Transcript Research and Development in the FY 2010 Federal Budget

Federal and University
R&D Funding in Context
Matt Hourihan
March 1, 2015
for the APLU CGA Winter Meeting
AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program
http://www.aaas.org/program/rd-budget-and-policy-program
Federal R&D Outlays Since 1962
(billions of constant 2015 dollars; excludes R&D plant)
$180
$160
$140
$120
$100
$80
$60
$40
$20
$0
Defense R&D Outlays
Source: OMB data. © 2015 AAAS
Nondefense R&D Outlays
Total R&D Outlays
Federal R&D in the Budget and the Economy
Outlays as share of total, 1962 - 2016
14.0%
2.5%
12.0%
2.0%
10.0%
1.5%
8.0%
6.0%
1.0%
4.0%
0.5%
2.0%
0.0%
0.0%
R&D as a Share of the Federal Budget (Left Scale)
R&D as a Share of GDP (Right Scale)
Source: Budget of the United States Government, FY 2016. FY 2016 is the President's request. © 2015 AAAS
R&D as a Share of GDP by Funder
3.5%
3.0%
2.5%
2.0%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
0.0%
Total
Federal
Industry
Source: National Science Foundation, National Patterns of R&D Resources series. © 2015 AAAS
Other
Research as a Share of GDP by Funder
1.2%
1.0%
0.8%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.0%
Total Research
Federal Research
Industry Research
Source: National Science Foundation, National Patterns of R&D Resources series. © 2015 AAAS
Other
University R&D Funding by Source
expenditures in billions, FY 2015 dollars
$70
$60
$50
$40
$30
$20
$10
$0
Other Sources
Institutional Funds
Industry
State and Local
Source: NSF, Higher Education R&D survey series. Includes Recovery Act funding. © 2015 AAAS
Federal
University R&D as a Share of GDP by Source
0.45%
0.40%
0.35%
0.30%
0.25%
0.20%
0.15%
0.10%
0.05%
0.00%
Total
Federal
State and Local
Industry
Institution funds
All other
Source: NSF, Higher Education R&D survey series, and GDP data from OMB. Includes Recovery Act funding. © 2015 AAAS
University R&D Funding by Source
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Other Sources
Institutional Funds
Industry
State and Local
Source: NSF, Higher Education R&D survey series. Includes Recovery Act funding. © 2015 AAAS
Federal
R&D Change by Budget Function, 2005-2015
Percent change from FY 2005 in constant dollars
52.7%
Applied Energy Programs
51.3%
Commerce (NIST)
19.1%
General Science (NSF, DOE SC)
-7.3%
NASA Budget*
Environment Agencies
-9.7%
Health (NIH)
-10.6%
-14.2%
Agriculture
-20.5%
Defense Activities
Transportation
-60%
-40.3%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
*NASA has changed its R&D reporting and classifications multiple times over the years. Total agency budget is shown here rather than R&D.
Source: AAAS analysis of historical data and current R&D data, agency budget justifications, and other budget documents. Select DHS
programs changed functions over the years; the above data have been adjusted for comparability. © 2015 AAAS
Limits on Discretionary Spending Since FY 2010
billions of constant 2015 dollars
$1,200
$1,150
$1,100
$1,050
$1,000
$950
$900
Actual Base Budget Authority
Based on past budget resolutions, the Budget Control Act, and subsequent legislation. Adjusted for inflation using deflators from the FY16
budget request. © AAAS 2015
Limits on Discretionary Spending Since FY 2010
billions of constant 2015 dollars
$1,200
$1,150
$1,100
$1,050
$1,000
$950
$900
Actual Base Budget Authority
BCA: Original Baseline
BCA: Sequester Baseline
Based on past budget resolutions, the Budget Control Act, and subsequent legislation. Adjusted for inflation using deflators from the FY16
budget request. © AAAS 2015
Limits on Discretionary Spending Since FY 2010
billions of constant 2015 dollars
$1,200
$1,150
$1,100
$1,050
$1,000
$950
$900
Actual Base Budget Authority
BCA: Original Baseline
BCA: Sequester Baseline
Current Law
Based on past budget resolutions, the Budget Control Act, and subsequent legislation. Adjusted for inflation using deflators from the FY16
budget request. © AAAS 2015
Limits on Discretionary Spending Since FY 2010
billions of constant 2015 dollars
$1,200
$1,150
$1,100
$1,050
$1,000
$950
$900
Actual Base Budget Authority
BCA: Original Baseline
BCA: Sequester Baseline
Current Law
President's FY 2016 Budget
Based on past budget resolutions, the Budget Control Act, and subsequent legislation. Adjusted for inflation using deflators from the FY16
budget request. © AAAS 2015
Composition of the Proposed FY 2016 Budget
Total Outlays = $4.0 trillion
outlays in billions of dollars
Net Interest
$283
Defense
Discretionary
$528
[Defense R&D]
$77
Other Mandatory
$670
Nondefense
Discretionary
$495
Medicaid
$351
[Nondefense R&D]
$69
Medicare
$583
Social Security
$938
Source: Budget of the United States Government FY 2016. Projected deficit is $474 billion. © 2015 AAAS
FY16 R&D in the Base Budget by Function
percent change from FY 2015, nominal dollars
Commerce (NIST)
44.8%
Applied Energy Programs
23.3%
Agriculture
20.5%
Transportation
17.8%
Environment Agencies
12.6%
Defense Activities
8.1%
General Science (NSF, DOE SC)
5.0%
Health (NIH)
2.2%
Space
0.9%
-35.5%
Justice (DHS)
TOTAL
-40%
6.4%
-20%
0%
20%
Source: OMB R&D data, agency budget justifications, and agency budget documents. © 2015 AAAS
40%
60%
Total R&D by Agency, FY 2016
budget authority in billions of dollars
Commerce, $2.1
All Other, $6.2
USDA, $2.9
Total R&D =
$145.3 billion
NSF, $6.3
NASA, $12.2
DOE, $12.5
DOD, $71.9
HHS (NIH), $31.0
Source: OMB R&D data, agency budget justifications, and other agency documents and data. R&D includes conduct of R&D and
R&D facilities. © 2015 AAAS
Current Estimates of R&D in the FY16 Budget
percent change from FY15, constant dollars
NIST
NOAA
Transportation
DOE Energy Programs
Agriculture
US Geological Survey
DOD Other
Environ Protection Agency
Veterans Affairs
National Science Foundation
DOE Science
National Institutes of Health
NASA
DOE Defense
DOD S&T
Homeland Security
TOTAL
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Based on AAAS analyses of OMB, OSTP and agency budget data. The above adjusts for inflation, expected at 1.6 percent. AAAS | Feb. 6, 2015
Thanks!
[email protected]
202-326-6607
http://www.aaas.org/program/rd
-budget-and-policy-program