Transcript No Slide Title

SEE Public Agenda Survey
January-February 2002
Organized by International IDEA and SEEDS Network
Main findings of the MACEDONIA
quantitative survey
14 March 2002
GENERAL ISSUES
Right direction of the country
SMMRI
3
The three most important issues
for the population
Unemployment
69.6
Poverty
41.2
Corruption
40.1
Ethnic conflicts
31.7
Crime
23.2
22
Stability of the state
Drug and alcohol abuse
11.2
Jobs for our children
10.7
My country's acceptance into EU
and/or NATO
10.7
Legal system
SMMRI
8.5
4
Unemployment
SMMRI
5
Poverty
SMMRI
6
Corruption
SMMRI
7
Personal Fears
(What do you fear the most in the present?)
45.1
War
Poverty,
hunger
SMMRI
13.2
Unemployment
7.6
Unstabile state
and society
6.9
8
War
SMMRI
9
Poverty, hunger
SMMRI
10
Unemployment
SMMRI
11
Unstabile state and society
SMMRI
12
Opinion on pace of transition to market
economy
It is right
17%
Don’t
know/NA
4%
Too fast
23%
Too slow
56%
SMMRI
13
Opinion on pace of transition to market economy
- Too fast
SMMRI
14
Opinion on pace of transition to market economy
- Too slow
SMMRI
15
Opinion on pace of transition to market economy
- It is right
SMMRI
16
ECONOMIC ISSUES
Personal economic situation:
worse and better than one year ago
Much better Somewhat
2%
better
8%
Much worse
25%
Somewhat
worse
29%
SMMRI
The same
36%
18
Personal economic situation:
worse and better than one year ago
Total
54.3
9.2
Male
55.3
10.6
Female
53.3
7.8
Age 18-29 years
43
55.9
Age 30-44 years
66.6
Age 45-59 years
7.2
4.2
Age 60 years +
53.4
10.4
Urban
54.2
8
Rural
54.5
11.2
49.2
Region: Skopje
61.1
Region: North-West Macedonia
49.9
Region: South Macedonia
58.3
Region: East Macedonia
Worse
SMMRI
14.9
11.4
9.3
4.9
9.7
Better
19
Personal economic situation:
worse and better than one year ago
General school
57.1
10.3
Vocational school
52.9
8.8
High school
55.4
7.9
University degree
49.3
11.8
Category AB (high)
52.5
7.8
Category C
(medium)
56.1
8.8
Category DE (low)
53.9
10.2
Macedonian
55.4
8.6
Albanian
Other
Don’t know/NA
48.6
57.9
8.8
27.6 7.2
Worse
SMMRI
12.9
Better
20
Personal economic situation:
satisfaction with the current level
Very satisfied
1%
Somewhat
satisfied
20%
Very
dissatisfied
37%
Neither
satisfied nor
dissatisfied
20%
Somwhat
dissatisfied
22%
SMMRI
21
Personal economic situation:
satisfaction with the current level
Total
59.2
20.7
Male
60.6
20.9
Female
57.6
20.5
Age 18-29 years
Age 30-44 years
Age 45-59 years
48.1
58.2
70.2
19.5
12.5
Age 60 years +
63.8
23.7
Urban
58.6
21.3
Rural
59.9
19.9
Region: Skopje
56.6
Region: North-West Macedonia
53.9
Region: South Macedonia
61.1
Region: East Macedonia
64.2
Dissatisfied
SMMRI
27.1
26.9
12.5
23.5
17.8
Satisfied
22
Personal economic situation:
satisfaction with the current level
General school
66.9
19.8
Vocational school
59.5
19.9
High school
56.9
19
University degree
46.2
Category AB (high)
55.8
21
Category C (medium)
58.5
22
Category DE (low)
61.1
19.8
Macedonian
61.3
20.3
Albanian
Other
Don’t know/NA
46.3
65.6
23.1
19.7
35.2
Dissatisfied
SMMRI
30
25
Satisfied
23
Personal economic situation:
one year to come
Don’t know/NA
1%
Much better
Much worse
2%
7%
Somewhat
better
26%
Somewhat
worse
20%
The same
44%
SMMRI
24
Personal economic situation:
one year to come
Total
27
28.5
Male
27.3
29.3
Female
26.9 27.6
Age 18-29 years
15.8
Age 30-44 years
23.6 29.8
Age 45-59 years
41.1
21.6
33.1 18.8
Age 60 years +
Urban
26.2 26.4
Rural
28.5
Region: Skopje
22.7
Region: North-West Macedonia
31.9
32.4
21.9 27.9
Region: South Macedonia
23.6 19.8
Region: East Macedonia
37.9
Worse
SMMRI
38.9
30.3
Better
25
Personal economic situation:
one year to come
General school
32.5
Vocational school
27
27
High school
25
28.5
University degree
20.4
Category AB (high)
23.2
21.7
Category C
(medium)
27.3
31
Category DE (low)
28.7
29.7
Macedonian
29.4
26.6
Albanian
Other
15.1
31.1
Don’t know/NA
8.2
Worse
SMMRI
28.5
32.9
37
24.4
63.4
Better
26
Personal economic situation : 5 year
expectations
Will get
somewhat
worse
15%
Will stay the
same
24%
Will get much
worse
4% Don’t
know/NA
6%
Will get much
better
4%
Will get
somewhat
better
47%
SMMRI
27
Personal economic situation : 5 year
expectations
Total
18.6
52
Male
19.5
55.3
Female
17.8
Age 18-29 years
10.9
Age 30-44 years
59.7
18.6
Age 45-59 years
29.4
16.8
Age 60 years +
Urban
22.1
Rural
54.3
45.2
44.6
48.8
12.7
57.3
Region: Skopje
18.2
51.4
Region: North-West Macedonia
15.7
53.7
Region: South Macedonia
19.4
52.4
Region: East Macedonia
20.4
51.3
Worse
SMMRI
48.7
Better
28
Personal economic situation : 5 year
expectations
General school
Vocational school
14.6
23.1
50.3
High school
16.7
54.8
University degree
18.6
56.8
Category AB (high)
20.3
Category C
(medium)
14.9
50.2
54.1
Category DE (low)
20.4
51.4
Macedonian
21.1
49.4
Albanian
7.1
66.8
Other
17
49.5
Don’t know/NA
20.7
48.8
Worse
SMMRI
49.2
Better
29
POLITICAL ISSUES
Trust in public personalities
(trust very much + trust a fair amount)
Nikola Gruevski
23.9
23
Ljube Boskovski
21.3
Branko Crvenkovski
Vlado Popovski
16.2
Boris Trajkovski
14.8
Arben Dzaferi
13.8
Imer Imeri
12.7
Ljubco Georgievski
12.5
Stojan Andov
10
Stavre Dzikov
9.2
0
SMMRI
20
40
60
80
100
31
Public personalities awareness
Stojan Andov
99.5
Ljubco Georgievski
99.5
Boris Trajkovski
99.4
Arben Dzaferi
99.2
Branko Crvenkovski
99.2
Ljube Boskovski
99.2
Imer Imeri
98.5
Nikola Gruevski
98
Vlado Popovski
95.7
95.5
Stavre Dzikov
92
SMMRI
94
96
98
100
32
Trust in local institutions
(trust very much + trust a fair amount)
Army
55
Church
49.5
40
Universities
38.9
Police
34.9
NGO
29.1
Private entreprises
26.2
Mass media
President
23.5
Courts
19.6
Local authorities
16.9
Trade Unions
13.9
Parliament
12.5
Government
11.7
0
SMMRI
20
40
60
80
100
33
What party would you vote for if the parliamentary
elections were held next Sunday?
Base: total sample excepting those who would not vote or don’t know
SDSM
39.7
19.9
VMRO-DPNE
Other
18.4
DPA
10.4
PDP
5.5
Liberalna partie
3.5
DA
2.6
0
SMMRI
20
40
60
80
100
34
What do you think would be the best way for our
country to protect its interests?
To have a strong economy
38.4
To join EU and NATO
34.7
To have astrong army able to
protect the country
12.9
To join EU
10.6
To join NATO
2.1
Don’t know/NA
1.4
0
SMMRI
20
40
60
80
100
35
Opinion on statements:
“At least two strong political parties competing in the
elections”
Not important
at all DK/NA
1.6%
7.6%
Not very
important
8.9%
Neither
important nor
unimportant
10.2%
Extremely
important
42.0%
Important
29.7%
SMMRI
36
Opinion on statements:
“A government that guarantees economic equality of
its citizens ”
Not very Not important at
all
important
0.9%
1.4%
Neither
important nor
unimportant
2.2%
DK/NA
1.0%
Important
25.5%
Extremely
important
69.0%
SMMRI
37
Opinion on statements:
“A justice system treating everybody equally ”
Neither
important nor
unimportant
0.9%
Not very
important
0.5%
Not important
at all
0.3%
DK/NA
0.6%
Important
18.6%
Extremely
important
79.1%
SMMRI
38
Opinion on statements:
“The freedom to criticise the government ”
Neither
important nor
unimportant
10.0%
Important
25.9%
SMMRI
Not very
important
3.0%
Not important
at all
1.8%
DK/NA
0.8%
Extremely
important
58.5%
39
Opinion on statements:
