Transcript 5 Questions – One Mission Better Lives for Kentucky’s

5 Questions –
One Mission
Better Lives for
Kentucky’s
People
Policy Issues and
Priorities for 2005-2010
A presentation to Kentucky Adult
Education Providers,
November, 2005 - Lee Nimocks, CPE
http://cpe.ky.gov
“Kentucky’s reality is that we will sink or swim
not on how well we educate our youth, but on
how well we educate our entire population,
whether age 15, 25, 55 or 75.”
Ron Crouch, Director, Kentucky State Data Center
Part I: The Council on
Postsecondary Education
Who We Are

The Council on Postsecondary
Education is a statewide agency
comprised of fifteen members from
all regions of the state.

Thirteen are lay members – citizens
appointed by the Governor – who
share a commitment to educational
improvement and service to the
state.

One faculty member and one student
also serve a members of the
Council. The Commissioner of
Education is an ex-officio member.
Not pictured: Alois M. Moore
What We Do
The Council coordinates change and
improvement in Kentucky’s postsecondary
education and adult education systems as
directed by the Kentucky Postsecondary
Education Improvement Act of 1997 and the
Adult Education Act of 2000.
Other Key Areas of Responsibility:
–
–
–
Kentucky Virtual University
Kentucky Virtual Library
GEAR UP Kentucky
The Kentucky Postsecondary Education
Improvement Act of 1997

Ties the future well-being of Kentucky citizens
to the development of a well-educated and
highly-trained workforce

Establishes a long-term goal of raising the
standard of living and the quality of life in the
Commonwealth above the national average by
the year 2020
The Adult Education Act of 2000
•
•
Identifies adult literacy as a fundamental barrier
to every major challenge facing Kentucky
Calls for a multi-faceted strategy to address the
diverse needs of undereducated adult
population in all counties and regions of the
state.
Part II:
The Public Agenda
The 2005-2010 Public Agenda



The Process
Analyses of key data
Forums and meetings
Public review and comment
What We Learned
More emphasis needed on:
 Addressing needs of Adult Learners
 Affordability
 Degree production
 Role of institutions as community leaders
 Economic development
 Closing achievement gaps
The Five Questions that
Guide our Work
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Are more Kentuckians ready for
postsecondary education?
Is Kentucky postsecondary education
affordable for its citizens?
Do more Kentuckians have certificates and
degrees?
Are college graduates prepared for life and
work in Kentucky?
Are Kentucky’s people, communities, and
economy benefiting?
Our Goal



To reach the national average in educational
attainment by 2020.
Ultimately, Kentucky must Double the number of
Kentucky’s working age people with a Bachelor’s
degree or higher from 400,000 to 800,000 if we are to
achieve this goal.
How?
–
–
–
Ensure more of our students graduate from high school or earn
their GEDs
Increase our college enrollment, retention and graduation rates
to match the best states in the nation
Keep our college graduates in state, and encourage more
college graduates to come to Kentucky to live, work and
contribute to our communities and economy
Part III: If We Succeed?
We Can Expect








