Transcript ULTra PRT for Niches Steve Raney, ATS ULTra North Am Former IBM Rochester employee.

ULTra PRT for Niches
Steve Raney, ATS ULTra North Am
Former IBM Rochester employee
Outline
• “Semi vendor neutral”
– competitive procurement
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ULTra & ATS overview
London Heathrow Airport
Application thoughts: Edina + Ford Plant
Details:
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Urban design considerations
Stakeholder input / visual impact
Cost per mile: $7M to $15M
Safety certification
Procurement
• Questions.
30+ PRT companies & technologies
2getthere EV - Masdar
Skyweb Express - Fridley
Auto/EV tech.
Vectus – Suncheon MOU
Skytrans - suspended
ULTra the best or just right place, right time?
30+ vendors & technologies
Open Guideway (ULTra)
2getthere
Electric battery
Captive Bogey:
* Vectus – LIM guideway
* Skyweb Express – 3rd rail, LIM
Suspended: Mister, JPods
3 Minute Video with Audio
• http://www.atsltd.co.uk/uploads/Videos/ULTraHighestQuality.mov - 208MB, high resolution
• http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7PyUQuWm
t2M&eurl
• questions.
ULTra: Milestones
1995
1999
2000
2002
2002
2003
2003
2005
2005
2010
Founded, University of Bristol
UK Dept of Trade: Grant to build prototype
Winner UK DOT Innovation Competition
Test track launch. Deputy Mayor for Environment
European Union: EDICT PRT study
First safety clearance - UK Rail Inspectorate
BAA transport study: PRT bests APM and bus
ULTra wins BAA PRT vendor competition
BAA invests in ATS ULTra
Spring: revenue service
Jan 2002: Cardiff Test Track
1 km Figure 8 track
1 station
4 Test Vehicles
Supported by
• UK Dept for Transport
• UK Dept for Trade and
Industry
• European Commission
• Cardiff County Council
ATS – The Company
• Development funded by $15M investment & $15M contract
revenues
• Based in the UK with 45 employees, 18 long-term contract
staff, a US subsidiary and a joint venture in the Middle East
• Founder Martin Lowson, rocket scientist
– Apollo Space Program’s Saturn Rocket, staff of 50
– Chief Scientist of Westland Helicopters
– Rotor system (patent-holder) for Lynx and EH101 helicopters.
• Absolute world speed record for helicopters
– Fellow: Royal Academy of Engineering, Royal Aeronautical Society,
and American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics
• COO Phil Smith
– Mng Dir, Manchester LRT (privatized)
– 22 miles, 37 stations, 19M ppa.
ULTra London Heathrow Term. 5
• BAA: privatized, owns LHR + 6 airports + 65% Naples
– US retail contracts: Baltimore, Logan, Pittsburg
– Grupo Ferrovial acquired for $20B
• 2 year transport study:
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low emissions, space efficient
high level of service, value
Bus & APM lost
Flexible: Reinvent LHR while operating
“PRT: only practical soln: 60% travel time savings, 40% operating cost
savings”
– Small starter system, then expand
• Held PRT competition: ULTra won => negotiation
– Due diligence: workshops, 100 pages of Q&A
• BAA took equity interest in ATS ULTra.
N
LHR Terminal 5
Parking to T5
2.2 mi of track
18 vehicles
300,000 pax pa
Opens Spring 2010
T5: 10th largest “airport”
2 Business T5 parking Stations
Heathrow: Future Phases
Lessons Learned
• Proven technologies
• 5 sets of control system hardware
– Magnets  Laser sensing: Lexus cruise LIDAR
• Fast, low-impact construction
– Didn’t have to move any underground utilities
– Guideway: 1km per week
• Safety certification process
– Integrate safety-consciousness throughout the
process, not as a walled-off task
• Questions.
Minneapolis I494 Corridor
• 90%+ solo commutes. 2nd biggest job center.
