Transcript Lysbilde 1

The new ECOOP suggestion from Norway
(Met.no, NERSC, IMR)
Why new? Because:
• Too little focus on clear objectives and specific
products
• Products and services instead of disciplines
• Much too big
• Needs stronger links to the call text
The overall aim
• Develop, validate and demonstrate a European
coastal and shelf seas operational monitoring
and forecasting system targeted at detecting
environmental and climate changes, predicting
their evolution, producing forecasts and
facilitate decision support needs.
Specific goals
• Assess the present operational coastal monitoring and
forecasting system in Europe and identify gaps and
limitations.
• Integrate and implement a pan-European Marine
Information System of Systems (EuroMISS) for
coastal and regional seas based on existing relevant
systems.
• Advance downscaling approaches and improve
region-specific monitoring and forecasting products,
including necessary supporting information.
Goals cont.
• Exploite the EuroMISS technology and create a longterm sustainable and integrated generic European
Decision Support System for coastal and regional
seas (EuroDeSS) that respond to the end-user needs
as emphasized in the GMES and GEOSS initiatives.
• Carry out technology transfer both in Europe and at
intercontinental level, establish education and training
capacities to meet the need for ocean forecasters, and
search for socio-economic benefits
M
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EuroDeSS
EuroMISS
• Operational
observ.
• Operational
models
• Offline
products
WMS/
DAP
LocSys2
WMS/
DAP
LocSys3
WMS/
DAP
RegSys1
LocSysX
LocSysY
LocSysZ
LocSysN
WMS/
DAP
EuroMISS Portal
All LocSys
contains:
LocSys1
Regional
and
local
users
Scientific
Regional
Decision
Support
System
Management
Public
ECOOP
LocSysN
EuroDeSS
EuroMISS
RegSysN
Candidate services and products arranged
according to different temporal scales are:
Forecast (up to 10 days):
• Search and rescue
• Oil spill fate
• Potentially harmful algal blooms
• Transport and dispersion of particles and distribution
of water masses (e.g., fish eggs and larvae,
contaminants, suspended matter, fresh water)
• Coastal “weather” (e.g., currents, turbulence,
temperature, salinity, waves, water level, sea ice,
light, wind, surface air temperature)
PRODUCTS
• Defınıtıon:
– (ocean state characterıstıcs)
– output from ECOOP system
– (Informatıon: meanıngful way to present the products)
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Currents, temperature, salınıty
waves,
sea level,
sea ıce
Bıogeochemıcal state varıables (chlorophyll, phytoplankton, oxygen,
nutrıents, zooplankton, zoobenthos, ..)
Sedıment fluxes
Rıver ınputs (runoff, nutrıents and organıc materıals
Bloom type and probabılıty
Transport and dispersion of particles/tracers
SERVICES
• Defınıtıon
– Delıverıng of relevant products ın the needed tıme, qualıty and format
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Search and rescue
Oıl spıll
Oxygen depletıon
HABs
Ice
Clımate change detectıon and assessment
Waves and storm surge
Exchanges between North Sea and Baltıc, Med and Black Sea
WFD ımplementatıon scenarıos
Aquaculture
fısherıes
Products cont.
Monthly to seasonal and annual hindcast to now:
• Primary production (e.g., onset/ magnitude/
distribution of diatoms and flagellates)
• Eutrophication (e.g., nutrients, oxygen)
• Transboundary transports of nutrients and suspended
matter
• Pathways and dilution of potential polluted
freshwater
• Coastal “weather” (e.g., currents, turbulence,
temperature, salinity, waves, water level, sea ice,
light, wind, surface air temperature)
Products cont.
Multiyear and multidecadal observations, hindcast and
scenario simulations:
• Produce and update long time-series of the regional
ocean climate and ecosystem variability (lower
trophic levels, with focus on the needs from fisheries)
• Demonstrate the potential status of regional to coastal
climate and ecosystem state and variability under
predicted future climate scenarios
• Quantify coastal environmental effects of
management scenarios (related to primary production,
eutrophication and transboundary transports of
nutrients, focused on the challenges set by
OSPARCOM etc.)
All products and services should be subject to validation and uncertainty estimation.
Organization of work
related to products and services
• Module 1. EuroMISS implementation and
assessment
• Module 2. Product and service
development/improvement (targeted areas)
• Module 3. EuroDeSS implementation and assessment
(targeted areas)
• Module 4. Technology transfer, Education and
training, Socio-economic benefits
Mod.1. EuroMISS implementation and assessm.
The intention is that the development of EuroMISS will
include the technical aspects of data/information
management and exchange, including the necessary links
to existing systems.
• 1.1. Harmonisation and integration of existing information
networks (remote sensing, in situ and models) (This instead of
old WP 1, 2, 3 and 5)
• 1.2. EuroMISS technical design, development and
implementation (based on existing systems) (old WP4 and
products of WP12)
• 1.3. Quality assessment of EuroMISS capacity (user
consultation) (old WP13)
• 1.4. Identification and development of new community
baseline products and services in EuroMISS (user
consultation) (old WP 1,2,3,5)
• 1.5. Use EuroMISS to produce a common and consistent data
base for pan-European application.
Module 2. Product and service
development/improvement (targeted areas)
• 2.1.Model development (fine scale, ecosystem,
parts of old WP6, 9 and 10)
• 2.2. Coastal observing systems (old WP7)
• 2.3. Coastal data assimilation (parts of WP6)
• 2.4. Uncertainty estimation (inter-comparison,
ensemble, validation, old WP8 and WP11)
2.5. Hindcast and scenario studies on coastalshelf climate and ecosystem variability and
change (old WP 12)
Module 3. EuroDeSS
implementation and assessment
• 3.1. Design and implement EuroDeSS,
including the environmental assessment
and advice functioning and decision support
(including objectives from old WP6 etc.)
• 3.2. Demonstration and quality assessment of
EuroDeSS capacity (user consultation) (old
WP13)
Module 4. Technology transfer, education
and training, socio-economic benefits
• 4.1. Transfer of selected products and
methodology to a pan-European EuroMISS
level
• 4.2. Transfer of target area system (EuroDeSS)
to new area
• 4.3. Education and training, Socioeconomic
benefit
It will be necessary to establish an enduser advisory group