Programme and Project Strategy Jayne Redfern Programme and Project Strategy Success or failure? Windfarms Programme and Project Strategy.

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Transcript Programme and Project Strategy Jayne Redfern Programme and Project Strategy Success or failure? Windfarms Programme and Project Strategy.

Programme and Project
Strategy
Jayne Redfern
Programme and Project Strategy
Success or failure?
Windfarms
Programme and Project Strategy
Success or failure?
Scottish Parliament
Programme and Project Strategy
The module
 To augment the PPMC and MMPE modules
 Based on project strategy and governance
 Some of the subjects to be covered:
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Translating Programme strategy into Project strategy
Getting the requirements right
Perceptions of success (much more than mere T/C/Q)
Gaining and retaining stakeholder support
Reporting
Programme and project Rs & Rs (juxtaposing PM/Sponsor/PgM
roles)
 The rise of the PSO and its utility
Programme and Project Strategy
The module specification:
This module augments the existing Programme and Project Management, and Managing
the Multi-Project Environment modules. It will be positioned to extend, and enhance
student’s knowledge in the derivation, from corporate strategy, of business change
programmes and their comprising projects, and then the chartering, structuring, and
governance of those collections of projects. This will include exploration of
stakeholders’ perceptions of benefits, their decision-making processes, their criteria for
measuring success of these enterprises, and connection of all of these to the strategies
for the management of the interlinked projects.
By the end of the module students should::
• Know, comprehensively understand, and operate within the context in which programmes and
projects are initiated,
• Know, understand, and apply the principles and philosophies that underlie successful multi-project
and programme management strategies
• Have theoretical and practical knowledge and understanding of the multiple human, systemic, and
operational factors that influence the initiation and governance of projects and programmes,
• Have knowledge, understanding, and the ability to systematically apply the methodologies and tools
used in multi-project and programme management strategising.
Programme and Project Strategy
Recommended further reading
 ‘Enterprise Programme Management’ – Williams
and Parr
 ‘Program Management’ – Michel Thiry
 ‘Translating Corporate Strategy into Project
Strategy’ – Morris & Jamieson
 ‘Competitive Advantage’ – Porter, M.
 ‘Exploring Corporate Strategy’ – Johnson and
Scholes
 ‘Using the Balanced Scorecard as a strategic
management system’ – Kaplan and Norton
Programme and Project Strategy
Programme and Project Strategy
Section 1: What is Strategy?
Programme and Project Strategy
Playing to win!
Programme and Project Strategy
Corporate ambitions
 To be the market leader
 To provide world-class service
 To have the widest product range
 To have the best products
 To be the most profitable
 To be the best-known
 To have the major market share
 To be the innovators
Programme and Project Strategy
How that translates:
 Creation of a world-class manufacturing capability
 Attract and retain the best product developers
 Exploit the newest/best technology
 Master our supply-chain
 Be exemplary communicators
 ?. . . . . . . . .
All these are the basis for
programmes and projects!
Programme and Project Strategy
Strategy
Strategic project planning is the synergy between
a best practice culture of project management and
the effective implementation of corporate strategy.
Project planning converts an organisation’s
strategy into specific deliverables.
Programme and Project Strategy
Programmes and projects deliver change!
Programme and Project Strategy
The programme management environment
Strategies and initiatives
Programmes (and
portfolios)
Blueprint achieved
(the vision)
Projects
Business operations
Source:Project
Managing SuccessfulStrategy
Programmes, 1999. Pub; Office of Government Commerce
Programme and
Deriving programmes and then Projects
Strategic vision
Mobilisation
Strategic
Objectives
Strategic
Options
Strategic
Portfolio
Programmes
Pre-programme
set-up
Programme
set-up
Establish programme
management & technical
infrastructure
Deliver
incremental
benefits
Close the
programme
Projects
Source: Project Management Institute, 2006
Programme and Project Strategy
Transition
Ongoing
operations
Project Strategy vs. Project Management


Project Strategy – determining the right thing to do
Project Management – doing that thing right
Programme and Project Strategy
Project Strategy vs. tactics
Emphasis
Strategy
Tactics
Initiate
Plan
Do-it
Close
Project lifecycle
Programme and Project Strategy
Programme and Project Strategy
Section 2: Converting
Corporate Strategy into
Programmes and Projects
Programme and Project Strategy
Strategic analysis
Generate
strategic
options
Organisational
view
Project
management
plan
Project
selection
Translate into
action through
planning
Programme and Project Strategy
Evaluate
strategic
options
Select
strategy
Factors
Analysis of:
 Internal
 External
 Competitive

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

Management skills and capabilities
Required and available resources
Budgets and forecasts
Policies and procedures






Political
Economic
Social
Technical
Environmental
Legal




Industry characteristics
Corporate goals and objectives
Market share and product mix
Resources
Programme and Project Strategy
Development of corporate strategy 1
The
environment
Culture &
stakeholder
expectations
Source: Johnson & Scholes,
‘Exploring Corporate Strategy’
Resources
& strategic
capability
Strategic
analysis
Strategic
choice
Strategic
implementation
Programme and Project Strategy
Development of corporate strategy 2
Source: Johnson & Scholes,
‘Exploring Corporate Strategy’
Strategic
analysis
Identifying
strategic
options
Strategic
choice
Strategic
implementation
Evaluating
options
Selecting
strategy
Programme and Project Strategy
Development of corporate strategy 3
Source: Johnson & Scholes,
‘Exploring Corporate Strategy’
Strategic
analysis
Manning &
allocating
resources
Strategic
choice
Strategic
implementation
Managing
strategic
changes
Organisational
structure &
design
Programme and Project Strategy
Development of corporate strategy 1
Logical incrementalism
Source: Johnson & Scholes,
‘Exploring Corporate Strategy’
Planning
Political
Cultural
Natural
selection
Visionary
Programme and Project Strategy
Development of corporate strategy 2
Logical incrementalism
Source: Johnson & Scholes,
‘Exploring Corporate Strategy’
Planning
Political
Cultural
Natural
selection
Visionary
Programme and Project Strategy
Development of corporate strategy 3
Logical incrementalism
Source: Johnson & Scholes,
‘Exploring Corporate Strategy’
Planning
Political
Cultural
Natural
selection
Visionary
Programme and Project Strategy
Programme and Project Strategy
Section 3: Creation of the
programme/project
environment
Programme and Project Strategy
Relative focus of effort
Context matters
Change capabilities
Core business
capabilities
Pace and scale of change
Source: Williams and Parr, ‘Enterprise
Programme Management’
Programme and Project Strategy
The Puttick Grid
High
Product Complexity
Low
Market
Uncertainty
High
Low
Programme and Project Strategy
The ‘Functional’ organisation
MD
Sales
Production
Support
PM
Programme and Project Strategy
HR & finance
The ‘Project’ organisation
Board
Project A
Project B
Project C
Core services
Programme and Project Strategy
The ‘Matrix’ organisation
Senior manager
Head of project
management
Functional
manager
Functional
manager
Functional
manager
Functional
team
Functional
team
Functional
team
Project
manager
Programme and Project Strategy
The Enterprise Programme Management framework
Programme Architecture: “The establishment of
Strategic
Management
Strategic portfolio
management
Programme delivery
management
leadership, structures, team dynamics, and support
mechanisms that enable the delivery of
programmes and projects”
Change Architecture: “is
concerned with the human
considerations of those in the
organisation who will be impacted
by programmes and projects –
beyond the delivery teams”
Project management
Source: Williams and Parr,
‘Enterprise Programme
Management’
Programme and Project Strategy
Programme architecture
Is the establishment of
support structures and
mechanisms that allow
effective programme
leadership, and provide
the programme team
with the environment,
skills, tools, and support
they need to operate
effectively
Leadership and
governance
Team building
and
development
Communication
infrastructure
Programme
resourcing
Programme and Project Strategy
Programme
infrastructure
Communication infrastructure
 How can the initiative be positioned within the
organisation in a compelling way?
 What are the key messages we need to get
across?
 Who needs to be communicated with and how
Programme and Project Strategy
Emphasis
Change architecture
Developing
the change
strategy
Planning the change
journey
Embedding and
reviewing
Time
…… is the process of crafting an overall
change strategy and planning the
interventions needed to drive the change
Programme and Project Strategy
The personal and corporate change journey
Internalisation
Adoption
Try-out
Positive
perception
Decision
not to
support
Change
bereft of
support at
initial
utilisation
Negative
perception
Understanding
Confusion
Unawareness
Programme and Project Strategy
Change
aborted
after
extensive
utilisation
Programme and Project Strategy
Section 4: Concepts of
corporate benefit
Programme and Project Strategy
Concepts of ‘value’
 Programmes and their projects are undertaken to
pursue some vision of ‘advantage’
 That ‘advantage’ or ‘Benefit’ may not be solely, or
even partially financial
 However, the bill must be paid, and the payer
mostly wants some measure of ‘gain’, which
usually comes down to financial metrics
 Non-financial Benefits commonly support the
‘hard’ Benefits and may include significant
‘incidental’ Benefits
Programme and Project Strategy
Planning for success?
Objective
Programme and Project Strategy
Accumulating benefits from multiple projects
Gap Analysis – Business Case Evaluation
Benefits
Target
Gap to be f illed Business Case
ev aluation to target
the right one/s
Benef it from newly
approv ed project
Future benef its
f rom projects
already approv ed
Benef its f rom on going operations (prev ious completed projects)
Source: Buttrick, 2006
Time
Programme and Project Strategy
The ‘Business Case’
maturity
decline
growth
0
investment
 Balancing
cost/risk/benefits
 Comparing alternatives
using a common measure
Cost
Benefit
 Choice under uncertainty
Risk
Programme and Project Strategy
The ideal product lifecycle?
PLUS
$/£
TIME
MINUS
Programme and Project Strategy
Business case contents