Southdale Area
• Dense, mixed-use
• Hospital, 3.2K jobs
• Tall apts/condos
• 1.4M+ s.f. mall, 4K
jobs, 41K visitors
• Arterials, stop lights,
pedestrian-hostile
• Surface parking – the
new frontier
• Office towers (3K,
1.5K jobs).
Suburban Oasis
• Centennial Lakes Park
• Walking, skating, concerts, open space
Edina PRT Circulator
• 6 mi, 15 stn, $45M - $90M
• Southdale, Galleria: more
competitive
• Economic development
• Transform edge city to TOD
• Feed bus
• Expand to South of 494
• Q’s.
Ford Plant New Town – 124 acres
• Sc. #5: Trans Village
• 4K+ res/workers +
retail
• Connect to Hia. LRT
• 5 stations, 3 mi
• $1B real-estate,
$40M PRT
• Will accelerate devt
• TOD land value $.
Car-free zone / PRT pedestrian mall
(urban design)
Residents: PRT Grocery Shopping
• Hook N Go:
• 2 car family:
– 1 car
– PRT: errands
– Carsharing
• Qs.
Design:
“Challenge Spots”
• 65’ crossing, leaf
raised 3X/yr to 120’
• Along the berm &
come back up
• Can always solve.
MN Weather – Snow & Ice
• Skyweb Express famous for allweather design
• ATS full grid GRP for “open
guideway” PRT
– vs. Morgantown People Mover
radiant heated guideway to melt
snow.
Stake
holder
input:
(Muller)
Guideway Visual Impact
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"No respondent felt that the vehicle appearance
was poor, indeed the majority thought the vehicles
would look excellent. The visual appearance of the
elevated structure was regarded generally as good,
with 40.4% rating it excellent. It is especially
noteworthy that the response to the elevated track
gave a notably positive response, with no definitely
negative responses and only 2.6% feeling that it
could be difficult.“ (Bristol, Cardiff)
Qs.
$7M - $15M Cost per mile (2012)
• Cost function = f
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System size (larger is cheaper because of fixed costs)
Station Density (more stations/mile => higher cost)
Peak hour trip demand (more demand => more vehicles)
Guideway:
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Elevated
At-grade
Tunnel
Culvert
Cantilever
Bi-directional
Seismic requirements
“Curviness”
– Stations: “fancy” costs more
– Vehicle customizations.
– Desired average passenger wait time (shorter wait => more vehicles)
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Safety Certification: ATS version
• Automated transit: 100X safer than driving &
at-grade transit
• US CFR 659 / ASCE APM Standards
– City/customer forms a RTA (rail transit authority).
Vendor makes safety case. RTA approves
– MSP Airport people movers
– BAA & ATS on the ASCE committee
• 361 ULTra hazard cases
– Earthquake, truck crashes into column, falling
debris, fire, bad people, extreme weather, vehicle
fails on guideway, slipping on stairs, etc..
Strategy, Procurement
• If two or more cities are pitted against each
other to win first PRT, that helps negotiations
• All vendors will provide 75%+ MN content by
making the guideway and stations in MN.
Funding Ideas
• When “something has to be done” – least worst
• Instead of parking structure, PRT
• Land Value Capture – Robert Cervero TOD study
– 100% office land gain, 25% residential land gain
• New building transportation impact fees
• Property Based Improvement District (PBID)
– Emeryville, CA: Emery-Go-Round bus: $2M/yr PBID
– Perimeter Center (Atlanta) Community Improvement
District
• Orange County, CA “GoLocal” transit sales tax:
– Commuter rail “premium circulator”
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Increased revenue to LRT/commuter rail/bus
Federal FTA “Small Starts”
Federal earmark
PPP/concession: de-risk capital cost.
THANK YOU
• Come visit us at
Heathrow
– Obtain customer
perspective from BAA..
Laura Stuchinsky, San Jose