Transcript Chapter 1
EHRMA Strategic Management By Dr. Harold D. Harlow 1 Strategic Management Defined: Set of managerial decisions and actions that determines the long-run performance of a firm. Set of managerial actions and decision,separate from operations, that determines the future profitability/success of the firm. 2 Managers Two Primary Responsibilities Operational Work Strategic Work Actions and plans less than one year. Daily and weekly activities to “get the work of the business done well” More than one year future orientation. Often crowded out by operational work. The most important work is strategic. Although not usually urgent in most environments, essential to the future profit making potential of the firm. 3 Business Policy Defined: General management orientation that looks inward for properly integrating the firm’s functional activities. 4 Four Phases of Strategic Management Basic financial planning Forecast-based planning Externally-oriented planning (strategic) Strategic management(Choose functional strategies to support firm and SBU strategies) 5 Strategic Management Benefits: • Clearer sense of strategic vision for the firm • Sharper focus on what is strategically important • Improved understanding of a rapidly changing environment 6 Strategic Management Not always a formal process can be ad hoc: Where is the organization now? (Not where do we hope it is!) If no changes are made, where will the organization be in 1 year, 2 years, 5 years, 10 years? What specific actions should management undertake? What are the risks and payoffs involved? 7 Global Stategic Issues European Union (EU) Economic integration of 15 member countries North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) Improved trade among 3 member countries Mercosur Free-trade area among Argentina, Brazil, Uruguay, and Paraguay Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) Attempting to link members into a borderless economic zone 8 E-Commerce 7 Trends: Internet forcing companies to transform themselves Market access and branding are changing, causing disintermediation of traditional distribution channels Balance of power shifting to the consumer Competition is changing 9 7 Trends (continued) Pace of business increasing drastically Internet purchasing corporations out of their traditional boundaries Knowledge becoming a key asset and source of competitive advantage 10 Adaptation to Changing Environmental Conditions Strategic flexibility: Demands a long-term commitment to the development and nurturing of critical resources Demands that the firm become a learning organization 11 Learning Organizations Defined: An organization skilled at creating, acquiring, and transferring knowledge and at modifying its behavior to reflect new knowledge and insights. 12 Learning Organizations Four Main Activities: Solving problems systematically Experimenting with new approaches Learning from their won experiences and that of others Transferring knowledge quickly and efficiently throughout the organization 13 Strategic Management Model Environmental Strategy Formulation Scanning External Societal Environment General Forces Task Environment Industry Analysis Internal Structure Chain of Command Culture Beliefs, Expectations, Values Strategy Implementation Evaluation and Control and Control Mission Reason for existence Objectives What results to accomplish by when Strategies Plan to achieve the mission & objectives Policies Broad guidelines for decision making Programs Activities needed to accomplish a plan Resources Assets, Skills Competencies, Knowledge Process to monitor performance and take corrective action Budgets Cost of the programs Procedures Sequence of steps needed to do the job Performance Feedback/Learning 14 Basic Model of Strategic Management Four Basic Elements 15 Environmental Scanning Defined: The monitoring, evaluating, and disseminating of information from the external and internal environments to key people within the firm. 16 Environmental Scanning 17 Environmental Scanning Identify strategic factors SWOT Analysis Strengths, Weaknesses Opportunities, Threats Internal Environment • Strengths & Weaknesses Within the organization but not subject to short-run control of management External Environment • Opportunities & Threats External to the organization but not subject to short-run control of management 18 Strategy Formulation Defined: Development of long-range plans for the effective management of environmental opportunities and threats in light of corporate strengths and weaknesses. 