Transcript Slide 1
2007 ICCAT SCRS Executive Summay for Atlantic Bigeye Tuna Biology Distribution : 50N-45S, not in Mediterranean Swimming Behavior : extensive vertical movement, deeper during daytime, shallower at night. Spawning : tropical-subtropical, mature at age 3 Nursery : Gulf of Guinea Prey : fish, mollusk, crustacean Growth (relatively fast) : Age 3 (105 cm), Age 5 (140cm), Age 7 (163cm) Schooling behavior : Juveniles are mixed with yellowfin and skipjack Natural mortality : estimated by tagging data Stock structure : Atlantic wide BET Catch Fisheries : LL(45-50kg), North BB(20-30kg), PS+Trop BB(3-4kg) LL : Japan, Chinese Taipei, China, Philippines PS : EC-Spain+France, Ghana, Venezuela (in association with FADs) Figure 1. Catch by Gear 140000 Species compositio n data is important & improved for Ghana Other surf. 120000 100000 Longline 80000 Bait boat 60000 40000 2006 catch is 65,000 t 20000 Year 2005 2000 1995 1990 1985 1980 1975 1970 1965 1960 1955 0 1950 Catch (t) Purse seine BET Catch Distribution Figure 2. Geographic distribution of bigeye catches for most recent years (2002-2005) by major tuna fishery. BET Catch Unreported Catches 30000 25000 Catch (t) 20000 15000 NEI (Longline) 10000 5000 2005 2000 1995 1990 1985 1980 1975 1970 1965 1960 1955 1950 0 year Figure 3. Unreported catches estimated from trade statistics. BET abundance Indices Figure 4-1. Abundunce indices in number 2.5 Japan LL Chinese Taipei LL 2.0 US LL Scaled CPUE Brazil LL 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 BETabundance Indices Figure 4-2. Abundunce indices in weight 3.5 Japan LL Chinese Taipei LL US LL Brazil LL Azores BB ESP & FRA PS 3.0 Scaled CPUE 2.5 New CPUE 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 BET Abundance Indices Juvenile BET FAD Standardized CPUE 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 year 2001 2003 2005 BET Assessment Models Several types of assessment models including production models, VPA and a statistical integrated model (Multifan-CL) were applied to the available data. There was a range of stock status evaluations from the various model formulations applied, not all of which were judged to be equally likely. Consistent with previous assessments, the results from nonequilibrium production models are used to provide our best characterization of the status of the resource. The current MSY estimated using two types of production models was about 90,000 t and 93,000 t, although uncertainty in the estimates would broaden the range. In addition, these estimates reflect the current relative mixture of fisheries that capture small or large bigeye; MSY can change considerably with changes in the relative fishing effort exerted by surface and longline fisheries. BETModel Results Estimated MSY : 90,000 – 93,000 t 2.5 B/Bmsy F/Fmsy Figure 5. 2.0 Ratio 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 Year Trajectories of B-ratio and F-ratio obtained from ASPIC base case run. BETModel Results MFCL run results. Selectivity curve for each decade (left). MSY estimates. 