WCRP to IGFA

Download Report

Transcript WCRP to IGFA

WCRP update

WDAC3 Galway, Ireland, 6-7 May 2014

M. Rixen, WCRP JPS

Mission & Objectives

World Climate Research Programme

supports

climate-related decision making

and

adaptation planning

by coordinating research required to improve (1) climate predictions and (2) understanding of human influence on climate

“for use in an increasing range of practical applications of direct relevance, benefit and value to society”

(WCRP Strategic Framework 2005-2015).

Global Framework for Climate Services (GFCS) WCRP

ICSU’s Future Earth conceptual framework

Proposed Research Strategy: At the simplest level, Future Earth must answer fundamental questions about how and why the global environment is

changing, what are likely future changes, what the implications are for humans and other species, and what choices can be made to reduce harmful risks and vulnerabilities, enhance resilience, and create prosperous futures.

1 st Call for proposal: Fast Track Initiatives and Cluster Activities, deadline

was 4 April 2014 – needed some GEC core project umbrella Other calls coming soon, eligibility will be less stringent

Importance of fluxes for GCs: examples

• Regional climate information: BC between global and regional models, conservation of properties • Sea level rise: hiatus, ice sheet-ocean fluxes • Cryosphere in a changing climate: all land, ocean, atmosphere interfaces poorly understood • Changes in water availability: land use change and impact on water storage, run-off, etc • Clouds, circulation and climate sensitivity: parameterization, radiative and turbulent fluxes, model development • Climate extremes: role of ocean-atmosphere exchanges in enhancing/damping hurricanes and tropical cyclones

CMIP new structure

Earth System Grid Federation

JSC34-WMAC2: Earth System Grid Federation to become WCRP main mechanism for exchanging data (climate simulations+observations+reanalyses) in the next decade, including core projects New ‘early’ adopters: CORDEX, CHFP/WGSIP WGCM: a new Infrastructure Panel to maintain standards and metadata across MIPS

Intercomparison Models-Observations

Coordinated with CMIP5 are parallel efforts to collect and make available observationally-based products

Obs4MIPs A pilot effort to improve the connection between data experts and scientists involved in climate model evaluation. Aligned with CMIP5, with encouragement from the WGCM, WGNE, WDAC.

NASA and the U.S. DOE have initiated the project with significant contributions of appropriate NASA products.

This is expanding to other products from other agencies.

Communities to contribute data to Obs4MIPs such as cryosphere, biogeochemistry, etc.

obs4MIPs-CMIP workshop: 29 Apr – 1 May, NASA HQ

Cordex project office

• Offers being received • Review during CORDEX-SAT1 • Final decision in consultation with WGRC co-chairs

WCRP-IPCC workshop IPCC AR5: lessons learnt for climate change research and WCRP

• 8-10 September, ISSI, Bern • Identify key uncertainties, research and data gaps • Survey leading into workshop • Tentative attendees list: –

IPCC: WGI co-Chairs and TSU Head, CLAs, WGII co-Chairs and CLAs as appropriate, SREX representative(s), expected participation 25-30.

WCRP: Director, JSC members as appropriate, representatives of Core Projects, Councils, Grand Challenges and modeling groups, additional nominated experts as appropriate, JPS as appropriate, total approx. 40, assuming that 25-30 will participate.

Representatives of sponsor institutions and partner programmes including GCOS.

Miscellaneous

• Dense agenda, some remote briefs, time for discusssions • Presentations will be published on the Council web pages – unless we are told otherwise • Report: JPS takes notes on discussions, we need summaries of your brief(s) • WDAC chair to report at JSC35 on 2 July, Heidelberg, Germany

Thank you for your attention!

Merci Brian & NUI!