Earth Science Enterprise Overview

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Transcript Earth Science Enterprise Overview

NASA
Earth Science Applications
Robert A. Venezia, Dr.P.H.
Program Manager
February 11, 2004
Discussion
•
NASA Earth Systems Science
– Science Drivers
– Enabling Technology
– Decision Support Applications
•
Public Health Applications
•
Collaboration with AFPMB
– Vector-borne disease
– Malaria
NASA Enterprises
NATIONAL AERONAUTICS
AND
SPACE ADMINISTRATION
EARTH SCIENCE
ENTERPRISE
SPACE SCIENCE
ENTERPRISE
BIOLOGICAL AND
PHYSICAL
RESEARCH
HUMAN
EXPLORATION
AND
DEVELOPMENT OF
SPACE
AEROSPACE
TECHNOLOGY
Earth System Science
Variability: How is the global Earth
system changing?
Forcing: What are the primary causes
of change in the Earth system?
Response: How does the Earth
system respond to natural and
human- induced changes?
Consequences: What are the
consequences of changes in the
Earth system for human civilization?
Prediction: How well can we predict
future changes to the Earth system?
Technology
Orbital, Air, and Ground
Missions
Data Delivery Systems
Data Processing &
Predictive Modeling
Remote Sensing Data
Communication
Computation
$1.5 Billion Investment
TOPEX/Poseidon
Landsat 7
Aqua
SORCE
Sage
QuikScat
NMP/EO-1
SeaWiFS
IceSat
TRMM
ACRIMSAT
Toms-EP
ADEOS II
(SeaWinds)
Grace
ERBS
Terra
UARS
Jason-1
Decision Support Applications
Systems Engineering Approach
Applications of National Priority
Aviation
Carbon
Management
Disaster
Management
Ecological
Forecasting
Energy
Management
Invasive Species
Public Health
Water
Management
Agricultural
Efficiency
Air Quality
Coastal
Management
Homeland
Security
Example: Rift Valley Fever
Predicting regional outbreaks of RVF using satellite data on rainfall,
ENSO and vegetation
Example: Lyme Disease
Identifying vector-friendly environmental conditions using satellite
data on rainfall, vegetation, proximity to settlements
Example: Malaria
Textural-contextual classifications significantly
increase landcover mapping accuracy using high
resolution data such as Ikonos.
Identifying key factors that sustain
or intensify transmission
Satellite & meteor.
data
Microepidemiology
data
Local environment
Population database
Landcover
Dwelling
Vector control
Vector ecology
Sporozoites
Discrete Wavelet Transform is used to differentiate
confusion vegetation types.
Host behaviors
Medical care
Primary schizogony
Hypnozoites  relapses
Risk prediction
Nonparametric model computes the likelihood of
disease outbreak using meteorological and
epidemiological time series as input.
4000
Number of Pf & Pv Cases
Habitat identification
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
0
Oocysts
25
50
75
100
125
Month Number
Wavelet Transform and
Hilbert-Huang Transform
Empirical Mode Decomposition identify the driving
variables that lead to disease outbreaks and provide
more accurate predictions.
Asexual
erythrocytic
cycle
VECTOR
HUMAN
Fertilization
Evaluated Thail military airborne data and established
neural network rectification capability.
Pf cases
Temperature (deg C) x 100
Rainfall (mm) x 5 + 1000
Tak
3500
Gametocytes
PARASITE
 blood meal
 oviposition
 eggs
 larvae
 pupae
 adults
 destroyed
 pre-patent
 incubation
 delay
 treatment
 infectious
 relapse
 immunity
Mode 1
Mode 1
10
0
-10
10
Mode 2
1985.0
Mode
2
1987.5
1985.0
Mode 3
1987.5
1990.0
1992.5
1990.0
1992.5
0
Spatio-temporal distribution of disease cases
-10
5
0
-5
Mode 3
1985.0
[email protected]
1987.5
1990.0
1992.5
Partners
.gov/ph
.gov/rs
.org
.edu
.int
.mil
Decision Support
We have resources, we need a beneficiary.
WHO?
WHAT?
HOW?
WHY?
SO WHAT?
Decision makers
•
medical
•
logistics
Decisions
•
force deployment and placement
•
anti-malarial resources
Decision support tools
•
software / algorhythm
•
protocol
•
advisory / committee
Performance Measures
•
dosages
•
percent readiness
Benefits
•
costs
•
morbidity
•
mortality
•
national security
Contact Information
NASA Headquarters
Robert A. Venezia, Dr.P.H.
Program Manger for Public Health Applications
National Aeronautics and Space Administration
Headquarters, Office of Earth Science
300 E. Street, S.W., Code YO
Washington, D.C. 20546
TEL (202) 358-1324
FAX (202) 358-3098
NASA Stennis Space Center
Timi S. Vann, M.A.
Deputy Program Manger for Public Health Applications
National Aeronautics and Space Administration
Earth Science Applications Directorate
Building 1100 Code MA30
John C. Stennis Space Center, MS 39529
TEL (228) 688-1487
FAX (228) 688-7455