1960s 1970s MSY estimates 1980s 1990s 2000s BET Model Results Figure 6. Estimated range of stock status results (B/BMSY and F/FMSY) in 2005 which characterizes our uncertainty in stock status (right panel). Time series of B/BMSY and F/FMSY from 1950 to 2005 (left panel). BET Outlook 85K Figure 7. Stock projections by ASPIC model assuming a catch of 71,000 t in 2006 and varying levels of the constant catch thereafter. BET Effects of current regulations Multi-year Conservation and Management Program Rec[04-01] sets : TAC for Major Countries at 90,000 t. A specific limit for the number of vessel for several country/entity. Closure for surface fisheries in the area 0˚-5˚N, 10˚ W-20˚W during November (in the Gulf of Guinea). The closure is much smaller in time and space compared to the previous one. Need to expand it if we want to be more effective. BET Trend in catches of small BET Percentage and number of BET less than 3.2 Kg. 90% 80% % 4th Q % Total % 1st Q Total number 20 15 50% 40% 10 30% 20% 5 Figure 8. 10% 0% 0 19 75 19 77 19 79 19 81 19 83 19 85 19 87 19 89 19 91 19 93 19 95 19 97 19 99 20 01 20 03 20 05 % of less 3.2kg 60% Number of catch (million) 70% Year BET Management Recommendation Projection indicates that catches of 85,000 t or less will permit the stock to rebuild in the future. However, if the entire catch limit set under 04-01 were to take and others stayed at recent level, the total catch could exceed 100,000 t. Considering above, the Committee recomends that the total catch not exceed 85,000 t. ATLANTIC BIGEYE TUNA SUMMARY Maximum Sustainable Yield 90,000 t-93,000 t 1 (68,000- 99,000) 2 Current (2006) Yield 65,000 t Replacement Yield 2006 Slightly below MSY1 Relative Biomass (B2006/BMSY) 0.921 (0.85-1.07)2 Relative Fishing Mortality FMSY 0.201 (0.07-0.33) 2 F2005/FMSY 0.871 (0.70-1.24) 2 Conservation & management measures in effect: [Rec. 04-01] replaced [Rec. 79-01 and Rec. 99-01] after June, 2005. − Total allowable catch for 2005 is set at 81,400 t for major country and entity − Limits on numbers of fishing vessels less than the average of 1991 and 1992. − Specific limits of number of longline boats; China(45), Chinese Taipei (98), Philippines (8). − Specific limits of number of purse seine boats for Panama (3). − No purse seine and baitboat fishing during November in the area encompassed by 0º-5ºN and 10º W-20º W. 1 Base Case production model (Logistic) results based on catch data 1950-2005. 2 80% confidence limits BET-Table 1. Estimated catches (t) of bigeye tuna (Thunnus obesus) by major area, gear and flag. TOTAL Landings Bait boat Longline Other surf. Purse seine Discards Longline Landings Angola Argentina Barbados Belize Belize (foreign obs.) Benin Brasil Cambodia Canada Cape Verde China P.R. Chinese Taipei Congo Cuba Côte D'Ivoire Dominica EC.España EC.France EC.Ireland EC.Poland EC.Portugal EC.United Kingdom FR.St Pierre et Miquelon Faroe Islands Gabon Ghana Grenada Guatemala Guinea Ecuatorial Iceland Japan Korea, Republic of Liberia Libya Maroc Mexico NEI (ETRO) NEI (Flag related) NEI (UK.OT) Namibia Netherlands Antilles Norway Panama Philippines Russian Federation S. Tomé e Príncipe Senegal Seychelles Seychelles (foreign obs.) Sierra Leone South Africa St. Vincent and Grenadines Sta. Lucia Togo Trinidad and Tobago U.S.A. U.S.S.R. UK.Bermuda UK.Sta Helena Uruguay Vanuatu Venezuela Discards Mexico 1981 67753 10124 41608 365 15656 0 0 0 0 0 0 40 505 0 0 72 0 1887 0 711 0 0 10010 8020 0 0 3086 0 0 0 0 780 0 0 0 0 22091 12274 0 0 622 