Mission Analysis - APAN Community SharePoint

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Transcript Mission Analysis - APAN Community SharePoint

“COMBINED”

TASK FORCE TRAINING

Mission Analysis

Purpose

 Discuss Techniques and Procedures for conducting an operational mission analysis – First step of Commander’s Estimate process – Operational level (includes strategic military and politico-military objectives)

References

 JP 3-0, Doctrine for Joint Operations, 1 Feb 95  JP 5-00.2, Procedures for Forming and Operating a Joint Task Force, 13 Jan 99  CJCSM 3500.05, JTF Headquarters Master Training Guide, 15 Apr 97

Crisis Action Planning Process

C R I S I S I Situation Development II Crisis Assessment III Course of Action Development IV Course of Action Selection V Execution Planning OPORD VI Execution Deployment Data Base Warning Order Planning Order Alert Order Execute Order AND/OR I Mission Analysis/ Restated Mission II Course of Action Development III Analysis of Opposing Courses of Action IV Comparison of Own Courses of Action

Combined Commander’s Estimate Process

V Commander’s Decision

Mission Analysis Objectives

 Common understanding of the problem  CTF restated mission  Most probable & most risky courses of action  Commander’s guidance & approval to continue planning

NGO/PVO

Mission Analysis

Combined Planning Group JIC Personnel Air/Sea Lift TPFDD C2 SPT IO INTER NATIONAL ORGs Legal Host Nation Core planning group Fires Engineer SOF PSYOPS Civil Affairs Component LNOs Public Affairs Logistics

CTF Planning Timeline for Backward Planning

MISSION ANALYSIS MA BRIEF COA CONTINUOUS INFORMATION TO COMPONENTS DEVELOPMENT COA ANALYSIS DECISION BRIEF CDR’S ESTIMATE SYNCHRO PLAN PREPARE PLAN ISSUE PLAN W.O.#1 W.O.#2 W.O.#3 CRITICAL ACTIVITIES & DEADLINES MISSION ANALYSIS BRIEF TO CFC FIRST W.O.TO COMPONENTS DECISION BRIEF TO CFC SECOND W.O. TO NATIONS CDR’S ESTIMATE TO CFC DEADLINE THIRD W.O. TO COMPONENTS WRITTEN ORDER DEADLINE ORDER PRODUCTION DEADLINE ORDER DISSEMINATION DEADLINE NATIONS BRIEFBACK TO CFC DATE__________

Task Steps

Determine the Facts Develop Assumptions Analyze Mission & CDR’s Int Develop Limitations Determine Centers of Gravity Identify Tasks to be Performed Initial Force Structure Analysis Conduct Initial Risk Assessment Determine the End State

Mission Analysis

Develop Mission Statement Mission Analysis Brief

Determine Known Facts, Current Status, or Conditions

 Tasking(s) from the

“HICON”

will normally include the following: – – – – – Situation Update Force Structure Time Constraints Deception Plan (If Applicable) Command Relationships  Can come in the form of a WARNING ORDER(forces), ALERT ORDER or PLANNING ORDER, UN/SECURITY COUNCIL DECISION /RESOLUTION OR TREATY.

Determine Facts CTF Staff

 Contribute to development of CIPB  Staff sections determine: – Other known facts – Current status or condition  Monitor CPG outputs

Develop Assumptions

 Replaces missing or unknown facts in planning  May cover – All the difficulties effecting the Situation – All the abilities effecting the Situation – Success of Friendly Supporting Operations  Must be logical, realistic, and addressed for planning to continue  Never assume away possible problems, concerns or issues that may adversely effect our required endstate

Analyze HICON’S Mission and Intent

 National Endstate or Inter/Multi-National Resolution  HICON’S Mission, Intent, and Combined End State  Define and Analyze the Combined Operations Area (COA)  Identify Tasks From Outside the Military – Home Nation’s Requirements – Asian Interests and Concerns – UN Public Statements – International Government Positions – International/Regional Organizations

Determine Limitations

 Restrictions placed on the CTF – Constraints: Things the CTF must do – Restraints: Things the CTF cannot do  Imposed by higher headquarters  Implied by conditions, circumstances or other

Determine Centers of Gravity

 Those characteristics, capabilities , or locations from which we will derive our best success.

 Both event requirements(enemy) and international support(friendly) centers of gravity are analyzed – Used as a tool to help determine strengths and weaknesses

JP 1-02

Identify Tasks

 Specified - Stated in the CINC’s directive  Implied mission -- Not stated, but necessary to do the  Essential -- Of the above, which must be done to achieve success.

Initial Force Structure Analysis

 Capabilities required to accomplish tasks?  What non-traditional/non-military tasks can be performed by military forces?  What do we already have?

 What is the shortfall?

Initial Risk Assessment

 What are the risks associated with the mission assigned by the HICON?

 Where is the HICON willing to accept risk?

 Do limitations, assigned tasks or assumptions create risk?

Determine End State

 Review higher CTF’S guidance  Consider basic military principles  Consider conditions necessary to end event effects(measures of effectiveness)  Consider conditions for transition to nonmilitary led operations

Restated Mission

 Who: CTF  What: Essential Tasks  When: When Directed by HICON  Where: AOR  Why: Operational End State

Task Steps

Determine the Facts Develop Assumptions Analyze Mission & Intent Determine Limitations Determine Centers of Gravity Identify Tasks to be Performed Initial Force Structure Analysis Conduct Initial Risk Assessment Determine the End State Develop Mission Statement

Mission Analysis

Mission Analysis Brief

Crisis Action Planning Process

C R I S I S I Situation Development II Crisis Assessment III Course of Action Development IV Course of Action Selection V Execution Planning OPORD VI Execution Deployment Data Base Warning Order Planning Order Alert Order Execute Order AND/OR I Mission Analysis/ Restated Mission II Course of Action Development III Analysis of Opposing Courses of Action IV Comparison of Own Courses of Action

Commander’s Estimate Process

V Commander’s Decision

Mission Analysis End State

 Common understanding of the problem  CTF restated mission  Mission Analysis Briefing  Combined Commander’s guidance & approval to continue planning