-
Description:
project outline
plan
constraints
Project success:
success criteria
deliverables
benefits
Justification:
financial appraisal
risk and opportunities
stakeholders and sponsorship
Programme and Project Strategy
Benefits - impacts - deliverables
achieve
Vision
trigger
Benefits
cause
Impacts
produce
Deliverables
Programmes
Projects
Programme and Project Strategy
Financial appraisal techniques
 Payback
 Net present value
 Internal rate of return
Many techniques are used
in many combinations – we
will explore some of them
later
And also:
 Cash flow
 Profitability
 Rate of return
Programme and Project Strategy
Non-financial appraisal criteria
Stakeholder expectations
Strategic imperative
Competitive parity
Programme and Project Strategy
And some balancing factors
Where are the traps and
pitfalls?
What, of relevance, is
happening elsewhere in
the world?
Programme and Project Strategy
And some balancing factors
What are your
stakeholder’s wishes?
Where are you in the
competitive race?
Programme and Project Strategy
Success?
 Stakeholders – all of the people who are involved or
affected by the project. The project must satisfy their needs
 Products – intermediate (non-persistent), and final
(persistent) deliverables
 Project – time and cost constraints. The project must be
completed on schedule and within budget.
 Business – contribution to an overall improvement in
business performance. The business must benefit, directly
or indirectly, from the execution an/or implementation of
the project
Source: Mussett, 1997
Programme and Project Strategy
Seeing the benefits
Immediate
impact
T
Internal
measures
Q
Direct contribution
C
Future
opportunity
Programme and Project Strategy
Success category: Immediate impact
 Meeting functional performance
 Meeting technical specifications and
standards
 Favourable impact upon customer
 Fulfils customers’ requirements
 Solves the customer problem
 Customer is using product
 Customer expresses satisfaction
Programme and Project Strategy
Success category: Direct contribution
 Business and/or commercial success
 Revenue and profits enhanced
 Larger market share generated
Programme and Project Strategy
Success category: Future opportunity





New opportunities
Competitive advantage
New markets
New technologies
Additional capabilities and
competencies
Programme and Project Strategy
and another way of seeing it . . .
Strategic
Speculative
Benefits which primarily
support future business
opportunities – business
development, growth.
Benefits with a high
achievement risk, but often
high reward – e.g. arising from
experimenting with the way we
do things.
Benefits which will deliver
critical improvements to today’s
operations – e.g. increased
efficiency and effectiveness.
“Nice to have” benefits, in the
sense that the organisation’s
growth or survival will not
depend on them. Usually
related to improvements to
non-critical activities. Often
quick wins.
Key operational
Support
Source: Bradley 2010
Programme and Project Strategy
Defining benefits – tangible and intangible
 Cost avoidance
 New income
 Additional income




Strategic alignment
Competitive advantage
Competitive response
Asset preservation
Programme and Project Strategy
Project success criteria
End date
October
I want minimum disruption to BaU
during implementation
st
Co
Tim
e
I don’t want anything to go wrong
Performance
Budget
£500,000
I want our employees to
be happy with the new
processes
Specs as
agreed
Programme and Project Strategy
I want it to involve as few
of my people as possible
Project success criteria
 Those decisive factors which if satisfied will make the
undertaking acceptable to the client/user
 Qualitative or quantitative measures - predefined hurdle
level
 Everyone focuses on different visions of success
 Provided by the users and stakeholders (from
elicitation)
 KPIs - measures of success used throughout the project
to ensure it is progressing towards a successful
conclusion
Programme and Project Strategy
Programme and Project Strategy
Section 5: Financial appraisal
techniques
Programme and Project Strategy
Financial appraisal techniques
 Payback
 Net present value
 Internal rate of return
And also:
 Cash flow
 Profitability
 Rate of return
Programme and Project Strategy
Payback
Z Ltd have a cost of capital of 12%. A new press costs £120,000. Income netted
from costs from the new press are expected from year 1. At the end of year 4 the
press will be scrapped with no significant residual value.
Year
0
1
2
3
4
Annual cash flow
£
-120,000
+40,000
+50,000
+60,000
+70,000
Cumulative income
£
-120,000
-80,000
-30,000
30,000
100,000
Payback in year 3
Programme and Project Strategy
Payback
Jan
Year 3
Jul
Dec
£30,000
Payback 1st July
0
- £30,000
Programme and Project Strategy
Net present value
Z Ltd have a cost of capital of 12%. A new press costs £120,000. Income netted from
costs from the new press are expected from year 1. At the end of year 4 the press will
be scrapped with no significant residual value.
Year
0
1
2
3
4
Annual cash flow
£
-120,000
+40,000
+50,000
+60,000
+70,000
NPV says DO IT
DFs at 12%
1
0.893
0.797
0.712
0.636
Undiscounted
Net present value
£
£
-120,000
-120,000
+40,000
+35,720
+50,000
+39,850
+60,000
+42,720
+70,000
+44,520
+£42,810
Programme and Project Strategy
+£100,000
Internal rate of return
Select discount factor higher than 12% to drive NPV negative – use 40%
Year
0
1
2
3
4
Annual cash flow
£
-120,000
+40,000
+50,000
+60,000
+70,000
DFs at 40%
1
0.714
0.510
0.364
0.260
Net present value
£
-120,000
+28,560
+25,500
+21,840
+18,200
-£25,900
Programme and Project Strategy
IRR – by graphical means
NPV
£60,000
£42,810
Total NPV
£40,000
IRR
£20,000
IRR
£0
12%
20%
30%
40%
-£20,000
-£25,900
-£40,000
Rate
Programme and Project Strategy
Individual exercise (5 minutes)
Compare these
2 projects
 Which gives a greater
return?
 Which gives a faster
return?
 Which gives a better
return?
Project A
Project B
Year
Cumulative cash
flow
£
Cumulative cash
flow
£
0
-180,000
-180,000
1
-130,000
-120,000
2
-80,000
-60,000
3
-30,000
0
4
+20,000
+60,000
5
+70,000
+60,000
6
+120,000
+60,000
Programme and Project Strategy
Cash flow used for





