Transcript Folie 1

EU Market Situation for
Eggs and Poultry
Management Committee
21 June 2012
Evolution of the weekly EU
average price for Broiler
€uro/ 100kg
190
180
170
160
150
1
4
Avg 07 - 11
7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 4 43 46 49 52
2009
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
2010
Man Com
2011
16 May 2012
2012
2
Percentual change of Broiler prices
May 2012
20.0%
- 1 year
- 1 month
15.0%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
-5.0%
-10.0%
BE BG
CZ
DK DE
EE
EL
ES
FR
IE
IT
CY
LV
LT
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
HU MT
NL
ÖS
PL
Man Com
PT
RO
SI
SK
SF
SV
UK
16 May 2012
EU
3
Price of Basic Ingredients 2009 - 2012
400
350
Euro / tonne
300
Soft wheat (EU)
Barley (EU)
Maïs (EU)
250
Soja (CAF)
Hulls (EU)
200
Manioc (CAF)
C.G.F. (CAF)
150
100
50
Jan 09
April
Juil
Oct
Jan 10
April
Juil
Oct
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
janv-11
April
Man Com
Juil
Oct
janv-12
16 May 2012
April
Juil
4
Price development of Compound feed for Broilers,
a Broiler Cereal-Feedmix and Broiler price
margin broiler/ comp feed (2.7)
Cereal-mix
Compound feed
Broiler
Avg. Margin 2007 - 2011
350
Euro/ 100kg (Broiler)
Euro/ T (feed)
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
|
2006
|
2007
|
2008
|
2009
|
2010
|
2011
|
2012
|
NB. Comp. Feed 2012 =Forecast as from March
Cereal mix and Poultry 2012 = Forecast as from May
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
16 May 2012
8
Placings of Broiler chicks (1 000 pieces)
compared to the baseline trend
(baseline = monthly avg 2006 - 2009)
500 000
400 000
300 000
200 000
100 000
0
|
2006
|
2007
|
2008
|
2009
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
|
2010
Man Com
|
2011
|
2012
16 May 2012
|
9
Forecast and Production of Broilers.
In Tonn
750
600 000
600
450 000
450
300 000
300
150 000
150
0
Realised slaughter
in 1000 T
750 000
0
|
2006
|
2007
|
2008
|
2009
Forecast
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
|
2010
|
2011
|
2012
|
Realised
Man Com
16 May 2012
10
Import of Poultry meat from selected origins
IMPORT
tonnes
%
tonnes
%
tonnes
Jan-Apr 12
2011
2010
2009
2008
%
tonnes
%
tonnes
Compared
% to Jan-Apr 11
Brazil
679 469 76.3% 659 368 75.3% 581 391 72.4% 587 404 71.0% 177 504 69.2%
- 3%
Thailand
146 882 16.5% 141 524 16.2% 149 682 18.6% 154 229 18.6%
52 623 20.5%
- 6%
Chile
34 718
3.9%
39 022
4.5%
34 276
4.3%
44 306
5.4%
14 035
5.5%
+ 4%
China
15
0.0%
5 690
0.6%
9 997
1.2%
13 735
1.7%
4 255
1.7%
- 8%
20 416
2.3%
20 576
2.3%
15 760
2.0%
15 630
1.9%
4 195
1.6%
+ 14%
Israel
6 252
0.7%
5 470
0.6%
7 249
0.9%
7 084
0.9%
1 666
0.6%
+ 10%
Croatia
1 884
0.2%
2 295
0.3%
2 650
0.3%
2 714
0.3%
879
0.3%
+ 9%
USA
393
0.0%
386
0.0%
439
0.1%
99
0.0%
82
0.0%
+++
Uruguay
109
0.0%
98
0.0%
2
0.0%
7
0.0%
1
0.0%
#DIV/0!
