Transcript World Meteorological Organization Working together in weather

World Meteorological Organization
Working together in weather, climate and water
WMO
Strengthening Regional Cooperation in Early Warning Systems:
Meteorological, Hydrological, Marine/Ocean Related Hazards
Dr. Michel Rosengaus M.
On behalf of WMO
II Session Regional Platform for Disaster Risk Reduction in the Americas
Nuevo Vallarta, Nayarit, Mexico, March 15-17, 2011
www.wmo.int
Background
• What is the WMO?
• The World Meteorological Organization is a technical,
specialized organism of the United Nations, in charge of
Meteorology, Water and Climate. It has 188 members (states
and territories), which are usually represented by their National
Meteorological and Hydrological Services
• Why should de DRR community be interested in the WMO and
its members (the NMHS’s)?
• Besides the obvious reasons (hydromet hazards tracking,
analysis and forecasting), because, at the global and regional
levels, it provides an operational framework on which
sustainable EWS’s can be built; many of its members have
longer than 100 years of non-stop operation.
Background
• In some sense, the WMO as a whole, has the architecture of a
Global EWS, and its 6 Regional Associations, of Regional EWS:
• Example 1: Global Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)
availability to everyone is organized by WMO
• Example 2: (Almost) Global Satellite Image coverage and
availability to everyone is organized by WMO
• Example 3: Regional Specialized Meteorological Centers (as is
the National Hurricane Center in Miami) in it’s international
duties are coordinated by the WMO
• Example 4: IPCC main office is inside the WMO building in
Geneve, Switzerland
Early Warning Systems Require Coordination
Across Many Levels and Agencies
National to local disaster risk reduction plans, legislation and coordination mechanisms
1
3
2
4
Complex interactions required
WMO
The response box
The hazard monitoring box
Meteorological,
Hydrological,
Marine
and
Climate
Services
(may be different agencies)
Analysis,
Forecasts,
Data
Vulnerability,
Exposure,
Requirements
Disaster
Risk
Reduction
and
Management
(DRR & DRM)
(Civil Defense/Protection
and probably others)
Two boxes usually belong to different Ministries
Complex interactions required
(the original world)
WMO
The hazard box
The response box
Global
Global
Regional
Regional
National
National
State/Province
State/Province
Municipality
Municipality
Hydromet, Marine, Climate
DRR and DRM
Complex interactions happening
(the new world)
WMO
The hazard box
The response box
Global
Global
Regional
Regional
National
National
State/Province
State/Province
Municipality
Municipality
Hydromet, Marine, Climate
DRR and DRM
Specific example interactions
Hazard
Analysis and
Mapping
Exposure
and
Vulnerability
Potential
Loss
Estimates
Number of
lives at risk
$ at risk
Heavy Precipitation
and flood mapping
Need for historical and
real time data
Statistical analysis tools
climate forecasts and
trend analysis
Impacts:
 population density
 agricultural land
 urban grid
Infrastructure
Businesses
Need for Socioeconomic impacts
data and analysis
tools
Destruction of
buildings and
infrastructure
Reduction in crop
yields
Business
interruption
Need for risk assessment
tools combining hazard,
asset and exposure
information
10 Basic principles for effective
Early Warning Systems
1.
Political recognition of the benefits of EWS along with effective
planning, legislation and budgeting
2.
Effective EWS are built upon four components:
(i)) hazard detection, monitoring and forecasting;
(ii) analyzing risks and incorporation of risk information in emergency planning
and warnings;
(iii) disseminating timely and “authoritative” warnings with clarity on the
responsibilities and mandate for issuance of warnings;
(iv) community emergency planning and preparedness and the ability to activate
emergency plans to prepare and respond
3.
Roles and responsibilities of all EWS stakeholders and their
collaboration mechanisms clearly defined and documented
4.
Capacities aligned with resources across national to local levels
(sustainability)
5.
Hazard, exposure and vulnerability information are used to carryout risk assessments at different levels
10 Basic principles for effective Early
Warning System (Continued)
6.
7.
8.
9.
Clear, consistent and actionable hazard warnings, with
risk information and issued from a single recognized
authoritative source
Timely, reliable, redundant and sustainable warning
dissemination mechanisms
Emergency response plans targeted to the individual
needs of the vulnerable communities, authorities and
emergency responders
Regular training and education programmes in risk
awareness and emergency response actions
10. Effective feedback mechanisms throughout levels of the
EWS for system improvement over time
Initiatives and pilot projects in:
Central America and Mexico
The Caribbean
Early Warning Systems with Multi-Hazard
Approach Pilot Project – Central America
• Pilot Countries:
– Costa Rica (World Bank Funded)
– El Salvador (NOAA – USAID funded)
– Mexico (Government and NOAA – USAID funded)
• National multi-agency cooperation
(Met/Hydro/DRM)
• Multi-level (Regional, National, Local)
• Focus: Flash Flood-Riverine Flood Warning Systems
• Partners: WMO, NOAA-NWS, UNDP, World Bank
The Caribbean
Goal
Strengthening meteorological, hydrological
and climate services at national and regional
levels to support risk assessment and MultiHazard Early Warning Systems
Focus sectors: DRM, Agriculture and Food Security,
Water Resource Management, Planning and
Development Sectors
Where ?
Strengthened coordination and cooperation across British, French,
Dutch and Spanish Speaking countries and territories
Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, the Bahamas, Barbados, Bermudas, the British
Caribbean Territories, the Caribbean Netherlands, Cuba, Curacao, Dominica, the
Dominican Republic, the French West Indies, Grenada, Guyana, Haiti, Jamaica,
Saint Kitts and Nevis, Saint Lucia, Saint-Marteen, Saint Vincent and the
Grenadines, and Trinidad and Tobago also including Beliz and Surinam
Who?
