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Alberta Human Resources and Employment
Labour Market InformationThe Future
Susan Williams, Assistant Deputy Minister
People and Skills Investments - November 2005
Presentation Overview
Labour Market Information’s role in:
• Alberta’s skill shortages
• HRE initiatives addressing labour market
shortages
• What the future holds
Alberta’s Current Situation
Alberta’s economy continues to grow, with 40,000
new jobs created in 2004. In Alberta we have:
The lowest unemployment rate (4.6%).
The highest participation rate (73.6%).
The highest employment rate (70.2%).
A tight labour market
Alberta and Skill Shortages
Key Factors:
• Ongoing development of Alberta’s oil sands
• Increased competition for labour
• Aging Labour Force
• Slow labour force growth
Labour Shortages – are they really
there?
Three main indicators of shortages:
1. 28 of 53 occupational groups reported less
than 3% unemployment,
2. 56% of employers reported hiring difficulties,
and
3. 28% of employers had at least one position
unfilled for over 4 months.
Will the Shortages continue?
Alberta Occupational Demand and
Supply Outlook Models
• Over 400,00 new jobs will be created between 2004
and 2014; average annual increase of 1.9%.
• Over 300,000 new workers; average annual
increase of 1.4%.
• New jobs will exceed new workers in 2012.
• Trades and construction occupations - labour supply
shortages
• Oil and gas occupations - tight labour market.
Approach
• Government and Industry need to work together
to minimize the risks involved in decision-making
• Productive discussions and coordinated efforts
about things that matter and in areas where we
can make a difference.
• Proposed series of economic indicators with
benchmarks that could serve as a DASHBOARD.
DASHBOARD
• Unemployment Rate – Less than 3% = shortage.
• Vacancy Rate –Over 2% = shortage.
• Hiring Difficulty Rate –Over 25% = shortage.
• Dashboard – for key decision-makers
DASHBOARD
All indicators show shortage OR both
the vacancy rate is over 5% and
reported hiring difficulty over 40%.
One indicator or more shows shortage.
No indicators show shortage.
The Dashboard
Labour Demand and Supply
• Managers in Construction and Civil Engineers
• Engineers (excluding Civil Engineers)
• Plumbers, Sheet Metal Workers
Forestry and Logging Sector
Dashboard Indicators
•
Logging & Forestry Labourers
•
Truck Drivers
•
Supervisors in Forest Products Processing
•
Forestry Technologists and Technicians
•
Logging Machinery Operators
•
Labourers in Wood, Pulp and
Paper Processing
Retail
Dashboard Indicators
• Retail Trades Supervisors
•
Retail and Wholesale Buyers
•
Retail Salespersons and Sales Clerks
Health Related
Occupations
• Veterinarians
• Chiropractors
• Paramedics
• Occupational Therapists
• Audiologists and Speech
Pathologists
Hospitality
Dashboard Indicators
• Food Counter Attendants, Kitchen
Helpers and Related
•
Food and Beverage Servers
•
Hotel Front Desk Clerks
•
Chefs
Alberta Occupational Demand and
Supply Outlook Models
New jobs will exceed new workers in 2012.
Electrical Trades
2005
2008
Carpenters
2005
2012
What is HRE doing?
• Investing in workforce development; working with
the federal government to increase investment in
skills training.
• Part of the solution is utilizing all sources of
labour.
• HRE provides career and employment
information and training to persons with
disabilities, lower skilled Albertans, skilled
immigrants and Aboriginal people to meet
industry needs.
LMI and Industry
LMI Review:
• valuable information for career decision –makers
• valuable information for employers – who would be
willing to pay for this information
Roundtables Main Findings
•
•
skill shortages influence workplace health and safety,
productivity and competition for labour supply.
need for better information and collaboration.
HRE Initiatives
For 2005-06, HRE initiatives include:
1. Updating information products
2. Liaising with industry
3. Supporting industry with appropriate policies
4. Expanding our LMIC’s
Summary
Information is critical
The Format is critical
It is critical to get the right information to
the right people at the right time to make
the right decisions.
Further Information
1. AHRE (Labour Market Information)
www.gov.ab.ca/hre/lmi
2. Alberta learning Information Services (ALIS)
www.alis.gov.ab.ca
3. Alberta Wage and Salary Survey
www.alis.gov.ab.ca/wageinfo
4. Alberta’s Occupational Demand and Supply
Outlook models
E-mail: [email protected]
Thank You!
Discussion/Questions?