Argentina
EXTRA EU 25/27891 087
% change
875 886
803 120
827 420
256 664
- 2%
- 8%
+ 3%
- 2.5%
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
16 May 2012
11
Imports of selected Poultry products
100 000
90 000
80 000
60 000
50 000
40 000
in Tonnes cwe
70 000
30 000
20 000
10 000
0
|
Jan
06
2006
|
Jan
07
2007
|
Jan
08
FROZEN
2008
|
Jan
09
2009
PREPARED
|
Jan
10
2010
SALTED
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
|
Jan
11
2011
|
Jan
12
OTHERS
Man Com
16 May 2012
12
EU Poultry meat Import
IMPORTS of Poultry Meat into EU
(1000 EUR)
IMPORTS of Poultry Meat into EU
(Tonnes cwe)
300 000
251 447
263 231
687 837
256 664
591 807
1 557
600 000
52 623
200 000
235 338
cw
55 809
182 593
177 504
100 000
235 047
500 000
180 448
400 000
Tonnes
150 000
180 145
800 000
700 000
250 000
48 689
701 794
354 961
50 000
381 470
386 405
300 000 1000
EUR
200 000
100 000
0
Jan-Apr 10
Brazil
Thailand
Jan-Apr 11
Israel
Chile
0
Jan-Apr 12
China
Other destinations
Jan-Apr 10
Brazil
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Thailand
Jan-Apr 11
Israel
Man Com
Chile
Jan-Apr 12
China
Other destinations
16 May 2012
13
Export of Poultry Meat to Selected Destinations
2008
tonnes
2009
%
tonnes
2010
%
tonnes
2011
%
tonnes
Jan-Apr 12
%
tonnes
Compared
% to Jan-Apr 11
Hong Kong
58 669
6.0%
88 357
8.7%
151 529 12.0%
188 366 13.4%
57 891 12.2%
Saudi Arabia
95 132
9.7%
97 485
9.6%
118 010
9.3%
151 247 10.7%
46 258
9.8%
- 5%
Benin
83 405
8.5%
84 885
8.4%
115 022
9.1%
126 006
8.9%
38 260
8.1%
+ 8%
245 429 19.4%
115 025
8.2%
34 702
7.3%
+ 6%
Russia
230 113 23.4%
Ukraine
112 443 11.4%
227 555 22.4%
- 14%
89 314
8.8%
86 028
6.8%
81 735
5.8%
28 860
6.1%
+ 29%
Ghana
31 530
3.2%
28 689
2.8%
41 094
3.3%
68 953
4.9%
22 866
4.8%
+ 20%
Yemen
26 673
2.7%
36 331
3.6%
39 628
3.1%
37 970
2.7%
14 899
3.2%
+ 15%
Vietnam
39 488
4.0%
39 971
3.9%
31 661
2.5%
29 086
2.1%
10 483
2.2%
- 4%
Congo (Dem. Rep.) 21 386
2.2%
20 893
2.1%
27 748
2.2%
29 960
2.1%
9 799
2.1%
- 0%
Switzerland
28 201
2.9%
28 111
2.8%
29 804
2.4%
29 270
2.1%
9 380
2.0%
- 3%
Malaysia
17 888
1.8%
22 676
2.2%
25 895
2.0%
20 965
1.5%
9 162
1.9%
+ 39%
U.A.Emirates
25 858
2.6%
24 429
2.4%
20 231
1.6%
21 122
1.5%
7 943
1.7%
- 29%
EXTRA EU 25/27
% change
982 285
1 015 639
1 264 120
1 410 658
472 703
+ 3%
+ 24%
+ 12%
+ 8.2%
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
16 May 2012
14
Exports of selected Poultry products
140 000
120 000
100 000
80 000
in
Tonnes
cwe
60 000
40 000
20 000
0
|
Jan
06
2006
|
Jan
07
2007
|
Jan
08
FROZEN
2008
|
Jan
09
2009
PREPARED
|
Jan
10
2010
|
Jan
11
FRESH
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
2011
|
Jan
12
OTHERS
Man Com
16 May 2012
15
EU Poultry meat Export
EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat
(1000 EUR)
EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat
(Tonnes cwe)
472 703
436 816
500 000
637 284
450 000
559 896
700 000
600 000
400 000
32 631
35 286
46 163
31 230
48 578
34 702
38 260
46 258
46 424
67 075
39 214
Jan-Apr 10
Jan-Apr 11
57 891
250 000
150 000
357 309
400 000
333 807
300 000
257 819
53 177
39 308
41 393
100 000
52 548
200 000
61 380
50 000
34 013
74 799
0
37 676
54 544
61 398
Jan-Apr 10
Jan-Apr 11
Jan-Apr 12
Jan-Apr 12
EUR
300 000
200 000
500 000
421 015
1000
181 065
350 000
cw
249 168
235 726
Tonnes
335 472
51 472
100 000
0
Hong Kong
South Africa
Saudi Arabia
Hong Kong
South Africa
Saudi Arabia
Benin
Russia
Other destinations
Benin
Russia
Other destinations
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
16 May 2012
16
EU Poultry meat Trade Balance
1 600
IMPORTS
EXPORTS1
411
1 400
1 275
1 116
1 153
1 200
1 114
1 063
1 017
1 046
997
997
982
858867
891
1 016
1 000
876
803
794
827
800
676
614
616
600
480
473
371