Project tracking – tracking actual expenditure and income allows
the period and cumulative cash flows to be calculated and
compared to the planned cash flow
Funding level – planned cash flow will give an indication of the
largest negative expenditure on the project and when this will
occur
Overall profit and loss – final cumulative cash flow on a project can
be viewed as the profit (loss)
Establishing terms of payment – the aim is to have the customer
paying as much as possible as early as possible
Company cash flow – by totalling cash flow across all projects
within a company, the total company cash flow can be calculated
Programme and Project Strategy
Programme and Project Strategy
Section 6: Deriving the B-I-P
routes
V2
Programme and Project Strategy
Programmes
‘Programme management provides the framework for
implementing business strategies and initiatives and
for managing multiple projects…
It is the efficient execution of the set of projects within
a controlled environment such that they realise
maximum benefit for the resulting business
operations.’
[CCTA ‘Guide to Programme Management’]
Programme and Project Strategy
Programme types
Goal-focused Programmes:
Focusing on a Key Business-driven Requirement;
Usually very dissimilar Projects & Technologies;
A Core Aspect (with Benefit Mgt.) of the PPS Module.
Return-maximising Programmes:
Focusing on Key Business Capability Utilisation;
(Capital, Facility & Management Capacity, Resources, & Supply Chain)
Usually very similar Projects & Technologies;
(May include mutual Lead Technology & Post-delivery Support Projects)
A Core Aspect of the MMPE Module.
Programme and Project Strategy
The nature of programmes
P
P
L
P
P
P
1st phase
P
L
2nd phase
P
P
L
3rd phase
Programme and Project Strategy
‘To-be’
P
Island of benefit
L
Island of benefit
Current business
‘As-is’
P
L
P
L
Future business ‘blueprint’
P
Deriving projects from programmes
Impacts
Benefits
Products
Heightened
awareness
New
passengers
New
income
Advertising
campaign
Awareness
project
Faster
trains
New trains
project
More
More
frequent
frequent
trains
trains
new
services
Better
signalling
Additional
income
(Source: CITI Group)
More
frequent
passengers
More money
from existing
passengers
Projects
Increased
Increased
speed
speed
limit
limit
Better
rails
More
ticket
inspectors
Programme and Project Strategy
Infrastructure
Upgrade
project
Recruitment
& training
project
Projects deliver outputs, Programmes deliver outcomes, outcomes realise benefits
Programme lifecycle phases




Formulation phase – identify pressures to change (internal or
external) and determine the best way to address them. Evaluate
options.
Organisation phase – plan the programme organisational
structure. Planning must focus on early benefits (to fund the rest of
the programme), positive cash flow and maintenance of the
motivation of the stakeholders.
Deployment phase –the programme manager acts as sponsor of
projects, management of the environment and stakeholder
expectations.
Appraisal phase – evaluate the programme during periods of
stability and reassess the validity of the original business needs.
Assess delivery of benefits at organisational and project level.
Programme and Project Strategy
Inputs to Programme planning
Vision statement
Blueprint
Clear understanding of target?
Ability to achieve?
Transition
Benefits
Cultural aspects?
Linked to projects?
Progress monitoring
Identifying milestones?
Programme plan
Projects
Contribution towards Benefits
Timetable
Resources
Dependencies and interfaces?
Capacity and skills
Risks and Assumptions
Stakeholder needs
Responsibility for action?
Appropriate information?
Source: ‘Managing Successful Programmes’
Programme and Project Strategy
Differences
Project
Fixed duration
Predefined objective
Programme
Undetermined duration
Negotiated objectives
Focused on tasks
Project manager as an
overseer
Single deliverable
Focused on goals
Programme manager as
a creative thinker
Multiple interrelated
deliverables
Programme and Project Strategy
B-I-P mapping techniques
 Step 1: What organisational capabilities/changes are
needed to achieve the benefits sought?
 Step 2: What projects do we need to deliver those?
 Step 3: Review the proposed projects with the question “if
we deliver all those but only those, is it likely that the
benefits will be realised?” – what omissions are revealed!
 Step 4: What programme risk management projects are
required? (safety-nets and insurance!)
Programme and Project Strategy
WHAT projects do we need?
Programme and Project Strategy
WHAT projects do we need?
Programme and Project Strategy
Example B-I-P map
An Example Benefits Map
Research
newspaper
demographics
Design new
system for
issue of
press
releases
Implement
new press
release
system
More
coverage in
newspapers
Specify
themes and
messages
for marketing
campaign
Design
marketing
campaign
Launch
Marketing
Campaign
Greater
brand
recognition
Specify
changes to
website
Research
customers
perception of
organisation
Enabling changes
Raised profile
for the
organisation
Develop and
test
redesigned
website
Implement
new website
More ‘hits’ on
website
Design
rewards
scheme for
referrals
Implement
rewards
scheme
More personal
recommendations
Business
changes
Benefits
to
Source: Paul et al,
2010
Business
objective
Programme and Project Strategy
Programme and Project Strategy
Section 7: Getting the project
Objective right
Programme and Project Strategy
Structuring the Project Strategy
“If you don’t know where you are going
any road will do” – old Chinese proverb
Programme and Project Strategy
Structuring the Project Strategy
“Plan the flight and fly the plan”
Programme and Project Strategy
Project types
Clarity of
process
Source: Eddie Obeng
Clarity of objective
E.Obeng
Programme and Project Strategy
Strategic
Intent
• An expression of the
VALUE of the project’s
OUTCOME to the
client/sponsor; what it
will allow them to do in
the way of creating
Benefit
• Should be translatable
into an Objective
statement
Programme and Project Strategy
Strategic
Intent
The project
Objective
• The project’s Mission
statement – how the
world will look after it
completes
• A completion statement
– how we will know that
we have completed
Programme and Project Strategy
Strategic
Intent
CSFs
The project
Objective
• An expression of HOW the SHs want the project to
be performed, and how it will ‘feel’ in order for them
to be satisfied
• Should be tangible and therefore translatable into
KPIs for utilisation in measurement towards their
successful completion.
• If not met, some or all of the SHs/clients will deem
the project to partially or wholly unsatisfactory
Programme and Project Strategy
Strategic
Intent
The project
Objective
Constraints
CSFs
• Restrictions on availability of
resources of any kind – time, money,
people (quantity, quality, types, level of
skills, etc), that may well necessitate renegotiation of the Objective.
• Will be strongly influenced by CSFs
and those may actually look like Cs.
Programme and Project Strategy
Up to this point we are involved in
‘strategic’ planning work
Strategic
Intent
The project
Objective
Constraints
CSFs
• The project’s set of
Persistent Products
(true Deliverables)
will meet the
Objective, and make
the Strategic Intent
realisable
• As firstly or ideally
visualised, they may
Products
(Deliverables) not be possible due
to Cs or CSFs
CSFs may necessitate some ‘nonpersistent Products, such as SH
Management Products or heavy-duty
risk management products
Programme and Project Strategy
Strategic
Intent
The project
Objective
Constraints
CSFs
Once the PBS is stable, the
WBS can be finalised, final
estimates prepared, and a
first schedule created i.e.
the ‘tactical’ project
planning work
Products
(Deliverables)
Programme and Project Strategy
The project charter
 PRINCE2 – ‘Mandate’
 APM – ‘Charter’
 Others – ‘Terms-of-reference’,
‘Project Initiation Document’
‘Project Registry Document’
Programme and Project Strategy
The key project document
Ties together:
 The Objective statement
 The reason
 The CSFs
 The Product set
 The Benefits
 The Constraints
 The strategic project risks
Programme and Project Strategy
Let’s look at one!
Programme and Project Strategy
Programme Initiation – Scoping Document
Programme Title aqua regia total
sulphate
Responsibilities.
Sponsor:
Jason Rogers (lab Manager)
Project manager: Darren Lewis
Problem / Purpose- a high number of insufficient samples are being reported for total
sulphate. Turnaround time needs to be improved.
Objective- perform routine total sulphate analysis by ICP OES using an aqua regia
extraction in January 2008. Reporting results will be through the workflow manager and
LABS data management systems and must meet the MCERTs accreditation.
Critical Success Factor
1.
MCERTs accreditation obtained
2.
smooth transition with regards to reporting results to customers
3.
quality of results maintained if not improved.
4.
cost reductions.
Primary Products
1.
quality management system
2.
MCERTs accreditation
3.
instrument method
4.
method documentation
5.
I.T. specifications
6.
final report.
Start Date
End Date
Budget / Effort
1 September 2007
31 December 2007
Benefits / Impacts
1.
Cost savings can be made
2.
turnaround time will be improved.
3.
less insufficient samples will be reported.
Risks
1. Obtaining MCERTs accreditation is time consuming and expensive and is not
guaranteed
2. Customers may object to the change in methodology.
3. New method may be more problematic than the old method
Programme and Project Strategy
Project management plan
what?
How?
Where?
agreement
acceptance
Programme and Project Strategy
The project planning process
Budget
Obtain key resource
Estimating process
Products
PBS
Processes
WBS
Resources
OBS
Dependency network
Risks
Risk log
Schedule
Detailed schedule
Board agreement
Lodge with project office and
baseline
Monitor assessment
Final review
Programme and Project Strategy
Source: Association for
Project Management
The project management plan