Competitiveness in the global economy
Higher incomes
More high value jobs
Increased tax revenues
Involved citizens
Talent force development
Less poverty
Healthier citizens
Rate of Voter Participation by
Educational Attainment
82%
82%
Masters
Doctoral
90%
75%
80%
70%
63%
60%
52%
50%
40%
35%
38%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Less than
HS
HS Degree
Some
College
Associates
Bachelors
Source: Postsecondary Opportunities, June. 2002,# 120: p.11 - With thanks to Patrick Kelly, NCHEMS
Unemployment Rate by Educational
Attainment
10%
9%
8.50%
8%
7%
6%
5.30%
4.80%
5%
4.00%
4%
3.10%
2.80%
3%
1.60%
2%
1%
0%
Less than
HS
HS Degree
Some
College
Associates
Bachelors
Masters
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2002 Current Population Survey - With thanks to Patrick Kelly, NCHEMS
Doctoral
Lifetime Earnings by Educational Attainment
(in millions of 1999 dollars)
$5
$4.4
$4
$3.4
$3
$2.5
$2.1
$2
$1.6
$1.0
$1.2
$1
$0
Less than
HS
HS Degree
Associates
Bachelors
Masters
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2002 Current Population Survey - With thanks to Patrick Kelly, NCHEMS
Doctoral
Professional
Relationship Between Educational Attainment
and Personal Income by State, 2000
CT
28,766
NJ
Per Capita Income
MD
NH VA
DE
AK
OH
IN
AL
OK
LA
RI HI
GA OR
KS
AZ
METXNE
FL
WI
PA
NC
MO
IA
TN SC
WY
AR
CA
CO
NY
MN
WA
MI
NV
KY
IL
MA
ID
SDND
VT
UT
NM MT
WV
MS
15,853
14.8
Percent with Bachelor’s Degree or Higher
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census, Analysis by Aimes McGinness, NCHEMS
33.2
If we reach the national average in the
level of educational attainment by 2020,
Kentucky could see
a cumulative increase
of…
$5.3 Billion
in state revenue
$71 Billion
in personal income
Note. Cumulative increase represents a gross revenue increase.
Source: Kentucky Long-term Policy Research Center
Part IV: Our Challenge
The National Picture





Sixty percent of jobs today require some postsecondary
education
Almost one-third of students who enroll are not college
ready
Only 71% of 9th grade students graduate from high
school on time, and only slightly more than 50% of black
and Latino students graduate on time.
Only 18% of 9th graders will make it through high school,
enter college and earn a two- or four-year degree on
time.
In Kentucky…
Source: 2005 National Education Summit on High Schools
Out of every 100 Kentucky ninth graders….
….65 graduate from high school….
….39 enter college….
….26 are still enrolled in the sophomore year….
…and 15 graduate from college.
With thanks to Tom Welch, KDE, for graphics
Changes in Workforce Needs
1997
1950
15%
20%
Unskilled
Skilled
60%
Unskilled
20%
20%
Professional
65%
Professional
Skilled
National Summit on 21st Century Skills for 21st Century Jobs
Percent of Adults with a Baccalaureate
Degree or Higher, by State, 2000
Washington
Oregon
North Dakota
Montana
Minnesota
Idaho
Maine
Wisconsin
South Dakota
Wyoming
Vermont
New Hampshire
Michigan
Nebraska
New York
Iowa
Pennsylvania
Indiana
Nevada
Utah
Ohio
Illinois
Colorado
Kansas
West Virginia
Missouri
Kentucky
California
North Carolina
Arkansas
Arizona
New Mexico
South Carolina
Alabama
Texas
Georgia
Mississippi
Louisiana
Florida
Alaska = 24.7%
Hawaii = 26.2%
Data Source: 2000 Census
Rhode Island
New Jersey
Maryland
Delaware
Virginia
Tennessee
Oklahoma
Massachusetts
Connecticut
31.4% to 33.2.%
25.7% to 31.4%
21.9% to 25.7%
18.7% to 21.9%
14.8% to 18.7%
Baccalaureate Attainment by County,
2000
Sources: Kentucky Data Center, US Census, CPE Staff
Part V: Are We
Making Progress?
The answer is…
YES
BUT
Adult
education enrollment increase
of 135% in four years
Still
Highest
Ranked
increase in nation between
1990 and 2000 in percent of adults
with a high school credential
Postsecondary
enrollment
increased by 25%
College
going rate of high school
graduates now exceeds national
average
only serving 10 percent of
adults with low literacy levels
39th in the percent of the
population with a high school
credential
Many
students do not advance
through the system – only 15 out of
every 100 9th graders graduate from
college on time
Not enough students perform well
on college entrance and advanced
placement exams
The answer is…
YES
BUT
Greater
proportion of African
Americans and low income
Kentuckians going to college than a
decade ago
Six-year
Increase
of 44% in certificates,
diplomas, and associates in last
three years
Too
Graduation
Rank
rates for bachelor’s
students increased from 36% to 45%
graduation rate of African
American students is, on average,
15% below White, Nonhispanic
students
few students transfer to fouryear institutions
47th in nation in percent of
adults with baccalaureate degree or
higher
The answer is…
YES
BUT
41st in federal research and
development expenditures per capita
in 2002
Increase
in federal research and
development expenditures per capita
was 6th highest in nation between
1996 and 2002
Rank
Kentucky
institutions remain
relatively affordable compared to
other states
Affordability
Kentucky
We
is one of only five states in
the nation to improve performance
over the decade in college student
preparation, participation, completion,
and economic and civic benefits to
the state
remains a major
concern in both the nation and
Kentucky
still have a long way to go!
Part VI: 2006 General Assembly
Issues and Priorities
Kentucky General Assembly,
Preview for 2006


