European and American Hardwood Markets in 2001 & 2002 A presentation for the AHEC European American Hardwood Convention Dublin, Ireland 25 October 2001 by Ed Pepke UN-ECE &

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Transcript European and American Hardwood Markets in 2001 & 2002 A presentation for the AHEC European American Hardwood Convention Dublin, Ireland 25 October 2001 by Ed Pepke UN-ECE &

European and American
Hardwood Markets in
2001 & 2002
A presentation for the AHEC
European American Hardwood Convention
Dublin, Ireland
25 October 2001
by Ed Pepke
UN-ECE & FAO
Geneva
UNECE
TIMBER
COMMITTEE
European American Hardwood Convention, 25 October 2001
Sources of information
• UN-ECE & FAO TIMBER database, Geneva
• UN-ECE & FAO Timber Bulletins
– “Forest Products Annual Market Review,
2000-2001”
– “Forest Products Markets in 2001 and
Prospects for 2002”
UNECE
TIMBER
COMMITTEE
European American Hardwood Convention, 25 October 2001
Forest Products Annual Market Review,
1999-2000 findings (1 of 4)
• Consumption of sawn hardwood in the
UNECE region* continued to rise to an
all-time record through 2000.
• Sawn hardwood production in the UNECE
region increased by 4.1% in 2000.
• Trade in hardwoods was at record levels
in 1999 and continued to accelerate
during most of 2000 throughout the
UNECE region.
* ECE region is USA & Canada, all of Europe and CIS (55 countries)
UNECE
TIMBER
COMMITTEE
European American Hardwood Convention, 25 October 2001
Forest Products Annual Market Review,
1999-2000 findings (2 of 4)
• Prices of logs and lumber produced in the
region advanced, although much more so in
North America where the domestic and
export demand was exceptionally strong
and only towards the end of 2000 showed
any sign of easing.
• European production of sawn hardwood in
2000 responded to increased demand and
improved prices and swelled with the
recovery of wind-blown timber at the
beginning of the year and demand from
Asia.
UNECE
TIMBER
COMMITTEE
European American Hardwood Convention, 25 October 2001
Forest Products Annual Market Review,
1999-2000 findings (3 of 4)
• Eastern Europe emerged as a more
significant supplier of sawn hardwoods
greatly assisted by the continued strength of
the dollar and weakness of the euro
currency.
• Globalization of hardwood markets
continued to play an increasingly important
role, well demonstrated by the influence of
such countries as China in the global supply
and demand equation.
UNECE
TIMBER
COMMITTEE
European American Hardwood Convention, 25 October 2001
Forest Products Annual Market Review,
1999-2000 findings (4 of 4)
• Rationalization in the furniture industry
within and outside the UNECE region is
changing the supply and demand profile for
sawn hardwood.
• The first half of the 2001 market saw a
sharp downturn in demand levels and prices
in North America and Europe.
UNECE
TIMBER
COMMITTEE
European American Hardwood Convention, 25 October 2001
Timber Committee market discussions
forecasts from 3 October 2001
• Sawn hardwood markets in North America are
softening in 2001.
• Uncertainty for 2002 based on reports presented
during the market discussion.
• Production and trade of value-added products,
both temperate and tropical, is increasing, in part
due to globalization effects.
• Tropical value-added products trade could exceed
that of primary products in 2003.
UNECE
TIMBER
COMMITTEE
European American Hardwood Convention, 25 October 2001
Europe: Hardwood lumber
demand and supply
Million m
3
20
15
10
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
Production
UNECE
TIMBER
COMMITTEE
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
Consumption
European American Hardwood Convention, 25 October 2001
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
1993
Million m
3
Europe: Hardwood lumber trade
1994
1995
1996
1997
Exports
UNECE
TIMBER
COMMITTEE
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
Imports
European American Hardwood Convention, 25 October 2001
Europe: Hardwood lumber imports
7
Million m
3
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
1989 '90
'91
'92
'93
'94
'95
Temperate
UNECE
TIMBER
COMMITTEE
'96
'97
'98
'99 2000 '01 2002
Tropical
European American Hardwood Convention, 25 October 2001
United States: Hardwood lumber
demand and supply
40
Million m
3
35
30
25
20
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
Production
UNECE
TIMBER
COMMITTEE
Consumption
European American Hardwood Convention, 25 October 2001
United States: Hardwood lumber trade
Million m
3
3
2
1
0
1993
1994
UNECE
TIMBER
COMMITTEE
1995
1996 1997
Exports
1998
1999 2000
Imports
2001
2002
European American Hardwood Convention, 25 October 2001
Europe: Hardwood logs
demand and supply
35
Million m
3
40
30
25
1998
1999
2000
Production
UNECE
TIMBER
COMMITTEE
2001
2002
Consumption
European American Hardwood Convention, 25 October 2001
Europe: Hardwood log trade
4
Million m
3
3
2
1
0
1998
1999
2000
Exports
UNECE
TIMBER
COMMITTEE
2001
2002
Imports
European American Hardwood Convention, 25 October 2001
United States: Hardwood log
demand and supply
Million m
3
80
70
60
50
1994
1995
1996
1997
Consumption
UNECE
TIMBER
COMMITTEE
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
Production
European American Hardwood Convention, 25 October 2001
Conclusions of UN Timber Committee
market discussions, October 2001 (1 of 2)
• In light of the economic downturn, it is
imperative to develop new wood products to
expand existing markets and to establish new
markets to meet consumers’ needs.
• It is important for the forest products industry to
work internationally to promote the
environmental advantages of the sustainable
production of wood.
UNECE
TIMBER
COMMITTEE
European American Hardwood Convention, 25 October 2001
Conclusions of UN Timber Committee
market discussions, October 2001 (2 of 2)
• Need to increase the wood culture in the region.
• Coordinate on-going national and regional
campaigns to promote the use of wood.
UNECE
TIMBER
COMMITTEE
European American Hardwood Convention, 25 October 2001
Discussion, questions?
UNECE
TIMBER
COMMITTEE
European American Hardwood Convention, 25 October 2001