Objective
- SMART
Success criteria
- requirements agreed
Requirements
Estimates
- time/cost/resources
Budgets
Quality policy
Health and safety policy
Environmental policy
Risk management policy
Assumptions and constraints
Project organisation
Benefit realisation plan
Schedule
 Plus
- Technical
- Commercial
- Organisational
- Personnel
- Control
Programme and Project Strategy
Both PBS and WBS are needed
The Objective
The ‘ideal’ planning
route - ?
What we are trying
to ACHIEVE – the
Outcome
The PBS
What we need to
CREATE - the
Outputs
The WBS
What we need
to DO – the
Activities
RISKS !
WHO we need to do
what – the resource
demand prediction
Programme and Project Strategy
The OBS
An alternative perspective
The ‘resourceconstrained’ planning
route - ?
The Objective
The OBS
The PBS
The WBS
Programme and Project Strategy
PRODUCT BREAKDOWN STRUCTURE
P 1.1
Project output
P0
P1
P2
P1.2
P1.3.1
P1.3
P1.3.2
P2.1
P3
P2.2
P3.1
P1.3.3
Programme and Project Strategy
P3.2
P3.3
WORK BREAKDOWN STRUCTURE
P 1.1
Project output
P0
P1
P2
P1.2
P1.3.1
P1.3
P1.3.2
P2.1
P1.3.3
P3
P2.2
P3.1
P3.2
P3.3
W3.1.1
W3.2.1
W3.1.2
W3.2.2
W1.3.3.1
W1.3.3.2
W3.1.3
Programme and Project Strategy
W3.2.2.1
W3.2.2.2
Project Strategy is as good as its outputs!
Creation of a viable project
management plan is the essential
output of project strategising
Programme and Project Strategy
Programme and Project Strategy
Section 8: Programme
Risk Management
Programme and Project Strategy
WHY MANAGE RISKS ???
FIRE-FIGHTING’S …..
………..FUN !!!
Programme and Project Strategy
.
IT Scope Creep
Is 'Scope-Creep' a risk for IT projects?
No....... the best you can hope for is
1.5% per calendar month compound!
So... do you just give up?
No... Use Change Assessment, Timing & Control.
(including added activities for risk impact recovery actions)
Programme and Project Strategy
The Scottish Parliament Building
 Budget £50m;
 Actual cost £400m;
 A lesson in a lack of
Change-Control, &
hence in ‘Scope-Creep’!
Programme and Project Strategy
Supplier:Chelton Telecom (SME)
Chelton Telecom &Microwave
CBP: key results
Comparison between the last payload before the CBP
implementation and the latest one
% of redesign
% late
deliveries
Before
After
53.4 %
7.8 %
27 %
1%
Reproduction interdite sans l’accord de Chelton Telecom & Microwave
Programme and Project Strategy
Client: EADS Astrium - Satellite Waveguides
Effect of deploying CBP Workflow Management System
Latest space craft model > 400 wave guides (W/G)
 +50% improvement to first delivery
 >80% complete at integration milestone 1
 >+30% enhancement in non-recurring effort
 4:1 ‘learning curve’ reduction
 Cycle time reduction of > 20% than ‘best’ previous design
 >20% price reduction (complexity = +20%)
Programme and Project Strategy
In delivering Programme output a business relies
Strategy
on the contribution of other businesses ....
But each with their own business drivers:
Benefit Delivery
Strategy
Strategy
Benefit Delivery
Benefit Delivery
Programme and Project Strategy
In delivering Programme output a business relies
on the contribution of other businesses ....
Benefit Delivery
But each with their own business drivers:
Strategy
Strategy
Benefit Delivery
Strategy
Benefit Delivery
Programme and Project Strategy
In delivering Programme output a business relies
on the contribution of other businesses ....
Benefit Delivery
But each with their own business drivers:
Strategy
Strategy
Benefit Delivery
Strategy
Benefit Delivery
Programme and Project Strategy
Benefit Delivery
And the effect was:
The CBP Workflow System
put programme knowledge
and the whole delivery
process into the control of
the Delivery Management ...
Management
Strategy
Strategy
Strategy
… inherently cutting wasted effort, risk, & delay from the Benefit Delivery
Programme and Project Strategy
The Communication Dream
Commercial
Management
The Business’s Strategic Management Ring
Treasury &
Financial
Mgt.
Operational &
Production
Mgt
Human
Resource
Mgt
The
Programme Management
Team
Programme and Project Strategy
Reality!!!......................... (Twin-Ring Management)
‘Partisan Interests’ Ring
Commercial
Management
The Business’s Strategic Management Ring
Treasury &
Financial
Mgt.
Operational &
Production
Mgt
?
Human
Resource
Mgt
‘Person-to-Person’ communications
based on personal business interests!
The
Programme Management
Team
Programme and Project Strategy
‘Soft’ Demand Axis:
A mixture of
Uncertainty and Ambiguity
(i.e. Knowledge & its
communication)
#
The VUCA -Vector
Diagram
( # VUCA was defined by US National Defense University, 1997)
Intersection Point of Risk
management Demands
‘Hard’ Demand Axis:
A mixture of Volatility and Complexity (i.e. The Operating Environment)
Programme and Project Strategy
‘Soft’ Demand Axis:
A mixture of
Uncertainty and Ambiguity
(i.e. Knowledge & its
communication)
#
The VUCA -Vector
Diagram
( # VUCA was defined by US National Defense University, 1997)
Intersection Point of Risk
management Demands
Response Vector: A mixture of
Competencies* and Flexibility*
(i.e. Capability)
* Noting that Competencies includes .....
......individual & group Integrity
And that Flexibility includes .....
the freedom to use the Competencies
‘Hard’ Demand Axis:
A mixture of Volatility and Complexity (i.e. The Operating Environment)
Programme and Project Strategy
Two major Impact Areas .....
1. Cost (or Time) Risk:
2. Benefits Risk:
• Affects the projects but can cause
delays and increased costs to the
programmes of which they are part;
• Affects the business by impairing the
programme’s outcomes;
• Often the damage can be
remedied, albeit at additional cost
and incurred delays;
• BUT can cause degradation of
the performance and/or value of
the project’s outputs, thereby
causing business risk.
MANAGED:
• Often the damage cannot be
remedied or, if it can, the additional
cost is high and incurs substantial
delays (thereby incurring further risk);
• Managed by a holistic approach to
Risk Management across the
programme and the enterprise.
MANAGED:
MOSTLY WITHIN THE PROJECTS
BY BUSISNESS VIA PROGRAMMES
Programme and Project Strategy
Remember what is Important
Identified demands on the programme:
TIME
(statutory)
Quality Control
Skilled Resource
Cost Control
Scope Control
But the projects' stacks may be different!
Programme and Project Strategy
Understanding the Risk
The Risk
Register
A Truly Strategic
Project 3
Volume IV
Overview of Risk
& NOW AVAILABLE
WITH SCORED
RISKS
!!!!!!!!!!!!!?!
Programme and Project Strategy
?
The 'Risk Book' Approach
Or use a computer to generate
'Confidence Curves'
Programme and Project Strategy
Confidence Curves
100
Ideal
'S'
Curve
% Confidence
80
Many Risks:
High Impact
Low Prob.
60
40
Look for
Exceptional
Risks
Many Risks:
High Prob.
= Issues
20
Total Cost of Risk £ M
0
0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
Programme and Project Strategy
3.0
3.5
‘Out-Turn Cost – Probability’ Plot
Projected Out-Turn Risk Cost £ M
3.5
( # As used by the RiskAid & RiskAid Enterprise Software)
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0
% Probability that Out-Turn Cost Exceeds Value
100
80
60 Project 40
Programme
and
Strategy
20
0
The 'Risk Book' Approach
Programme and Project Strategy
Plus Strategic Provisions
Financial Funding:
> Monies provided on an informed judgement;
Corporate Services:
> Insurance, Treasury, Legal, Procurement, R&D;
Competitors & Complimenters:
> Via Industry Associations & Joint Agreements.
Programme and Project Strategy
The Three Tests for 'Issue'
> Over say 65/70% Probability;
> Solution Determinable ...
... so no value to risk-taking;
> Risk Unacceptable ...
... e.g. Health & Safety threat;
... e.g. Cumulative Cost/Delay.
Programme and Project Strategy
When do you Escalate a Risk?
> Too big for the project/programme;
> There are wider implications;
> It needs a 'Systematised Solution';
...You need a Risk Escalation Policy!
Programme and Project Strategy
Accepting ‘The World of VUCA’
How do we go forward?
Make Assumptions!
And is making an Assumption a Risk?
You bet! but do not duplicate this data in a Risk Log
(prioritise documents ... Assumptions, Issues, Threat Risks, & Opportunity Risks)
Programme and Project Strategy
Three Phases in Delivery
Programme
Negotiation
The environment
that enables
its Project
Risk
Taking
Risk
Closing
Enabling
Projects
Activity to
Deliver
to the Programme
Increasing Vulnerability* to Risk
* i,e,
Capability/Benefit
Exploitation
Processes to extract
the value from the
Programme
Reducing Risk Appetite
Programme and Project Strategy
Risk
Minimised
The Deployment Phase of Delivery 1
Different Programme Delivery Partners will
probably be at different Phases at any one time
Enabling
Projects (of the Programme)
Activity to Deliver to the Programme
Project
Negotiation
Enabling
Supplier Project
Supplier's Increasing Vulnerability to Risk
Capability/Benefit
Delivery by Supplier
Programme and Project Strategy
The Deployment Phase of Delivery 2
Risk Definition of a Programme:
An amalgam of dissimilar projects to enable a corporate benefit exploitation,
organised as an entity such that each project delivers to the following process
at a lower level of risk than it received from the proceeding process
Enabling
Projects (of the Programme)
Reducing Level of
Programme Risk
Activity to Deliver to the Programme
Input
Project 1
Project 3
Project 5
Input
Project 2
Project 4
Programme and Project Strategy
Delivery
The 'Circle of Risk'
Stable
Owned, Robust
& Governable
Management
(via Processes)
Return to Stability
The 'Impact' Line
Stabilise
for
Recovery
Terminate
or Prevent
(Issues)
(Irreversible Event)
Mitigation
Monitor
&
Control
(Plus Recovery
Planning &
Preparations)
Detect or Decide
(Moving to 'M& C')
Moving to
‘At Risk’
'At Risk'
(i.e. Unstable,
The 'Incident' Line
Bi-Pole
(Reversible 'Loss of Control')
