Transcript All venture
2009 European Performance Figures
June 2010
Methodology for Performance Benchmarks
All calculations are done at the fund level by Thomson Reuters based on cash flows and NAVs reported by participating GPs
Returns are net of management fees and carried interest
Returns are calculated with cash flows in Euros for European figures
Cash flow database contains since its inception 1,375 European independent funds, representing €313bn of committed capital Definitions:
Pooled IRR: IRR of a group of funds where their cash flows have been aggregated together before IRR calculation Investment Horizon Return: IRR calculated with Net Asset Value at beginning of period as capital outflow, Net Asset Value at end of period, and actual cash flows in between 2
Annualised net pooled IRR
Annualised net pooled IRR from inception to 31-Dec-2009
European private equity funds formed 1980-2009
Stage No. of funds Pooled IRR Early-stage Development Balanced
All venture
Small buyout Mid buyout Large buyout Mega buyout
All buyout
Generalist
All private equity
Source: Thomson Reuters 418 196 164
778
289 66 51 52
458
139
1,375
-1.3
6.5
2.1
1.6
12.5
15.4
18.7
8.4
11.9
9.1
8.9
DPI 0.38
0.74
0.52
0.51
1.14
1.06
1.16
0.69
0.83
1.02
0.80
Multiples RVPI 0.57
0.54
0.57
0.56
0.40
0.48
0.38
0.52
0.49
0.39
0.48
TVPI 0.95
1.28
1.09
1.07
1.54
1.54
1.54
1.21
1.32
1.41
1.28
Multiples (as % of TVPI) DPI RVPI 40.0% 57.8% 60.0% 42.2% 47.7%
47.7%
74.0% 68.8% 75.3% 52.3%
52.3%
26.0% 31.2% 24.7% 57.0%
62.9%
72.3%
62.5%
43.0%
37.1%
27.7%
37.5%
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Horizon IRRs by Stages
Investment Horizon Returns for period ending 31-Dec-2009
European private equity funds formed 1980-2009
Fund type
Early-stage Development Balanced
All venture Buyout
Generalist
All private equity
Source: Thomson Reuters
1-year
-2.6
11.5
-0.7
1.0
7.2
36.9
7.7
3-year
-4.7
0.7
-3.0
-3.1
-3.9
-5.2
-3.9
5-year
-0.8
3.3
1.5
0.8
8.3
7.2
6.5
10-year
-3.5
1.4
-1.4
-1.8
8.0
4.3
5.2
20-year
-1.3
6.9
2.1
1.6
11.4
9.3
8.9
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Top-Quarter Performance
European top-quarter funds formed 1980-2009
Stage Sample size Top-quarter pooled IRR
Early-stage Development Balanced
All venture Buyout
Generalist
All private equity
104 49 41
196 116
35
345
12.0
18.0
13.5
13.6
30.2
22.9
21.8
*Overall upper quartile IRR
1.0
8.8
5.5
3.3
17.0
7.7
9.1
* Funds must equal or exceed this IRR to qualify as top-quarter funds.
Source: Thomson Reuters 5
Top-Half Performance
European top-half funds formed 1980-2009
Stage
Early-stage Development Balanced
All venture Buyout
Generalist
Sample size
209 96 80 390 229 68
Top-half pooled IRR
6.3
13.8
7.7
9.1
19.8
10.6
All private equity 688 14.1
**Overall median IRR
-3.8
-0.5
-0.9
-2.2
6.2
-0.1
-0.4
** Funds must meet or exceed this IRR to qualify as top-half funds.
Source: Thomson Reuters 6
Performance Ranking
Net IRR since inception per quarter
Percentile 100% Net IRR for upper, median, lower quartile 21.8
75% 5.8
50% -2.9
25% 0% -19.4
Net pooled IRR for the quarter 9.1
-0.4
-6.3
Source: Thomson Reuters 7
Top-Quarter Horizon IRRs
Annualised net pooled since inception and horizon IRR
European top-quarter funds formed 1980-2009
Stage
Early-stage Development Balanced
All venture Buyout
Generalist
All private equity
Source: Thomson Reuters
No. of funds
104 49 41
196 116
35
345 Pooled IRR
12.0
18.0
13.5
13.6
30.2
22.9
21.8
3-year
3.2
11.0
4.4
6.1
13.2
-3.2
5.7
5-year
8.6
15.5
5.0
9.5
32.7
41.1
26.5
10-year
8.3
14.1
4.1
9.2
22.5
26.9
17.9
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Top-Half Horizon IRRs
Annualised net pooled since inception and horizon IRR
European top-half funds formed 1980-2009
Stage
Early-stage Development Balanced
All venture Buyout
Generalist
All private equity
Source: Thomson Reuters
No. of funds
209 96 80
390 229
68
688 Pooled IRR
6.3
13.8
7.7
9.1
19.8
10.6
14.1
3-year
-0.6
7.4
1.2
2.0
6.3
-5.8
3.1
5-year
4.0
10.5
7.2
6.5
24.4
10.0
16.8
10-year
2.8
9.8
3.1
4.4
15.5
6.1
11.5
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Buyout Returns by Fund Sizes
Short-, medium-, and long-term returns reflected by net horizon IRRs to 31 December 2009
European Private Equity Funds formed 1980-2009
Fund size ($)
0-500m 500m-1bn 1bn+
All buyout No. of funds
355 51 52
458 Pooled IRR
13.6
18.7
8.4
11.9
1-year
5.3
-9.1
8.6
7.2
3-year
0.7
-0.2
-5.7
-3.9
5-year
8.0
7.8
8.5
8.3
10-year
7.4
8.8
8.1
8.0
These results refer to the fund size, not the deal size; while fund sizes are defined in USD, the returns are computed in EUR.
