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Sustainable Energy Futures Sanjoy Banerjee Distinguished Professor of Chemical Engineering Director, the CUNY Energy Institute The City College of New York [email protected] CUNY Energy Institute City College of New York 160 Convent Avenue, ST-329 New York, NY 10031 www.cuny.edu/energy US Bulk Energy Flows: 80% Energy Fossil Fuel © 2011 All Rights Reserved US Bulk Carbon Flow: Fossil Fuels Generate Almost 100% Energy-Related Emissions © 2011 All Rights Reserved Global Need for Affordable Energy: Growth in Demand Concentrated in Non-OECD Countries © 2011 All Rights Reserved SUSTAINABLE ENERGY FUTURES GENERATION: WIND SOLAR NUCLEAR NATURAL GAS ENERGY STORAGE: BATTERY HYDRO ELECTRIC GRID: POWER LINES APPLICATIONS: ELECTRIC CAR APPLIANCES INDUSTRY A Potential Energy Strategy (With a Reduced Carbon Footprint) • Production side: new electricity generation capacity with ‘clean’ coal, nuclear and renewable sources (intermittent!) • Demand side: more efficient energy and capacity use via storage technologies for load leveling/peak shaving and to enable use of renewable sources Energy Cost Estimates Global GDP: $63,000,000,000,000 Energy Consumption: 517,000,000 TJ Maximum $/E: $120/TJ = $0.44/kWh Energy Costs at 10% of GDP (Usually Ideal) US: $.043/kWh Germany: $.068/kWh India/China: $.018/kWh These figures represent an desirable bound on the acceptable cost of energy generation. Renewable energy may be somewhat more expensive in special circumstances. © 2011 All Rights Reserved EIA Estimates of Levelized Energy Costs by Resource Type for New Generation in 2016: Coal: $98.4/MWh Natural Gas: $66.1/MWh Advanced Nuclear: $103.5/MWh Wind: $97.0/MWh Offshore Wind: $243/MWh Solar PV: $210.7/MWh Solar Thermal: $311.8/MWh Note: Assumes high capacity factor for wind (34%) and solar (18-25%) resources © 2011 All Rights Reserved Static US Transmission System Serves Existing Power Plants, Most Built Up in the Northeast, Midwest © 2011 All Rights Reserved Diffuse Renewables Do Not Coincide with Existing Grid: Solar Resources in South, West © 2011 All Rights Reserved Diffuse Renewables Do Not Coincide with Existing Grid: Wind Resources Best on Coasts, in North, West © 2011 All Rights Reserved Carbon Sequestration: Deep Saline Aquifers, Oil and Gas Fields, and Coal Beds for Geological Storage of CO2 James R. Katzer, “The Future of Coal-Based Power Generation” Chem. Eng. Progress, 104 (3), pp. S15-S22 (Mar. 2008). Copyright AIChE. Used with permission. Battery review: what is a rechargeable battery ? Electricity Storage Technologies Demand Side Energy Storage & Management Load Leveling, Peak Shaving, Enabling Renewables Cost comparison per unit energy (2008) Affordable Energy Storage Needed for Multiple Applications: Emerging Grid-Scale Batteries Meet Cost Target of $100/kWh GRID-SCALE BATTERY ADVANCES •10,000 Deep Cycles Achieved •Dendrite Management with Flow •Safe Chemistry, Low-Cost Materials •1.6 kWh Ni-Zn Operating (Pictured) •Zn-Ni Batteries: $500/kWh, $.10/kWh Cycle with 5,000 Cycles at 80% DOD •Zn-MnO2 Batteries: $100/kWh, $.02/kWh Cycle with 5,000 Cycles at 80% DOD BATTERY SCALE-UP TIMELINE •50 kWh Battery & Turnkey 2011 •200kWh Battery Grid-Connected 2012 © 2011 All Rights Reserved Zinc Anode Rechargeable Batteries: Safe, Non-Flammable, Low-Cost, Long Cycle Life Energy Storage Solutions DEMAND-SIDE MANAGEMENT LOAD SHIFTING to reduce urban transmission congestion to shave demand peaks Distributed installations of safe zinc anode Our 1-10MWh zinc anode batteries charge during 50-200kWh batteries defer the need for substations low demand periods to meet peak demand. and peaking plants and reduce demand charges. RENEWABLE FIRMING FUEL SWITCHING VEHICLE CHARGING energy storage for distributed wind & solar installations to provide constant power for remote infrastructure, e.g., cell towers heavy hybrid trucks, buses, and commercial vehicles Zinc anode 50kWh battery units support expanded use of distributed solar and wind power. Our batteries provide an uninterruptible power supply for critical equipment, like cell towers, reducing fuel usage & operating costs for diesel generators. Rechargeable zinc anode batteries are suited to transportation: cheaper than lithium ion, quick and easy to charge, with long operating lives. © 2011 All Rights Reserved CONCLUSIONS • oil use must be reduced for a sustainable future • substitution of oil by electricity generated from diverse sources is a viable alternative • renewable sources are attractive but must be reduced in cost • requires developments of electricity storage technologies to also be reduced in cost and of increased reliability • Development/deployment of new electrochemical storage technologies both for mobile assets and stationary assets is essential. ENERGY CONSUMPTION & CO2PROD)/$GDP (PURCHASING POWER PARITY) BTU & (MT.E-3)/US $ (2000) COUNTRY 1980 2004 USA SWEDEN ITALY CHINA INDIA 15.72/.92 13.63/.57 6.818/.41 23.54/1.9 4.341/.31 9.336/.55 9.356/.24 6.044/.35 9.080/.72 4.205/.30 Changes in energy supply in Sweden 1970 - 2004 Wind, heat pumps,… Nuclear Largest changes since 1970: Hydroelectric - Total increase by almost 50% - Large reduction of oil - Large increase of nuclear - Large increase of bio Biofuels Coal Oil Intermittent Renewable Generation Requires Flexible, TwoWay Grid System © 2011 All Rights Reserved Increased Generation from Renewables and Natural Gas © 2011 All Rights Reserved Comparison of Flow batteries Vanadium Zinc Bromine PSB Cerium Typical power range (MW) <3 <1 < 15 n/a Typical size range (MWh) 0.5 - 5 0.001 - 5 0 - 120 n/a Energy density (Wh/l) 16 - 33 60 - 90 20 – 30 25 -40 Cycle efficiency 70 - 85 65 - 75 60 - 75 n/a Cycle life (cycles) > 12,000 > 2,000 n/a n/a Life time (years) 5 - 10 5 - 10 15 n/a Stage of development Demonstration/ commercial Demonstration/ commercial Demonstration Demonstration Companies involved VRB, SEI, Pinnacle, Cellenium ZBB, Premium Power TVA, VRB Plurion China and India Are Rapidly Building Out Regional Grids © 2011 All Rights Reserved Game-Changing Technologies Advanced Wind Generation Algal Biofuels Grid-Connected Electricity Storage Photovoltaic Organic Compounds © 2011 All Rights Reserved Next Generation Nuclear Power Graphene Semiconductors