Main Responsibility – Pass a Budget
Some short term revenue tax relief,
but…

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Medicaid - $600 million shortfall
Health Insurance, estimated 20% increase
State Pensions
Corrections
Relatively strong postsecondary/adult
education session in 2005
Medicaid’s Increasing Share of
General Fund
20.00%
18.00%
16.00%
14.00%
12.00%
10.00%
8.00%
6.00%
4.00%
2.00%
0.00%
FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Office of the Kentucky State Budget Director
The Council’s Priorities for 2006
Priority
Description
FY 2006-07
FY 2007-08
Biennium
1
Base Funding
$76,030,900
$74,590,200
$150,621,100
2
Strategic Trust
Funds / Incentive
Programs
40,801,600
19,850,000
60,651,600
4
Special Initiatives /
Pass Through
Programs
2,160,700
10,135,500
12,296,200
3
Capital
7,600,000
55,597,900
63,197,900
Adult Education Funding Initiatives


A key part of the Council’s 1st priority
– $6 million (27.2%) requested increase in program
funding to expand and enhance program services,
and to improve per student funding levels.
– Additional funding requested to support adult
education administrative services
Other Important CPE budget requests for Adult Ed:
– Regional Stewardship Funding
– College Access Initiative
– Retention/Affordability Initiative and Student Aid
Programs
– Joint P-16 Budget Request
Kentucky Adult Education
Funding Per Student
$500
General Fund
Federal Funds
$400
$286
$283
$300
$261
$205
$200
$174
$142
$100
Analysis, CPE staff
$192
$133
$108
$0
2000
$168
$92
$76
2001
2002
2003
2004
$71
2005
$71
2006
Bottom Line …

We have made great progress – the success
in adult education has been outstanding:
–
–
–

Doubling of enrollment in all programs
Family literacy programs in every county
Many more GED recipients going on to college
BUT, If Kentucky is going to “stay in the game”
we must renew our commitment to the goals of
HB 1 and SB 1, and provide adequate and
sustained funding for adult and postsecondary
education.
Part VII: Communicating
the Message
Core Message


Support for postsecondary and adult
education represents an investment of public
dollars, not an expense, and the returns –
tangible and intangible – far exceed the
investment.
Without lack a sustained, adequate
investment, Kentucky risks falling even
further behind its national and international
competitors in terms of educational
attainment, personal income, and economic
success.
What can you do?

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Be a leader in your community and become
part of a grassroots call for a better educated
Kentucky population
Communicate to policy makers the need for
resources and support for postsecondary
and adult education.
Push our education systems to pursue
higher quality and better use of resources.
Stay informed and inform others about
Kentucky’s progress and challenges in
education.
Making Your Message Count
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Help policy makers understand how funding is being
spent – let them know what the return is on the
public’s investment
Use tangible/quantifiable examples of successes
Put a “human face” on efforts to address Kentucky’s
adult literacy problem.
Invite policy makers to your programs to see them in
action.
“All Politics is Local” - Help policy makers understand
local and regional challenges and the current unmet
adult education needs in your communities.
Resources to Help Stay Informed


For weekly legislative updates, or
to get adult and postsecondary
information, CPE Website –
www.cpe.ky.gov
To check the legislative meeting
calendar, contact your legislator,
or get more information about a
bill - Legislative Research
Commission Website www.lrc.ky.gov
http://cpe.ky.gov