Transcript CEC-28-presentation

CLASS SIZE, OVERCROWDING AND NEED FOR
NEW SEATS IN DISTRICT 28
Leonie Haimson, Class Size Matters
Sept. 11, 2014
School Utilization Rates at critical levels
• Schools have become more overcrowded over last six years. More than
480,000 students citywide are in extremely overcrowded buildings.
• Elementary schools avg. building utilization “target” rates at 97.4%; median at
102%. High schools are not far behind at 95.2%.
• D28 Elementary schools at 98% on AVERAGE – middle schools 94.5%, both
above citywide average.
• Queens high school buildings have avg. utilization rate of 110.7%.
Data source: Blue Book target utilization rates 2012-2013
Average Utilization Rates in CSD 28 compared to City-Wide 2012-2013
D28 ES building utilization rate at 98%, above citywide average
120%
110.7%
100%
98%
96.8%
94.8%
84.5%
80.9%
80%
*Calculated
by dividing
building
enrollment by
the target
capacity
60%
40%
20%
0%
District 28 Elementary City-Wide Elementary
Schools
Schools
District 28 Middle
Schools
City-Wide Middle
Schools
Queens High Schools
City-Wide High
Schools
Source: 2012-2013 DOE Blue Book
7,295 HS Seats in Queens needed to reach 100% building utilization
Over-utilized ES and MS buildings in CSD
28 and Queens HS
• There are 25 elementary & middle school buildings in
CSD 28 that are 100% utilization or higher.
• The seats need in these schools is over 1,600 students.
• There are 29 over-utilized Queens HS buildings with a
seats need for more than 13,000 students.
25 CSD 28 ES and MS buildings are
over-utilized
29 Queens High School Buildings are
over-utilized
More than 30,000 seats currently needed
just in districts that average over 100%
7813 of Seats Needed in boroughs with
HS building utilization rates higher than
100%
22,481 seats needed in districts with
ES building utilization rates higher
than 100%
8,000
7,295
6,000
7,000
5,318
5,000
6,000
3,912
4,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,279
2,000
1,929
1,822
1,637
1,237
1,451 1,476
3,000
2,000
1,231
1,000
1,000
518
189
0
0
D10
D11
D15
D20
D22
D24
D25
D26
D27
D30
D31
QUEENS HS
*These figures are the difference between capacity & enrollment in
the organizational target # in 2012-2013 Blue Book
Source: 2012-2013 DOE Blue Book
STATEN ISLAND HS
Only 640 seats in capital plan for D28 despite enrollment
projections of more than 3,000
3,000
2,411
2,500
2,163
2,000
1,500
1,000
870
640
500
0
ES and MS New Seats from Capital Enrollment Projections, Statistical
Plan FY 2015-2019
Forecasting 2011-2021
Enrollment Projections, Grier
Partnership 2011-2021
Housing Starts, Estimated Growth
2012-2021
~3,033 to 3,281 new students by 2021 according to enrollment projections but only 640 seats are being added.
Proposed capital plan vs. needs for seats
• Proposed capital plan has (at most) 38,754 seats citywide – and this if
Cuomo’s “Smart School” bond act is approved. (806 more seats
funded only for design)
• Plan admits real need of 49,245 (though doesn’t explain how this
figure was derived).
• DOE’s consultants project enrollment increases of 60,000-70,000
students by 2021
• At least 30,000 seats needed to alleviate current overcrowding for just
those districts that average above 100%.
• Conclusion: real need for seats at least 100,000.
Proposed capital plan vs. needs for seats part II
• These figures do not capture overcrowding at neighborhood level,
including overcrowded schools in D28.
• Do not include many schools with K waiting lists,
• Do not include need to expand pre-K, reduce class size, restore cluster
rooms, or provide space for charters as required in new state law.
• Does not capture need to replace all trailers with capacity of more than
10,890 seats. (Though DOE reports only 7,158 students attending class
in TCUs, actual number is far higher & likely over 10,000. )
• DOE utilization figures underestimate actual overcrowding according to
most experts and Chancellor, who has appointed a “Blue Book” taskforce
to improve them.
• Revised utilization formula should be aligned to smaller classes,
dedicated rooms for art, music, special education services, and more.
Number of students in CSD 28 trailers
• In 2012-2013 according to DOE, there were at least 241
D28 elementary and middle school students in trailers.
