Transcript Document 7633284

Nunn-McCurdy Certification
National Polar-orbiting Operational
Environmental Satellite System
(NPOESS)
Brief for
House Committee on Science
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
June 7, 2006
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Certified NPOESS Program
Overview
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AM
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CALENDAR YEAR
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F13
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F19
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C4
F20
F17
C2
M
mid-AM
F16
F18
Metop A
Metop C
Metop D
Metop B
C3
PM
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AQUA
N’
C1
NPP
Sensor Configuration
Description
Core Sensors
• AM: VIIRS, Microwave Image/Sounder,
SARSAT
• PM: VIIRS, Microwave Imager/Sounder
(C3), SARSAT, CrIS, ATMS,
ADCS, CERES (C1),OMPS-Nadir,
SEM, ACDS
GFE Sensors
APS, TSIS, OMPS-Limb, ERBS, Full
SESS, SUSS
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Resources
(TY$)
FY2006-2013 Surplus/(Shortfall)*:
($84M)
Total Acquisition Cost:
$11.5B
End of Constellation Service Life:
2026+
*Comparing PB 07 and 3% inflation FY12-13
NPOESS bus sized to carry full sensor configuration
Constellation of 2 EMD and 2 Production satellites
Terminate CMIS; Compete new Microwave Imager/Sounder starting
with C2
NOAA/NASA forecasting models and selected climate continuity
preserved
Restructuring of NGST contract required; Renegotiation of NGST fee
All secondary sensor integration planned and budgeted for
DoD will lose day/night imagery in mid-AM for up to 8 years Gap
duration contingent upon satellite performance
Contractor and government management continuity preserved
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Decision Drivers
• Continuity
• Lower Risk
• Growth Potential
• Affordability
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Management Recommendations
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Reviews
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Contract Strategy
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Apply risk avoidance lessons-learned and develop alternate solutions/off-ramps for technical margins management
Establish a process to track progress and closure of recommendations from deep dives
Subcontract Management / Sustainment / Support
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Fill vacant positions at IPO
Consider hiring a single highly qualified instrument manager for key sensors SE
Systems Engineering (SE)
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Implement DOD Award Fee policy as stated in 3/29/2006 memo, “Award Fee Contracts”
Revise award fee plan to specify effective incentives for achieving program goals (DOC IG recommendation)
Personnel
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Complete an Integrated Baseline Review with all issues closed (12 months after cert)
Develop Effective MoA with DCMA supporting periodic joint surveillance reviews (including subcontractors), EVM
analysis, and periodic estimate-at-completion updates (3 months after cert)
Update the Logistics Support Plan/Product Support Management Plan by Sep 06
Develop plan by Sep 06 addressing Diminishing Manufacturing Sources/parts obsolescence
Tri-Agency Management
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Describe EXCOM / PEO / SPD day-to-day communications and key decisions process in a tri-agency MOA
Segregate responsibilities for program management and fee determination officer (DOC IG recommendation)
Develop management process to examine cost and performance trades
Obtain and review regular, independent evaluations of program status that thoroughly assess progress toward
completing high-risk or otherwise critical tasks (DOC IG recommendation)
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Preserves Weather Forecasting
Capability Improvements
• Afternoon orbit contains advanced imager and advanced sounder to
enhance weather forecasting
• Reliance upon METOP in mid-morning orbit
– AVHRR vs VIIRS: preserves imagery resolution
– METOP scatterometer and advanced atmospheric sounder enhance
operational weather forecasting capability in mid morning orbit
• Reduced microwave imager/sounder: no impact on civil weather
mission–wind speed and direction requirements preserved
• No microwave imager/sounder on C1
– METOP scatterometer for ocean winds and waves becomes primary
instrument until new imager/sounder is available on C2
• Continue reliance on DMSP for ocean wind speed
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NOAA Impacts & Mitigation Strategy
• CMIS: Ocean wind speed and direction
– Mitigation: Rely on MetOp and DMSP
• SESS: Space Environment Monitor
– Mitigation: Fly POES operational SEM instrument
– No loss from present capability on POES
• APS: Aerosol data for air quality forecasts and role of aerosols in climate;
– Mitigation: NASA still to fly first APS in this decade
• ALT: Characterization of sea surface heights;
– Mitigation: Navy developing mitigation plan for altimetry
• ERBS: provides ability to understand changes in the Earth’s radiation budget
– Mitigation: Fly NASA CERES research instrument on C1
– Not flown on NOAA polar satellites today
• TSIS: ability to understand changes in solar irradiance
– Not flown on NOAA satellites
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Maximizing longevity of
NOAA constellation
• NOAA N-Prime satellite launched delayed to 2009 to replace
NOAA-18
• Continue to rely on NOAA/EUMETSAT partnership on
MetOp in mid-AM orbit
• NPP satellite launched in 2009 provides imaging, sounding,
and ozone backup for operational NOAA mission
• Use of still functioning instruments of older NOAA satellites
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