Transcript Upper Shore Labor Shed - Maryland Department of Labor

Upper Shore Labor Shed
September 23, 2011
Dan McDermott
Dan McDermott
July 21, 2015
Why Do A Labor Shed Analysis?
• Anecdotal vs Data Based Decision
• Determine Gaps- Training, Job Search
Techniques
• Because it was fairly obvious at the DOL
Institutes
Dan McDermott
July 21, 2015
How to do a Labor Shed Analysis
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Get some money
Write a Request for Proposals
Publish the Request for Proposals
Evaluate the Requests for Proposals
Realize you can’t afford the Labor Shed Analysis
Do it yourself
Use the money for programs vs Labor Shed
Analysis
Dan McDermott
July 21, 2015
“Sheds”
• Watershed
• The area of land that
separates waters flowing to
different rivers or seas
Source: United States Environmental Protection Agency
• Laborshed
• Where workers live who are
employed in a selected area
Source: United States Census Bureau: Longitudinal
Employer Household Dynamics
Dan McDermott
July 21, 2015
Upper Shore Labor Shed Analysis
• Identify top 5 current sectors in the labor shed region
• Identify the top sector in the labor shed region
• Identify projected openings within the top sector in the
region based on growth and replacement demand.
• Identify job titles, average wage, educational
requirements for the top occupations within the sector
identified
• Identify largest employers for each job title identified
within the top sector.
Dan McDermott
July 21, 2015
Validation
• Are the projected openings: too high, too low or
about right?
• Are the average wages: too high, too low or
about right?
• What about LPNs?
• What about Phlebotomy?
• Where are dental jobs listed?
Dan McDermott
July 21, 2015
Methodology
• Use Longitudinal Employer Household
Dynamics (LEHD) to determine commutable
area
• Use LEHD to determine top 10 three digit North
American Industry Classification System
(NAICS) sectors for the commutable region
• Compare the top 10 NAICS sectors for Upper
Shore and commutable area
Dan McDermott
July 21, 2015
Methodology
• Determine the top 5 sectors for the Upper Shore
• Determine the top 5 sectors for the commutable
region
• Compare the Upper Shore and commutable
region
• Determine the top 5 sectors for the Upper Shore
labor shed
• Determine the top sector for the Upper Shore
labor shed
Dan McDermott
July 21, 2015
Methodology
• Utilize Maryland Workforce Exchange and to
find job openings in the top sector
• Utilize employer websites to determine job
openings in the Upper Shore
• Utilize employment projections from DLLR to
determine future demand
• Utilize training information to determine if
credentialing is available
• Validate findings with employers
Dan McDermott
July 21, 2015
Upper Shore
Rank
NAICS Code
Industry
1
722
Food Services and Drinking Places
2
541
Professional, Scientific, and Technical
Services
3
622
Hospitals
4
311
Food Manufacturing
5
621
Ambulatory Health Care Services
6
561
Administrative and Support Services
7
238
Specialty Trade Contractors
8
623
Nursing and Residential Care Facilities
9
445
Food and Beverage Stores
10
721
Accommodation
Source: United States Census Bureau: Longitudinal Employer Household Dynamics
Dan McDermott
July 21, 2015
Upper Shore
Rank
NAICS Code
Industry
1
722
Food Services and Drinking Places
2
541
Professional, Scientific, and Technical
Services
3
622
Hospitals
4
311
Food Manufacturing
5
621
Ambulatory Health Care Services
6
561
Administrative and Support Services
7
238
Specialty Trade Contractors
8
623
Nursing and Residential Care Facilities
9
445
Food and Beverage Stores
10
721
Accommodation
Source: United States Census Bureau: Longitudinal Employer Household Dynamics
Dan McDermott
July 21, 2015
Source: United States Census Bureau: Longitudinal Employer Household Dynamics
Dan McDermott
July 21, 2015
Dan McDermott
July 21, 2015
Dan McDermott
22552
17418
8794
8124
July 21, 2015
Dan McDermott
July 21, 2015
Dan McDermott
July 21, 2015
Upper
Shore Rank
NAICS
Code
Industry
Laborshed
Rank
1
722
Food Services and Drinking
Places
2
2
541
Professional, Scientific, and
Technical Services
1
3
622
Hospitals
4
4
311
Food Manufacturing
9
5
621
Ambulatory Health Care
Services
5
6
561
Administrative and Support
Services
3
7
238
Specialty Trade Contractors
6
8
623
Nursing and Residential Care
Facilities
7
9
445
Food and Beverage Stores
8
10
721
Accommodation
10
Source: United States Census Bureau: Longitudinal Employer Household Dynamics
Dan McDermott
Upper
Shore
Rank
NAICS Code
July 21, 2015
Avg. Quarterly
Employment
Rank for
Commutable
Area
Avg.