Source: Thomson Reuters 10
Venture Returns by Fund Sizes
Short-, medium-, and long-term returns reflected by net horizon IRRs to 31 December 2009
European Private Equity Funds formed 1980-2009
Fund size ($)
0-50m 50m-100m 100m+
All venture No. of funds
474 143 161
778 Pooled IRR
4.8
0.2
0.5
1.6
1-year
0.0
3.3
0.9
1.0
3-year
-3.2
-3.2
-3.0
-3.1
5-year
2.0
-0.3
0.7
0.8
10-year
1.0
-2.5
-2.6
-1.8
These results refer to the fund size, not the deal size; while fund sizes are defined in USD, the returns are computed in EUR.
Source: Thomson Reuters 11
Performance by Vintage Years
Annualised net pooled IRR by vintage years as of 31-Dec-2009
Funds formed :
Fund size
Venture Buyout Generalist
All private equity 1980-1984 IRR DPI 1985-1989 IRR DPI 1990-1994 IRR DPI 1995-1999 IRR DPI 2000-2004 IRR DPI 2005-2009 IRR DPI
6.3
9.2
7.7
6.8
1.64
1.88
1.78
1.69
8.3
13.6
7.2
8.6
1.55
1.65
1.06
1.20
11.8
18.6
10.4
16.7
1.50
2.04
1.37
1.88
1.6
12.3
11.2
9.9
0.62
1.35
1.10
1.19
-3.6
18.1
22.7
12.6
0.27
1.20
1.26
1.02
-1.2
-9.0
0.5
-7.7
0.07
0.11
0.07
0.11
Source: Thomson Reuters 12
European 5-Year Rolling IRRs
30 20 10
+8.3% +7.2% +0.8%
0 -10 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Venture Buyout Generalist
Source: Thomson Reuters 13
5-Year Rolling IRRs by Regions
Europe USA 50 40 30 50 40 30 20 10 0 -10 19 93 19 94 19 95 19 96 19 97 19 98 19 99 20 00 20 01 20 02 20 03 20 04 20 05 20 06 20 07 20 08 20 09 Venture Buyout
Source: Thomson Reuters
20
+8.3%
10
+0.8%
0 -10 19 93 19 94 19 95 19 96 19 97 19 98 19 99 20 00 20 01 20 02 20 03 20 04 20 05 20 06 20 07 20 08 20 09 Venture Buyout
+5.3% +4.3% 14
European Venture 3-,5-,10-Year Rolling IRRs
30 25 20 15 10 5 -5 0
+0.8%
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
-1.8% -3.1%
-10 -15 3-Year IRR 5-Year IRR 10-Year IRR
Source: EVCA/Thomson Reuters 15
European Buyouts 3-,5-,10-Year Rolling IRRs
35 30 25 20 15 10
+8.3%
5
+8.0%
0 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 -5
-3.9%
-10 -15 3-Year IRR 5-Year IRR 10-Year IRR
Source: EVCA/Thomson Reuters 16
European Private Equity 3-,5-,10-Year Rolling IRRs
30 25 20 15 10
+6.5%
5
+5.2%
0 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 -5
-3.9%
-10 -15 3-Year IRR 5-Year IRR 10-Year IRR
Source: EVCA/Thomson Reuters 17
Comparators
Annualised net pooled IRR from inception to 31-12-2009 Stage
Early-stage Development Balanced
All venture Buyout
Generalist
All private equity European Private Equity Return
-1.3
6.5
2.1
1.6
11.9
9.1
8.9
JP Morgan Euro Bonds
9.6
9.5
8.6
9.5
10.2
9.9
9.8
Source: Thomson Reuters
HSBC Small Company index
6.4
Morgan Stanley Euro Index
-0.3
8.1
4.4
6.0
6.7
1.4
3.0
7.2
6.7
6.9
-0.7
5.6
0.9
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Comparators
Annualised net pooled IRRs from inception to 31-12-2009 20 15 10
+9.8% +8.9% +6.9%
5 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
+0.9%
-5 Morgan Stanley Euro Equity HSBC Small Company Equity JP Morgan Euro Bonds European Private Equity
*Comparators are Internal Rates of Return (IRR). IRRs for public market indices are calculated by investing the equivalent cash flows that were invested in private equity into the public market index. Then an equivalent IRR is calculated for each index. Calculations based on methodology proposed by J Coller and published by A Long and C Nickles.
Source: Thomson Reuters 19
Conclusions
§
Stable long-term return for private equity at 8.9%
§
Top-quarter private equity funds return 21.8%
§
Five-year returns remain strong at 6.5%
§
While three-year returns are impacted by the economic crisis, one-year returns are back into positive territory at 7.7%
§
Regional rankings remain unchanged (five-year horizon IRRs): European buyouts (8.3%), US buyouts (5.3%), US venture (4.3%) and European venture (0.8%)
§
The since-inception private equity net IRR outperformed the equity returns achieved by the public equity comparators (HSBC Small Company Index at 6.9% and Morgan Stanley Euro Index at 0.9%), and was slightly behind the return of JP Morgan Euro Bonds Index at 9.8%
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