The global migration debate: What data do we need to close the evidence-gap? Pablo Lattes Migration Section, Population Division - DESA United Nations, New.
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The global migration debate: What data do we need to close the evidence-gap? Pablo Lattes Migration Section, Population Division - DESA United Nations, New York Regional workshop on migration statistics, 26 - 27 October 2011, Antalya, Turkey International migration and development at the United Nations N O N U N GFMD GFMD Mexico Switzerland Berne Initiative 1994 U N GFMD Philippines GFMD GFMD Belgium Greece ICPD 1996 1998 2000 2002 Doyle Report 2004 GCIM 2006 2008 GFMD Mauritius GFMD (Troika?) GFMD Sweden 2010 2012 2014 CPD and HLD SRSG, CPD, GMG and HLD ITD UNGA Second Committee 2016 Milestones on international migration and development at the United Nations International Conference on Population and Development, Cairo, 1994 (PoA, Chapter X) High-level Dialogue on International Migration and Development, 2006 • Global Forum on Migration and Development • Global Migration Group (14 UN agencies plus IOM and World Bank) • Special Representative of the Secretary-General Informal thematic debate on International Migration and Development, 19 May 2011 High-Level Dialogue on International Migration and Development, 2013 Informal thematic debate Panel 1: The contribution of migrants to development International migration contributes to development. But in order to reap the full benefits of migration the following are needed: Better policies and programs to: • • • • • • Reduce transaction costs of remittances Promote return and circular migration Promote migrant entrepreneurship Protect the rights of all migrants Facilitate the integration of migrants into host societies A sound evidence base Informal thematic debate (2) Panel 2: Improving international cooperation on migration and development Maximizing migrant contributions to development requires cooperation at all levels • At the bilateral and regional levels progress has been made in strengthening cooperation • The GFMD has successfully promoted dialogue, but it is still a fragile process, with insufficient support from Member States • The GMG has an important role to play in fostering better coordination and supporting the activities of Member States (for example, collaboration between UNHCR and IOM to evacuate foreign workers from Libya) The Global Migration Group (GMG) 16 members, including the 14 United Nations entities (…), IOM and the World Bank Created by United Nations Secretary-General in context of the 2006 High Level Dialogue Objectives: • Apply international instruments and norms on international migration • Promote coherent, comprehensive and coordinated approach to international migration Global Migration Group (GMG), 2011 Global Forum on Migration and Development (GFMD) Objective • to advance understanding and cooperation on the nexus between migration and development and foster practical and action-oriented outcomes Character • voluntary, informal, participatory, non-binding and Government-led process Participation • open to all members and observers of the UN Past Meetings • Belgium (2007), Philippines (2008), Greece (2009) and Mexico (2010) Future Meetings • Switzerland (2011), Mauritius (2012), Sweden (2014) 2011 GFMD – main themes Theme - Taking Action on Migration and Development Coherence, Capacity and Cooperation Labour mobility and development • Engaging the private sector in labour market planning • Lowering the costs of migration for higher development gains • Global care workers at the interface of migration and development Addressing irregular migration through coherent migration and development strategies And Planning tools for evidence-based migration and development policies. • Handbook on ‘Mainstreaming Migration into Development Planning’ • Impact Assessments of Migration and Development Policies • Implementing Migration Profiles 2013 High-level Dialogue on International Migration and Development process (UNGA resolution 65/170) Resolution on theme and modalities: UNGA 67th session (Oct 2012) Regional commissions and other relevant entities (IOM, etc.): regional preparations High-level Dialogue: Sep (?) 2013 Resolution on HLD outcomes and future (?) Data sources for policy issues Key policy levels Data sources Levels, trends and characteristics UN DESA Remittances levels and costs The World Bank Circular and return migration ? Surveys Labour export (incl. highly-skilled migration [brain drain]) OECD, WHO, The World Bank Migrant entrepreneurship ? Surveys Portability of pensions ? bilateral agreements Transferability of education certificates / skills UNESCO, bilateral agreements Irregular migration Admin. Records, Surveys Social and economic integration of migrants Census, Surveys Protection of rights of migrants Special Rapporteur on Human Rights, ILO Recommended stock tabulations by United Nations Statistical Office Native and foreign-born population by age and sex Foreign-born population by country of birth, age and sex Foreigners by country of citizenship, age and sex Foreign-born 15+ years and over by educational attainment and sex Foreigners 15+ years of age by educational attainment and sex Population by citizenship status, age and sex Economically active foreign-born by occupation Source: Migrant stock tables of