19 Strategy Formulation Mission Statement Purpose or reason for the organization’s existence Promotes shared expectations among employees Communicates public image important to stakeholders Who we are, what we do, what we’d like to become 20 Strategy Formulation Maytag Corporation Mission Statement To improve the quality of home life by designing, building, marketing, and servicing the best appliances in the world. 21 Strategy Formulation Objectives The end results of planned activity • What is to be accomplished • Time in which to accomplish it • Quantified when possible 22 Strategy Formulation Goals vs. Objectives A goal is an open-ended statement of what one wants to accomplish with no quantification of what is to be achieved and no time criteria for completion. 23 Goals & Objectives Corporate goals and objectives include: Profitability (net profits) Growth (increase in total assets, etc.) Utilization of resources (ROE or ROI) Market leadership (market share) 24 Strategies Defined: A strategy of a corporation forms a comprehensive master plan stating how the corporation will achieve its mission and objectives. It maximizes competitive advantage and minimizes competitive disadvantage. 25 Strategies 3 Types of Strategy Corporate strategy Business strategy Functional strategy 26 Strategies Corporate Strategy Stability Growth Retrenchment 27 Strategies Business Strategy Competitive strategies Cooperative strategies 28 Strategies Functional Strategy Technological leadership Technological followership 29 Hierarchy of Strategy Corporate Strategy Business (Division Level) Strategy Functional Strategy 30 Policies Defined: Broad guidelines for decision making that link the formulation of strategy with its implementation. 31 Strategy Implementation Programs Strategy Implementation Budgets Procedures 32 Initiation of Strategy •New CEO •External intervention Triggering event •Threat of change in ownership Stimulus for change in strategy •Performance gap •Strategic inflection point 33 Strategic Decision Making Strategic Decisions Rare Consequential Directive 34 Strategic Decision Making 35 Strategic Decision Making 36 37 Strategy Basic Concepts 38 Who Makes Strategy? General Management Function. Top level managers develop strategy of the firm. Not operations activity Must be allowed adequate time and resources to be successful. Key point: Operational work tends to crowd out strategic management work. 39 What is Strategy? Strategy has three levels: Firm level Business level or Strategic Business Unit Level Functional or departmental level. Directional goals to guide future decision making Formal planning sessions may occur 40 Strategy Questions What is the current strategy, implicit or explicit? What assumptions have to hold for the current strategy to be viable? What is happening in the larger, social and educational environments? What are our growth, size, and profitability goals? In which markets will we compete? In which businesses? In which geographic areas? 41 Strategy Questions-Continued To what customers or users? How will the selling/buying decisions be made? How will we distribute our products and services? What technologies will we employ? What capabilities and capacities will we require? Which ones are core? What are our management capabilities and capacities? Is our “corporate culture” supportive of our strategy? What will we make, what will we buy, and what will we acquire through alliance? What are our options? On what basis will we compete 42 Why Proven significant gains in performance from explicit strategy development Different functional areas may have different strategies. Dysfunctional suboptimal decisions dependent on functional manager professional orientation. What is needed is a “guiding strategic hand” for each business function. 43 Where strategy comes from? Formal planning Ad hoc by consensus of firm managers External-Reaction to environment Internal-Firm Resources available 44 When is ( New) Strategy Needed? When firm performance does not meet expectations. When firm is changed in some significant way. New managers Firm is sold or merged with another firm. When paradigmic changes occur in business model. 45 Firm Level Strategies Growth Mergers and Acquisitions Organic (Depends on Industry Life cycle and competitiveness) Vertical or Horizontal Integration • Economies of Scale or Scope Disinvestment / Retrenchment 46 Mission Rationale for the firm: Its reason for existance. Needed to drive the firm to the intermediate goals and objectives Specific within a certain time period. Specific about competition and markets to be captured. 