Transcript Mitigating the KFC - APAN Community SharePoint

Mitigating the KFC
Stakeholders
IPM
SIS
CTF
Materials
Public
Face ?
MPAK
Sanctuary
MW
Incidental
Attacks
KFC
Terror
Actions
Cadre
KUH Govt
Mestizo
Understanding KFC
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Aim / Motivation
Strength & Structure
Weapons & Capabilities
Funding / Supplies
Sanctuaries and Support
Tactics & Modus Operandi
Likely Targets
Where, When, How
Background
Intel
Actionable
Intel
IMAGERY, COMINT, HUMINT
Lines of Ops
• Anti-terrorist operations
– Prevent
– Contain
– Eliminate
• People-based Operations
– Mestizo
– Local leaders
Military
Info
Social
Economic
• Engage in dialogue
–
–
–
–
KFC leadership
MPAK
Isla Del Sol (SIS)
Free Mojave (MW)
Diplomacy
Info
• Make Kuhistan capable of anti-terrorist operations.
Prevent
Contain
Military
Eliminate ?
Lines of Communication
Likely Govt targets
Population Centres
CBRN detection & Mitigation
Psy Ops
Border Management
Maritime (Weapons control)
Camps (Isolation)
Area Domination (deny movement)
Anti-drug (deny funding)
Psy Ops
Camps
Search & Destroy Operations
Leadership
Defensive Actions
Concept of Ops
• Prevention, Containment & Engagement
Strategy Map
END STATE
Military
To Mitigate
KFC’s effort
in disrupting
CTF
operation in
Kuhistan
Diplomacy / Info Ops / Economic / Social
Strategy Map
END STATE
Military
Prevent
•
•
•
Contain
•
•
•
•
•
Protection of Lines of Communication
– Log Supply to CTF
– IHC movement
Likely targets
– Symbols of Govt authority
– Industrial buildings
Population Centres
– Salt Lake City
– Provo
– Spokane
– Boise
Isolation
– Border Management
– Maritime Ops (SLOCs from IDS)
– Camps (Training areas of KFC – Great Basin)
Area Domination (deny freedom of movement)
– Spokane, Bosie, SLC, Provo
– IDPs
– Around likely Govt Targets
Population Control Measures (Deny Support)
– Physical checks
– Resource Control
Anti-Narcotics (deny funding)
CBRN Detection and mitigation
To Mitigate
KFC’s effort
in disrupting
CTF
operation in
Kuhistan
Strategy Map
Diplomacy / Info Ops / Economic / Social
Engagement
•
•
•
•
•
Dialogue
– MPAK (support for CTF’s commitment to
peaceful resolution)
– KFC leadership (to cease offensive
action and seek avenues for rehab)
People-based operations
– Mestizos (denial to KFC action and
support for CTF)
– Local Leader
Info Operations
– Continue building CTF’s creditability and
commitment
– Condemnation of KFC’s action
– Support from local populace,
intelligence gathering on KFC
Training/Education
– Capability of KUH to conduct antiterrorist ops
Timely Sharing of Information
END STATE
To Mitigate
KFC’s effort
in disrupting
CTF
operation in
Kuhistan
CTF Action List
ISSUES
MEASURES
ACTIONS BY
RFI
Protection of Line of
Communication
• Protect Salt Lake City
Seaport (main SPOD for HA)
(1 Inf Bn(-))
• CTF (Mobile)
• What are the
condition of roads
between the 3 hotspots
and if IED operations
are likely?
Log supply to CTF
IHC movt
Likely Targets
Govt Tgt
Industrial Bldg
• Local Forces
& Police (static)
• Maintain LOC between the 3
hotspots, Salt Lake City, Boise
and Spokane
(1 Inf Bn)
• Protection of govt building,
police station, Parliament
house, etc
• Local
authorities
• Which are the KINs in
the various key towns,
and what are the
existing security
measures in place?
• Local
Authorities
• Which are the
population centres with
high human traffic flow
and if there is a
pattern?
• Chemical industry and
Nuclear Plant
• Timely Intel cooperation
Population Centre
Places where people
congregate
Incidents put Govt in
bad light
• Bus depot, train stations,
market, shopping mall, govt
office
(1 Inf Coy)
•With CTF
Observers
CTF Action List
ISSUES
MEASURES
ACTIONS BY
RFI
Isolation
• Check Post
• Observation Post
• Patrol
• Joint maritime ops
• KUH Border
Gds / Armed
Forces / Police
• KUH Coast
Gds and CTF
Maritime Comd
• Where are the likely
sanctuaries of KFC,
what are their
ingress/egress points
and routes? Availability
of real-time imagery of
these areas
• What are the current
Border control
arrangement?
• Where are the likely
KFC training camps
and weapon caches?
• 2/3 KUH
Police
• 1/3 CTF
• Sanctuary – hiding
places and supporters
• Tactics that they are
likely to employ
Border Mgt
Maritime Ops
Trg Camps of KFC
• Joint ops by KUH military and
CTF (1/3 & 2/3 concept)
(1 Inf Bn)
Area Domination
• Joint Patrol & Surveillance
(1 Inf Coy)
Deny freedom of movt
fringing key population
and industrial centres
CTF Action List
ISSUES
MEASURES
ACTIONS BY
RFI
Population Control
• Checks Post in town centres
• KUH Police
• CTF
Resource control
• Restrict / control critical
supplies, eg morphine,
batteries, explosive derivatives
• Info on known terrorist
• Tactics that they are
likely to employ
Anti-Narcotics
• Smuggling control
• Check Post
• Observation Post
• Patrol
• KUH
authorities
• Int’l Agency
assistance
• Areas where drugs
are processed
• Drugs distribution
networks
• Convince MPAK of CTF
commitment
• Create conditions for
meaningful dialogue between
KFC and KUH Govt
• Convince Mestizo populace
that KUH Govt is committed to
address issues of
discrimination
• Tripartite –
CTF, KUH Govt
and KFC
• Personality profile of
key personnel
Source of funding for
KFC
Engagement
Dialogue with MPAK
Dialogue with KFC
CTF Action List
ISSUES
MEASURES
ACTIONS BY
RFI
People based
operations
• Dignified conduct
• No bias actions
• Social Structure
• Opinion Leaders
Mestizos
• Dialogue with local leaders
• KUH Local
authority
(Observers and
Joint ops with
CTF)
Local Leaders of the
other ethnic groups
Information
Operations
• Continue building CTF’s
creditability and commitment
• Condemnation of KFC’s
action
• Support from local populace,
intelligence gathering on KFC
• CTF
• Local Media
Training / Education
• Co-operation in-threatre
• Education & Training of civil
authorities
• CTF
• UN PKF
CTF Action List
ISSUES
MEASURES
ACTIONS BY
Timely sharing of
information
• Estab formal network
(meetings and dialogues with
parties involved)
• CTF
• Estab Informal channel for
info sharing (eg forces on the
ground, local leaders, etc)
• MNF
RFI