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Role of nuclear power in India’s power-mix Anil Kakodkar Department of Atomic Energy Scenarios for Total Installed Power Capacity in India (DAE-2004 and Planning Commission-2006 studies) 1600 1400 1200 GWe 1000 800 600 400 200 0 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 Year DAE PC_GDP-Growth 8% PC_GDP-Growth 9% 2060 Nuclear Base & Pessimistic Scenarios Installed Capacity 300.00 250.00 Additional Import of 6 GWe 200.00 No Additional Import beyond Kudankulam GWe NPCIL 40 150.00 100.00 50.00 0.00 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 Three Stage Nuclear Power Programme 95 90 84 84 86 Availability 85 79 80 75 70 65 60 55 90 91 90 72 69 89 Globally Advanced Technology Globally Unique Stage - II Fast Breeder Reactors Stage - III Thorium Based Reactors 75 World class performance 50 1995- 1996- 1997- 1998- 1999- 2000- 2001- 2002- 2003- 2004- 200596 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 Stage – I PHWRs • 14 - Operating • 4 - Under construction • 40 MWth FBTR • Several others planned Operating since 1985 • Scaling to 700 MWe Technology Objectives • Gestation period has realised been reduced • 500 MWe PFBR• POWER POTENTIAL Under Construction 10,000 MWe LWRs • 2 BWRs Operating • 2 VVERs under construction • POWER POTENTIAL 530,000 MWe • 30 kWth KAMINI- Operating • 300 MWe AHWRUnder Development POWER POTENTIAL IS VERY LARGE Availability of ADS can enable early introduction of Thorium on a large scale Comparison of Fuel Characteristics • Calorific value of fossil fuels (kcal/kg) Domestic Coal: 4000, Imported Coal: 5400, Naphtha: 10500, LNG: 9500 • Indian uranium-ore contains only 0.06% of uranium (Canada’s 18%), but this provides – 20 times more energy per tonne of mined material than coal when uranium is used in once through open cycle in PHWRs – 1200 to 1400 times more energy per tonne of mined material than coal when used in closed cycle based on FBRs • 1000 MWe Nuclear Power Plant needs movement of 12 trucks (10 Te/truck) of uranium fuel per year • 1000 MWe Coal Power Plant needs movement of 3,80,000 trucks (10 Te/truck) of coal per year Based on IAEA Bulletin 42, 2000 External Costs for various Electricity Generating Technologies Nuclear Power and Sustainable Development, IAEA, April 2006 Worldwide annual per capita effective dose (mSv) Worldwide average per capita dose from natural and man- made radiation 10 1 0.1 0.01 0.001 0.0001 Natural sources Diagnostic medical X-ray examination Atmospheric Nuclear testing Nuclear Power Production Nuclear Power and Sustainable Development, IAEA, April 2006 Air pollution impacts (PM10) and other impacts Relative environmental impact of different Technologies of electricity generation High Biomass Technologies Low Nuclear Existing coal technologies no gas cleaning New coal Natural gas technologies technologies Wind Low High Greenhouse gas impacts Nuclear Power and Sustainable Development, IAEA, April 2006 Levelised costs of generation of different power sources in various countries Photovoltaic Offshore wind Onshore wind Hypower Oil Natural gas Coal Nuclear Nuclear Power and Sustainable Development, IAEA, April 2006 Overnight Cost @ 2003 price level USD/kWe 2000 1000 MW 1600 700 1500 950 1000 700 1000 500 0 USA FRANCE CANADA S.KOREA Source NEA/ OECD Study, India: NPCIL Study IND-LWR IND-PHWR Levelised Cost of Generation Paise/ kWh at 2005-06 price level Source MW Cr/ MW Years Lev/ Cost Nuclear: 700 5.2 5 152 Coal : 500 4.0 3 164 Gas : 500 2.7 2 182 Assumptions: Discount rate: 5%, PLF 80% Gas @ 3$/ mmBtu,Coal:Delivered Rs1344/T If uranium is available at international prices, levelised cost of nuclear generation can come down to about 115 Nuclear electricity generation and capacity addition since 1966 Nuclear Power and Sustainable Development, IAEA, April 2006 Fast Breeder Reactor 500 MWe Fast Breeder Reactor – Construction launched on October 23, 2004 ADVANCED HEAVY WATER REACTOR 5 2 3 6 1 4 2 3 4 17 5 15 8 7 6 10 1 11 13 12 14 9 • BASIC DATA FUEL : U-233/THORIUM MOX + Pu-239/THORIUM MOX Secondary Containment COOLANT : BOILING LIGHT Primary Containment WATER Gravity Driven Water Pool Isolation Condenser MODERATOR : HEAVY WATER Passive Containment POWER : 300 MW(e) Isolation Duct 920 MW(t) Vent Pipe 7 Tail Pipe Tower 8 Steam Drum 9 100 M Floor 10 Fuelling Machine 11 Deck Plate 12 Calandria with End Shield 13 Header 14 Pile Supports 15 Advanced Accumulator 16 Pre - Stressing Gallery 16 17 Passive Containment Cooler • Structured peer review completed • Pre-licensing design safety appraisal by AERB in progress Accelerator based energy technology • Growth with Thorium systems Proton Accelerator Beam Beam Channel • Transmutation of long lived radionuclides Fission 233U Fission fragments LONG TERM R&D EFFORTS NEEDED Collimator Compact High Temperature Reactor INSULATION • Fluid fuel substitutes (Hydrogen) HEAT UTILIZING SYSTEM INTERFACE VESSELS CORE - ACCIDENT CONDITION HEAT PIPES GAS RECEIVER UPPER PLENUM - ACCIDENT CONDITION HEAT PIPES UPPER PLENUM NORMAL OPERATION - HEAT PIPES FUEL (U-233 Based) BeO GRAPHITE PASSIVE HEAT REMOVAL GAS HEADER REGULATING SYSTEM GAS HEADER • Other high STEEL temperature heat HIGH TEMP. MATERIAL applications LIQUID METAL (Zn) GAS GAP COPPER/ RADIAL HEAT PIPES HIGH 'K' MATERIAL START-UP HEATER HIGH TEMP. Pb-Bi RESISTANT MATERIAL INSULATION LOWER PLENUM POOL OF MOLTEN METAL Pb/Pb-Bi COOLANT CONTROL TUBE DRIVER TUBE REGULATING MECHANISM Steady state superconducting tokamak (SST-1) Pictures of SST-1 Tokamak at IPR, Gandhinagar • BASIC OBJECTIVE IS TO STUDY PHYSICS OF PLASMA PROCESSES IN TOKAMAK UNDER STEADY STATE CONDITIONS • SST-1 HAS BEEN FABRICATED AND ASSEMBLED. • COMMISSIONING IS IN PROGRESS Fusion Energy India is a member of ITER group Schematic of the prototype fusion breeder reactor Challenges and strategies • A country of the size of India cannot afford to plan its economy on the basis of large scale import of energy resources or energy technology • Indigenous development of energy technologies based on domestic fuel resources should be a priority for us. • Nuclear power must contribute about a quarter of the total electric power required 50 years from now, in order to limit energy import dependence in percentage terms at about the current level. Thank You