Transcript OTP - KTI
OTAM AUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGIES RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT COMPANY The Automotive Industry in Turkey 2008 and Beyond Prof.Dr. Ali G. Göktan OTAM President Board of Directors & General Coordinator Coordinator of Automotiv Technology Platform - TURKEY 05.09.2008 OTAM AUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGIES RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT COMPANY Information about Turkey Population Land Coast Line : : : 73 million 780.000 km2 8.333 km OTAM AUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGIES RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT COMPANY Number of Vehicles in TR (x1000) Number of vehicles and cars per 1000 people TR 2007:138 v., 92 c. EU 2006: 529 v., 471 c. W 2006: 144 v., 105 c. OTAM AUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGIES RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT COMPANY 1) JAPAN 2) 3) 4) USA CHINA GERMANY 5) MVI in World – 2007 (x 1.000) Ranking in EU (27) S. KOREA 6) FRANCE 7) 8) 9) Total 6 Buses LCV H.Trucks P.Cars 1 2 6 9 SPAIN BRAZIL CANADA 10) INDIA 11) MEXICO 12) ENGLAND 13) RUSSIA 14) ITALY 15) THAILAND 16) TURKEY 17) IRAN 18) CEK REPUBLIC 19) BELGIUM 20) POLAND 2008 Production 1.300.000 Capacity 1.500.000 Exports 950.000 Market 675.000 Development of MVI in Turkey: 1960/2010 OTAM AUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGIES RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT COMPANY 1960-1970 1970-1980 License Assembly Development of Component ınd. 1990-1995 Global Competition Localization Increase in Capacity 1980-1990 Free Market Protected Market Modernization Up-to-date Model Export 1995-2000 Up-to-date Model Transition Period Full integration Manufacturing Base 2000-2012 Research & Development, Design & Technology Management, Intellectual & Industrial Property TARGET FOR 2012 : CENTER of EXCELLENCE OTAM AUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGIES RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT COMPANY MV Manufacturers in Turkey OTAM AUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGIES RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT COMPANY Motor Vehicle Manufacturers (2008) Companies Ownership TOFAŞ O.RENAULT TOYOTA HYUNDAI ASSAN HONDA Partner Product Capacity Vehicle/Year JV FIAT JV RENAULT P.Cars FDI TOYOTA JV HYUNDAI FDI HONDA P.Cars Total FORD OTOSAN JV FORD HYUNDAI ASSAN JV HYUNDAI KARSAN Local PEUGEOT B.M.C. Local Local OTOYOL JV IVECO CV M.BENZ TÜRK JV M.BENZ ANADOLU ISUZU JV ISUZU TEMSA Local Local ASKAM Local Local OTOKAR Local LAND ROVER M.A.N. FDI MAN CV Total 400.000 360.000 150.000 100.000 50.000 1.060.000 295.000 25.000 25.000 22.000 18.000 13.000 13.000 11.000 9.000 8.000 4.000 443.000 Total 1.503.000 OTAM MVI Integration AUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGIES RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT COMPANY Number of Manufacturers Link With Non-EU Link With EU 15 5 (26 % of 2007 production) * JV 4 * License 1 7 (72 % of 2006 production) * JV * License Local 6 1 3 (2 % of 2006 production) Link With EU Manufacturers Link With Non-EU Manufacturers Fiat Group JV Isuzu JV Ford JV Toyota FDI MAN FDI M. Benz JV Mitsubishi L Renault JV Honda FDI Rover Group L Hyundai JV Peugeot L Hino L OTAM AUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGIES RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT COMPANY Around Automotive Component Industry In Turkey 1.000 Component Suppliers: 350 Of Them Are Global Supplier International Accreditation: Quality – ISO 16949, Environment - ISO 14001 Well Trained Work Force: Around 250.000 Cost Advantage: High Productivity and Relatively Less Labor Wage Significant Experience In Their Field Able To Meet Global Standards Able To Compete In Global Markets Experience In Export Activities OTAM Changes in Last 6 Years (x 1.000) AUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGIES RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT COMPANY 1.000 1.400 1.200 Production 1.100 800 706 988 1.000 823 879 600 519 800 534 600 400 X 3.17 347 0 X 3.17 262 200 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1.000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Exports / Million $ 20.500 25.000 Total Market 763 746 670 20.000 640 600 14.560 15.000 401 10.020 400 200 561 359 400 200 800 830 Exports 11.540 10.000 X 3.65 175 0 6.518 5.000 X 4.72 4.344 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 OTAM Exports Share in Total Production is Over 75% AUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGIES RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT COMPANY 1.600 100 Production 1.200 1.000 90 % Rate of Exports in 1.400 71 Total Production 75% P. Cars 80% 73 71 75 64 62 62 70 60 800 50 30 600 40 22 400 200 12 13 