• There were 23 TCUs at eight schools: PS 30*, PS 40*, PS
55, PS 121, PS 140*, PS 160, PS 174*, PS 206.
• Schools with an asterix are listed as underutilized in
current Blue Book.
Unmet need critical in Queens high
schools
• More than 7,200 seats in Queens HS are needed to reduce
current overcrowding and bring building utilization to 100%.
• These figures underestimate actual level of overcrowding,
according to most principals.
• About 2,000 seats are needed to remove Queens high school
students from schools with trailers .
• DOE consultants project an increase in Queens high school
enrollment of 12,567- 12,980 by 2021.
• Yet only 2,802 Queens HS seats proposed in five-year plan, a
shortage of more than 17,000 seats.
Number of students in Queens HS trailers
• At the high school level, there are at least 38 TCUs at
eight Queens high schools: John Adams, Bayside,
Cardozo, Richmond Hill, William Bryant, John Bowne,
Francis Lewis, and Jamaica Learning Center.
• All but John Adams HS did not have enrollment figures
listed in the report and are not counted in DOE stats on
students attending class in trailers.
• There are 68 classrooms in these 38 TCUs and the total
capacity is 1,984 across the 8 HS. None of these
students are included in the 7,158 total that DOE reports
attend classes in TCUs.
2014 Kindergarten Wait Lists in CSD 28
• According to DOE, the wait list for zoned Kindergarten spots in 2014 is smaller
citywide than in 2013, with 1,242 zoned students on wait lists as of April 21, 2014.
• 19 of 32 school districts currently had at least one school with a waiting list.
• 63 schools have zoned wait lists: 20 in Brooklyn, 17 in Queens, 11 in Manhattan,
11 in The Bronx, and 4 in Staten Island.
• DOE was less transparent than ever: the number of zoned students for particular
schools if less than 10 is not revealed – and methodology for creating wait lists
unexplained.
• Over 7,000 families got none of their choices and unclear how many were put on
wait list for their zoned school.
• There was only one school in District 28 with waiting lists: PS 175 --The Lynn
Gross Discovery School (1-9 students).
New seats need for CSD 28
• To bring building utilization to 100% at every D28 elementary
and middle school, 1,680 seats would be needed.
• If the DOE’s enrollment projections are accurate, at least 3,000
seats will be needed to meet growing enrollment to 2021.
• To remove elementary and middle school students from
trailers, another 241 seats would be needed.
• Capital Plan FY 2015-2019 allocates just 640 seats for f CSD
28.
• Probably at least 4,900 seats more are needed.
Blue book data underestimates actual level of
overcrowding
• Class sizes in grades 4-12 in Blue Book formula far above goals in
city’s C4E plan & larger than current averages --would force class
sizes upwards
• Doesn’t require full complement of cluster rooms or dedicated spaces
for special needs students to receive mandated services
• Doesn’t account for co-locations which subtract about 10% of total
space and eat up classrooms with administrative & cluster rooms.
Small schools use space less efficiently
• Instructional footprint shrinks full size classroom to only 500 sq. feet
min., risking building code/safety violations at many schools as 20-35
sq feet per student required.
• Special ed classrooms defined as only 240-499 sq ft, thought State
Ed guidelines call for 75 sq ft per child with special needs; classrooms
this small would allow only 3- 7 students.
Class sizes have increased for last 6 years
• Despite provisions in 2007 state law requiring NYC reduce class sizes, classes in K-3
in 2013-2014 largest since 1998; in grades 4-8 largest since 2002.
• K-3 average class size was 24.9 (Gen Ed, inclusion & gifted classes) compared to 20.9
in 2007, increase of 19%.
• In grades 4-8, the average class size was 26.8, compared to 25.1 in 2007 –increase of
6.8%.
• HS “core” academic classes, class size average 26.7, up slightly since 2007. (Yet
DOE’s measure of HS class sizes is inaccurate and their methodology changes, so
estimates cannot be relied upon.)
• Averages do NOT tell the whole story – as more than 330,000 students were in classes
of 30 or larger in 2013-2014.
• There were 40,268 kids in K-3 in classes of 30 or larger in 2013-2014 – an increase of
nearly 14% compared to the year before.
• The number of teachers decreased by over 5000 between 2007-2010, according to the
Mayor’s Management Report, despite rising enrollment.
