Transcript Folie 1

EU market situation for
eggs and poultry
Management Committee
19 January 2012
2001
2002
2003
2004
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
2005
2006
Management Committee
2009
2010
2007
2008
19 January 2012
2011
2012
Weekly evolution of the Community
price for Broiler
€uro/ 100kg
190
180
170
160
150
1
4
7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37
Avg 06 - 10
2009
2010
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
2011
Man Com
4 43 46 49 52
2012
19 January 2012
3
Percentual change of Broiler prices
December 2011
20.0%
- 1 year
- 1 month
15.0%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
-5.0%
-10.0%
BE BG CZ DK DE EE
EL
ES
FR
IE
IT
CY LV
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
LT HU MT NL ÖS
PL PT RO
Man Com
SI
SK
SF
SV UK
19 January 2012
EU
4
Annual Minimum and Maximum price
for Broilers in the EU
250
€uro/100kg
200
150
Max
100
Avg EU
Min
50
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
2006
2007
Man Com
2008
2009
2010
2011
19 January 2012
5
Price of Basic Ingredients 2008 - 2011
350
Euro / tonne
300
Soft wheat (EU)
Barley (EU)
Maïs (EU)
Soja (CAF)
Hulls (EU)
Manioc (CAF)
C.G.F. (CAF)
250
200
150
100
50
Juil
Oct
Jan 09
April
Juil
Oct
Jan 10
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
April
Juil
Oct
Man Com
Jan-11
April
Juil
19 January 2012
Oct
Jan-12
6
Futures for Feed wheat EU (Euronext)
(Nearby = 2011 & 2012)
€uro/ Tonn
200
170
140
01 Nearby
2012 Jan
110
2012 May
2012 Nov
2013 Jan
80
|
Jan | Feb | Mrch | Apr
2011
| May | June | July | Aug |
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Sep | Oct
| Nov | Dec |
Man Com
Jan | Feb | Mrch | Apr
2012
19 January 2012
| May | June |
7
Futures for Maize EU (Euronext)
(Nearby = 2011 - 2012)
230
€/Tonn
210
190
Delivery:
170
01 Nearby
2012 Mar
150
2012 Jun
2012 Aug
130
| Jan | Feb |M ch | Apr |M ay | Jun |July | Aug | Sep | Oct |Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | M rt | Apr |M ay | Jun |
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
19 January 2012
8
Futures for Soybeans in US$ct/ Bushel
(nearby = 2011 & 2012)
1 450
1 300
Delivery:
01 Nearby
2012 Mar
1 150
2012 Jul
2012 Aug
2012 Nov
1 000
| Jan | Feb | Mch | Apr | May | Jun | July | Aug. | Sept. | Oct. | Nov. | Dec. | Jan | Feb | Mch | Apr | May | Jun |
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
19 January 2012
9
Price development of Compound feed for Broilers,
a Broiler Cereal-Feedmix and Broiler price
350
margin broiler/ comp feed (2.7)
Cereal-mix
Compound feed
Broiler
Avg. Margin 2001 - 2010
Euro/ 100kg (Broiler)
300
Euro/ T (feed)
250
200
150
100
50
0
|
2006
|
2007
|
NB. Comp. Feed Nov - Dec =Forecast
2008
|
2009
|
2010
|
2011
|
2012
|
Feed and Poultry 2012 = Forecast
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
19 January 2012
10
€uro/ Tonne
Evolution of an EU-avg of Compoundfeed for Broilers (€uro/T)
and Broiler price (€uro /100kg)
300
200
100
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
compound feed for Broiler
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
broiler
Man Com
19 January 2012
11
Placings of Broiler chicks (1 000 pieces)
compared to the monthly trend
(basis 2006 - 2009)
500 000
400 000
300 000
200 000
100 000
0
|
2006
|
2007
|
2008
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
|
2009
Man Com
|
2010
|
2011
19 January 2012
|
12
Production forecast of Broilers.