Management)Programme and Project Strategy
© Richard Watson, Technical Management Consultancy Limited 2012
Stable
Owned, Robust
& Governable
Management
(via Processes)
‘At Risk’
(i.e. Unstable,
Bi-Pole
Management)Programme and Project Strategy
© Richard Watson, Technical Management Consultancy Limited 2012
Stable
Owned, Robust
& Governable
Management
(via Processes)
e.g. Slippage
AND ?????
‘At Risk’
(i.e. Unstable,
The 'Incident' Line
Bi-Pole
(Reversible 'Loss of Control')
Management)Programme and Project Strategy
© Richard Watson, Technical Management Consultancy Limited 2012
‘Disaster’
Response
Management
Stable
Owned, Robust
& Governable
Management
(via Processes)
Static
Management
InstabilityReduction
Management
‘At Risk’
(i.e. Unstable,
The 'Incident' Line
Bi-Pole
(Reversible 'Loss of Control')
Management)Programme and Project Strategy
Dynamic
Observation &
Management
© Richard Watson, Technical Management Consultancy Limited 2012
Stable
Owned, Robust
& Governable
Management
(via Processes)
‘Disaster’
Response
Management
Static
Management
The 'Impact' Line
Detect or Decide
(Irreversible Event)
(Moving to 'M& C')
InstabilityReduction
Management
e.g. Slippage
AND ?????
‘At Risk’
(i.e. Unstable,
The 'Incident' Line
Bi-Pole
(Reversible 'Loss of Control')
Management)Programme and Project Strategy
Dynamic
Observation &
Management
© Richard Watson, Technical Management Consultancy Limited 2012
Stable
Owned, Robust
& Governable
Management
(via Processes)
‘Disaster’
Response
Management
Static
Management
The 'Impact' Line
Detect or Decide
(Irreversible Event)
(Moving to 'M& C')
InstabilityReduction
Management
e.g. Slippage
AND ?????
‘At Risk’
(i.e. Unstable,
The 'Incident' Line
Bi-Pole
(Reversible 'Loss of Control')
Management)Programme and Project Strategy
Dynamic
Observation &
Management
© Richard Watson, Technical Management Consultancy Limited 2012
The 'Circle of Risk'
Stable
Owned, Robust
& Governable
Management
(via Processes)
Return to Stability
The 'Impact' Line
Stabilise
for
Recovery
Terminate
or Prevent
(Issues)
(Irreversible Event)
Mitigation
Monitor
&
Control
(Plus Recovery
Planning &
Preparations)
Detect or Decide
(Moving to 'M& C')
Moving to
‘At Risk’
'At Risk'
(i.e. Unstable,
The 'Incident' Line
Bi-Pole
(Reversible 'Loss of Control')
Management)Programme and Project Strategy
© Richard Watson, Technical Management Consultancy Limited 2012
The 'Circle of Risk'
Stable
Owned, Robust
& Governable
Management
(via Processes)
The
'Impact' Line
IRREVERSIBLE
Detect or Decide
IMPACT
(Irreversible
Event)
(Moving to 'M& C')
MAXIMISED
TIME GAP
‘At Risk’
REVERSIBLE
(i.e. Unstable,
The 'Incident'
INCIDENT Line
Bi-Pole
(Reversible
'Losswhere
of Control')
The point
and Project
is lost Strategy
Management)ProgrammeControl
© Richard Watson, Technical Management Consultancy Limited 2012
Programme Risk Mgt. - ‘Bow Ties’
Analyse your Programme/Projects using 'Bow Ties':
Threat
Project or
Programme
‘Incident’
Event
Risk
(Event @ Prob.)
Programme and Project Strategy
Evaluated
Consequence
Programme Risk Mgt. - ‘Bow Ties’
Analyse your Programme/Projects using 'Bow Ties':
Threat to
Barrier
Threat to
Barrier
Project or
Programme
Threat
‘Incident’
Event
Threats to Barriers
And Barriers to those Threats
Risk
(Event @ Prob.)
Barriers to Risk
Reducing:
Probability
Consequences?
Barriers to 'Top Event'
Sequence:
Eradicate or Prevent
Decide
Monitor & Control
Mitigations …. But ….
Immediately prior to the ‘Top Event‘ :
Identifiers for ‘Control’ is Failing
... Plus ‘Control’ Recovery Plans
DANGERS in TRANSFER
Barriers to Consequences
And their Escalation
Programme and Project Strategy
Evaluated
Consequence
Note:
The reduction in
the Evaluation of
Consequences &
Probability (C x P)
justifies the cost
of the Barriers
Programme Risk Mgt. - ‘Bow Ties’
Analyse your Programme/Projects using 'Bow Ties':
Threat to
Barrier
Threat
Threat
Threat to
Barrier
Project or
Programme
‘Incident’
Event
Barrier description
Risk
(Event @ Prob.)
Evaluated
Consequence
( incl. Cost Delay
& Rectifications)
Risk
(Event @ Prob.)
Evaluated
Consequence
(incl. Cost Delay
& Rectifications)
Escalation of Threat?
Threat to
Barrier
Evaluated
Consequence(in
cl. Cost Delay &
Rectifications)
Programme and Project Strategy
‘Rules of Risk Transfer’
● Risk that is transferred transfers also the rights to manage that risk
to the advantage of the new risk holder - and to be effective the
transfer of both risk and the right to manage that risk must be fully
understood by all the involved parties, and must be appropriately
documented;
● Risks may only be transferred for real benefit - e.g. in the of saving
costs and/or resource usage, and also essentially in the improving
of the project’s ‘Ability to be Managed’’ - and the risk may not be
transferred solely for a either a reduction of threat or an escalation
of opportunity to the transferring party;
● Risk should be transferred to whichever party is most competent to
manage that risk, and the transferring party has a responsibility to
ensure that such transferred risks are within:
● the technical competence of the risk recipient;
● the managerial competence of the risk recipient;
● and the financial competence of the risk recipient.
Programme and Project Strategy
The Enablers of Risk Management
PEOPLE (Thinking & Risk Aware)
PROCESS
TOOLS
STRUCTURE
INFORMATION (Communication)
Programme and Project Strategy
Programme Risk Mgt. Tools
To be used to meet your management needs of:
• Getting your Ideas in Good Order;
• Processing so as to Consistently Evaluate;
• Formatting so as to Communicate …….
... Both the Problems and the Solutions!
Programme and Project Strategy
.
Enterprise Risk Management
 Most organisations minimise their operational risks
by designing their regular processes accordingly;
 This means that most enterprise risk stems from:
 An inadequate, misused, or faulty systems;
 Excess, inter-reacting &/or amalgamated variances;
 Unplanned/unexpected events (Human & System Complexity);
 The concept of ERM involves an holistic, complete,
pan-organisational adoption of Risk Management:
Programme and Project Strategy
SomeRecommended
Recommended Reading
Some
Reading
 'Managing Risk for Projects and Programmes'
by John Bartlett
 'Picturing the Uncertain World'
by Howard Wainer
 'Harvard Business Review on Managing Uncertainty'
in their 'Ideas with Impact' series
 'Mastering Statistical Process Control'
by Tim Stapenhurst
 Google 'bowtie risk' and 'bow tie risk'
for further information on the use of 'Bow Ties'
Programme and Project Strategy
Extending the use of Risk Mgt.
The end of the Risk Management Sessions.....
..... but not the end of your Risk Management:
> Selection of contract format with suppliers;
> As a tool in negotiation (+ look at their risk);
> Included in analysis for decision support.
Programme and Project Strategy
Programme and Project Strategy
Section 9: Product
requirements elicitation and
statementing
Programme and Project Strategy
Requirement or solution?
I need to make the company
a financial success
Requirement
I want to be able to sell train tickets on-line
I want a point-of-sale system
I want a database
One person’s solution is another’s requirement!
Programme and Project Strategy
Solution
Requirement
Solution
Requirement
Solution
Requirement?
Specifying the problem isn’t easy
 Solution focused
 Ambiguity in language
 Natural optimism
Programme and Project Strategy
How big is the goal?
ACs
ACs
Programme and Project Strategy
Characteristics
 Requirements
 Constraints
 Acceptance criteria
Define the problem
Non-negotiable
Changing a requirement changes
the problem being solved!
Typically owned by sponsor
Not primary attributes of the
solution
May be able to change
Set by the problem owner
Are attributes of the
solution
Negotiable!
Programme and Project Strategy
Functional requirements
6000 lbs thrust
Static
breaking
strain – 2T
Functional criteria are ‘binary’ – the
product will either perform to them or
won’t
Programme and Project Strategy
Non-functional requirements
I want a project management course
to make engineering development staff
effective
 Are measurable quality attributes of a functional
requirement
 Help determine the users’ expectations
Programme and Project Strategy
Driving out ambiguity
Effective
Attribute
Scale
Test
Reduction in number of
Internally-originated
Accurate
%
Independent
Time
Weeks to solo
operation
Count
Number of successful
Projects run
each year
Efficient
changes
Programme and Project Strategy
An acceptance test
Functional
Non-functional
Requirement
Met
Effective
Scale
Test
Worst
Plan
Best
1.1.1
3
Accurate
%
Reduction in number
of internally-originated
changes
5%
10%
15%
Independent
Time
Weeks to solo
operation
26
20
15
40
Efficient
Count
Number of successful
projects run in each
year
7
10
15
5
1.1.2
1.2.1
3
+
Programme and Project Strategy
Now
Exercise
Imagine that you are the project team tasked
with designing and developing a new
‘walkie-talkie’ radio
What might be some of the non-functional
(qualitative) requirements ?
What metrics would you use to describe and define those NFs ?
AND HOW WOULD YOU TEST FOR THEM ?
Programme and Project Strategy
Reports back from the syndicates
Programme and Project Strategy
Programme and Project Strategy
Section 10: The buy/build
decision and contracts
Programme and Project Strategy
Which?
OR
Programme and Project Strategy
Lecture outline
 The factors affecting the buy in or buy out
decision
 The formulation of the procurement strategy
 Commercial Management Aspects
 Behavioural dynamics, some influencing tools
 Cost considerations
 Law and the contract
 Preparing a Tender
 Selecting suppliers
 Final contract signature
Programme and Project Strategy
Procurement strategyPCH
RISK
Programme and Project Strategy
Procurement strategy