Total no. of teachers dropped by 5,000
since 2007-8
data source: Mayor's Management Report
79,109
79,021
76,795
74,958
73,844
72,787
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY 13
Class sizes in CSD 28 have increased in grades K-3
by 21.4% since 2006, far above Contracts for Excellence goals
27
26.1
26.1
26
25
25
24.86
24.5
Students per section
24
23.8
23
22.8
22.3
22
21
21.5
21.6
21
20.9
20.7
23.9
C4E goals
22.9
Citywide actual
22.1
D28
21.4
20.5
20.3
20
20.1
19.9
19.9
19.9
19
18
Baseline
2007-8
2008-9
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14
Data sources: DOE Class Size Reports 2006-2013, 2008 DOE Contracts for Excellence Approved Plan
CSD 28’s class sizes in grades 4-8 have increased
by 12.6% since 2007 far above Contracts for Excellence goals
29
28.6
27.8
28
27.6
27.3
27
26.9
26.6
26.5
26.8
26.7
26.3
26
25.4
25.6
25.8
C4E target
25.4
Citywide actual
25.3
25.1
25
24.8
D28
24.6
24
23.8
23.3
23
22.9
22.9
22.9
22
Baseline
2007-8
2008-9
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14
Data sources: DOE Class Size Reports 2006-2013, 2008 DOE Contracts for Excellence Approved Plan
Class sizes city-wide have increased in core HS classes as
well, by 2.3% since 2007, though the DOE data is unreliable*
27
26.7
26.6
26.5
26.5
26.4
26.3
26.2
26
26.1
26
25.7
C4E Target
25.5
Citywide Actual
25.2
25
24.8
24.5
24.5
24.5
24.5
24
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14
*DOE’s class size data is unreliable &
their methodology for calculating HS averages have changed year to year
Data sources: DOE Class Size Reports 2006-2013, 2008 DOE Contracts for Excellence Approved Plan
CSD 28 Schools with large class sizes
• At the Kindergarten level, there were 12 schools in District 28 with
average class size of 25 or more, in Nov. 2013.
• In grades 1-3, 13 schools with at least one grade level averaging 30
students per class or more.
• PS 86, PS 144, PS 175, and PS 354 had at least three grade levels in
K-3 with 30 or more students.
• In grades 4-8, 24 schools had at least one grade level with an
average class size of 30 or more.
• JHS 157 and York Early College Academy had at least three grade
levels with 30 or more students.
D28 schools with large K-3 class sizes
2013-14
D28 Kindergarten
28
27
27
26
26
25
25
24
D28 1st Grade
27
26
26
26
26
26
25
25
25
25
25
25
33
32
32
31
31
30
30
29
32
32
PS 354
P.S. 175 THE
LYNN GROSS
DISCOVERY
SCHOOL
30
30
P.S. Q086
P.S. 144 COL
JEROMUS
REMSEN
D28 3rd Grade
D28 2nd Grade
33
32
32
31
31
30
30
29
32
32
31
31
31
31
30
30
30
34
33
33
32
32
31
31
30
30
29
29
33
32
31
31
31
31
30
30
30
Comparison of class sizes in Blue book compared to
current averages & Contract for excellence goals
Grade levels
UFT Contract
class size limits
Target class
sizes in "blue
book"
Current average
class sizes
How many sq ft per student
C4E class Size
required in classrooms
goals
according to NYC building
code
Kindergarten
25
20
23
19.9
35
1st-3rd
4th-5th
32
32
20
28
25.5
26
19.9
22.9
20
20
28
27.4
22.9
20
30
26.7*
24.5
20
30 (Title I)
6th-8th
33 (non-Title I)
HS (core
classes)
34
*DOE reported HS class sizes unreliable
Some Recommendations
• 38,000 seats in capital plan is too low, esp. given existing overcrowding, projected
enrollment, preK expansion, class size reduction, new mandates to provide
charter schools with space
• Also very low as compared to Mayor’s plan to create or preserve 200,000
affordable housing units.
• Council should expand the seats in five year capital plan to at least 50,000 –
DOE admitted need.
• Commission an independent analysis by City Comptroller, IBO or other agency.
• Adopt reforms to planning process so that schools are built along with housing in
future through mandatory inclusionary zoning, impact fees etc.
• Over half of all states and 60% of large cities have impact fees, requiring
developers to pay for costs of infrastructure improvements, including schools.
• Require DOE to put together a REAL class size reduction plan.