“A government that guarantees meeting the basic
economic needs of all the citizens ”
Neither
important nor
unimportant
1.2%
Not very
important
0.4%
Not important at
all
0.1%
DK/NA
0.5%
Important
17.2%
Extremely
important
80.6%
SMMRI
40
Opinion on statements:
“Equal representation of women and men in elected
positions ”
Not very
important
7.7%
Neither
important nor
unimportant
13.9%
Not important
at all
2.9%
DK/NA
0.4%
Extremely
important
45.7%
Important
29.5%
SMMRI
41
Opinion on statements:
“Economic prosperity in the country ”
Neither
important nor
unimportant
0.6%
Not very
important
0.3%
DK/NA
0.6%
Important
14.9%
Extremely
important
83.6%
SMMRI
42
INTERNATIONAL ISSUES
Trust in international personalities
(trust very much + trust a fair amount)
Vladimir Putin
35.4
Kofi Annan
25.8
George W. Bush
24.9
22.6
Jaques Chirac
Gerhard Schroeder
22
George Robertson
21.2
Carla del Ponte
19.4
Javier Solana
18.7
Tony Blair
18.6
17
Romano Prodi
Marti Ahtisaari
11
Thorvald Stoltenberg
7.1
0
SMMRI
20
40
60
80
100
44
International personalities awareness
Javier Solana
99.7
George W. Bush
99.2
George Robertson
99.2
Vladimir Putin
99.1
Kofi Annan
98.2
98
Carla del Ponte
Tony Blair
97.9
Jaques Chirac
96.7
91.1
Gerhard Schroeder
Romano Prodi
87.6
Marti Ahtisaari
63.2
Thorvald Stoltenberg
59.4
0
SMMRI
20
40
60
80
100
45
Trust in international institutions
(trust very much + trust a fair amount)
EU
35.3
UN
34.1
WB
32
IMF
25.6
NATO
25.5
OSCE
24.2
WTO
23.8
ICTY
21.9
SPSEE
21.5
0
SMMRI
20
40
60
80
100
46
International institutions awareness
NATO
98.7
EU
98.6
UN
98.5
OSCE
97.9
ICTY
97.8
IMF
96.6
96.4
WB
94.1
WTO
93.8
SPSEE
90
SMMRI
92
94
96
98
100
47
How much have you read or heard about
the Stability Pact in SouthEastern Europe ?
46.4
26.8
20.3
3.6
3
A lot
SMMRI
Pretty much
Not very much
Nothing
Don’t know/NA
48
How likely it is for the international community to
provide the support, it has promised to your country
within the Stability Pact?
Total
44.7
50.4
Male
42
54.3
Female
47.4
Age 18-29 years
41
52.3
Age 30-44 years
44.5
51.3
Age 45-59 years
47.7
49.5
Age 60 years +
46.9
47.2
Urban
47.9
46.1
Rural
39.5
57.5
Region: Skopje
48.4
Region: North-West Macedonia
37
59.7
37.9
56.8
Region: South Macedonia
Region: East Macedonia
50.4
Unlikely
SMMRI
46.5
44.1
46.8
Likely
49
How likely it is for the international community to
provide the support, it has promised to your country
within the Stability Pact?
General school
Vocational school
36.9
52
42.8
High school
43.4
53
University degree
42.4
55.3
47
51.1
44.2
50.8
Category DE (low)
44
49.8
Macedonian
49.9
Category AB (high)
Category C
(medium)
Albanian
Other
Don’t know/NA
45.3
14.3
51.4
56.2
Unlikely
SMMRI
56.1
82.7
40
43.8
Likely
50
Would it be good for our country to cooperate more
with the following countries or territories?
(very good + good)
42.4
Sweden
Germany
50.4
42.4
53.5
Italy
42.6
52.8
48.1
France
Montenegro (not in Montenegro)
Hungary
Romania (not in Romania)
Republica Srpska (not in RS)
92.2
92
91.4
61
47.3
91.1
41.3
44.8
88.6
43.7
26
88.5
62.3
39.6
United States
93.8
64.8
30.1
Greece
95.1
60.8
26.6
Russia
95.3
49.3
31.2
Serbia (not in Serbia)
95.4
60.2
42.9
Croatia (not in Croatia)
95.9
51.8
33.6
Great Britain
96
47.2
43.3
Norway
97.4
45.6
Turkey
Slovenia
88.3
48.6
42.1
43.7
24.8
58.5
88.2
83.3
17.9
63.6
81.5
Moldova
17.3
63.1
80.4
60.4
80.3
Bulgaria (not in Bulgaria)
19.9
Albania (not in Albania)
17.8
20.3
39.5
30.4
Very good
85.8
Bosnia Federation (not in Bosnia Federation)
Kosovo (not in Kosovo)
SMMRI
55
Good
57.3
50.7
51
To what extent the following countries represent a
threat to your country?