Quarterly for
Commutable
Area
1
620 – Hospitals,
Ambulatory, Nursing
Care
6785
1
176637
2
722 – Food Services
and Drinking Places
4714
3
116124
3
541 – Professional,
Scientific and
Technical Services
2733
2
120265
4
561 – Administrative
and Support Services
2259
4
89366
5
238 – Specialty
Trade Contractors
2036
5
62823
Source: United States Census Bureau: Longitudinal Employer Household Dynamics
Dan McDermott
Employer
Chester River System
Retail Pharmacy
Genesis
Shore Health System
Choptank Health System
Envoy
William Hill
Quality Health Strategies
Labcorp
Signature Healthcare
Adventist
Total
Training in USWIA
July 21, 2015
MD Nurse Prac RN LPN NA Phleb PT Therapy Pharm Surg Tech Rad Tech Med Tech
6
6
2 1.5 1
1
1
2
1
1
4
3
2
2
1
25 2 2
2
3
1
1
6
5
1
1
1
1
2
0.5 4
1
1
1
0.5
2
2
1
8
N
Source: Employer Websites
2
N
42 2.5 13
Y ? Y
2
Y
6
N
6
N
3
N
2
Y
6
Y
8
?
Dan McDermott
July 21, 2015
Specialty
Openings
2016
Wage
MD
8
75
$188,400
Nurse Prac.
2
RN
42
240
$65,800
LPN
2.5
110
$50,525
N.A.
13
210
$27,225
Phleb
2
PT
6
50
$87,600
Therapy
6
15
$68,000
Pharmacy
3
60
$91,000
Surg. Tech.
2
35
$38,625
Rad. Tech.
6
10
$64,725
Med. Tech.
8
45
$29,025
Pharm. Tech.
3
105
$31,300
TOTALS
103.5
955
Source: Maryland Department of Labor, Licensing and Regulation and Employer Websites
Dan McDermott
July 21, 2015
Validation
• Are the projected openings: too high, too low or
about right?
• Are the average wages: too high, too low or
about right?
• What about LPNs?
• What about Phlebotomy?
• Where are dental jobs listed?
Dan McDermott
July 21, 2015
Validation Meeting April 19, 2011
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Mary Pat Harrell
Kim Honeycutt
Jeanne Bromwell
Jake Frego
Cassandra Stanley
Center
Carla Neugroschel
Department
Doug Wilson
Center
Jeanie Holt
Addie Eckhart
Genesis
Comfort Keepers
AHEC, Deputy Director
AHEC, Exec. Director
Eastern Shore Hospital
Dorchester County Health
Peninsula Regional Medical
AA - Dental Hygienist
State Delegate
Dan McDermott
July 21, 2015
Positions discussed during validation
meeting
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Doctor
RN
AA-RN
Certified Medicine Aide (CMA)
Certified Nurse Aide (CNA)
Certified Geriatric Aide (GNA)
LPN
Phlebotomist
Surgical Technician
Radiologic Technician
Dental Assistant
Dental Hygienist
Medical Tech
Patient Tech
Nurse Practitioner
Physical Therapist
Occupational Therapist
Recreational Therapist
Speech Therapist
Direct Care Assistant
Health Aide
Patient Sitter
Dan McDermott
July 21, 2015
Are Job Projections Accurate?
• Too Low
• Aging population of health care workers will
result in significant positive impact on openings
• Health care reform will have a significant
positive impact on openings
• Health care reform will have a significant
positive impact on mid level practitioner
openings ex: nurse practitioner, dental hygienist,
physician assistant
Dan McDermott
July 21, 2015
Is wage data accurate?
• LPN wages are too high
• Wage rates are close to average in generalwithin an acceptable range
• Government wage rates are lower than averages
presented
Dan McDermott
July 21, 2015
What is the future for the LPN
certification?
• Most employers are phasing out LPNs
• LPNs can “evaluate but not assess”, therefore, an
RN must provide assessment
• RNs with an Associate’s Degree seem to be the
“replacement” for LPNs
Dan McDermott
July 21, 2015
How does phlebotomy fit into local
healthcare hiring?
• National companies such as Quest and Labcorp
are the major employers of phlebotomists
Dan McDermott
July 21, 2015
Where are other healthcare jobs such
as dental listed?
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Word of mouth among affiliate groups
ESAHEC lists some jobs
Networking among employers and jobseekers
Not listed in newspapers
Dan McDermott
July 21, 2015
Other areas of discussion
• Median wage data may be more useful than
average wage data
• Many employers are using travel nurses and
other temporary staffing options
• New RNs are hard to place- Genesis has a 3 week
orientation program, Shore Health’s critical Care
University
• Job titles in employment postings create
confusion- medical tech: C.N.A vs 4 year degree
position
Dan McDermott
July 21, 2015
Other areas of discussion
• “Uncoupling”: dental hygienists from dentists,
physician’s assistants from physicians
• Health care reform’s impact on health care
delivery is evolving