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Cross-task Prediction of Working Memory Performance: Working Memory Capacity as Source Activation Larry Z. Daily, Marsha C. Lovett, and Lynne M. Reder Carnegie Mellon University Thanks to Scott Filipino for assistance in collecting the data. This work supported grant F49620-97-1-0455 from the Air Force Office of Scientific Research and grant N00014-95-1-0223 from the Office of Naval Research. Working Memory in ACT-R • Provides the resources needed to retrieve and maintain information during cognitive processing (Baddeley, 1986) • Working memory capacity is limited – W is limited (Anderson, Reder, & Lebiere, 1996) • Working memory limits vary across individuals – W varies over individuals (Lovett, Reder, & Lebiere, 1999) Prior Work: The MODS Task • MOdified Digit Span a • Read strings of digits and numbers aloud • Remember the numbers j 2 1st string T b i I M E e 6 2nd string c f 8 • Memory set size varied from 3 to 6 3rd string recall _ _ _ MODS Task Aggregate Results MODS Task Individual Accuracy Subject 221 W = 0.7 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 Subject 201 W = 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 3 4 5 6 Memory Set Size Subject 211 W = 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 3 4 5 6 Memory Set Size 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 3 4 5 6 Memory Set Size Data Model Subject 203 W = 1.1 3 4 5 6 Memory Set Size MODS Task Individual Serial Position CAM Inductive Reasoning Subtest Cross-task Correlations • Estimates of W strongly correlated with scores on CAM inductive reasoning subtest – r = 0.50 r2 = .25 • Correlations are a weak test of W’s predictive ability • No model of the CAM New Work: The n-back task • Subjects view a long sequence of letters • For each, indicate whether it is a target or non-target • Targets defined by condition – 0-back - target is a letter given at the start – 1-back - letter is a target if it matches the previous letter – 2-back - letter is a target if it matches the letter before the previous one – 3-back - letter is a target if it matches the letter 3 before the current one N-back Strategies • Familiarity-based – Subjects use familiarity to decide whether an item is a target – Doesn’t depend on W • Update – Subjects actively try to maintain a list of prior items – Does depend on W – We model this The n-back Model • Encodes the item currently in vision – Memory chunk encodes item and position • Attempts to match the item to a stored memory – Looks for a memory chunk with a position that matches the n-back condition and the correct item – Sets a flag to indicate match or not The n-back Model • Responds – Target or non-target based on flag • Updates memory chunks – Changes the position of each chunk up through the current n-back condition – If this process fails, several responses required to get back on track Aggregate Results MODS Task 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 n-back Task 1.00 0.95 0.90 0.85 0.80 0.75 0.70 0.65 0.60 0.55 0.50 Data Model 3 4 5 Memory Set Size 6 Data Model 0 1 2 Memory Load (n-back) 3 Individual Results: MODS Task Subject 610 W = 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 Subject 619 W = 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 3 4 5 6 Memory Set Size Subject 613 W = 1.0 Subject 623 W = 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 3 4 5 6 Memory Set Size 3 4 5 6 Memory Set Size Data Model 3 4 5 6 Memory Set Size Individual Results: MODS Task Individual Results: N-back Task Subject 610 W = 0.8 1.00 0.95 0.90 0.85 0.80 0.75 0.70 0.65 0.60 0.55 0.50 Subject 619 W = 0.9 1.00 0.95 0.90 0.85 0.80 0.75 0.70 0.65 0.60 0.55 0.50 0 1 2 3 Memory Load (n-back) Subject 613 W = 1.0 1.00 0.95 0.90 0.85 0.80 0.75 0.70 0.65 0.60 0.55 0.50 0 1 2 3 Memory Load (n-back) 1.00 0.95 0.90 0.85 0.80 0.75 0.70 0.65 0.60 0.55 0.50 0 Data Model Subject 623 W = 1.1 1 2 3 Memory Load (n-back) 0 1 2 3 Memory Load (n-back) Individual Results: N-back Task Subject 610 W = 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 Subject 613 W = 1.0 Subject 619 W = 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0 1 2 3 Memory Load (n-back) 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0 Hits Subject 623 W = 1.1 1 2 3 Memory Load (n-back) False Alarms 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0 1 2 3 Memory Load (n-back) Predicted Hits 0 1 2 3 Memory Load (n-back) Predicted False Alarms Conclusions • Varying W captures differences in individuals’ working memory performance. • W can be used to predict performance across tasks. • W is a workable measure of working memory capacity. • ACT-R can be fruitfully applied to the study of individual differences.