5 8 9 1997 1998 3 2 0 1992 1993 Exports 10 8 15 37 42 31 Production 345 453 269 326 329 400 3 2 5 12 13 8 9 Exports (%) 80 1994 1995 1996 30 20 10 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 37 91 104 202 262 359 508 552 697 820 405 326 468 286 357 562 823 879 988 1.100 30 22 71 73 64 62 62 71 75 0 OTAM AUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGIES RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT COMPANY Prospects of the Turkish Automotive Industry In The Short Term Production: Over 1,0 Million Exports: Over 0,8 Million In The Medium Term Production: 2,0 Million Exports: 1,5 Million Already Realized Can be Achieved Which Corresponds To An Employment Of 500,000 Persons And Exports Of $ 40 Billion This Requires An Additional Investment Of At Least $ 5 Billion OTAM AUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGIES RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT COMPANY R&D Expenditures in TR • The share of R&D expenditures in GDP is 0,66% in 2002, 0,76% in 2006. • It is increasing but still less then 1% • The target for 2013 is 2% • The share of private sector in R&D Expenditures is increasing Sector 2002 2006 USA EU27 TR 2013 Target Higher Education 64 51 14 23 26 Private Sector 29 37 69 62 60 7 12 12 14 14 Public Sector OTAM AUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGIES RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT COMPANY (*) TUBITAK Industrial R&D Support Programme • R&D expenditures of the industrial companies are reimbursed on project basis, up to 60 %. Automotive % Number of Applied Companies 154 1884 8,2 Submitted Projects 498 4377 11,4 Supported Projects 363 3210 11,3 114,2 456,8 25,2 Grant (M $) (Between 1995 and first half of 2007) (*) The All Fields Scientific and Technological Council of Turkey OTAM AUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGIES RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT COMPANY TUBITAK Industrial R&D Support Programme Grants (1995-2007) Supported Projects (1995-2007) Automotive projects have the biggest share in all of the other industrial R&D Fields (Textile, ICT, Biotechnology. etc.) OTAM AUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGIES RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT COMPANY TUBITAK Industrial R&D Support Programme Number of projects and grant amounts are increasing. OTAM AUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGIES RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT COMPANY Engineering Workforce in Automotive Companies OTAM Automotive Companies with major R&D Capabilities AUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGIES RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT COMPANY Company production BMC Minibus, Lorry Ford Otosan Commercial Vehicles Mercedes Benz Turk Bus, Lorry Otokar Minibus, Armed Vehicles Temsa Bus, Midi bus Tofaş Passenger Car, LCV Total number of R&D personnel of these companies today are ≈ 1.400 Target for 2010 is ≈ 3.000 OTAM AUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGIES RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT COMPANY • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • R&D Activities in TR Automotive Companies Vehicle Design Crash Analysis Acoustic Analysis Dynamic and Kinematic Simulations Fatigue Calculations Engine Development Alternative Fuels Fuel Cell Hybrid Vehicles ECU & Battery Development Prototyping Alternative Materials Characterization and Application Analysis and Integration of Alternative Powertrain Systems Vehicle Dynamics Improvement Activities Development of Active and Passive Safety Technologies Intelligent Mobility System Applications Component Based and Full Vehicle Structural Analysis Vehicle Dynamics CFD Analysis Membership of APSN in FP6 Participation to GREEN (IP) in FP6 OTAM AUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGIES RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT COMPANY Independent Test Laboratories in TR OTAM Automotive Technologies Research and Development Company OTAM was established in collaboration with Istanbul Technical University (ITU), Automotive Manufacturers Organization (OSD), Association of Automotive Parts and Components Manufacturers(TAYSAD), and Uludag Automotive Exporting Union (UIB) in order to carry out of pre-production research and development and product testing efforts of the automotive industry and its suppliers in cooperation with the university. (OTAM is a full member of EARPA and participates on task forces) OTAM AUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGIES RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT COMPANY Independent Test Laboratories in TR OTAM Automotive Laboratory contains equipment that can undertake research and measurements related with the • improvement of vehicle performance and dynamic, • minimization