Transcript CLIMATE CHANGE INTERNATIONAL UPDATE

CLIMATE CHANGE: INTERNATIONAL
UPDATE
August 2007
MAIN EVENTS UNTIL DECEMBER 2007
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August: Vienna UNFCCC intersessional
September: APEC
September : UN High Level Event
September: US Major Economies Meeting
November: EAS
November: CHOGM
December : UNFCCC COP 13
The “Bali Roadmap” : eight elements
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Further commitments for Annex 1
Contributions from developing countries
Adaptation
Technology
Financing
Deforestation
Impact of response measures
Strengthened carbon markets
What’s changed from a year ago?
• IPCC Fourth Assessment Report – its science
and economics have influenced the politics
• Plethora of leaders’ climate visions
• Appearance of the “road map”
• Non- Kyoto approaches now pledge support for
UNFCCC
• Language shifts: “measurable and reportable”;
“post-Kyoto”, “global” emissions reduction goal
• Some developing countries nuancing positions
What hasn’t changed
• Avoiding the “N” word - Negotiation
• Avoiding the “C” word – Commitments
• The North-South split – still a serious
blockage
• US Administration unlikely to engage fully
in UNFCCC before 2009
NZ: current policy guidelines
• Want an inclusive (of all major emitters) post
2012 agreement – open mind as to what sort
• Ready to take on more international
commitments in very good company
• Want improvements to Kyoto
• Leading on pastoral agriculture greenhouse
gases
• Want fair recognition of national circumstances
Questions for NZ this year
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Quantifying targets: for Annex 1; for NZ
For NZ, conditional or unilateral or both?
Expectations of developing economies, US
Rules around land use, agriculture, forestry
Air and maritime emissions: bunker fuels
Domestic/international linkages
Who’s doing what?: key contacts
• Post-2012 emission reduction commitments (Roger
Lincoln/Chris Livesey MfE, Dominic Milicich TSY)
• Agricultural emissions international research partnership
(Hayden Montgomery MAF)
• LULUCF rules post-2012 (Bryan Smith MAF)
• Avoided deforestation (Bryan Smith MAF)
• Treatment of international aviation and maritime fuels post 2012 (Kathy Perreau MoT)
• Flexibility mechanisms post-2012 (Mark Storey MfE)