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2500 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 381 0 0 0 0 158 2832 0 14 86 0 1684 0 1982 73493 6922 51805 290 14476 0 0 0 0 0 0 45 776 0 0 200 0 2147 0 521 0 0 9332 7074 0 4 1861 0 0 0 0 791 0 0 0 0 33513 10809 0 0 625 0 338 0 0 0 0 0 2844 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 137 0 0 0 0 422 635 0 23 397 0 999 0 1983 59370 9796 33757 163 15654 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 521 0 0 293 0 1623 0 421 0 0 8794 8124 0 0 4075 0 0 0 0 491 0 0 0 0 15212 9383 0 0 552 0 1141 46 0 0 0 0 2732 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 187 0 0 14 191 315 352 0 14 605 0 4284 0 1984 71052 11439 43303 247 16063 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 656 0 0 167 0 925 0 447 0 0 13617 4254 0 0 4354 0 0 0 0 2162 0 0 0 0 24870 8989 0 0 120 0 157 369 0 0 0 0 3165 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 60 0 0 52 41 539 1233 0 19 714 0 4142 0 1985 78215 17651 52595 415 7554 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 419 0 0 112 0 1220 8 239 0 0 10340 4615 0 0 6457 0 0 0 0 1887 0 0 0 0 32103 10704 0 0 30 0 0 354 0 0 0 0 4461 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 102 0 0 18 22 639 870 0 0 597 0 2918 0 1986 65396 15618 39942 550 9286 0 0 41 0 0 0 15 873 0 11 86 0 1125 19 171 0 0 10884 4266 0 0 7428 0 0 0 0 1720 0 0 0 0 23081 6084 0 0 0 0 0 758 0 0 0 0 5173 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 168 0 0 24 0 1085 1071 0 0 177 0 1136 0 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 55976 65796 78068 84337 95264 98434 12631 9710 12672 18106 17750 16248 35570 47758 58389 56537 61556 62359 626 469 636 287 434 604 7148 7859 6371 9407 15524 19223 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 72 50 17 78 22 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 7 8 10 10 7 756 946 512 591 350 790 0 0 0 0 0 0 144 95 31 10 26 67 60 117 100 52 151 105 0 0 0 0 0 0 1488 1469 940 5755 13850 11546 10 10 14 15 12 12 190 151 87 62 34 56 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8875 8475 8263 10355 14705 14656 3905 4161 3261 5023 5581 6888 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5036 2818 5295 6233 5718 5796 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1178 1214 2158 5031 4090 2866 0 0 0 0 65 25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 18961 32064 39540 35231 30356 34722 4438 4919 7896 2690 802 866 0 0 206 16 13 42 0 0 0 0 0 508 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 85 20 93 785 1221 2138 1406 2155 4650 5856 8982 6151 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 60 0 0 0 0 5616 3847 3157 5258 7446 9991 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 200 553 367 296 72 43 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 22 7 12 12 6 2 0 1 19 57 263 0 1074 1127 847 623 975 813 1887 1077 424 95 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 1 3 3 10 204 120 55 38 20 56 0 0 0 0 0 0 349 332 115 161 476 270 0 0 0 0 0 0 *An estimated Total Yield of 64701 t is obtained (0.2% larger), if 2005 figures of non-reporting Flags in 2006 are carried over to 2006. 