In Tonn
250
750 000
200
600 000
Price €uro/ 100kg
150
450 000
100
300 000
50
150 000
0
0
|
2006
|
2007
|
2008
|
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
2009
|
Man Com
2010
|
2011
|
19 January 2012
13
Import of Poultrymeat from selected origins
IMPORT
tonnes
%
tonnes
%
tonnes
Jan-Nov 11
2010
2009
2008
2007
tonnes
%
%
tonnes
Compared
% to Jan-Nov 10
Brazil
671 862 78.3% 679 469 76.3% 659 368 75.3% 581 391 72.4% 540 000 70.9%
+ 1%
Thailand
129 434 15.1% 146 882 16.5% 141 524 16.2% 149 682 18.6% 143 320 18.8%
+ 4%
Chile
16 923
2.0%
34 718
3.9%
39 022
4.5%
34 276
4.3%
40 093
5.3%
+ 25%
Argentina
25 855
3.0%
20 416
2.3%
20 576
2.3%
15 760
2.0%
14 244
1.9%
- 1%
228
0.0%
15
0.0%
5 690
0.6%
9 997
1.2%
12 624
1.7%
+ 46%
Israel
9 079
1.1%
6 252
0.7%
5 470
0.6%
7 249
0.9%
6 431
0.8%
- 4%
Croatia
1 772
0.2%
1 884
0.2%
2 295
0.3%
2 650
0.3%
2 468
0.3%
+ 1%
USA
240
0.0%
393
0.0%
386
0.0%
439
0.1%
98
0.0%
- 78%
Uruguay
230
0.0%
109
0.0%
98
0.0%
2
0.0%
7
0.0%
+++
China
EXTRA EU 25/27858 010
% change
891 087
875 886
803 120
761 179
+ 4%
- 2%
- 8%
+ 3.1%
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
19 January 2012
14
Imports of selected Poultry products
100 000
90 000
80 000
60 000
50 000
40 000
in Tonnes cwe
70 000
30 000
20 000
10 000
0
|
Jan
06
2006
|
Jan
07
2007
FROZEN
|
Jan
08
2008
|
Jan
09
PREPARED
2009
|
Jan
10
SALTED
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
2010
|
Jan
11
2011
|
Jan
12
OTHERS
Man Com
19 January 2012
15
EU Poultrymeat Import
IMPORTS of Poultry Meat into EU
(1000 EUR)
IMPORTS of Poultry Meat into EU
(Tonnes cwe)
900 000
809 077
738 389
761 179
5 093
130 050
800 000
1 999 342
700 000
400 000
540 000
508 750
554 803
2 000 000
600 000
500 000
534 186
1 793 437
300 000
cw
143 320
1 728 063
Tonnes
137 960
608 934
2 500 000
200 000
621 979
1 500 000
1 000 000
1 056 152
1 053 210
1 153 039
1000
EUR
500 000
100 000
0
Jan-Nov 09
Jan-Nov 10
Jan-Nov 11
0
Jan-Nov 09
Jan-Nov 10
Jan-Nov 11
Brazil
Thailand
Israel
Brazil
Thailand
Israel
Chile
Argentina
Other destinations
Chile
Argentina
Other destinations
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
19 January 2012
16
Export of Poultrymeat to selected destinations
EXPORT
2007
tonnes
2008
%
tonnes
2009
%
tonnes
2010
%
tonnes
Jan-Nov 11
%
tonnes
Compared
% to Jan-Nov 10
Hong Kong
64 695
7.5%
58 669
6.0%
88 357
8.7%
151 529 12.0%
179 975 13.9%
+ 32%
Saudi Arabia
79 345
9.1%
95 132
9.7%
97 485
9.6%
118 010
9.3%
138 701 10.7%
+ 32%
Benin
64 408
7.4%
83 405
8.5%
84 885
8.4%
115 022
9.1%
114 256
8.8%
+ 7%
245 429 19.4%
Russia
