Transcript Identify-and-Use-Major-Market-Themes-to-Your-Advantage.ppt
How to Identify and Use Major Market Themes to Your Advantage
Robin Carpenter, Moderator Chloe Lutts Jensen, Tom Garrity, Mike Cintolo, Jacob Mintz
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How to Identify and Use Major Market Themes to Your Advantage
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Elements that Drive New Themes
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How to Identify Opportunities within a Theme
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Thematic Drivers of Yesteryear
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Current Thematic Elements
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Current Favorites
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Elements that Drive New Themes
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Demographics Technology Politics (Domestic & Geo) Social Issues Economics Abundance & Scarcity
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How to Identify Opportunities within a Theme
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Who Are the Direct Players?
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Who Supplies the Direct Players?
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Who are Winners and Losers?
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Key Assumptions…Valid?
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Are there Spin-off Themes?
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Thematic Drivers of Yesteryear
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Internal Combustion & Autos
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National Electrification
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Radio Broadcasting (& TV)
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Women in Workforce
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Internet
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Outsourcing
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Current Thematic Elements
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Aging Populations
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Genetic Revolution
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West-East Politics
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Climate Change
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Order Flow Reading
Access to the Smartest and Most Sophisticated Traders in the World
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What I’m looking for
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Unusual Call or Put Volume
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Top 100 Takeovers in 2012
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Average Call Volume Six Months Prior to Deal
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1,313 Calls
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Average Call Volume Five Days prior to Deal
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2,239 Calls
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Difference of 71%!!
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MBIA Inc.
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Average Option Volume of 7,000 contracts
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In March a trader bought 50,000 August 13/16 Call Spreads Trade for $0.50
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On May 6, the stock jumped 40% from 9-14 following a settlement with BAC
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That trade netted a profit of $5 million
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Chip Stocks: Long Bear Market
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Emerging Markets: Sitting Out
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Europe: End of Depression?
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