Build or buy decision
Corporate procurement strategies
Single or multiple suppliers
Required supplier relationships
Supplier selection
Contractual aspects
Terms of payment
Reception strategy
Ethical procurement
Risk Management
Programme and Project Strategy
Procurement – a definition
Requirements
Buy or build
Build
Buy
 The process of acquiring new services or products
 A process that involves two or more parties with different
objectives, who interact in a given market
 Supply chain: from your supplier’s supplier to your
customer’s customer
Association for Project Management 2002
Programme and Project Strategy
Pros and cons of buying-in
 Utilising external
(specialised) expertise
 Extended capacity R&D
 Liberating scarce internal
resources
 Cost saving
 Sharing the risk
 Time saving
 Speed
 Intellectual Property
Protection
 Skills required
 Added value
cf
 Reduced control
 Time spent co-ordinating
(communication and
execution)
 De-motivation of internal
resources
 Higher costs
 Increased risk
 Maintenance overhead
 Commitment to technology
which could become
obsolete e.g. Visual Basic,
Fortran, C, Java.
Programme and Project Strategy
Prerequisites
•
•
•
•
•
Fully signed off Requirements Specification.
Indicative timescale for project known
Financial appraisal based upon indicative costings
Risk analysis and Risk Plan.
Modeling of the business process As IS and the To Be
If you don’t know where you are how can you plan the journey
to your preferred destination? - And,
how will you know you have arrived!!
Programme and Project Strategy
Making Sense of the Problem
* Data Gathering
** Tallysheets/ Incident logs
* Problem modelling
** Pareto
** Cause and effect
* Force Field Analysis
* Modelling complexity and options
** Data/process flow modelling
** Influence Diagrams
* Prototyping
Programme and Project Strategy
Why Brown Paper ?





