Transcript Fig. 1 a) All-India Summer (JJAS) Monsoon rainfall

Fig. 1 a) All-India Summer (JJAS) Monsoon rainfall anomalies (% of 1961-90 mean) during
1871-2005. The 31-yr sliding mean of the anomalies is shown in green shaded curve. The
red/blue bars indicate years of El Nino/La Nina. b) All India annual surface temperature
anomalies (respect to 1961-90 mean) during 1875-2005. 31-year sliding mean is shown as thick
black line.
Fig. 4 a) Monsoon Rainfall (JJAS) difference between the future (2070-98) and present (1961-90). The
values shown are % change of future with respect to the present. b) Annual temperature change in the
future. c) Standardized anomalies of total column precipitable water averaged over the domain shown in a)
as simulated in IPCC-AR4 19 models (only 1 run per model) during 2001-2098. d) Standardized anomaly of
meridional wind index (v-wind difference between 850hPa and 200hPa averaged over the domain shown in
b)) simulated in 21 models during 2001-2098. Standardization is done based on the mean and standard
diviations of each model during the period 2001-2020.
Fig. 5 Projected changes in daily maximum (Tmax) temperatures and some aspects of daily rainfall over India based on
high resolution (50km) regional climate model (PRECIS). a) Highest pre-monsoon (March-June) daily temperature
maximum during the baseline period (1961-90). b) Projected future (2071-2100) change in Tmax in the SRES-A2 GHG
scenario simulations. The PDFs in the inset of this figure show the probabilities of daily Tmax spells (in days) exceeding
the 90th percentile (46.3 Deg C) value at New Delhi. The location of New Delhi is marked with a black dot in b). Panel c)
shows the projected future number of rainy days (>2.5 mm of rainfall) during monsoon season and d) the projected change
in the intensity (mm/day) of rainfall on a rainy day.