Transcript CCB Format - Gulf Coast Chapter

Air Armament Center
War-Winning Capabilities…On Time, On Cost
Portfolio Results
Industry Day
Dr. L. Bruce Simpson
Director
308th Armament Systems Wing
850-883-0673
[email protected]
DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A: Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Strategy for Seamless Transition
War-Winning Capabilities…On Time, On Cost
– Co-located key Personnel for Maximum Synergy
– Utilized “Best Practices” from the 3 Organizations
– Conducted Leadership Off-sites to Ensure Collaboration
– Initiated Feedback Loop for Group Workflow Managers
– Streamlined Administrative Processes
Air-to-Ground
Air-to-Air
Combat Support
2
Acquisition Wing
War-Winning Capabilities…On Time, On Cost
308th ARSW
Dr. Bruce Simpson, CL
308th ARSW
Col Michelle Miller Peck, DV
Technical Director
Mr. Christopher Clay
308th ARSG
Long Range Systems
328th ARSG
Air Dominance
308th ARSW
Mr. John Batog, DV (Navy)
Chief of Contracting
Mr. Gary Williams
408th ARSG
Armament Support
708th ARSG
Direct Attack
Col Socha, CC
Col Rumph, CC
676th ARSS
693rd ARSS
675th ARSS
678th ARSS
689th ARSS
JASSM
Lethal SEAD
JASSM Intrnat’l
JDAM
Range Inst Sys
677th ARSS
695th ARSS
680th ARSS
679th ARSS
683rd ARSS
SFW
684th ARSS
WCMD
AIM-120C
JDAM Intrnat’l
696th ARSS
690th ARSS
AIM-120D
Det 1
Short Range Msl
Operation Spt
Ms. Rutledge, CL
728th ARSG
Test and Training
Col Griggs, CC
JASSM-ER
Mr. May, CL
Chief Financial Officer
Ms. Della McPhail
Chief of Logistics
Ms. Margaret Villagran
808th ARSG
Advanced Programs
Mr. Rutledge, CL
685th ARSS
Sys Interf
&
Integ
691st ARSS
686th ARSS
Fuze
Aerial Targ Sys
Spc Prog/Proj
688th ARSS
672nd ARSS
687th ARSS
CRIIS
Adv Programs
Agile Combat Spt
918th ARSG
Miniature Munitions
Col Justice, CC
681st ARSS
SDB Inc 1
682nd ARSS
SDB Inc 2
694th ARSS
AMRAAM Intrna’l
692nd ARSS
671st ARSS
MALD
Weaponeering
3
308 ARSW Highlights
FLM
War-Winning Capabilities…On
Time, On Cost
– Transferred Technology from AFRL Mar 07
P5 CTS
ADS
– Testing Successful
308 ARSG
328 ARSG
408 ARSG
–
Pods
Fielded
at
10
of
25
Long Range Attack
AirinDominance
Armament
Gov’t Acceptance
Testing
Ongoing
––Residuals
Warfighter
Hands
Early Support
Planned
AF/Navy Bases
708 ARSG
Direct Attack
at Kirtland
– Sortie
Success Rate:
97.7% Urgent
– CENTAF
LJDAM
– Ops EvalAMRAAM
planned
Weaponeering
MALDOperational Need
40,956
Flown
for–April
08Sorties
––AIM
120C7:
Completed
OT New
&
–Completed
Developed & Published
–Well
Completing Ops
Fielding
Proceeding
Developmental
– Transitioning
to 808 ARSG
08
Collateral Damage
Estimation
Utility May
Evaluation
Testing
Tables
in OIF / OEF
– AIM
120D:Used
Developmental
728 ARSG
808
ARSG
918 ARSG
–
On
Track
for
Testing
Shots
Underway
st Qtr FY09Miniature Munitions
––Milestone
C in
Test
& Trainingof
Advanced
Release
JWS
2.0,April
1Programs
08 fielding
3rd Qtr FY08
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GWOT Successes
War-Winning Capabilities…On Time, On Cost
Over 28,000 Total Combat Drops OEF/OIF
(JDAM, DSU-33, JPF, SDB, SFW, WCMD)
• JDAM
– 2007: Delivered 124,546 Units – 3,455 Combat Drops
– Proven Ability to End Combat Engagements!
