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Alberta Human Resources and Employment
Labour Market InformationThe Future
Susan Williams, Assistant Deputy Minister
People and Skills Investments - November 2005
Presentation Overview
Labour Market Information’s role in:
• Alberta’s skill shortages
• HRE initiatives addressing labour market
shortages
• What the future holds
Alberta’s Current Situation
Alberta’s economy continues to grow, with 40,000
new jobs created in 2004. In Alberta we have:
 The lowest unemployment rate (4.6%).
 The highest participation rate (73.6%).
 The highest employment rate (70.2%).
 A tight labour market
Alberta and Skill Shortages
Key Factors:
• Ongoing development of Alberta’s oil sands
• Increased competition for labour
• Aging Labour Force
• Slow labour force growth
Labour Shortages – are they really
there?
Three main indicators of shortages:
1. 28 of 53 occupational groups reported less
than 3% unemployment,
2. 56% of employers reported hiring difficulties,
and
3. 28% of employers had at least one position
unfilled for over 4 months.
Will the Shortages continue?
Alberta Occupational Demand and
Supply Outlook Models
• Over 400,00 new jobs will be created between 2004
and 2014; average annual increase of 1.9%.
• Over 300,000 new workers; average annual
increase of 1.4%.
• New jobs will exceed new workers in 2012.
• Trades and construction occupations - labour supply
shortages
• Oil and gas occupations - tight labour market.
Approach
• Government and Industry need to work together
to minimize the risks involved in decision-making
• Productive discussions and coordinated efforts
about things that matter and in areas where we
can make a difference.
• Proposed series of economic indicators with
benchmarks that could serve as a DASHBOARD.
DASHBOARD
• Unemployment Rate – Less than 3% = shortage.
• Vacancy Rate –Over 2% = shortage.
• Hiring Difficulty Rate –Over 25% = shortage.
• Dashboard – for key decision-makers
DASHBOARD
All indicators show shortage OR both
the vacancy rate is over 5% and
reported hiring difficulty over 40%.
One indicator or more shows shortage.
No indicators show shortage.
The Dashboard
Labour Demand and Supply
• Managers in Construction and Civil Engineers
• Engineers (excluding Civil Engineers)
• Plumbers, Sheet Metal Workers
Forestry and Logging Sector
Dashboard Indicators
•
Logging & Forestry Labourers
•
Truck Drivers
•
Supervisors in Forest Products Processing
•
Forestry Technologists and Technicians
•
Logging Machinery Operators
•
Labourers in Wood, Pulp and
Paper Processing
Retail
Dashboard Indicators
• Retail Trades Supervisors
•
Retail and Wholesale Buyers
•
Retail Salespersons and Sales Clerks
Health Related
Occupations
• Veterinarians
• Chiropractors
• Paramedics
• Occupational Therapists
• Audiologists and Speech
Pathologists
Hospitality
Dashboard Indicators
• Food Counter Attendants, Kitchen
Helpers and Related
•
Food and Beverage Servers
•
Hotel Front Desk Clerks
•
Chefs
Alberta Occupational Demand and
Supply Outlook Models
New jobs will exceed new workers in 2012.
Electrical Trades
2005
2008
Carpenters
2005
2012
What is HRE doing?
• Investing in workforce development; working with
the federal government to increase investment in
skills training.
• Part of the solution is utilizing all sources of
labour.
• HRE provides career and employment
information and training to persons with
disabilities, lower skilled Albertans, skilled
immigrants and Aboriginal people to meet
industry needs.
LMI and Industry
LMI Review:
• valuable information for career decision –makers
• valuable information for employers – who would be
willing to pay for this information
Roundtables Main Findings
•
•
skill shortages influence workplace health and safety,
productivity and competition for labour supply.
need for better information and collaboration.
HRE Initiatives
For 2005-06, HRE initiatives include:
1. Updating information products
2. Liaising with industry
3. Supporting industry with appropriate policies
4. Expanding our LMIC’s
Summary
 Information is critical
 The Format is critical
 It is critical to get the right information to
the right people at the right time to make
the right decisions.
Further Information
1. AHRE (Labour Market Information)
www.gov.ab.ca/hre/lmi
2. Alberta learning Information Services (ALIS)
www.alis.gov.ab.ca
3. Alberta Wage and Salary Survey
www.alis.gov.ab.ca/wageinfo
4. Alberta’s Occupational Demand and Supply
Outlook models
E-mail: [email protected]
Thank You!
Discussion/Questions?