302
277
292
400
310
257
200
0
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
2006
2007
2008
Man Com
2009
2010
2011
JanApr
12
16 May 2012
17
in 1000 Tonnes cwe
1 101
1 264
€uro Exchange rate
1 E uro = . . . . . …US $ / B RZ Real/ 10 Rupee
7
5
India R
BRZ Real
USA $
3
1
I
2004
I
2005
I
2006
I
2007
I
2008
I
2009
I
2010
I
2011
I
2012
source:http://europa.eu.int/comm/budget/inforeuro/fr/index.htm
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
16 May 2012
19
I
Broiler prices The EU, USA and Brazil
in €uro/ 100kg
175,00
150,00
125,00
100,00
75,00
50,00
08
|
EU broiler
09
|
10
US broiler €uro
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
|
11
|
12
|
BR Broil €uro/ (Ave w orld)
Man Com
16 May 2012
20
2001
2002
2003
2004
EU Market Situation for Eggs
2005
2006
Management Committee
2009
2010
2007
2008
21 June 2012
2011
2012
Evolution of the w e e kly EU
ave rage price for Eggs for Consumption
Price Packers station
€uro/ 100kg
185
165
145
125
105
85
1
4
Avg 07 - 11
7
10
13
16
19
22
2009
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
25
28
31
2010
Man Com
34
37
40
43
46
2011
16 May 2012
49
52
2012
22
Percentual change of Egg prices
May 2012
90.0%
80.0%
70.0%
- 1 year
- 1 month
60.0%
50.0%
40.0%
30.0%
20.0%
10.0%
0.0%
-10.0%
-20.0%
-30.0%
BE BG CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR IE
IT
CY LV LT HU MT NL ÖS PL PT RO SI
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
SK SF
SV UK
16 May 2012
EU
23
Prices for Eggs for consumption and Eggs for breaking
2011 - 2012
200
€uro/ 100kg
160
120
80
40
0
1
4
7
10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52
3
6
9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51
83% increase for Eggs for Breaking from week 1 2011 to week 23 2012
40,6% increase for Eggs for Consumption from week 1 2011 to week 23 2012
EU Low
difference
Eggs for Consumption
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
US High breaking
16 May 2012
24
Margin betw een Feed cost and Egg price in
Egg production
marge
feed
180
egg
Avg Margin
Euro/ 100kg
150
120
90
60
30
0
0 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
ja fe mr ap m jn
Man Com
jl au se oc no de
16 May 2012
25
Placings of Laying chicks (1 000 pieces)
compared to the baseline trend
(baseline= monthly avg 2006 - 2009)
37 500
30 000
22 500
15 000
7 500
0
|
2006
|
2007
|
2008
|
2009
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
|
2010
|
Man Com
2011
|
2012
16 May 2012
|
26
Production forecast of
eggs in shell (Mio p).
compared to the price development
8 500
160
Price €uro/100kg
120
7 000
80
5 500
40
4 000
0
|
2006
|
2007
|
2008
|
2009
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
|
2010
|
Man Com
2011
|
2012
16 May 2012
|
27
EU Imports of Eggs:
Trade Figures (Comext – tonnes egg equiv.)
2008
tonnes
2009
%
tonnes
2010
%
tonnes
2011
%
tonnes
Jan-Apr 12
%
tonnes
%
Compared
to Jan-Apr 11
Argentina
6 164 27.0%
7 899 26.0%
7 888 25.2%
7 898 41.5%
4 964 39.1%
+ 165%
USA
4 245 18.6%
11 165 36.7%
13 439 42.9%
5 417 28.4%
4 212 33.2%
+ 71%
Mexico
2 002
8.8%
1 893
6.2%
1 425
4.5%
556
2.9%
1 016
8.0%
+++
Albania
2 209
9.7%
1 659
5.5%
3 208 10.2%
1 303
6.8%
524
4.1%
+ 149%
India
6 593 28.9%
5 776 19.0%
3 211 10.2%
1 505
7.9%
463
3.6%
+ 28%
+ 63%
Israel
646
2.8%
711
2.3%
941
3.0%
547
2.9%
422
3.3%
Canada
1
0.0%
33
0.1%
2
0.0%
0
0.0%
277
2.2%
Brazil
64
0.3%
67
0.2%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
EXTRA EU 25/27
% change
22 850
30 409
31 356
19 045
12 692
+ 33%
+ 3%
- 39%
+ 117.3%
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
16 May 2012
28
EU Egg Imports
Total EU Import of Eggs (Tonnes eggs
equiv) incl. Hatch. Eggs.
18 000
Total EU Import of Eggs (1000 EUR) incl.
Hatch. Eggs.