United Nations Statistics Division Population census questionnaire 2011 Recommended flow tabulations by United Nations Statistical Office Inflow by reason (work, study, etc.) Inflow and outflow by citizenship status, sex and age Inflow and outflow by origin/destination • citizenship • country of residence (previous/next) • country of birth Source: United Nations Statistics Division Questionnaire on International Travel and Migration Reporting compliance by countries Example 1: migrant stock (total) Total foreign-born/ foreigners Percentage countries with data Percentage migrants covered 1990 2000 2010 1990 2000 2010 Africa 70 51 11 62 69 22 Asia 64 76 28 74 87 42 Europe 81 88 58 96 99 85 Latin America and the Caribbean 83 76 15 85 95 9 Northern America 80 80 80 100 100 100 Oceania 83 92 25 100 100 95 Total 75 74 28 86 93 68 Migration Section – Population Division - DESA, 2011 Reporting compliance by countries Example 2: migrant stock (age) Foreign-born, foreigners by age Percentage countries with data Percentage migrants covered 1990 2000 2010 1990 2000 2010 Africa 54 33 5 53 50 8 Asia 40 52 22 41 59 37 Europe 54 81 38 53 99 69 LAC 80 63 13 85 89 9 Northern America 80 80 60 100 100 100 Oceania 67 71 17 98 99 79 Total 58 58 20 60 82 60 Migration Section – Population Division - DESA, 2011 Reporting compliance by countries Example 3: migrant stock (origin) Foreign-born, Foreigners by country of birth / citizenship Percentage countries with data Percentage migrants covered 1990 2000 2010 1990 2000 2010 Africa 65 46 5 33 88 7 Asia 50 62 16 52 75 18 Europe 79 88 56 82 100 85 LAC 83 74 7 81 100 6 Northern America 80 80 80 100 100 100 Oceania 75 79 25 98 100 95 Total 70 68 22 71 91 60 Migration Section – Population Division - DESA, 2011 Reporting on migration flows Country From Country From Armenia 2000 Germany 1965 Poland 1999 Australia 1976 Greece 2007 Portugal 1992 Austria 1996 Hungary 1995 Rep. of Moldova 1993 Azerbaijan 1995 Iceland 1986 Romania 1994 Belarus 2000 Ireland 1987 Russian Fed. 1991 Belgium 1960 Israel 1995 Slovakia 1993 Bulgaria 2007 Italy 1986 Slovenia 1996 Canada 1964 Kazakhstan 2000 Spain 1983 Croatia 1992 Kyrgyzstan 1990 Sweden 1960 Cyprus 2002 Latvia 1995 Switzerland 1991 Czech Republic 1993 Lithuania 2000 Ukraine 2000 Denmark 1980 Luxembourg d 1980 United Kingdom 1960 Estonia 2004 Netherlands 2000 United States 2000 Finland 1980 New Zealand 1979 France 1994 Norway 1980 Migration Section – Population Division - DESA, 2011 Country From Remittances (inflows US dollars) Remittances Inflows (US$ million) 2000 2005 2008 2009 2010e Share of GDP, 2009 Armenia 87 498 1062 769 832 8.8% Azerbaijan 57 693 1554 1274 1404 3.0% Belarus 139 255 443 358 375 0.7% Georgia 274 346 732 714 808 6.6% Kazakhstan 122 178 192 124 132 0.1% 9 322 1232 992 1160 21.7% 179 920 1897 1211 1306 22.4% 1275 3012 6033 5359 5477 0.4% Tajikistan .. 467 2544 1748 2032 35.1% Turkmenistan .. .. .. .. .. 33 595 5769 5073 5595 .. .. .. .. .. Kyrgyz Republic Moldova Russian Federation Ukraine Uzbekistan Source: World Bank, 2011 4.5% The cost of transferring remittances differs greatly across migration corridors Cost of sending US$ 200 in US$, third quarter 2010 Ghana → Nigeria $32.5 Germany → Croatia Japan → Republic of Korea $38.1 Australia → PNG $39.2 Tanzania → Kenya UAE → Pakistan $47.3 $3.2 Russian Federation → Azerbaijan $4.5 Singapore → Philippines $4.8 Qatar → India $6.3 Saudi Arabia → Nepal $6.6 Source: World Bank, 2011 Some of the most expensive corridors $36.5 Some of the least expensive corridors N or w G ay re e Ire ce la nd Ita Sp ly B ai el n g Sl iu ov m a A k ia us Fr tria an S N w ce et e he de rla n n Po ds Po lan rt d G ug er al m D an en y U ni H ma te u r C d K ng k ze i a c h ng r y d Lu Rep om xe ub m Sw bo lic itz ur er g la nd Migrant entrepreneurs create many new jobs … Average number of jobs created by each foreign-born self-employed person in firms with under 50 employees, 1998-2008 6 Foreign-born 4 2 0 Source: OECD, 2010 … almost as many as native-born entrepreneurs Average number of jobs created by each foreign- and native-born self-employed person in firms with under 50 employees, 1998-2008 6 Foreign-born Native-born 4 2 N or w G ay re e Ire ce la nd Ita Sp ly B ai el n g Sl iu ov m a A k ia us Fr tria an S N w ce et e he de rla n n Po ds Po lan rt d G ug er al m D an en y U ni H ma te u r C d K ng k ze i a c h ng r y d Lu Rep om xe ub m Sw bo lic itz ur er g la nd 0 Source: OECD, 2010 Migration Corridors Significant migration between regions (millions) TO FROM REGION AFR ASIA EUR LAC NAM OCEAN AFR 17.2 4.5 7.6 0.0 1.9 0.3 31.4 55% ASIA 0.6 48.2 18.5 0.3 13.9 1.9 83.4 58% EUR 1.4 7.6 38.5 1.5 9.1 2.6 60.7 63% LAC 0.1 0.5 4.1 4.6 23.6 0.1 33.0 14% NAM 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.4 0.2 3.8 36% OCEAN 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.5 57% TOTAL 19.3 61.3 69.8 7.5 50.0 6.0 213.9 89% 79% 55% 62% 3% 14% “Destination” Migration Section – Population Division - DESA, 2011 TOTAL “Origin ” Migrant Stock by Age and Sex Migrants in the ‘North’: older and a balanced sex ratio Migrants in the ‘South’: younger and males of working age More developed regions 65+ 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 Males Females Migration Section – Population Division - DESA, 2011 Less developed regions 65+ 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 Males Females