Transcript Name of research group

Systems Analysis
and Decision Support
Prof. Raimo P. Hämäläinen
Group:
Dr. Kai Virtanen
M.Sc. Juho Kokkala, Jukka Luoma,
Ville Mattila, Jirka Poropudas, Jouni Pousi,
Mika Marttunen, Finnish Environment Institute
Aalto University RAE • 10 June 2009 • Department of Mathematics and Systems Analysis
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Research topics
Systems analysis and decision support
• Dynamic systems
– Strategy of flight
– Maintenance of aircraft
• Multicriteria decision modeling and games
– Web software
• Environment
– New tools for facilitation
• Systems thinking
Aalto University RAE • 10 June 2009 • Department of Mathematics and Systems Analysis
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Impact
Systems analysis and decision support
• Theory of preference programming
– Decision under uncertainty
– Group decision
• Decisionarium web site
– Repository for worldwide use of decision support
software
• Best-practices for environmental decision
analysis
• Nuclear risk management model implemented in
European Union and India
Aalto University RAE • 10 June 2009 • Department of Mathematics and Systems Analysis
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Where tomorrow?
Systems analysis and decision support
• Institute for Systems and Decision Research
(national IIASA with PhD education)
• Systems thinking and systems intelligence
• Neuroeconomics and behavioural studies
• Multicriteria optimization and metamodeling
in simulation
• Dynamic influence diagrams
Aalto University RAE • 10 June 2009 • Department of Mathematics and Systems Analysis
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Optimization and Game
Theory Models and Algorithms
Prof. Harri Ehtamo
Tech.Lic. Kimmo Berg
M.Sc. Simo Heliövaara, Juha-Matti Kuusinen,
Mirko Ruokokoski, Janne Sorsa
Aalto University RAE • 10 June 2009 • Department of Mathematics and Systems Analysis
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Research topics
Optimization and game theory models and algorithms
• Optimization algorithms for pricing of goods
– Focus on monopoly pricing problems
– How to compute optimal bundles under
limited information?
• Stochastic Vehicle Routing Optimization
• Game theory models and algorithms to describe
large crowd dynamics in simulation environment
Aalto University RAE • 10 June 2009 • Department of Mathematics and Systems Analysis
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Impact
Optimization and game theory models and algorithms
• Modelling and forecasting of people flow in
high rise buildings
• Modelling of safe evacuation of people from
large burning buildings
Aalto University RAE • 10 June 2009 • Department of Mathematics and Systems Analysis
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Where tomorrow?
Optimization and game theory models and algorithms
• Development of novel MILP algorithms for
vehicle routing problems
– Special emphasis on elevator group control
– Development of new mathematical concepts based on
problem symmetry
– Collaboration with leading research groups in the field,
e.g., HEC Montreal
• Development of learning algorithms based on
evolutionary game theory to describe large
crowd dynamics
– Collaboration with VTT, NIST/USA, Dresden University,
to develop a simulation model for fire safety analysis of
large buildings
Aalto University RAE • 10 June 2009 • Department of Mathematics and Systems Analysis
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Decision Models and
Foresight Methodologies
Prof. Ahti Salo
Group:
Dr.Tech. Juuso Liesiö
Tech.Lic. Antti Punkka, Pekka Mild
M.Sc. Ville Brummer, Jussi Kangaspunta, Antti Silvast,
Antti Toppila, Eeva Vilkkumaa
Aalto University RAE • 10 June 2009 • Department of Mathematics and Systems Analysis
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Research topics
Decision models and foresight methodologies
• Portfolio decision analysis for allocating resources to
non-traded investment opportunities
Theory
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Methodologies
Uncertainties
Multiple criteria
Stakeholders
Constraints & dynamics
Several resources
Decision
models
Decisions
 Scenarios & robustness
 Preference modelling
 Decision processes
 Optimization models
 Efficiency analysis
Aalto University RAE • 10 June 2009 • Department of Mathematics and Systems Analysis
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Impact
Decision models and foresight methodologies
• International research awards (INFORMS)
• Major foresight projects
– FinnSight 2015, Strategic Research Agendas
• Resource allocation decisions
– National funding plans for road maintenance
– Standardization investments at Nokia
• Efficiency analyses
– Identification of cost-effective weapons systems
– Funding channels and the productivity of research
Aalto University RAE • 10 June 2009 • Department of Mathematics and Systems Analysis
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Where tomorrow?
Decision models and foresight methodologies
• A world-leader in Portfolio Decision Analysis (PDA)
– Book to be published by Springer
• Design of information acquisition strategies in
project portfolio selection
– Relevant to various funding agencies
– Collaboration with London Business School
• Portfolio optimization of risk management plans
– Collaboration with the University of Southern California
Aalto University RAE • 10 June 2009 • Department of Mathematics and Systems Analysis
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