 Lazio, Italy 0.548 113 Stredné Slovensko, Slovakia 0.494 97 Moravskoslezko, Czech Republic 0.546 114 Wschodni, Poland 0.484 Competitiveness Versus Resilience of European Regions European Regional Competitiveness Index 2 R = 0.4502 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 Regional Resilience Index (derived from Briguglio et al., 2005) 0.9 Concluding Remarks (1) Not only is there an obvious divide in competitiveness between old and new Europe, but an increasing dependence of Europe on its urban and city locations as the source its competitiveness, with a widening gap between the performance of key cities and much of Europe’s hinterland. On top of this, we are seeing the continued erosion in the regional competitiveness of locations in some of Europe’s major economies, especially Germany. Concluding Remarks (2) The European Commission has made its objective the improvement of the competitiveness of all Europe’s regions through investments in the knowledge economy. With the further inclusion of Bulgaria and Romania from the beginning of 2007, if the Commission is to go anywhere near achieving this aim there is a requirement for its Cohesion Policy to be clearly focused on understanding and removing the bottlenecks that are hindering the competitiveness of many regions in Europe. These bottlenecks vary on a region by region basis, and policies must be attuned to the particular types of knowledge that individuals regions can best utilise in order to improve their competitiveness. Thank you