Transcript Kharif Crop Season 2013 Planning and Preparations

Review of Rabi 2012
and
Preparations for Kharif
2013
Revisiting salient points from the National Perspective
1
Area in mHa
Production in mT
Rabi 2012-13
Good Climatic conditions
Area
Generally good winter rains
Conducive temperature regime
Higher Rabi Crop area except in Rice
Sporadic incidents of crop losses
Drought in Maharashtra, Tamilnadu
and Andhra Pradesh
Hailstorm, excessive rains
5 lac hectare affected in AP,
Raj, MP, Haryana and UP
Yellow rust on wheat
 5000 ha affected in Punjab,
Haryana, HP on susceptible
varieties
Will be limited on rise in
temperature
To watch for Terminal Heat Stress
Light irrigation through sprinklers
Overall very good prospects for Rabi
crops with better harvest than that of
previous year
Production
2011-12 2012-13* Change 2011-12 2012-13* Change
Wheat
Rice (Rabi)
Sorghum
Maize
Barley
Total Rabi
Coarse
Cereals
Gram
Urad
Moong
Total Rabi
Pulses
Total
Foodgrains
Groundnut
Rapeseed
&Mustard
Total Rabi
Oilseeds
29.9
3.9
3.6
1.4
0.6
29.9
3.1
3.9
1.5
0.8
0
-0.8
+0.3
+0.1
+0.2
94.9
12.6
2.7
5.3
1.6
98.6
10.0
2.9
5.8
2.0
0.0
-2.6
+0.2
+0.5
+0.4
5.7
8.3
0.9
0.8
6.3
9.5
0.8
0.7
+0.6
+1.2
-0.1
-0.1
9.6
7.7
0.5
0.4
10.7
9.2
0.5
0.4
+1.1
+1.1
0.0
0.0
13.3
15.1
+1.8
11.0
13.0
+1.5
52.7
0.9
54.3
0.9
+1.6
0
128.1
1.8
133.1
1.7
+5.0
-0.1
5.9
6.7
+0.8
6.6
7.5
+0.9
7.9
8.8
+1.1
9.1
10.2
+1.1
* anticipated
2
Production of Food Grains over the years
140
Rabi, a stabilizing factor
Sustained and Steady increase
in Rabi food grains Production
Additional water availability
AIBP – Irrigation potential of 6
million hectares created through
completion of 134 major and
medium projects and 9220 MI
works ending 2010-11
IWMP – 3 million hectares of
area has protective irrigation
source
NMMI – Sprinklers have
increased pulses area in rice
fallows of MP, Chhattisgarh,
Jharkhand
Developmental work
Water pumps
Shallow tube wells
Off seasonal works under
MGNREGS
300
120
250
100
200
80
150
60
100
40
50
20
0
0
Total
Kharif
Rabi
*2012-13 is assessed figures and not official estimate
3
Production Targets 2012-13
Increased contribution of Rabi
over Kharif in Total Food Grains
Loss of 6 million tons in Kharif
compensated by estimated 9.5
million tons gain in Rabi for
Total Food Grains Production
Shortfall in Rice by 2 million
tons and in coarse cereals by 5
million tons
Drought in Karnataka,
Maharashtra, Rajasthan and
Gujarat caused shortfall in
Coarse cereals
Drought in AP, TN, WB caused
Rice area shift to potato, pulses
and oilseeds
Overall production targets
would be achieved in Total Food
Grains due to higher production
of wheat
Production in mTs
Achievement
(gain or
Target
shortfall)
Kharif Rabi Total Kharif Rabi Total
90
14 104
2
-4
-2
88
88
0 10.6 10.6
Rice
Wheat
Coarse
Cereals
33.5
10.5
44
Total Pulses 7.12 11.12 18.24
Total
Foodgrains 130.62 123.62 254.24
Total
Oilseeds
22.04 11.55 33.59
Cotton
(Bales)
35
Jute & Mesta
(Bales)
12
Sugarcane (Cane)
352
-5.2
-1.9
0.2
1.9
-5
0.0
-5.9
9.5
3.6
-2.4 -1.35
-3.8
-2.0
-0.8
-12.0
4
Gross Cropped Area
Rabi
36%
Kharif
64%
Cotton, Jute, Sugarcane even up the production gains of Rabi in Food grains and Oilseeds
5
Kharif area in mHa in 2011-12
Kharif Crops
 More than a third of total
kharif area is covered by
Rice
 Other major crops are
Cotton, Soybean, pulses
and Coarse Cereals
 Production and
Productivity largely
dependent on monsoon
Mesta
Sunflower
Nigerseed
Small Millets
Jute
Ragi
Castorseed
Sesamum
Other Kharif Pulses
Urad
Jowar
Moong
Tur
Groundnut
Sugarcane
Bajra
Maize
Soyabean
Cotton
Rice
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
6
PLANNING FOR KHARIF 2013
• Likely Monsoon Scenarios
• Forecast of India Metrological Department is awaited
• Plan for all the possible scenarios ready
• Delayed onset, prolonged dry spells, early withdrawal, less
ranfall, excessive rainfall, normal rainy season
Input planning for normal situation
review of Critical Inputs -seeds, fertilizers, PP Chemicals, completed
in Zonal Review meetings
 DAC – ICAR pre Kharif Interface completed
 Recommendations circulated
Contingency plans and Advisories
State-wise, District wise contingent plans prepared by
CRIDA in consultation with SAUs and other stakeholders
7
Seeds
Crops
Requirement Availability
(Lakh qtls) (Lakh qtls)
Pulses
Arhar
Urd
Moong
Moth
Cowpea
Rajmash
Total Pulses
2.55
1.47
1.68
0.21
0.37
0.61
7.14
2.46
2.49
1.89
0.16
0.34
0.63
8.22
20.87
32.99
0.21
0.38
55.12
2.15
21.76
36.94
0.22
0.44
60.14
2.39
Oilseeds
Groundnut
Soyabean
Sesame
Sunflower
Total Oilseeds
Cotton
Cereal Crops
Crop
Paddy
Maize
Jowar
Bajra
Ragi
Total Cereal
Requirement
(Lakh Qtls)
62.54
7.79
1.64
2.31
0.30
74.63
Availability
(Lakh Qtls)
69.23
7.42
2.42
3.17
0.30
82.61
8
Fertilizers
DAP
69.40
39.27
64.59
MOP
21.97
10.84
20.26
NPK
55.53
39.16
54.82
SSP
28.92
18.97
25.28
Conference for Kharif,
2013 that they have all
the fertilizers including
Urea
in
sufficient
quantities and assured
that
the
fertilizers
would be provided as
per the requirements.