Key Stakeholders in the region have been engaged
 National:
• Beneficiaries:
• National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHS) and Disaster Risk
Management (DRM) Agencies and other key ministries of the beneficiary countries.
• Other ministries, specifically, finance and planning, agriculture, water resource
management and coastal zone management
• Contributing Countries: USA, Finland, France, Canada, Spain, others (TBD)
 Regional:
• Regional centers and agencies of CARICOM: CDEMA, CMO and its CIMH;
• WMO RA IV and its DRR and Hydrology Task Teams, WMO RA IV Hurricane
Committee, the WMO RSMC – Miami Hurricane Center
• Regional agencies and platforms: ACS, OAS, Caribbean Development Bank (CDB)
 International and donors:
• UN and International Agencies: WMO, UNDP, UNESCO-IOC, etc.
• Bi-lat donors and development banks: IADB, World Bank, USAID/OFDA, Canada
(CIDA), Finland (MFA), Spain (ACE), Japan (JICA), others (TBD) etc.
How?
Long-term Capacity Development (8 years) with phased
project management (2-yr cycle)
• 2010-2011: Development of programmatic and technical aspects
Long-term capacity development and phase-I project priorities
• 2011:
– Phase-I (multi-component) project implementation plan and
project governance
– Institutional mapping and partnerships for
implementation(national and regional)
– Resource mobilisation strategy and coordination with the donors
– Regional mechanisms for multi-stakeholder coordination, sharing
progress, experiences, monitoring and evaluation
• 2012: Phase-I Project (multi-component) to be Launched
Roadmap for the project design to strengthen Caribbean
Risk Assessment and MHEWS capacities
Consultations, Major Milestones and Timeline
MHEWS Consultants’ missions MHEWS Consultation
in the region and
Technical
Training
assessment of all
Cooperation
Workshop
assessment and
Workshop
–
projects
Costa Rica
March
2010
June – September
2010
MH
Forecasting
meeting
Warning
Communicati
on/CAP
Official
Regional
Meeting
PWS
workshop Miami
to endorse
Phase I
project
proposal
Barbados
Cayman Is.
Hurricane
Committee -
November
2010
November
2010
Cayman
Islands
7 March 2011
2010
2011
Consultation
Jamaica
http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/d
rr/events/MHEWSCostaRica/inde
x_en.html
http://www.wmo.int/pages/
prog/drr/events/Barbados/
index_en.html
March/April
2011
December
2010
Develop overall plan, phase I
project proposals,
implementation plan, resource
mobilizations and identification
of forums for on-going regional
dialogue with Members,
development partners and
donors
2012
Phase I
Project
Launch
Outcomes to Date:
Reference document produced for programme and
project development …
• National Roster: Directors and experts from Met and Hydro
services, DRM, Planning, Agriculture and food security and water
resource management sector
– Hydro network needs to be mapped in more details )
– Agriculture, water resource management sectors need to be mapped further
• Regional Roster: Regional agencies supporting DRM
• Mapping of assessments and projects: in the region and opportunities
for leveraging
• Relationship of Met/Hydro/DRM agencies countries/territories
mapped
• Identification of capacities, remaining gaps and needs not addressed
through existing projects
• Priorities for long-term capacity development (national and regional)
• Priorities for phase-I project (multi-component)
Priority Hazards
• Overall priority hazards for both subregions:
Tropical Cyclones, Storm Surge, High Waves,
Flash and Riverine Flooding, Heavy Precipitation,
Drought, Land/Mud Slides and Volcanic Eruption
• Specific hazard priories vary by country/territory
based on geography, orography, seasonal patters,
etc.
Areas requiring long-term development as
identified from extensive consultations
1) Establishment of policies, legislation and institutional arrangements
with clarification of role of national meteorological and
hydrological services within different arrangements - Partnerships
2) Provision of Meteorological, Hydrological and Marine and Coastal
hazard databases (statistical and real-time), metadata and hazard
analysis to support risk assessment
3) Service Delivery approach within the NMHS to support DRM and
economic sectors
– QMS and SOPs developed between NMHS and other DRM and sectoral
stakeholders (institutionalizations)
– Application of WMO service delivery framework
4) Strengthened operational meteorological, hydrological,
marine/coastal and climate forecast products and training to support
target serctors (national and regional components)
5) Coordinated Multi-Hazards early warning systems in the region
Phase-I Project Components
• Component 1: Policy, legislative and clarification of role
and mandates of the NMHS in support of DRM
• Component 2: Strengthening of forecasting capacities for
other priority hazards (nowcasting to longer-term)
– Strengthening of regional operational products and services
– Training
• Component 3: Warning dissemination, communication,
and development of CAP
• Component 4: Initiation of QMS and SOPs of NMS and
DRM agencies – with a service delivery approach
• Component 5: Pilot on (data rescue, data management)
observational interoperability, data exchange and hazard
analysis within the PPCR Regional Programme
Thank You
For more information, please contact WMO:
Maryam Golnaraghi, Ph.D.
Chief of Disaster Risk Reduction Programme
World Meteorological Organization
Tel. 41.22.730.8006
Fax. 41.22.730.8023
Email. [email protected]
Presenter:
Michel Rosengaus, Sc.D.
[email protected]
[email protected]
Tel. 52.55.2636.4600 x3410