1993 111568 16467 62871 648 31582 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 1256 0 124 85 70 13426 14 36 0 0 16782 12719 0 0 5616 0 0 0 1 3577 20 0 0 0 35053 377 65 1085 0 1 4594 4378 0 0 0 0 10138 0 0 0 9 0 0 0 88 3 0 86 3 1090 0 0 6 48 0 809 0 1994 132225 20290 78296 974 32665 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 601 0 111 209 428 19680 9 7 0 0 22096 12263 0 0 3099 0 0 0 87 4738 10 0 0 0 38503 386 53 500 0 4 5034 8964 36 7 0 0 13234 0 0 0 126 0 0 0 76 0 0 23 29 1402 0 0 6 37 0 457 0 1995 126284 25552 74816 561 25355 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 1935 0 148 66 476 18023 9 7 0 0 17849 8363 0 0 9662 0 0 0 10 5517 10 0 0 0 35477 423 57 400 0 0 5137 10697 0 29 0 0 9927 0 0 0 237 0 0 0 27 0 0 6 27 1209 0 0 10 80 0 457 0 1996 121131 18959 74900 353 26919 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 1707 0 144 16 520 21850 8 5 0 0 15393 9171 0 0 5810 0 0 0 0 5805 0 0 0 0 33171 1250 57 400 0 0 5839 11862 0 7 1893 0 4777 0 13 0 138 0 0 0 7 4 0 33 37 882 0 0 10 124 0 189 0 1997 108873 21037 68251 536 19049 0 0 0 24 0 0 30 1237 0 166 10 427 19242 0 0 0 0 12513 5980 0 0 5437 0 0 0 0 9829 1 0 4 0 26490 796 57 400 0 6 2746 16569 0 46 2890 0 2098 0 38 5 258 0 0 0 10 2 0 33 36 1138 0 0 12 69 0 274 0 1998 110008 21381 71836 428 16362 0 0 0 17 0 0 13 644 0 120 1 1503 16314 0 0 0 0 7115 5624 0 0 6334 0 0 0 0 13370 0 0 0 0 24330 163 57 400 0 8 1685 24896 0 16 2919 0 1252 1154 4 0 730 0 0 0 53 2 0 33 24 929 0 0 17 59 0 222 0 1999 127802 25868 76527 1373 24035 0 0 0 18 0 0 11 2024 32 263 1 7347 16837 0 0 0 0 13739 5529 0 0 3314 0 0 11 184 17764 0 0 0 1 21833 124 57 400 700 6 4011 24060 0 423 3428 0 580 2113 8 0 1473 0 0 0 55 1 0 0 19 1263 0 0 6 28 0 140 0 2000 102959 12634 71194 1221 17911 0 0 0 18 0 0 0 2768 0 327 2 6564 16795 0 0 2 0 11250 5949 0 0 1498 0 0 8 150 5910 0 0 0 0 24605 43 57 400 770 2 2285 15092 0 589 2359 0 952 975 91 0 1131 58 0 6 249 1216 0 0 5 574 0 0 8 25 0 226 0 2001 93767 15842 55265 1623 21037 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 2659 0 241 0 7210 16429 0 0 0 5 10134 4948 10 0 1605 0 0 0 121 12042 0 0 0 0 18087 1 57 31 857 2 3027 8470 0 640 2803 0 89 377 0 0 1308 0 0 2 239 506 1 0 11 1085 0 0 5 51 0 708 0 2002 76955 8367 46438 1475 20676 0 0 0 11 0 0 0 2582 0 279 1 5840 18483 0 16 0 0 10524 4293 0 0 2590 0 21 0 0 7106 0 0 0 0 15306 87 57 593 913 7 2248 531 0 274 1879 0 63 837 0 0 565 162 0 0 341 15 2 0 30 601 0 0 5 67 0 629 0 2003 91585 13437 54464 1313 22370 0 0 0 11 0 0 0 2455 0 182 1 7890 21563 0 16 0 0 10969 3940 0 0 1655 0 0 0 0 13557 0 0 0 0 19572 143 57 593 889 4 2504 0 0 215 2758 0 0 855 0 0 474 0 0 0 113 103 2 0 6 482 0 0 0 59 0 516 0 2004 86527 18879 48379 1234 18035 0 476 0 0 0 0 0 1496 0 143 1 6555 17717 0 0 0 0 8251 2926 0 0 3204 0 28 0 0 14901 0 0 0 0 18509 629 0 0 929 5 1387 0 0 177 3343 0 1521 1854 0 0 561 0 0 0 270 18 0 0 5 416 0 1 0 40 104 1060 0 2005 72738 15092 38872 534 18240 0 75 0 0 0 0 0 1081 0 187 1 6200 11984 0 0 0 0 7618 2816 33 0 4053 0 6 0 0 13917 0 1003 0 0 14772 770 0 0 519 4 1370 0 0 307 0 0 2310 1855 1 6 721 0 0 0 221 0 2 0 9 484 0 1 0 62 109 243 0 2006 64577 14671 32312 1447 16146 2006 %larger 64701 0.19 75 18 4 18 4 1479 1479 196 1 7200 2965 196 1 7200 2965 7464 2984 7464 2984 33 5068 3 5068 3 6 9141 9141 999 999 14772 2067 14772 2067 888 3 1516 888 3 1516 283 416 283 416 2415 1816 1 4 1267 2415 1816 1 4 1267 84 114 84 114 2 987 9 987 25 83 52 261 0 1 25 83 52 261 0