47 Vision An overriding very long range view of the firm and where it might be in 10-20 years. Corporate vision is a short, succinct, and inspiring statement of what the organization intends to become and to achieve at some point in the future, often stated in competitive terms. Vision refers to the category of intentions that are broad, all-inclusive and forward-thinking. It is the image that a business must have of its goals before it sets out to reach them. It describes aspirations for the future, without specifying the means that will be used to achieve those desired ends. 48 Mission and Vision Answer the Strategic Questions Who are we? What do we do? Why are we here? What kind of company are we? What kind of company do we want to become? What kind of company must we become to survive and prosper in our community 49 Emergent Strategy Mintzberg Strategy is a plan, a "how," a means of getting from here to there. Strategy is a pattern in actions over time; for example, a company that regularly markets very expensive products is using a "high end" strategy. Strategy is position; that is, it reflects decisions to offer particular products or services in particular markets. Strategy is perspective, that is, vision and direction. 50 51 EBBC Introduction to Strategy Vodafone Egypt Ian Gray, Chairman, Vodafone Egypt 17 November 2007 52 If you do not know where you are going – you will never 53 Have a plan! Failure to plan = Planning to fail ! 54 Key Drivers for Success Market led Customer focused Competitor aware 55 Strategy issues ref Vodafone Egypt Contents 1. Egypt 2. Vodafone Egypt 3. Strategy 4. Summary 56 Egypt – good macroeconomic environment Demographic facts 77.5m (1.8% Population US$953 p.a. growth) GDP per (US$4,400 capita adjusted for Income distribution PPP)(1) US$ per month + 397 A 5% 238 - 397 B B 159 - 238 58% of Literacy Population population 50% aged 20 distribution or less GDP ~6% per growth annum(2) Economic facts Economy steadily improving since July 2004 Strong growth in tourism and Suez Canal revenues 6% 17% C 84 - 159 28% D 44% < 84 E (1) 2005 estimates, (2) Estimate for 12 months to June 2006 Source: CIA World Fact book, 9th Euromoney Arab Financial Forum 57 Mobile continues to outgrow fixed Egyptian telecom market overview Fixed vs. mobile revenue (% ) Fast growing mobile market 21% penetration; 27% YoY growth(1) Slow growing fixed 99% population market coverage (8% of land Only 2.5m PCs; 6% mass) 14% penetration; YoY growth mostly prepaid; 120,000 DSL(1) SIM only with no handset connections subsidies Regulator influenced low blended minute byrates politics and must (<5€c) 100 90 80 43 48 70 54 56 46 44 Dec 2004 Dec 2005 60 50 40 30 57 52 20 10 0 Dec 2002 Dec 2003 Fixed revenue Mobile revenue Source: Company data and analyst consensus estimates, (1) 3 months to September 2006 58 Two player market with a recently launched 3rd entrant Vodafone Egypt Vodafone controlled; with Telecom Egypt as strategic partner(1) Launched November Telecom Vodafone Egypt Group 1998 45% 55% Customers 7.8m(2,3) Mobinil Joint Venture ORASCOM/ Orange Launched May 1998 (with Ownership early lead of 100,000 HVCs) Free Float ORASCOM 37% Customers Orange (2,3) 8.1m32% Twelve months (1) Vodafone Egypt remaining free float 0.44%, (2) Active customers, (3) September 2006 Source: Vodafone & Mobinil company data and Egyptian Government data Twelve months 31% Etisalat UAE controlled; with local partners Launched April 4% 20% 2007 National Bank of Egypt 20% Paid LE16.7bn CIB 4% (US$2.9bn) for Etisalat Egypt Post 66% 10% 2G/3G licence (3.4% of Egypt GDP) 59 Promising outlook with rapid mobile market growth Drivers for hitting the “S” Curve Total mobile market penetration Reported customers (m) Macro-economic environment economy improving since 2004 Mobile penetration (%) 25 23 20 16 20 18 12 15 11 8 18 7 4 4 8 13 6 8 5 0 Mass market appeal 10 0 Dec 2002 Dec 2003 Dec 2004 Dec 2005 Dec 2006 Source: Company data mobile moving to 60 Contents 1. Egypt 2. Vodafone Egypt 3. Strategy 4. Summary 61 ‘Core Purpose’ To connect people and communities Accelerating the advancement 62 Vodafone Egypt is growing rapidly Revenue EBITDA (LEbn) (%) (LEbn) 8.0 EBITDA 4.0 6.0 38% CAGR 3.