30 000
15 665
2 079
12 692
2 253
24 812
14 000
2 398
12 000
10 000
3 428
8 000
5 842
4 964
939
8 204
16 000
20 000
13 271
3 817
6 000
10 000
7 471
13 827
4 000
1 513
4 212
2 458
2 000
5 000
7 365
4 404
0
Jan-Apr 10
USA
India
Albania
Jan-Apr 11
Jan-Apr 12
Argentina
Canada
Other destinations
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
15 000
1 403
2 687
1 872
25 000
0
Jan-Apr 10
Jan-Apr 11
USA
India
Albania
Man Com
Jan-Apr 12
Argentina
Canada
Other destinations
16 May 2012
29
EU-27 Imports of selected EGGS products
8 000
in Tonnes egg
equiv.
7 000
6 000
5 000
4 000
3 000
2 000
1 000
0
|
Jan
06
2006
|
Jan
07
FRESH
2007
|
Jan
08
2008
Albumin
|
Jan
09
2009
|
Jan
10
2010
Not In Shell
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
|
Jan
11
2011
Yolk
Man Com
|
Jan
12
Haching
16 May 2012
30
EU Exports of Eggs:
Trade Figures (Comext – tonnes egg equiv.)
2008
tonnes
2009
%
tonnes
2010
%
tonnes
2011
%
tonnes
Compared
Jan-Apr 12
%
tonnes
%
to Jan-Apr 11
Japan
62 254
33%
47 238
31%
52 923
29%
65 982
30%
20 023
26%
- 2%
Sw itzerland
44 229
24%
43 499
29%
45 107
25%
42 152
19%
15 296
20%
+ 2%
Russia
7 113
4%
4 360
3%
5 293
3%
4 947
2%
9 616
13%
+++
Angola
4 049
2%
4 019
3%
10 227
6%
17 498
8%
4 515
6%
- 0%
Libya
0
0%
40
0%
201
0%
226
0%
3 069
4%
#DIV/0!
Thailand
6 190
3%
4 068
3%
6 180
3%
7 254
3%
1 967
3%
+ 7%
Ukraine
7 250
4%
4 304
3%
5 693
3%
4 422
2%
1 709
2%
+ 38%
Taiw an
4 624
2%
2 868
2%
7 145
4%
7 941
4%
1 215
2%
- 36%
South Korea
1 859
1%
1 948
1%
2 495
1%
4 379
2%
1 156
2%
+ 8%
U.A.Emirates
9 436
5%
2 664
2%
5 864
3%
8 262
4%
814
1%
- 74%
Norw ay
1 805
1%
963
1%
570
0%
1 300
1%
745
1%
+++
Israel
6 002
3%
3 398
2%
1 308
1%
2 729
1%
317
0%
- 75%
EXTRA EU 25/27
% change
187 209
150 173
181 682
216 447
76 150
- 20%
+ 21%
+ 19%
+ 13.3%
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
16 May 2012
31
EU Egg Exports
Total EU Export of Eggs (1000 EUR) incl.
Hatch. Eggs
Total EU Export of Eggs (T. eggs equiv.) Incl.
Hatch. Eggs
76 150
160 000
80 000
67 238
135 663
70 000
140 000
60 000
120 000
23 717
52 393
26 021
46 571
50 000
12 345
9 616
15 296
15 024
16 425
20 409
15 299
Sw itzerland
Russia
40 000
Angola
Iraq
80 000
63 886
50 555
30 000
30 860
24 960
20 000
13 570
10 000
23 854
19 888
23 523
0
10 943
13 607
15 124
Jan-Apr 10
Jan-Apr 11
Jan-Apr 12
Jan-Apr 12
Jan-Apr 11
Jan-Apr 10
Japan
20 023
100 000
Other destinations
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Japan
Sw itzerland
Man Com
60 000
40 000
Russia
20 000
0
Angola
Iraq
16 May 2012
Other destinations
32
EU-27 Exports of selected EGGS products
(including Hatching eggs)
30 000
in
Tonnes egg
equiv.
25 000
20 000
15 000
10 000
5 000
0
|
Jan
06
2006
|
Jan
07
2007
FRESH
|
Jan
08
2008
Albumin
|
Jan
09
2009
|
Jan
10
2010
Not In Shell
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
|
Jan
11
2011
Yolk
Man Com
|
Jan
12
Haching
16 May 2012
33
EU Egg Trade Balance
275
in 1000 Tonnes
IMPORTS
EXPORTS
250
231
216
209
201
205
198
191
186
198
225
202
200
187
182
167
164
175
150
144
142
150
125
100
76
69
75
39
18
23
30
27
18
17
1998
1999
10
25
45
50
31
30
30
23
19
16
13
25
0
1995
1996
1997
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
2005
2006
2007
Man Com
2008
2009
2010
2011
16 May 2012
JanApr
12
34
Egg prices The EU, USAand Brazil
in €uro/ 100kg
175.00
150.00
125.00
100.00
75.00
50.00
08
|
09
|
EU egg
10
|
11
US egg €uro
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
|
12
|
BR Egg €uro (Ave World)
16 May 2012
36