Transcript KNOWLEDGE DIVIDES AND KNOWLEDGE GAPS THAT AFFECT DISASTER PREVENTION

KNOWLEDGE DIVIDES AND
KNOWLEDGE GAPS THAT
AFFECT DISASTER
PREVENTION
Dr. Walter Hays,
Global Alliance For Disaster
Reduction
IT IS TIME FOR A “GLOBAL
WAKE UP CALL”
1990-2010
PERIOD OF
INTEGRATION
NOW
WINDOW OF
OPPORTUNITY
HEAR
UNDERSTAND
IDENTIFY
PERSONALIZE
21ST
CENTURY
PERIOD OF
IMPLEMENTATION
ACT
WAKE UP THE SLEEPING
GIANT
OVERCOMING THE GLOBAL
RIP VAN WINKLE EFFECT
THAT IS ALLOWING
THE 21ST CENTURY
TO BECOME THE CENTURY OF
DISASTERS
A DISASTER is ----- the set of failures that occur when
three continuums: 1) people, 2)
community (i.e., a set of habitats,
livelihoods, and social constructs),
and 3) recurring events (e.g., floods,
earthquakes, ...,) intersect at a point in
space and time, when and where the
people and community are not ready.
WHEN AN INTERSECTION OCCURS, A
DISASTER OCCURS - - - - - IF THE PEOPLE AND THE COMMUNITY
ARE NOT READY FOR WHAT HAPPENS
COMMUNITY
PEOPLE
CP
RECURRING
EVENTS
S
O
P
T
THE SLEEPING GIANT IS
YOU (AND ME)
WAKE UP!
RIP VAN WINKLE
RIP VAN WINKLE IS NOT PREPARED TO
BE A CHAMPION OF DISASTER
PREVENTION IN THE 21ST CENTURY
--- He slept
through the most
important 20
years of his life -- the IDNDR
(1990-1999) AND
ISDR (2000-2010)
HE IS UNPREPARED AFTER MISSING
20 YEARS OF INNOVATION
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
--- VULNERABILITY REDUCTION
--- RISK REDUCTION
--- PREVENTION
--- PROVENTION
--- MITIGATION
--- DISASTER REDUCTION
--- DISASTER RISK REDUCTION
--- DISASTER RESILIENCE
BY MISSING APPROXIMATELY
10,000
OPPORTUNITIES TO LEARN
FROM THE NOTABLE EVENTS
AND DISASTERS THAT
HAPPENED DURING THE PERIOD
1990—2011,
HE IS UNPREPARED.
ARIZONA: JUNE 8, 2011
VOLCANO PUYEHUE’S ASH
CLOUD: JUNE 4, 2011
MISSISSIPPI RIVER BARGE
TRAFFIC HALTED: MAY 6
WESTERN TANZANIA: INUNDATION;
MAY 6
NEW SOUTH WALES,
AUSTRALIA: JANUARY, 2011
NORTH DAKOTA LEVEE
BREACHED:JUNE 23, 2011
TUSCALOOSA, AL: APRIL 27, 2011
SENDAI, JAPAN”BEFORE
MARCH 12TH
AFTER MARCH 12th
IT IS TIME FOR A “GLOBAL
WAKE UP CALL”
1990-2010
PERIOD OF
INTEGRATION
NOW
WINDOW OF
OPPORTUNITY
HEAR
UNDERSTAND
IDENTIFY
PERSONALIZE
21ST
CENTURY
PERIOD OF
IMPLEMENTATION
ACT
THE 21ST CENTURY’S WINDOW OF
OPPORTUNITY
• GLOBAL SOCIETAL RESILIENCE
• WE HAVE AN OPPORTUNITY TO
ACCELERATE THE RECOVERY PROCESS
AFTER EACH RECORD OR NEAR-RECORD
DISASTER OF THE 21ST CENTURY
STRATEGY: TAKE ADVANTAGE OF
THE UNIQUENESS OF RECOVERY
• THE POLITICAL and MEDIA SPOTLIGHT
IS ON ALL DECISIONS AND ACTIVITIES
• TOP PRIORITY: RESTORATION TO
NORMAL (OR BETTER) AS QUICKLY AS
POSSIBLE
• INTERNATIONAL ASSISTANCE,
INSURANCE PAYOUTS, AND DONORS:
ALWAYS AVAILABLE
TYPICAL TOP PRIORTIES
DURING RECOVERY
1) RESTORATION OF TRANSPORTATION
INFRASTRUCTURE
2) RESTORATION OF ESSENTIAL
FACILITIES-- SCHOOLS
“VAN WINKLE BARRIERS” TO ACHIEVING
GLOBAL SOCIETAL RESILIENCE
• MYTH– there is a “general
public,” so one glove fits all.
• REALITY--there are many
different sectors of the public
having different motivations and
needs, so develop sectorspecific knowledge.
“VAN WINKLE BARRIERS” TO ACHIEVING
SOCIETAL RESILIENCE
• MYTH– people will do what they
say they will do
• REALITY—the coefficient of
correlation between what people
say and what they actually do is
VERY LOW, so have legal
mandates to ensure compliance.
“VAN WINKLE BARRIERS” TO ACHIEVING
SOCIETAL RESILIENCE
• MYTH– mailing a report is
communication
• REALITY—communication is an
active 2-way process involving: A
SOURCE and A RECEIVER, A
MESSAGE, and A CHANNEL
(or multiple channels), so develop
programmes with a long time line.
COMMUNICATION
FUNCTIONAL
NETWORKING
CHANNELS
ORGANIZATION
NETWORKING
CHANNELS
“SOCIETAL
RESILIENCE”
READINESS FOR A
POSSIBLE DISASTER
COMMUNITY
INFORMATION
NETWORKING
CHANNELS
STAKEHOLDERS
ACADEMIA
Stratec Consulting
“VAN WINKLE BARRIERS” TO ACHIEVING
SOCIETAL RESILIENCE
• MYTH– mailing a report or sending
an e-mail is transfer of ownership of
knowledge
• REALITY—transfer of ownership of
knowledge is a process: HEARING,
UNDERSTANDING, and PERSONALIZING FOR ACTION.
WHAT IS THE PAYOFF OF
GLOBAL SOCIETAL
RESILIENCE
FAILURE: WE WILL HAVE DISASTERS
DURING THE 21ST CENTURY THAT WILL
MAKE 1990—2010’S DISASTERS LOOK
LIKE “A WALK IN THE PARK.”
SUCCESS: !!!!!
SEE APPENDIX A:
RESTORATION OF TRANSPORTATION
INFRASTRUCTURE
SEE APPENDIX B:
RESTORATION OF ESSENTIAL
FACILITIES-- SCHOOLS