(very great extent + great extent )
Kosovo (not in Kosovo)
18.1
Albania (not in Albania)
51.4
24.9
36.9
12.2
11.6
Bulgaria (not in Bulgaria)
12
4.6 16.6
Greece
11.2
United States
Serbia (not in Serbia)
4.8
69.5
61.8
23.8
16
5.2 3.7 8.9
To a great extent
Bosnia Federation (not in
Bosnia Federation)
5.8 2.3 8.1
To a very great extent
Russia 1.93.7
5.6
Great Britain 3.71.7 5.4
Republica Srpska (not in
2.72
RS)
SMMRI
4.7
52
MASS MEDIA
FAVORITE TV STATION
A1
41.00%
Sitel
20.60%
MTV1
14.60%
Local TV stations
MTV 2
4.00%
Telma Skopje
2.00%
Tera Bitola
1.70%
Don' watch TV
1.30%
Kanal 5 Skopje
MTM Skopje
SMMRI
13.30%
0.60%
0.10%
54
FAVORITE RADIO STATION
Local radio
station
28.30%
25.10%
Kanal 77
Mak. Radio prva
programa
Don't listen radio
10.20%
Antena 5
10.10%
Radio Ros, Kanal
4 Skopje
SMMRI
12.20%
5.50%
Vat Skopje
4.00%
Fortuna Skopje
3.80%
55
FAVORITE NEWSPAPER
Dnevnik
32.40%
Don't read
newspapers
16.50%
13.10%
Fakti
Vecer
10.80%
Vest
10.60%
9.40%
Utrinski vesnik
Nova Makedonija
Local newspapers
SMMRI
5.20%
1.40%
56
Does the media in our country today report the truth
about political and national issues?
Never
14%
Don’t
know/NA
1%
Always
4%
Only
sometimes
58%
Often
23%
SMMRI
57
In general, do you think mass media
in our country are…
Often
influenced by
powerful
people and
organizations
82%
SMMRI
Don’t know/NA
4%
Independent
14%
58
CIVIL AND MINORITIES RIGHTS
Would you like to be a member of:
Women association
Any non-governmental organization
1.4
66.6
28.4
64.2
32.1
3.5
1.3
2.4
Civil liberties organization
49.5
48.6
0.2
1.6
Environment/ ecology organization
50.4
46.2
1.3
2.1
1
2.2
2.4
2.3
Cultural association
52
44.7
Yes
No
Religious organization or Church
82.1
13.1
I am a member of
Trade union
Professional association
A political party
SMMRI
63.6
32
10.8
3
2.4
2.2
2.1
81.2
13.4
71
16.9
DK/NA
1.2
60
Those who would like to become
member of…
Environment/ecology organization
50.4
Civil liberties organization
49.5
Cultural association
44.7
Any NGO
32.1
Professional association
32
Women association
Trade unions
13.4
Religious organization or church
13.1
Political party
SMMRI
28.4
10.8
61
Which of the rights listed below you think the
minorities ethnic group should be entitled to?
Preserve their culture and tradition through any
organisations and associations of their own
10.2
Tuition in their mother tongue in primary school,
junior high and high school
Higher education programmes delivered in
their mother tongue
19.7
57.7
Representatives in the Parliament
The right to use their mother tongue for legal
purposes, for instance in justice or in legal
contracts
72.7
31.4
13.8
64.8
Not agree
SMMRI
82.7
76.1
27.2
Agree
62
Do you agree or disagree with the following
statements?
Many things in my country are decided from the outside
5.1
88
Mass unemployment is going to strike us all
4.9
85.9
Democracy is a value yet to be understood in our country
3
85.3
24.3
Our people is endangered by a civil war
Our transition to post-communism will last a lot longer than it is
expected
I fear sometimes that my country will interfere into other countries’
affairs
The army and the police in this country are serving partisan
interests and not the interests of the people
Privatization is making only a few people rich while leaving the rest
of us poor
Voting makes me feel I can influence the government
Whatever problems democracy might bring, it is the best
governing system for us
Ethnic minorities have too great demands in their fight for rights
9.5
75.6
70.5
9.9
24.7
58.9
85.2
4.9
49.7
28.4
23.9
17.6
12.5
Women have little political influence in our country
Not agree
SMMRI
55.5
42.7
77.8
68.7
Agree
63
In the next years, what do you think is the key of
success in our country?
Work
To work in your
country
To stay in the
country
Your education
To go to a known
way
What you can do
by yourself
SMMRI
To work in another country
16.9
82.5
To work for the
state sector
Relationships with others
11.9
86.9
To work for the private sector
41.2
57
To leave for another country
19
79.6
What you can do through others
13.9
84.3
To go on new but more uncertain
ways
18.3
79.7
What parents/heritage give you
9.6
88.3
To rely on others
10.5
Trickery and fraud
3.8
88.2
94.9
To rely only on yourself
Honesty
64