Portable - Renal moved 3 times, cheap and quick.
Uses full size ‘live’ paper all documents, computer screens, phone calls,
ledgers, etc...
Identify weaknesses/conflicts in ‘As Is’ process
Identify opportunities to improve or simplify




Gets people thinking about change
Builds teamwork to better identify with the change
Visualisation of the high cost and risk areas
Invite all stakeholders to view the current process
 Model ‘To Be’ processes - vehicle for refinement
 Use to secure Buy In
 Its great fun
too!!
Programme
and Project Strategy
Prerequisites
•
•
•
•
•
Fully signed off Output Based Specification
Indicative timescale for project known
Financial appraisal based upon indicative costings
Risk analysis
Modeling of the business process As IS and the To Be
PLUS
• Support from the Finance team
• Support from the Purchasing team
• Support from the Legal team - usually facilitated by Purchasing
Programme and Project Strategy
Commercial Management




Suppliers - A relationship of mutual benefit
The Procurement Process
The pricing strategy
Contracts – a legal obligation




Intention
Offer & acceptance
Consideration
Capacity
 Terms and Conditions (T’s & C’s)
 Scope
 Goods
 Services
 Service Level Agreements
Programme and Project Strategy
Relationship Approaches
Positional
 Needs of both parties in conflict
 Win/lose outcome
 Compromise lose/lose outcome
Principled
 Parties agree to share a common problem
 Search for a solution to achieve mutual benefits
 Win/win outcome
Programme and Project Strategy
Understanding Relationships
Behaviour: Transactional Analysis – Eric Berne
Roles of Parent, Adult and Child
 OK Corral – Thomas A Harris
4 life positions: I’m OK You’re NOT OK
 I’m OK You’re OK
 I’m NOT OK You’re OK
 I’m NOT OK You’re NOT OK
Programme and Project Strategy
Exercise 1: Those shoes!
Source Jan Ferguson
Programme and Project Strategy
Assertive – Negotiating
When you need to say negotiate....
 Say what YOU want, and what FOR
 Clarify what THEY want and what FOR
 Establish the REASONS for the ‘NO’
 Pause and ACCEPT valid points
 Recognise any CONFLICT of NEEDS
 Explore ALTERNATIVES for a WIN/WIN
 Agree what is ACCEPTABLE to BOTH
TAG LINE: “ I can win and help others to win”
Programme and Project Strategy
Source Context Training Ltd
Dealing with Aggression
When people get aggressive ....
 Slow down and take YOUR time
 Use their NAME and LOOK at them
 Ask QUESTIONS and get at SPECIFICS
 LISTEN and show EMPATHY
 Say where YOU stand
 MOVE from problems to SOLUTIONS
 Get TOUGHER if the aggression GOES ON
TAG LINE: “ I can stand firm, I can stay calm”
Programme and Project Strategy
Source Context Training Ltd
Pricing strategy
 Capital items, Revenue items
 Labour cost estimation and recording
 Taxation, VAT and import duties.
 7 year horizon
 Establishing budgets
 Phased project payments
 Depreciation, Inflation and the Retail Prices Index
 Cost Reporting Milestone v Earned Value Analysis
 Due Diligence supplier assessment
Owens and Webster
Programme and Project Strategy
Supplier reimbursement
T&M
Low
Cost reimbursement
Unit rate
Supplier
financial
risk
Staged, payment on milestones
Target price
Clauses:

Retention

Liquidated charges

Variations
Firm price/lump sum
High
Low
Procurer financial risk
High
Programme and Project Strategy
Procurement Process
Market Research
Preparation
Starting Up a
Procurement
Issue the Request
for Proposal/ Invitation
to Tender
Refine
Requirements
Specification
and obtain
approval
Assess
Submissions
& short list
Choose Supplier
Final short list
Assessment
Controlled Start
Controlled
Progress
Programme and Project Strategy
Controlled Close
One Type of Approach
Stage 1
Requirements
Definition
OBC
Stage 2
Procurement –
Long Listing
Stage 3
Procurement –
Short Listing
Stage 4
BAFO & Award
of Contract
Implementation
Programme & Project Management & Communications
OBC – complete.
Stage 1 Major Tasks:
Stage 2 Major Tasks:
Stage 3 Major Tasks:
Stage 4 Major Tasks:














Structured handover.
Conduct OBS QA Review.
Develop PID.
Develop Communications
Plan.
Develop Procurement
Strategy.
Develop OJEU Notice.
Develop Legal Advisors
ToR and Contract and
appoint legal advisors.
Develop PQQ and
Evaluation Model.
Obtain PMS Programme
Board Approval.





Issue PQQ and answer
queries.
Evaluate responses.
Develop Supplier Long List
Report.
Develop ITT and
Evaluation Model.
Conduct OBC Review.
Obtain PMS Programme
Board Approval.






Issue ITT.
Evaluate responses.
Develop Supplier Short List
Report.
Conduct Competitive
Dialogue process.
Demonstrations & reference
site visits.
Conduct contractual and
functional gap analysis.
Develop Benefits
Management document.
Develop High Level
Solution Architecture
document.
Obtain PMS Programme
Board Approval.








Prepare invitation to BAFO
and Evaluation model.
Evaluate BAFOs & select
preferred bidder.
Debrief unsuccessful
bidders.
Develop FBC.
Finalise and award PMS
Framework Contract.
Develop High Level
Implementation Plan.
Develop Lessons Learned
Report.
Develop Follow on Actions
Report.
Obtain PMS Programme
Board Approval.
Implementation Out of scope.
Source – NHS Scotland
Programme and Project Strategy
Commercial Management




Suppliers - A relationship of mutual benefit 
The Procurement Process 
The pricing strategy 
Contracts – a legal obligation