• JPF
– 2007: Delivered 34,377 Fuzes – 3,120 Combat Drops
– Operational Reliability 98% (95% requirement)
• DSU-33
– 2007: Delivered 131,504 Units - 1180 Combat Drops
• SDB
– 49 Total Combat Drops
– ~40,000 Captive Flight Hours on F-15E
Government / Industry Team Delivering Capability
to the Warfighter
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GWOT Lessons Learned
War-Winning Capabilities…On Time, On Cost
•
Changing Face of War Causes Changes in How We Fly/Fight
– Increased Precision
– Ability to Attack Moving Targets
– LJDAM: On Track for Fielding Apr 08
– Minimize Collateral Damage
– FLM: Tested and Delivered 50 Assets to
Warfighter 3 Months Early
– Dramatic Increase in Captive Carry Hours
for Air-to-Ground Munitions
– SDB approx. 40,000 hours
•
GWOT Has Presented Us With Challenges
– Our Tactics Must Evolve as Our Enemy Adapts
– ADS: Non-lethal DE Weapon; Perimeter Protection-- Deters Advancing Adversary
– Advancements in Technology Required to Counter Increasingly Mobile
Enemies Located in Dense Populations
Solving Present Day Challenges While Developing
Capabilities to Fight and Win the Next Conflict
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AAC Portfolio MARs Performance
Jan 07
62% GREEN
28% YELLOW
10% RED
War-Winning Capabilities…On Time, On Cost
Jan 08
75% GREEN
12.5% YELLOW
12.5% RED
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Acquisition Challenges
War-Winning Capabilities…On Time, On Cost
– Disciplined Integrated Assessment Approach
– Sound Systems Engineering
Acquisition
– Realistic Planning
– Robust Risk Reduction
– Life Cycle Considerations Up Front
– Design for the “ilities”
– Relevant Capability
Cost Sufficiency Review
On Schedule, On Cost
– Customer/Requirement Focus
Strategy
Integrated Assessment Process Leads to
Higher Confidence Programs
8
Focus Areas
War-Winning Capabilities…On Time, On Cost
• Identify and Manage Risk
• Probability of Success
• Sufficiency Reviews
• Program Reviews
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Identify and Manage Risk
War-Winning Capabilities…On Time, On Cost
• Standard processes
integral part of doing
business
• Activity before Risk ID
is standard work with
defined solutions
• Expanding the suite of
tools to ID and Analyze
risk
WBS
Risk
Cube
Sufficiency
Reviews
PoPS
PMRs
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Probability of Program Success
War-Winning Capabilities…On Time, On Cost
Intent
•
Agreed-to risk levels documented and
recorded
•
Don’t shoot messenger when program
encounters problems
•
Predictive metrics can identify watch areas
to a PM before problem erupts
•
Better prediction of future issues
•
Ability to look at scoring trends over time
2007 Probability of Program Success
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Months
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Program Take Aways
•
Beginning to institutionalize
•
Windshield chart affects decisions on
resources
•
Trend of red to green as mitigation plans
implemented
•
Synergy generated by effective
assessments
•
Audits since June raising confidence
•
Focused program priorities
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Sufficiency Reviews
War-Winning Capabilities…On Time, On Cost
O N D J F M A M J J A S
Notes
AIR-TO-GROUND PROGRAMS
AIR-TO-AIR PROGRAMS
COMBAT SUPPORT PROGRAMS
Benefits
•
Realistic planning early
•
Instills discipline
•
Encourages communication between
functionals
•
Forums for exchanging best practices
•
Gives team a clear vector
•
More efficient ASP—Establishes baseline
NEW CONCEPT PROGRAMS
AAC Totals
3 1 4 3 2 3 1 1 1 0 1 2
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Investment
•
22 reviews in 2007
•
Program reviewed by about 40 senior and
experienced experts
•
Approx 5000 man hours in reviews
Issues Identified
•
Cost risk in planning for averages
•
Need specific exit criteria
•
Test schedule and resources
•
Sustainment planning
•
Production phasing
•
Leadership awareness of resource
requirements
“Plans are nothing; planning is everything”
Dwight D. Eisenhower
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Integrating Program and Cost Risk
War-Winning Capabilities…On Time, On Cost
• Integrate “risk cube” and PoPS
into cost estimate
• Dependencies between WBS
elements
• Specific risks determine
funding for confidence
• Monte Carlo simulation
• Better risk ID and
modeling
$
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PMR “Deep Dives”
War-Winning Capabilities…On Time, On Cost
•
•
•
•
Conducted by Wing Director/SPDs—1 per Wk
Each Program Reviewed Every 12 Weeks
Program Manager’s Format
Areas Reviewed: Schedule, Financials, Risks,
PoPS Action Plans
• Raises leadership awareness—addresses
PMs needs
• Foundation for Advising PEO
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Industry’s Role
War-Winning Capabilities…On Time, On Cost
• Robust Systems Engineering
• Vendor and Supplier
Management
• Reliable, Quality Products
• Cost and Schedule Realism
15
Summary
War-Winning Capabilities…On Time, On Cost
• Trends Moving in the Right Direction
• Implementing Processes for
Continuous Improvement
Our Goal
With Higher Confidence Provide
War-Winning Capabilities. . .On Time. . .On Cost
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