244 384 28.2%
230 113 23.4%
104 951
8.1%
- 54%
89 314
8.8%
86 028
6.8%
72 998
5.6%
- 7%
3.2%
28 689
2.8%
41 094
3.3%
64 381
5.0%
+ 73%
26 673
2.7%
36 331
3.6%
39 628
3.1%
33 703
2.6%
- 5%
1.9%
39 488
4.0%
39 971
3.9%
31 661
2.5%
27 301
2.1%
- 8%
Congo (Dem. Rep.) 23 872
2.8%
21 386
2.2%
20 893
2.1%
27 748
2.2%
26 965
2.1%
+ 12%
Switzerland
27 490
3.2%
28 201
2.9%
28 111
2.8%
29 804
2.4%
26 425
2.0%
- 1%
U.A.Emirates
17 480
2.0%
25 858
2.6%
24 429
2.4%
20 231
1.6%
19 965
1.5%
+ 12%
Malaysia
26 300
3.0%
17 888
1.8%
22 676
2.2%
25 895
2.0%
17 967
1.4%
- 23%
Ukraine
28 412
3.3%
Ghana
29 324
3.4%
31 530
Yemen
26 795
3.1%
Vietnam
16 144
EXTRA EU 25/27
% change
867 213
112 443 11.4%
227 555 22.4%
982 285
1 015 639
1 264 120
1 293 466
+ 13%
+ 3%
+ 24%
+ 12.7%
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
19 January 2012
17
Exports of selected Poultry products
140 000
120 000
100 000
80 000
in
Tonnes
cwe
60 000
40 000
20 000
0
|
Jan
06
2006
|
Jan
07
2007
FROZEN
|
Jan
08
2008
|
Jan
09
2009
PREPARED
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
|
Jan
10
2010
|
Jan
11
FRESH
Man Com
2011
|
Jan
12
OTHERS
19 January 2012
18
EU Poultrymeat Export
EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat
(1000 EUR)
EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat
(Tonnes cwe)
1 293 466
88 644
106 930
78 181
104 895
200 464
228 569
Jan-Nov 09
Jan-Nov 10
114 256
72 998
138 701
104 951
1 111 162
600 000
400 000
cw
1 000 000
389 823
179 975
1 450 000
Tonnes
682 585
800 000
75 776
79 965
1 650 000
1 200 000
917 170
136 518
1 850 000
1 429 601
1 148 017
492 923
1 678 372
1 400 000
746 211
0
Jan-Nov 11
1 250 000
1 050 000
850 000
620 145
88 877
200 000
969 740
125
117
66
130
107
918
530
946
91 620
166 093
242 888
Jan-Nov 09
Jan-Nov 10
163 402
650 000
139 960
66 720
450 000
206 696
250 000
131 854
50 000
Jan-Nov 11
1000
EUR
-150 000
Russia
Saudi Arabia
Ukraine
Russia
Saudi Arabia
Ukraine
Benin
Hong Kong
Other destinations
Benin
Hong Kong
Other destinations
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
19 January 2012
19
EU Poultrymeat Trade Balance
1 600
IMPORTS
EXPORTS
1 400
1 275
1 116
1 153
1 200
1 114
1 063
1 017
1 046
997
997
982
858867
891
1 016
1 000
876
803
794
761
800
676
614
616
600
480
371
302
292
277
400
310
200
0
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
2005
2006
2007
Man Com
2008
2009
2010
JanNov
11
19 January 2012
20
in 1000 Tonnes cwe
1 101
1 264
1 293
400 000
Cumulated quantity of
weekly requests
for Export licenses
in the Poultrymeat sector
for Gatt year 2011 - 2012.