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 EBITDA margin 44% CAGR 75 55 0.0 FY01/02 FY02/03 FY03/04 FY04/05 35 FY05/06 FY01/02 Revenue components H1 FY06/07(1) Outbound voice Inbound voice Visitors Data (including 95 FY02/03 FY03/04 FY04/05 FY05/06 YoY% growth H1 FY06/07 (%) 70% 60 47 44 41 43 Revenue EBITDA 40 11% 10% 20 0 Minutes Customers (2) (1) % of total revenue, (2) Active customers Source: Company data, Egyptian LE (IFRS) 4% 63 Vodafone Egypt is outperforming Customer share (%)(1) Revenue share (%) (%) (%) 60 60 55 55 50 50 45 45 40 40 Sep 2002 35 Sep 2002 Sep 2003 Sep 2004 Sep 2005 Sep 2006 EBITDA share (%)(2) Sep 2003 Sep 2004 Sep 2005 Sep 2006 EBITDA margins (%)(2) (%) (%) 65 65 60 60 55 55 50 50 45 40 45 35 Sep 2002 40 Sep 2002 Sep 2003 Sep 2004 Sep 2005 Sep 2006 Vodafone Egypt Sep 2003 Sep 2004 Sep 2005 Sep 2006 Mobinil (1) Active customers, (2) Both operators were released from liability to pay 1800 spectrum fees in Sep 2006 – LE100m impact excl. from Mobinil EBITDA. LE92m impact incl. in Vodafone Egypt depreciation Source: Company data 64 Growth in prepaid with reduction in minute rate Prepaid vs. contract closing customer split(1) Customers (m) Outbound minute rate evolution (LE) 8.0 2.0 6.0 1.5 4.0 1.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 Sep 2002 Sep 2003 Sep 2004 Sep 2005 Sep 2006 Prepaid 0.0 Sep 2002 Contract Sep 2003 Sep 2004 Sep 2005 Sep 2006 • Low outbound minute rate: 30pt (<4€c) Contract • Customer growth slowing indicating maturity • Growth accelerating from late 2004 Prepaid • Tariff options increased and price per minute reduced to encourage usage (1) Active customers, estimated prior to October 2003 Source: Company data 65 Driving usage through positive elasticity Prepaid vs. contract closing customer split(1) Customers (m) Outbound minute rate evolution (LE) 8.0 2.0 6.0 1.5 4.0 1.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 Sep 2002 Sep 2003 Sep 2004 Sep 2005 Sep 2006 Prepaid 0.0 Sep 2002 Contract Contract outbound MOU vs. total ARPU Minutes ARPU (LE) Sep 2003 Sep 2004 Sep 2005 Sep 2006 Prepaid outbound MOU vs. total ARPU Minutes ARPU (LE) 600 350 60 60 500 300 40 40 400 250 20 20 300 Sep-02 Sep-03 Sep-04 Monthly ARPU Sep-05 Monthly MOU 200 Sep-06 0 Sep-02 Sep-03 Sep-04 Monthly ARPU Sep-05 0 Sep-06 Monthly MOU (1) Active customers, estimated prior to October 2003 Source: Company data 66 Vodafone Egypt outperforms on customer satisfaction Vodafone Egypt vs. Mobinil (%) 100 (%) 100 90 90 94 87 90 79 80 80 70 70 60 60 Network availability Voice quality (%) 100 (%) 100 90 90 82 91 90 80 80 70 70 60 60 Call continuity 11% 94 Sending/receiving SMS Vodafone Egypt Mobinil Source: Network Satisfaction Tracker (Logic Consulting Group). October 2006 67 Cost management is critical in low ARPU environment Cost principles Margin breakdown H1 FY06/07 (%) 100 Break even or better on activations 100 (13) (10) (4) 80 (17) 56 60 40 20 0 Total revenue Interconnect costs Other direct costs Acquisition Operating & retention expenses costs EBITDA Network utilisation No unprofitable tariffs (%) 100 95 90 85 80 75 Utilise and build on Group May 2005 Jul 2005 Sep 2005 Nov 2005 Jan 2006 Mar 2006 May 2006 Jul 2006 Sep 2006 Source: Company data 68 Being part of Vodafone Group offers many benefits Benefits from Vodafone Group … Brand Buying power Market intelligence (product innovation, technical support, market trends) … and in return from Vodafone Egypt Resource People Australian call centre development Professional IT services International help desk 69 Vodafone Egypt generates healthy cash flows Free cash flow FY05/06 (%) 100 100 (7) (18) 90 80 (20) 70 (22) 60 50 40 33 (11) 30 22 20 10 0 Revenue(1) Government Direct costs charges(2) Operating expenses Capex Operating free cash flow Corporate tax Free cash flow (1) Revenue excluding sales tax, (2) Various charges including national training fund, telecom fund, NTRA fees (excl. 2G licence fees) Source: Company data 70 Contents 1. Egypt 2. Vodafone Egypt 3. Strategy 4. Summary 71 Unrelenting focus and attention on1six key areas Consistency 2 5 6 Image and quality 3 Small price premium 4 Managing market competitiveness Values based culture Best team 72 Company Vision Strategy & Values Profitable Growth Based on Value and Grow market at appropriate cost Differentiation Profitable Growth Brand Preference Cost Containment & Synergies Management Capabilities Focus on value Grow adjacent market Network quality and coverage First to market with key products Excellence in customer service Relevant brand for the people of Egypt Synergies from the Group 73 Market Leadership Our Objective is Building a Strong Vodafone Brand To delight our customers and build our market leadership without having to compete on pricing. Our brand is a global one yet with a local tone that keeps it close to our customers hearts. We have the best marketing talents 74 From Strategy to Operational Plans Tasks Processes Resourcing Behaviour Market led Customer focused Competitor aware Employee driven 75 Thank You 76