Transcript May Town Hall Presentation

SEM FEEDBACK FORUM
May 21 & May 27, 2015
STEERING COMMITTEE
MARY JO SEKELSKY
BARBARA DIXON
BOB BARNETT
VAHID LOTFI
GREG LAURENCE
BRAD MAKI
SUSAN GANO-PHILLIPS
AIMI MOSS
ROY BARNES
JAY GANDHI
SEM PROCESS FRAMEWORK
Executive Team
SEM Steering Committee
2. Data gathering and assessment:
Internal culture/environment, student enrollment
behaviors and scan of external environment
Smaller group of staff and faculty
adept at economics and data use
4. Approve strategic goals and enrollment
projection models
Changes
to goals
Goals recommended by SEM
Recruitment and Retention Councils;
models developed by Data Team
Executive Team
SEM Steering Committee
SEM councils and sub-committees
5. Develop action steps, accountability, and
metrics
6. Implement action steps
7. Monitor progress,
Report results to campus and executive leadership
Mid-course
adjustments
New or revised goals
3. Use data results to establish focused goals each
for recruitment, retention, service, etc., and
enrollment projection models
Additional
requests, clarifying
questions
1. Align institutional strategic plan with broad
enrollment targets and desired mix of students
Appropriate staff and faculty
departments
SEM Steering Committee
Chief Enrollment Officer
DATA TEAM
Roy Barnes, Co-Chair
Jay Gandhi, Co-Chair
Jon Davidson
Brad Maki
Aimi Moss
Karen Arnould
Lori Vedder
Dan Adams
Deb White
Fawn Skarsten
UM-FLINT TEN-YEAR TREND
9,000
7,773
8,000
7,000
6,000
6,527
6,422
5,670
7,260
6,883
5,600
6,959
6,874
6,581
6,155
5,824
8,262
8,138
8,289
6,984
8,555
7,143
8574
7,078
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
927
752
1,000
1,105
1,059
1,264
1,192
1,303
1,305
1,412
1,496
2005
2006
2007
2008
Overall
•
•
•
2009
Undergrad
33.5 % overall increase since 2005
24.8% undergraduate increase since 2005
99% graduate increase since 2005
2010
2011
Graduate
2012
2013
2014
INTERNATIONAL ENROLLMENT
700
663
600
543
500
400
348
300
254
209
200
160
167
2008
2009
125
100
54
62
2005
2006
-
2007
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
DECREASING PRODUCTION OF HIGH
SCHOOL GRADUATES NATIONWIDE
•
• Michigan among most affected
nationwide
• Anticipated contraction of 20% by
2020 in Michigan
Source: WICHE Knocking at the College Door
DECREASING PRODUCTION OF HIGH
SCHOOL GRADUATES - MICHIGAN
Source: WICHE Knocking at the College Door, Michigan projections
DECREASING PRODUCTION OF HIGH SCHOOL
GRADUATES – GENESEE COUNTY
10.6% drop 2010 – 2014
25.3% drop 2010 – 2020
DECLINE IN COMMUNITY COLLEGE ENROLLMENT
• 17.7% drop overall
• 26.5% drop Mott CC
• Transfer students make up 66% of new undergraduates each year
• Approximately 45% of transfer students come from Mott Community College
UM-FLINT HISTORICAL RETENTION RATES FTIAC
Full Time First Time Cohort Retention
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
73.52%
71.79%
69.38%
74.29%
76.37%
70.33%
70.81%
71.55%
72.93%
72.17%
70.01%
74.00%
79.90%
71.90%
after 2nd year 58.01%
57.14%
53.75%
63.57%
61.60%
57.37%
56.52%
59.93%
53.19%
57.20%
56.81%
61.90%
65.93%
after 1st year
Average rate = 72%
Source: UM Flint Institutional Assessment, Fawn Skarsten
UM-FLINT DOMESTIC FTIAC
Domestic FTIAC
Start Term
Starting count
% retained to
second fall
% retained to
third fall
Fall 2008
897
71.6%
50.3%
Fall 2009
761
69.6%
54.4%
Fall 2010
667
67.2%
59.1%
Fall 2011
567
71.3%
59.4%
Fall 2012
533
78.4%
62.3%
Fall 2013
639
68.9%
??
Roughly 40-50% of all freshmen are gone after two years
Source: Historical UM Flint data files (not tied to official IPEDS totals)
TOP CHOICES FOR NEXT INSTITUTION AFTER
UM-FLINT (ALL STUDENTS WITH KNOWN
DESTINATIONS, N=3478)
1. Mott Community College (32.4%)
8.
Oakland University (2.5%)
2. Baker College – Flint (11.2%)
9.
Davenport University (1.7%)
3. Oakland Community College (5.1%)
10. University of Phoenix (1.7%)
4. UM – Ann Arbor (3.2%)
11. Delta College (1.6%)
5. Lansing Community College (3.1%)
12. Saginaw Valley State University (1.4%)
6. Michigan State University (2.6%)
13. St. Clair Community College (1.4%)
7. Central Michigan University (2.5%)
14. Eastern Michigan (1.4%)
Unknown (N=3333)
Other (28.2%)
RECRUITMENT COUNCIL
Greg Laurence, Management, Co-Chair
Brad Maki, Graduate Programs, Co-Chair
Melva Craft-Blacksheare, Nursing
Chris Heidenreich, Music
Melissa Brown, University Relations
Jon Davidson, Undergraduate Admissions
Lori Vedder, Financial Aid
Dan Adams, International Center
Deb White, Extended Learning
RECRUITMENT GOAL RECOMMENDATIONS
1. Maintain average number of FTIAC (Fall) at 700
• Diversify the recruitment geography
• Reduce number of Promise (Challenge) Scholars
• Strategically recruit DEEP and Early College
students
• Increase international students 60% by Fall 2020
• Increase availability of online programs
RECRUITMENT GOAL RECOMMENDATIONS
2.
Mitigate potential loss of new transfer students to no more
than -10%
• Creating better pathways from selected institutions
• Increased international students
• Increased availability of online programs
3.
Grow new graduate enrollment XX% by Fall 2020 so that
graduate students make up 20-22% of total enrollment
• New programs
• Increased international students
• Increased online students
RETENTION COUNCIL
Susan Gano-Phillips, Arts & Sciences, Co-Chair
Aimi Moss, Student Success Center, Co-Chair
Amelia Biehl, Economics
Jan Furman, English
Krista Hansen, Mathematics
Kazuko Hiramatsu, English
Sarah Rosaen, Communication
Stephen Turner, Computer Science
Jerry Glasco, Financial Services
Rob Montry, Student Affairs
Fawn Skarsten, Institutional Analysis
Chris Waters, Undergraduate Studies
RETENTION GOAL RECOMMENDATIONS
1. Increase Retention Rates for FTIAC Students:
• 1st Year Retention Rate: From 72% to 79% by Fall 2020
• 2nd Year Retention Rate: From 66% to 70% by Fall 2020
2. Increase 1st Year Retention Rate for Transfer
Students (Overall): From 76% to 80% by Fall 2020
3. Increase 1st Year Retention Rate for Transfer
Students with Less Than 24 Transfer Credits: From
63% to 70% by Fall 2020
FEEDBACK