350 000
300 000
tonnes
250 000
200 000
150 000
100 000
Cumulated attributions
50 000
Average available
0
1
3
5
7
9
11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51
w eek
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
19 January 2012
21
€uro Exchange rate
1 E uro = . . . . . …US $ / B RZ Real/ 10 Rupee
7
5
India R
BRZ Real
USA $
3
1
I
2004
I
2005
I
2006
I
2007
I
2008
I
2009
I
2010
I
2011
source:http://europa.eu.int/comm/budget/inforeuro/fr/index.htm
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
19 January 2012
22
I
Weekly Poultry prices in
Brazil (IEA Sao Paolo), USA and EU
€uro/ 100kg
175
150
125
100
75
50
|
Year 2009
|
Year 2010
EU Vol
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
|
Year 2011
Frango
Man Com
|
Year 2012
|
US Vol
19 January 2012
23
Weekly evolution of the Community
price for Eggs for Consumption
Price Packers station
€uro/ 100kg
145
135
125
115
105
95
85
1
4
Avg 06 - 10
7
10
13
16
19
22
2009
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
25
28
31
2010
34
2011
Man Com
37
40
43
46
49
52
2012
19 January 2012
24
Percentual change of Egg prices
December 2011
70.0%
60.0%
50.0%
40.0%
30.0%
20.0%
10.0%
0.0%
- 1 year
- 1 month
-10.0%
BE BG CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR IE
IT CY LV LT HU MT NL ÖS PL PT RO SI
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
SK SF SV UK
EU
19 January 2012
25
Annual Minimum and Maximum price
for Table Eggs in the EU
200.00
Max
Min
Avg EU
€uro/ 100kg
160.00
120.00
80.00
40.00
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
2006
2007
Man Com
2008
2009
2010
19 January 2012
2011
26
Evolution of an EU-avg of Compoundfeed for Laying hens
(€uro/T)
and Egg price (€uro /100kg)
300
250
200
150
100
50
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Comp Feed for Laying Hen
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Egg Price
Man Com
19 January 2012
27
Margin betw een feedcost and Eggprice in
Egg production
marge
feed
140
egg
Avg Margin
Euro/ 100kg
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
0
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
ja fe mr ap ma jn
Man Com
jl au se oc no de
19 January 2012
28
Placings of Laying chicks (1 000 pieces)
compared to the monthly trend
(basis 2006 - 2009)
37 500
30 000
22 500
15 000
7 500
0
|
2006
|
2007
|
2008
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
|
2009
|
Man Com
2010
|
2011
19 January 2012
|
29
EU Imports of Eggs:
Trade Figures (Comext – tonnes egg equiv.)
2007
tonnes
Argentina
2008
%
tonnes
2009
%
tonnes
2010
%
tonnes
Compared
% to Jan-Nov 10
Jan-Nov 11
%
tonnes
8 318 18.6%
6 164 27.0%
7 899 26.0%
7 888 25.2%
7 276 41.2%
- 6%
USA
17 040 38.1%
4 245 18.6%
11 165 36.7%
13 439 42.9%
5 205 29.5%
- 62%
India
12 012 26.9%
6 593 28.9%
5 776 19.0%
3 211 10.2%
1 452
8.2%
- 52%
3 208 10.2%
1 123
6.4%
- 64%
Albania
2 077
4.6%
2 209
9.7%
1 659
5.5%
Israel
911
2.0%
646
2.8%
711
2.3%
941
3.0%
547
3.1%
- 39%
Mexico
1 762
3.9%
2 002
8.8%
1 893
6.2%
1 425
4.5%
318
1.8%
- 75%
Canada
786
1.8%
1
0.0%
33
0.1%
2
0.0%
0
0.0%
Brazil
30
0.1%
64
0.3%
67
0.2%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
EXTRA EU 25/27
% change
44 732
22 850
30 409
31 356
17 661
- 49%
+ 33%
+ 3%
- 44.5%
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
19 January 2012
30
EU Egg Imports
EU IMPORTS of EGGS (Tonnes eggs equiv)
EU IMPORTS of EGGS (1000 EUR)
35 000
31 820
29 107
30 000
4 402
26 352
30 000
27 656
25 000
3 179
4 433
25 000
20 440
3 255
3 016
5 549
17 661
20 000
2 419
5 373
1 548
6 040
7 718
2 605
7 337
15 000
15 000
1 452
7 276
20 000
6 439
5 406
10 000
10 000
13 351
13 585
10 228
5 000
10 301
10 033
5 000
5 205
0
Jan-Nov 09
USA
India
Albania
Jan-Nov 10
Jan-Nov 11
Argentina
Canada
Other destinations
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
0
Jan-Nov 09
USA
India
Albania
Man Com
Jan-Nov 10
Jan-Nov 11
Argentina
Canada
Other destinations
19 January 2012
31
EU-27 Imports of selected EGGS products
8 000
7 000
in Tonnes egg
equiv.
6 000
5 000
4 000
3 000
2 000
1 000
0
|
Jan
06
|
Jan
07
2006
FRESH
2007
|
Jan
08
Albumin
2008
|
Jan
09
2009
|
Jan
10
Not In Shell
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
2010
Yolk
Man Com
|
Jan
11
2011
|
Jan
12
Haching
19 January 2012
32
EU Exports of Eggs:
Trade Figures (Comext – tonnes egg equiv.)
