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PMI – Houston "The Next Labor Crisis..Déjà vu to the 1990’s All Over Again" 2007 James Del Monte CPC JDA Professional Services, Inc. Success “ . . . Almost 100% of a managers success comes from hiring and retaining good people. Good people don’t make the difference - they are the difference“ - James Del Monte Value of a Professional Organization Leadership Industry/Business knowledge Networking Opportunities Friendship Hard Questions Part 1 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Who are you and what does JDA stand for? What is going on in the employment market? Why is it taking so long to find a position I want if unemployment is so low? Why don’t recruiters return my calls? What does the future employment outlook look like? Hard Questions Part 2 1. 2. 3. 4. What positions are moving off shore and how does this impact me? Are P/M positions going more contract or Full-Time? Why is it that when I am hiring someone the recruiter's won’t stop calling? Where are the people we need to hire going to come from? Hard Questions Part 3 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. What is the future of PMO’s? I’m a PMP why don’t I get respect? How much difference does a PMP make? How do I position myself for a senior management position? What suggestions do you have to keep my staff? Are you done yet? What JDA Does. . . JDA provides clients with a full complement of information technology professionals. Our services are designed to meet the unique and changing requirements of our clients. Full-Time Staffing Contract / Temporary Staffing JDA Special Projects Staffing Sooo, Tell Me About Your Career. Law of Supply and Demand 4Q99 Demand Demand Peaked 2Q01 1984 1995 Supply 1989 Demand Bottomed 4Q04 3Q03 Demand Bottomed The demand for skilled professionals peaked 4Q99 and has decreased, bottoming out 3Q03. The current cycle indicates that once again there are more positions than skilled professionals, and this is projected to continue past 2010. Labor Surplus vs. Skill Shortage National Economic Stats for 2006 National unemployment rate is at a 6 year low of 4.6% • National average hourly wage increased 3.85% from $16.10 to $16.72 in 2006, the greatest increase since 2000 • National average annual expenditure for 2005 was $46, 409, a 6.9% increase from 2004, and the highest increase since 1989 • Stock market prices have been on the rise since early 2003 and they are currently at their highest point since early 2001 • Houston’s Economic Stats for 2006 • • • Houston’s unemployment rate averaged 5.1% for 2006, our lowest since 2001 when it was just 4.7% Houston’s average hourly wage was at $19.57 in December 2005, more than $3 above the national average at that same time Consumers in Houston spent an average of $52,998 per household in 2005, 10.3% higher than in 2004 , an increase which is unmatched in at least the past 20 years National vs. Local Economies STATISTIC NATIONAL HOUSTON HOW WE COMPARE Unemployment Rate (Avg. for 2006) 4.6% 5.1% +.5% Average Hourly Wage (Dec 2005) $16.35 $19.57 +19.7% Average Consumer Spending Per Household (2005) $46,409 $52,998 +14% Most Requested Information on JDA web site How to write a resignation letter article High cost of turnover article Labor Surplus vs. Skill Shortage Job Creation 1 million new IT positions from 2004 – 2014 that’s a 30% increase (BLS) Candidate Population 25% A Players 50% B Players 25% C Players 80% of Job Growth • Will come from companies with less than 100 employees • In Houston there are less than 4,000 companies with over 100 employees • These companies need the same services as large companies - just not all the time Houston Companies by Number of Employees 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 1 to 5 6 to 9 10 to 19 20 to 59 60 to 99 100 to 249 250+ Big VS Small Traditional business don’t create jobs or invent products they buy them Job Growth vs Job Creation Risk Aversive – more committee decision make to limit career risk 2007 CIO Survey Results QUESTIONS INCREASE DECREASE STAY THE SAME Company Growth in 2007 77.10% 2.90% 20% Department Budget in 2007 74.30% 8.60% 17.10% Staffing Level in 2007 75% 3% 22% Base Salaries in 2007 89.30% 10.70% 0% 2007 IT Hiring Percentages Remain the Same, 22% Decrease Staff, 3% Increase Staff, 75% Who’s Looking 21% 47% 32% Active – 32 Passive – 47 Not at all – 21 Employee Churning Comp A Comp C Comp B Position Demand . . . % Skills Yrs. Exp. 10 Mgmt./Conslt. 8+ Yrs. 30 Sr. Tech/ 1st Line Mgmt 4 – 8 Yrs 60 Staff/Tech 0 – 5 Yrs Talent Pool % Skills Yrs. Exp. 60 Mgmt./Conslt. 8+ Yrs. 30 Sr. Tech/ 1st Line Mgmt 4 – 8 Yrs 10 Staff/Tech 0 – 5 Yrs Position Demand . . . % Skills Yrs. Exp. 10 60 Mgmt./Conslt. 