of exhaust emission and fuel consumption, • minimization of noise emissions and vibrations, • chassis-body deformation, • tension and fatigue analyses; • Homologation(*) tests about; – Exhaust emissions, – Noise, performance, – Safety, conformity and reliability (*) Authorization from Ministry of Trade and Industry for total of 45 EU Regulations and 36 Directives on Type Approval Testing. EU Code: (E 37/C) OTAM AUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGIES RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT COMPANY Independent Test Laboratories in TR TUBITAK Marmara Research Center Energy Institute Vehicle Technologies Research Group OTAM AUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGIES RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT COMPANY Independent Test Laboratories in TR METU BILTIR Center OTAM AUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGIES RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT COMPANY Independent R&D Companies in TR • OTAM A.Ş. (http://www.otam.com.tr/) – – – – – – – – – – Vibration Fatigue Vehicle Chassis design Simulation of control circuit “driver, vehicle and environment” Generic road profiles Vehicle acoustic IC Engine Design Combustion and emissions modeling Tribology Alternative fuels OTAM AUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGIES RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT COMPANY Independent R&D Companies in TR • Hexagon Studio (http://www.hexagonstudio.com.tr/) − − − − − − − − − − Concept Development, Style Design and Ergonomics: Design, Development and Virtual Product: Installation layouts Homologation drawings, Service drawings A-Class Surfacing Part modeling & designing, Digital Assembly, Virtual Prototyping. CAE (Computer Aided Engineering) CAD refinement / Mid-surface Generation Mesh generation Sub system modeling FEA assembly generation NVH (Acoustic) Subsystem level analyses Acoustic Space Analysis Correlation test Durability Subsystem level analyses Rapid Prototyping: OTAM AUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGIES RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT COMPANY Independent R&D Companies in TR • Figes (http://www.figes.com.tr) − − − − − − − − Structural Mechanics Multibody Simulation Computational Fluid Dynamics Heat Transfer Optimization Metal Forming Simulation Fatigue and Fracture Mechanics System Modeling and Control OTAM AUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGIES RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT COMPANY Independent R&D Companies in TR • Bias (http://www.bias.com.tr) • Linear and nonlinear finite element structural analysis (metal, composite, plastic) • Fatigue and durability analysis • Buckling analysis (eigenvalue and with nonlinear methods) • Contact problems • Spring back analysis • Elastic - Plastic forming • Heat transfer problems • Dynamic simulations (rigid body dynamics, flexible body dynamics) • Mechanical system simulation • Rubber-metal part analysis • Hot - Cold forging simulations • Biomechanical analysis (chin, implant, hipbone) • Manufacturing simulation (metal forming) • Process simulation • Explosion simulation • Crash – Drop tests • PCL development (defining macros in MSC.Patran) OTAM AUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGIES RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT COMPANY National Automotive Technology Platform –Turkey • TUBITAK acts as a Catalyst • TUBITAK has started a new program to support the foundation of Technology Platforms in Turkey • The partners should consist of the industry, related associations, universities, research institutions, related public bodies • TUBITAK supports half of the expenses OTAM AUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGIES RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT COMPANY Automotive Technology Platform Objectives • Bring together all the stake holders in automotive industry in Turkey • Jointly determine the vision for Turkish automotive industry • Jointly determine the strategic research areas (SRA) to achieve the vision • Organize for pre-competitive R&D projects on national and European level in line with the SRA determined • Communicate with TUBITAK and related European Technology Platforms to create awareness for the vision and SRA • Review the vision and SRA periodically each year OTAM AUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGIES RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT COMPANY Technology Platform Structure (*) (*) Undersecretariat for Foreing Trade, General Directorats of Highways, Municipalities OTAM AUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGIES RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT COMPANY for more information Prof.Dr. Ali G. Göktan [email protected] [email protected] 05.09.2008