Transcript Nova Scotia Business Ink

Nova Scotia – demographics, literacy
and the labour market
Jacques Pelletier
Director Labour Market Partnerships
February 2007
What is the Issue?
A Skills Shortage is…
• An inadequate number of workers
• An inadequate number of workers with the skills
necessary to do the job
• An inadequate number of workers (qualified or
otherwise) willing to work for wages and
working conditions offered
There are two major systemic
issues that face Nova Scotia
today:
1)Demographics
2)Literacy
Where We Are Going: Base Case
Population
From 2001 to 2026
• Nova Scotia’s total population will decrease by 4%.
• Seniors population will increase by 70.8%.
• Primary and secondary school age population will
decline by 31.4%.
• Post-secondary age population will decline by
29.8%.
• Working age population will decline by 12.5%.
Age Distribution of Population: 1971 to
2031
45.0%
40.0%
1971
2005
2021
2031
35.0%
30.0%
25.0%
20.0%
15.0%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
0-19
20-29
30-39
40-49
50-59
60-69
70-79
80+
Data based on Statistics Canada estimates and population projections of Economics & Statistics Scenario
Source: Nova Scotia Department of Finance, Economics & Statistics Division
Inter-provincial Migration
Nova Scotia, 2001/02 to 2005/06
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
-3930
20416
16486
-3041
18081
15040
-772
15859
15087
510
16176
16686
-898
17229
0
16331
5,000
-5,000
2001-2002
2002-2003
Interprovincial In-Migrants
July 1st to June 30th data collection period
2003-2004
Interprovincial Out-Migrants
2004-2005
2005-2006
Net Interprovincial Migrants
Data Source: Statistics Canada, Annual Demographic Statistics
Number of people by proficiency level
Adult Literacy
Over 240,000 residents of Nova Scotia have prose literacy scores below level 3
Population distribution of proficiency, 16-65,
Canada and Nova Scotia, 2003
100.0%
19.50% 4.2m
19.50% 124,000
80.0%
60.0%
38.60%
8.2m
42.10% 267,000
Level 3
40.0%
27.30%
5.8m
26.50% 168,000
14.60%
3.1m
11.90% 75,000
20.0%
0.0%
Level 4/5
Canada
Level 2
Level 1
Nova Scotia
Source: International Adult Literacy and Skills Survey 2003
Characteristics of people at levels 1 and 2
(population 16-65)
Many of those with low literacy skills are working but they
are vulnerable.
Level 1
Level 2
• 75,000
• 168,000
• 56 % male and 42% female
• 50% male and 50% female
• 47% were employed
• 58% were employed
• 14% were unemployed
• 13% were unemployed
• 39% not in labour force
• 29% not in labour force
• 67% less than high school
• 38% less than high school
Source: IALSS, 2003
What we are doing
Enough hands
• Policy Review – Skills NS framework and Demographics
Project
• Targeted Marketing
– 4R Strategy
– Retention, Recruitment, Repatriation, Retraining
• Apprenticeship scholarships and financial incentives
• Youth Employment Strategy
• Targeted Initiative for Older Workers
• Strategy for under-employed (Aboriginal, African-Nova
Scotian)
Investment in Youth
• Options and Opportunities (02)
• PACC
• Youth Apprenticeship
• Provincial Advisory Group
• Career Options
• Co-op
Skilled Tradespeople
• Apprenticeship Essential Skills
• Document Use Refresher for Apprentices
• PLAR
• Business Competencies for Journeypersons
Nova Scotia’s Adults
• NSSAL
• Older Worker’s Program
• Senior, Family Literacy Program
• Career Information for Adults
Employers and Industry
• Workplace Education
• Invest in Youth
• Mentor / Coach Program (Apprenticeship)
• Smart Business / Employer of Choice
• BRE Program
Education and Training Partners
• NSCC
• Customized Programs
• ALP
• Collaborative Apprenticeship
Thank You