Traders Expo Presentation Slides – Scalping The Open
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Transcript Traders Expo Presentation Slides – Scalping The Open
Al Brooks
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Scalping the Emini open
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Al Brooks
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Live Emini trading room
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When does opening range end?
No specific time, usually before 8:30 am PST
As early as first bar or as late as 10 am
With breakout, if day starts with TR
With TR, if day starts with BO
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Why trade the opening range?
90% chance of swing trade…
4 points or more profit
Reward at least twice risk
Strong swing = best math for scalp
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Either high or low of day forms in…
First 5 minutes on 20% of days
First 35 minutes on 50% of days
First 2 hours on 90% of days
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Goal of most traders
Find one or more swing trades
But, many traders scalp while waiting
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How many scalp setups?
Great scalpers see setups on every bar!
Take 20 or more trades a day
Most traders should focus on swings
Take only occasional scalps
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Scalps during
st
1
hour
Very difficult to make money scalping
Better to look for swing
Best scalps are also swings…so swing!!
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Main reason to avoid scalps…
Requires quick thinking and quick ACTION!
If cannot exit quickly when wrong, don’t scalp
If cannot quickly reverse mindset, don’t scalp
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When wrong, exit quickly!
Always have a plan to exit
Have stops in market, not in head
Stops protect you from yourself!
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If TR becomes trend, trade like trend!
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PB below bottom of bull breakout
If initial tight trading range has bull BO…
PB can fall below bottom of bull leg
Look to buy…
Reversal up
Below TR with limit order
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Buy more below!
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Enter with stops or limit orders?
Trading range = limit orders = bet breakouts fail
Trend = stop orders = bet breakout succeed
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First few bars often tell if…
Trend day
Trading range day
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Trend from the open
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Trend from the open
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Trading range day
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Limit order open
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Dojis, tight trading range, at MA
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Signs of strong trend
Consecutive strong trend bars
Strong reversal bar if gap
Strong breakout from TR price action
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3 consecutive bear bars, 3rd one = strong
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Strong bull reversal bar, good context
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Consecutive trend bars, but bad context
Unlikely to form trend
More likely will reverse
Likely will form opening reversal
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Dojis, tight trading range, at MA
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Reversals are common
Market always searches for direction
Probes up and down
Needs to find out what is too far
Most days, first direction is wrong
Initial move creates opening reversal
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Opening reversals
Strong, quick test of support or resistance
Creates tail on most trend bars on daily chart
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Opening reversal at 60 min MA
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Opening reversal at yesterday’s low and high
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Always look for…
Major trend reversal
Breakout or failed breakout of anything:
Swing high or low including high or low of yesterday
Trend line
Trading range or channel
Moving average
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Is trend continuing or failing?
Is breakout continuing from 1st bar
or failing (reversing)?
If failing, is market just pulling back
and about to resume breakout?
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Swing begins with strong signal bar
Bull swing usually begins with…
Bull body
Close at or near high of bar
Bear swing usually begins with…
Bear body
Close at or near low of bar
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Strong buy signal bar
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Strong sell signal bar
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If no clear signal bar…
Wait for strong breakout up or down…
1 big trend bar, especially with follow-through
3 – 5 smaller consecutive trend bars
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Strong breakout after bad signal bars
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Opening reversal at MA after gap up
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Opening range setups
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Double bottom, PB to MA
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Wedge, big Low 2
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LL MTR = Lower Low Major Trend Reversal
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HL MTR, DB
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Trading the open
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Trading the open
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Parabolic wedge on open
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Endless pullback, then reversal
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A week of trading the SPY opening range
Pay attention to yesterday
Look for reversals, breakouts, and failed breakouts
Look to swing, using usual management
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Monday
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Monday
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Tuesday: after sell climax, expect rally
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Now 2 big bull bars
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Management of initial long
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Buy closes, probable MM up
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New BO so raise stop
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Buy failed reversal attempts
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Management of initial long
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Spike and channel, MM, top of TR, 2LU
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Management of initial long
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Wednesday: gap above TR
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Wednesday
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Wednesday
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Wednesday
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Wednesday
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Thursday: TR open, AIL
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Thursday: FOMC report
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Friday: Follow-through buying
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Friday: parabolic wedge, buy climax
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Al Brooks
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Scalping the Emini open
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