8+ Yrs. 8+ Yrs 30 30 Sr. Tech/ 1st Line Mgmt 4 – 8 Yrs 4 – 8 Yrs 60 10 Staff/Tech 0 – 4 Yrs 0 – 4 Yrs Talent Pool . . . Disconnect Employment of workers in IT Occupations 40000 3,700,000 35000 30000 25000 20000 31881 28018 33583 33848 3,650,000 3,600,000 27794 3,550,000 24640 3,500,000 3,450,000 18046 3,400,000 3,350,000 15000 3,300,000 3,250,000 10000 3,200,000 5000 Fall 99 Fall 00 Fall 01 Fall 02 Fall 03 Fall 04 Fall 05 2 4 3 2 1 4 3 2 1 4 3 2 1 20 06 Q 20 06 Q 20 05 Q 20 05 Q 20 05 Q 20 05 Q 20 04 Q 20 04 Q 20 04 Q 20 04 Q 20 03 Q 20 03 Q 0 20 03 Q 20 03 Q 1 3,150,000 Source: National Association of Computer Consultant Businesses (www.naccb.org) IT employment levels exceeds pre recession or pre-bust levels. New college enrollment for MIS, CIS, and CS students from 99 to fall 00 increased 13.8% from 28,018 to 31,881 and remained at record highs through 2002. New enrollment numbers plummeted 17.9% from 02 to 03 and another 26.8% to 18,046, the lowest number on record. Market Shift 2000 - 2003 2004 - 2010 Candidate Candidate Candidate Position Position Candidate Position Position The job market has shifted from an Employer’s Market to a Job Seeker’s Market to a Combination Market. Where Do All of the People Come From? Internal Full-Time Staff Software Providers Low Cost Providers Voice Data Providers Network Integrators Hardware Support Providers Software Developers/Support Contract or Temp Labor Training Companies Management Consultants Global Competition How Work Gets Done Off-shoring Out-sourcing Positions of Tomorrow Current globalization creates a market for PM, BA, and Functional Analysts who are needed to manage 3rd party resources. What are we best at? Giving people what they need not what they ask for. Innovation and creativity Top Reasons to Work Contract It will lead to permanent employment Flexibility of schedule To obtain experience/training Diversity in jobs/challenge This was the only type of work I could find The money is better Family or personal obligations Changing careers and need more experience Source: American Staffing Association Workforce Metrics Choosing Temporary Work Sets the Price Annual Increases Yes 5-15 % No 3-6 % Today’s Menu Business Analyst Project/Team Leader Large Company Data Center Manager Data/Voice Comm Spec. . NET $50K - $ 80K $65K - $110K $75K - $105K $55K - $ 95K Market Value Skills CIO’s Look For Personal Inventory Business/Functional Project Management Communication - written and oral Presentation Problem Solving Critical Thinking Leadership Organization Skills Time Management Attention to Detail Learning Ability Flexibility PMO Penetration 80 70 60 50 yes no 40 30 20 10 0 PMO Part of IT Outside Projects The PMO 70% 69% 60% 67% 59% 50% 40% 30% 41% 33% 31% 20% 10% 0% PMO PMO part of Business Planning? Strategic or Yes Do you measure your PMO? Tactical or No Business Strategy Vision Mission Statement Long Term Objectives (Branding) Help Companies build great IT Departments. Help our Candidates have the career they want. Company of choice for our industry. Clients Candidates Internal Strategies Strategies Strategies Project Portfolio Project Portfolio Project Portfolio What You Can’t Measure, You Can’t Manage With no measurable criteria for a PMO, Businesses are not going to see the added value and budgetary increases will cease. Show your worth, give measurable results to show progress and proof of value. Hiring a Project Manager 70.0% 60.0% 65.5% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 34.5% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% 0.0% PMP Certification Required Preferred No Preference Formal Education vs. Certifications 50% of Companies questioned, claimed no better results with a PMP certified Project Manager than with one who has qualified experience but no certification. More than half of the Companies preferred a formal degree and; 71% prefer an advanced degree before promoting to a leadership role. Experience vs Degrees for Management 80.0% 70.0% 71.9% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 28.1% 10.0% 0.0% Advanced Degree Experience Degree Both #1 Success Factor of Executives • Hire Good People A faithful employee is as refreshing as a cool day in the hot summertime. Proverbs 26:13 Why People Stay Like the people they work with – mostly their manager Control and independence over work Flexible work schedules Decision making Increased levels of responsibility Reward and recognition A sense of belonging Fun Why People Leave Bad management Lack of recognition or reward Too much travel Bad work environment Lack of job security Lack of training Long commute Pay/benefits Uncertainty about future Lack of career advancement 10 Ways to Keep Them! 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Hire the right type of person: A or B Have people grow into the position vs. out of the position Rotate responsibilities and cross-train, offering a variety of functions and responsibilities Pay above-market cash or bonuses Use non-cash rewards and recognition for results/ efforts 10 Ways to Keep Them! 6. 7. 8. 9. Create a team environment / team building Use temps or contractors for more routine work Encourage communication with manager Make proactive counteroffers when you have someone you want to keep 10. Set clear expectations and give feedback on how they are doing Bad Seeds Get rid of bad seeds and people who don’t want to be there – the dominant attitude will proliferate through the group and pollute the team. How This Impacts You Employer Higher Turn Over Higher Employee Cost Positions Open Longer Higher Hiring Cost Add Fees to Budget Employee More Career Options Training Bonuses Increase Base Salary Solutions for JDA Clients Review and Revise Retention Plans Make Salary Adjustments Based on Market Rates Spend Time & Money Training & Developing Staff (includes cross training) Hire Interns &/or Part-Time Students Encourage Entrance into the Field by Getting Involved with Local High Schools Adopt a Proactive Recruiting Model – CALL JDA!!! JDA Resources Salary Survey Hiring Trends Cost of Turn Over Counter offers Hi-Tech Calendar Hot Jobs Interviewing Tips 701 North Post Oak Road Suite 610 Houston, Texas 77024-3818 Phone: 713/548-5400 www.jdapsi.com Contract and Full-time Staffing Information Technology Staffing Specialists Consulting and Special Projects