Transcript Slide 1

SME POLICY FORUM
SCOTLAND’S EXPERIENCE
Professor David Deakins
Massey University
Contents
• Key demographics
• Policy issues
• Enterprise policy in Scotland
• Ethnic minority enterprise as a case example
• Recent policy
• Conclusions
Key Demographics
Population: 5.06 m. 2001 Census, 5.41 m. 2009
Area: 78,772 km2 Population density 64 per km2
Age Structure
Age Structure
Geographical Distribution
Population density by area (Persons per km2)
Source: GROS 2006
locality estimates.
Ethnicity
All people White
Indian
Pakistani &
other S.
Asian
Chinese
Other
5062011
4960334
15037
39970
16310
30360
100%
97.99%
0.30%
0.79%
0.32%
0.60%
Source: Scottish Census GROS (www.scrol.gov.uk)
Key Economic Data
Birth rate
10.7 per 000
Death rate
11.0 per 000
Net migration rate
+ 4.1 per 000
Population growth rate
Life expectancy
GVA per head
Average gross weekly
wage
Top exports
0.4%
M 74.2; F 79.3
£19,152 (2007 est.)
£461.8 (2008)
Food/drink/chemicals/wholesale/
retail/tourism/bus services/manf.
Destination for exports EU/North America
No of businesses
(2008)
154,840 registered
282,330 est. total
Size Distribution of Enterprises (2008)
Size
Number
Total Scottish
Employment
Turnover
£m
276,325
780,510
£63.1
50 to 249
employees
3,600
254, 930
£27.9
250 or more
employees
2,405
1,506,310
£152,334
0-49 employees
Source: Scottish Government, ONS (IDBR)
Policy Issues: Two Agencies
1. Scottish Enterprise (SE): regional
development agency covering Central Belt and
South of Scotland
2. Highlands and Islands Enterprise (HIE)
Scotland’s Enterprise Support Agencies
Scottish
Enterprise
Highlands
and
Islands
Enterprise
Policy Issues
• Low Business Birth Rate or entrepreneurial activity rates
compared to rest of UK (c. 50% of rates in London, GEM 2008
TEA for Scotland = 4.5, compared to 5.6 for UK)
Business Birth Rates UK Regions (2006)
VAT registrations per 10,000 adults, 2006
60
50
40
30
20
Source: Scottish Enterprise, BIS
UK
North East
Wales
Scotland
Yorks/Humber
N West
W Midlands
E Midlands
S West
East
S East
London
0
N Ireland
10
Policy Issues
• Low Business Birth Rate or entrepreneurial activity rates
compared to rest of UK (c. 50% of rates in London, GEM 2008
TEA for Scotland = 4.5, compared to 5.6 for UK)
• Reliance on traditional, but declining manufacturing
sectors, particularly in the Central Belt
• Declining natural resources; e.g., North Sea oil and gas
• World class scientific research centres, but historically
low rates of commercial spin-outs
• Rural enterprise: large rural areas in Highlands and
Islands and in the South of Scotland
Scotland’s Economic Performance
Low growth economy
“For over 30 years, Scotland has suffered because our
economy has been locked into a low growth economy”
Government Economic Strategy (2009), Scottish Government
“From 1975 to 2005, Scotland’s annual average growth in
GDP was 1.8%, compared to a UK average of 2.3% over the
same period”. Innovation for Scotland Report (2009),
Scottish Government
Enterprise Policy in Scotland
The Business Birth Rate Strategy (SE) 1993-2003
Commercialisation Strategy (SE) 1995 --Business networks (SE and HIE):
Entrepreneurial Exchange
LINC Scotland
Volume v targeted support (HIE v SE)
Enterprise Education programme: Determined to Succeed
Women’s Enterprise (SE and HIE):
National Unit for Women’s Enterprise 2005--
Ethnic Minority Enterprise as a Case Example
• Scottish Government commissioned national scoping
study 2005
• Methodology
• Demographics guided research
• Map MEBs geographical and sectoral distribution in
Scotland compared to a white control group
Self-Employment Rates for all Scotland (Per Cent)
African
Caribbean
Bangladeshi
Indian
Chinese
Pakistani
All
0
5
10
15
20
Source: 2001 Census Analysis: General Register Office for
Scotland
25
30
Self-Employment Rates for Glasgow (Per Cent)
Pakistani
Indian
Chinese
Caribbean
Bangladeshi
African
All
0
5
10
15
20
Source: 2001 Census Analysis: General Register Office for
Scotland
25
Self-Employment Rates for Edinburgh (Per Cent)
Pakistani
Indian
Chinese
Bangladeshi
Caribbean
African
All
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Source: 2001 Census Analysis: General Register Office for
Scotland
35
Self-Employment Rates for Highland Scotland including
Western Isles and Orkney & Shetland (Per Cent)
Pakistani
Indian
Chinese
Caribbean
Bangladeshi
African
All
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Source: 2001 Census Analysis: General Register Office for
Scotland
Selected Key Findings
• Strength and diversity of ethnic minority enterprise in
Scotland –, 4,500 businesses contributed upwards £1 billion
to GDP
• Concentration by sector and location but key
contribution outside cities in Central Belt and rural areas
• Innovation and resourcefulness of MEB owners
• Diversity a source of creativity and innovation
Selected Key Findings
• Low access to formal sources of finance
• Lack of trusted intermediaries between banks and MEB
communities
• Lack of engagement with formal mainstream sources of
advice and support and a low take-up of training. This
includes:
-----------lack of awareness
-----------strategies to avoid engagement
• Requires strategies to build trust
Policy Response
• SE and HIE Strategy to engage with ethnic minority
businesses
-----engage with communities
------support for access to finance
------ethnic media and communication
• Scottish Institute for Minority Enterprise –owned and
driven by ethnic minority business owners
Recent Policy
• Removing barriers
• Scottish Co-investment Fund
• Scottish Seed Fund
• Scottish Venture Fund
• Supporting Innovation (R&D Grants, Innovation Vouchers)
• Innovation Strategy, June 2009
Supporting Growth Firms
• Standard business support through Business Gateway
(now devolved from Scottish Enterprise to the local
authorities/councils)
• Targeted support for ‘growth firms’ by SE (but less so by
HIE due to rural environment)
SE criteria (2009) :
- £5m valuation by end of year 3,
- commitment to trade globally,
- passion to succeed
Conclusions
• Frequent changes in policy –lack of consistency
• SMEs have raised awareness of enterprise agencies, but
still dependent on support delivered now by local councils
• Finance initiatives have been more successful, especially
local micro-credit, LINC Scotland and Co-investment Fund
• Gaps still exist: KT in rural areas/ethnic minority
support
• Disparities in support, funding and investment