Rabi 2011-12
Kharif 2012-13
Rabi 2012-13
300
250
200
Qty in lakh Tons
Remarks
Kharif
2013
Fertiliz
er
Assessed
Total
Assessed
Requirem Sales Requirem
(LMT) *
ent
ent
(LMT)
(LMT)
Urea
150.82
135.78
153.19 DOF informed in Zonal
Kharif 2011-12
Kharif 2012
150
100
•Use of Biofertilizers - Azosprillium, Azotobacter,
Rhizobium, Phosphate Solubilizing bacteria, Potash
mobilizing bacteria reduce the dose of N,P,K fertilizer by
20-25 %
•Use of micronutrients based on soil health maps / soil
health analysis report.
Deficiency - Sulphur 46%; Zinc 49%; Boron 33%;
Molybdenum 13%; Iron 12%; Magnsium 5%; Copper 3%
50
0
Urea
DAP
MOP
NPK
9
Expectations
• Timely placement of inputs
• Coordination meetings across Departments for credit, power,
irrigation
• Finalize procurement arrangements for seeds, fertilizers,
nutrients, chemicals, program funds
• Weekly video conferencing for regular liaison and follow up
• Mobilizing extension staff for field deployment
• Pooling contractual staff under ATMA, NFSM and other schemes
• Active involvement of SAUs
• Technical Backstopping
• Monitoring
10
RICE
• Mechanical/Line Transplanting
• Community or commercial
•
•
seedlings
Direct Seeded Rice (DSR)
• Drum seeders for wet bed
• Seed drills for dry bed
• Weed management
Promoting Hybrid and Stress
Tolerant Varieties
• Popular public/private hybrids
• Suvarna-Sub-1 for flash flood
• Sahbhagi
Dhan
for
drought/low rainfall areas
• Nutrient
Management
and
Pest
• Focus in Eastern India
• CRRI led regular crop
monitoring
• New CSISA hub at
Bhubaneshwar
• Promotion of stress
tolerant varieties in
partnership with STRASA,
IRRI
• NIPHM for augmenting
farm level grain storage
and dryer system
11
PULSES
 Improved varieties/planting Methods
 Ridge/furrow method
 Improved varieties of pigeonpea/
urd/ mung
 Area expansion
 Intercropping with
sorghum/cotton, soybean in south
and central States;
 Planting on rice bunds
 Plant protection
 Gypsum or Bentonite Sulphur with
micro nutrients and biofertilizers
 Weed management with
recommended chemicals
 Pest surveillance and Integrated
Pest management
• IPM
• Pest surveillance and
advisory service
supported by NCIPM
• Procurement
• Supported by NAFEDSFAC-National Spot
Exchange
12
Schemes and Programs
• Increased allocation under RKVY, NFSM and other schemes
• Continuation of BGREI
• Apex Inter Ministerial Committee under PM
• Suggestions from Eastern States?
• New Programs on Crop Diversification and for Nutri-farms in
identified areas
• Proposals and suggestions expected from Punjab, Haryana and UP
for crop diversification
• Group of Ministers on crop diversification
• Stakeholder consultation being scheduled to promote iron enriched
pearl millets, Quality protein Maize and other bio-fortified crops
• Likelihood of introduction of new missions and programs with
modified guidelines during the year
• NMSA, NMAT, NMOP
• Continuation of existing programs until revisions
13
Contingency Crop Planning
‘Technical to Action Plans’
• 2 to 3 million hectares of area gets affected by drought like
conditions and/or other calamities in some or the other parts
of the country
• Operationalizing District Contingent Crop Plans in time could
save crop losses to farmers
• Earmarking 1% of the RKVY and other scheme funds for
contingent crop program could help in making timely and
effective action plans
• Unspent amount could be used for regular medium term
mitigation programs
14
Summing up
• Production targets of Total Food Grains are expected to be
achieved in 2012-13
• Planning for Kharif 2013 should be focused on
• Eastern India Development
• Crop Diversification in North Western Region
• Pulses and Oilseeds
• Adequate administrative and financial backup is required for
implementing crop contingency plans, should the need so
arise
15
Publication releases
• Impact Evaluation Studies of Technical Components of
National Food Security Mission
• 15 studies on specific topics in 15 States conducted in-house by
Crop Development Directorates under guidance of Consultants
engaged under National Food Security Mission
• Cluster Demonstrations of Stress Tolerant Rice Varieties in
Stress Prone Parts of India (2012-13) - Interim Report
• Conducted by International Rice Research Institute with its
national partners over 9,700 hectares of 106 blocks in 51 districts
in States of WB, AP, Orissa, Bihar, Jharkhand and UP
• First Semi annual Medium Term Agricultural Outlook Report
February 2013
• Prepared by National Council of Applied Economic Research
16