2007
tonnes
2008
%
tonnes
2009
%
tonnes
2010
%
tonnes
Jan-Nov 11
%
tonnes
Compared
% to Jan-Nov 10
Japan
51 045
31%
62 254
33%
47 238
31%
52 923
29%
61 229
30%
+ 28%
Switzerland
41 578
25%
44 229
24%
43 499
29%
45 107
25%
38 747
19%
- 6%
Angola
3 185
2%
4 049
2%
4 019
3%
10 227
6%
17 089
8%
+ 86%
U.A.Emirates
4 812
3%
9 436
5%
2 664
2%
5 864
3%
8 128
4%
+ 56%
Taiwan
4 607
3%
4 624
2%
2 868
2%
7 145
4%
7 192
4%
+ 9%
Thailand
8 274
5%
6 190
3%
4 068
3%
6 180
3%
6 719
3%
+ 19%
Russia
7 076
4%
7 113
4%
4 360
3%
5 293
3%
4 605
2%
+ 1%
Ukraine
8 562
5%
7 250
4%
4 304
3%
5 693
3%
4 286
2%
- 16%
South Korea
2 828
2%
1 859
1%
1 948
1%
2 495
1%
4 050
2%
+ 70%
Israel
4 639
3%
6 002
3%
3 398
2%
1 308
1%
2 465
1%
+ 128%
Norway
2 958
2%
1 805
1%
963
1%
570
0%
1 211
1%
+ 141%
25
0%
0
0%
40
0%
201
0%
226
0%
+ 13%
Libya
EXTRA EU 25/27
% change
166 841
187 209
150 173
181 682
202 354
+ 12%
- 20%
+ 21%
+ 23.3%
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
19 January 2012
33
EU Egg Exports
EU EXPORTS of EGGS
EU EXPORTS of EGGS (Tonnes eggs
equiv)
(1000 EUR)
250 000
250 000
192 199
202 354
200 000
163 753
164 115
147 838
83 865
85 358
137 692
150 000
47 028
60 278
100 000
100 000
38 747
41 180
58 110
58 832
51 825
50 000
50 000
43 482
61 229
47 816
32 977
33 501
41 136
Jan-Nov 09
Jan-Nov 10
Jan-Nov 11
Japan
Switzerland
Russia
Ukraine
U.A.Emirates
Other destinations
0
Jan-Nov 09
Jan-Nov 10
Jan-Nov 11
Japan
Switzerland
Russia
Ukraine
U.A.Emirates
Other destinations
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
150 000
58 118
44 399
39 686
200 000
0
Man Com
19 January 2012
34
EU-27 Exports of selected EGGS products
30 000
in
Tonnes egg
equiv.
25 000
20 000
15 000
10 000
5 000
0
|
Jan
06
2006
|
Jan
07
2007
FRESH
|
Jan
08
2008
Albumin
|
Jan
09
2009
|
Jan
10
Not In Shell
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
2010
Yolk
Man Com
|
Jan
11
2011
|
Jan
12
Haching
19 January 2012
35
EU Egg Trade Balance
275
in 1000 Tonnes
IMPORTS
EXPORTS
250
231
225
209
201
205
198
191
186
198
202
202
200
187
182
167
164
175
150
144
142
150
125
100
69
75
39
18
23
30
27
18
17
1998
1999
10
25
45
50
30
30
31
23
18
16
25
0
1995
1996
1997
2000
2001
2002
2003
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
2004
2005
2006
Man Com
2007
2008
2009
2010
JanNov
11
19 January 2012
36
100000
Cumulated quantity of
weekly requests
for Export licenses
in the Egg sector
for Gatt year 2011 - 2012.
tonnes
80000
60000
Average available
Cumulated attributions
40000
20000
0
1
3
5
7
9
11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53
w eek
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
19 January 2012
37
Weekly Egg prices in
Brazil (IEA Sao Paolo), USA and EU
€uro/ 100kg
140
115
90
65
40
|
Year 2009
|
EU Egg
Year 2010
|
Year 2011
Ovo tipo grande branco
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
|
Year 2012
|
US Egg
19 January 2012
38