Intention
Offer & acceptance
Consideration
Capacity
 Terms and Conditions (T’s & C’s)
 Scope
 Goods
 Services
 Service Level Agreements
Programme and Project Strategy
Contractual relationships
Partner
Shares objectives
Alliance
Trusted
Collaborative
Shares risks and rewards
Consultative
Transactional
Programme and Project Strategy
Types of contracts
 Turnkey
 Comprehensive or prime contract
 Sequence of contracts (e.g. one does design one
does construction)
 Parallel contract (e.g. for goods and services)
 Sub-contract
Programme and Project Strategy
LAW – The Contract
Consumer rights exercise
Sale of Goods Act 1979
When buying goods they must:-
* fit the description
* be of satisfactory quality
* be fit for their purpose
Programme and Project Strategy
Exercise 2 – know your rights!
Which of these statements are true?
a)
A ‘No refunds given’ notice is legal.
b)
It’s a manufacturing problem try them – shop
not liable for manufacturing defects
c)
You must report problems within 30 days to obtain
redress.
d)
You are outside the 12 month guarantee
e)
You cannot complain without a receipt
f)
You must return faulty goods to the place you bought
them
g)
Price marked is the price I can pay to secure the goods.
h)
Your rights to redress last for 6 years.
i)
when you buy on the internet you have less protection
than buying from a store.
j)
You are not entitled to keep goods you have not paid for.
k)
If a Trader goes bust you are left in limbo.
Programme and Project Strategy
LAW – The Contract (1)
Key elements of a contract:-
* The date on which the contract was entered into
* The names and addresses of those entering into the
contract
* A short description of what the contract is about.
* Definitions of terms used in the contract.
* Description of what the supplier is going to do for you
* Description of what you must do for the supplier
* What you must pay the supplier
* The duration of the agreement
Programme and Project Strategy
LAW – The Contract (2)
PLUS: Boilerplate terms
* Force Majeure – circumstances beyond control
* Entire Agreement – ignore previous versions
* Governing law and jurisdiction – English law enforced in
English courts
PLUS: Disputes procedure, Separate contract for goods & Services
In NHS POISE model SSCON deals with services, and SYSCON
deals with goods such as maintenance & help desk support.
Programme and Project Strategy
LAW – Intellectual Property
Basic rights:
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
Copyright
Duration
No Registration
Moral rights
Database right
Patents
Trademarks
Programme and Project Strategy
LAW – CCN notes
Changes to the Contract
Process defined in T’s & C’s
Subject to project change control procedure
Applies usually to changes to the Requirements
Does not usually require legal interpretation/input
Can involve cost, risk, quality, performance, related to
products
Programme and Project Strategy
LAW – Service Level Agreement (SLA) (1)
Where services are required the contract is supported by
a Service Level Agreement.
This documents the working arrangements between
supplier and client during the productive life of the project
deliverable.
It is used to monitor performance to contract and sits as an
appendix to the contract, why is this??
Programme and Project Strategy
LAW – Service Level Agreement (SLA) (2)
Parts of an SLA include….
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
The service required – detailed in Requirements Spec.
Quality Standards
Deliverables
Consequences of failure to deliver (Remedies)
Procedures for performance monitoring
Procedures for Change Control
Access security to client site and data
Disaster recovery process
Frequency of on site meetings
Programme and Project Strategy
Procurement Process
Market Research
Preparation
Starting Up a
Procurement
Issue the Request
for Proposal/ Invitation
to Tender
Refine
Requirements
Specification
and obtain
approval
Assess
Submissions
& short list
Choose Supplier
Final short list
Assessment
Controlled Start
Controlled
Progress
Programme and Project Strategy
Controlled Close
Market Research










Seminars/Conferences/Papers/Network
Professional bodies/Associations/SIG’s
Ensure you have full ownership indicative costings
Supplier selection likely candidates
Target likely interested parties - prepositioning
Benchmarking
‘Smash and grab’ similar procurements
Learn the lessons
Tease out Contractual aspects
Risk from their perspective
Programme and Project Strategy
Setting up a RFP
Requirement
Specification
Business
interface
requirements
JohnsTown
Statement ofBank
Requirements
Branch automation
Procedure
Terms
and
project
for the
Executive
Evaluation
Procurement
process
including
evaluation
criteria for all
stages &
Confidentiality
agreements
Conditions
process,
timetable
summary
criteria
(Draft contract)
&
ground rules
Project
timescale
including
leadtimes
and
standstill
periods
Invitation to tender
Risk
Management
Approach
Standard
T’s & C’s
Programme and Project Strategy
Procurement Process
Preparation
Starting Up a
Procurement
Market research
Issue the Request
for Proposal/ Invitation
to Tender
Refine
Requirements
Specification
and obtain
approval
Assess
Submissions
& short list
Choose Supplier
Final short list
Assessment
Controlled Start

Controlled
Progress
Programme and Project Strategy
Controlled Close
Solicitation – Outline Process
 Procurement day briefing to suppliers - optional.
 Clarify the requirement
 Allow questions open to all potential interested parties
 Relationship builder
 OJEU for public sector contracts >ϵ125,000
 TendersDirect.co.uk useful source of UK, ROI and EU
tenders
 Step 1 – Request for Information(ROI) or Financial,
Economic, Technical (FET) questionnaire
 Step 2 – Based upon response target chosen suppliers
with Request for Proposal (RFP) or Invitation to Tender
(ITT)
 Step 3 – Short listing, more detailed analysis including
visits to reference sites.
 Step 4 – Award contract.
Programme and Project Strategy
OJEU Process Chart
OJEU NOTICE
PIN (Electronic)
36 (29) Days
OJEU NOTICE
Electronic
30 Days
OJEU NOTICE
Urgent (Electronic)
15 (10) Days
Can be used when an Open or Restricted
procedure has been discontinued
because of irregular or unacceptable
tenders. All original bidders (that were not
excluded) must be invited to participate.
Receive tenders
and negotiate
(in successive
stages if
necessary) to
identify best
tender by
applying the
Award Criteria
37(30) Days
Issue ITT to
shortlist
OJEU NOTICE
Normal (Electronic)
Programme and Project Strategy
Submit OJEU Award Notice within 48 days
37 Days
10 Days
Award contract allowing for 10 day Standstill Period
OJEU NOTICE
Normal
22 Days
Receipt of Tenders
OJEU NOTICE
15 (10) Days
Urgent (Electronic)
40 Days
Conclude
dialogue and
invite sufficient
tenders to ensure
competition
Conduct dialogue
(in successive
stages if
necessary)
Invite shortlist to
participate in
dialogue
Negotiated
Without
OJEU
advert
37 (30) Days
Submitted Expressions of Interest
Shortlist against qualification criteria
(minimum of 3 bidders)
Negotiated
with OJEU
advert
OJEU NOTICE
PIN (Electronic)
Issue PQQs
Competitive
Dialogue
Prepare Specification
Restricted
Submitted Expressions of
Interest Shortlist against
qualification criteria
(minimum of 5 bidders)
OJEU NOTICE
37 (30) Days
Normal (Electronic)
Evaluate Tenders against Award Criteria
52 (45) Days
Issue Invitation to Tender
Open
OJEU NOTICE
Normal (Electronic)
The procurement process
Prepare
RFI
Respond
to RFI
Evaluate
responses
Prepare
RFP/ITT
Consultation
and clarification
Short
List
Select
Respond
to
RFP/ITT
Demonstration
and discussion
BAFO
Issue
Invitation to
Request
Final
Contract
negotiation
award
Programme and Project Strategy
Consultation and clarification
Rules
Supplier Tactics
1. All communication to
be in writing
1. Word questions to confuse
the opposition
2. All questions and
answers to be copied
to all bidders
2. Leave questions where
possible to the last possible
minute
3. Cut off date for last
questions
3. Leverage personal contacts
4. No personal contacts
allowed ( at any level)
4. Use other meetings as
excuses to clarify queries
5. Use independent “Head
Hunters” to selectively
interview key staff for
possible positions
Programme and Project Strategy
Responding to an RFP
Do we want the business?
Have we the skills?
Have we the resources?
What are the risks?
Time
Interdependencies
Contractual
What are the upsides for us?
What are the downsides?
What are the clients like?
Probability of winning?
Programme and Project Strategy
Evaluation principles
 Criteria agreed when RFP issued
 Weighting & scoring agreed
 Panel members agreed





Response received in time
NDA signed
Correct response format
Agreement to objectives and ground
rules
Criteria scoring
 Organisation and pedegree
 Capability and skills
 References
 Due Diligence - Financials
 Degree of fit with requirement
 Degree of risk.
 Fair and open procedure
 Target number of suppliers
 Beware of risks in judging on price
alone
Programme and Project Strategy
Evaluation of tenders
Supplier A
Criterion
Weighting
Score
Total
Capability –
Degree of fit
8
7.5
60
Track record maturity
5
6
30
Costs
8
3
24
Due Diligence
9
9
81
Confidence
level
9
5
45
Programme and Project Strategy
Supplier Short List process
 Inform successful suppliers
 Inform unsuccessful suppliers, post process
interview if requested
 Perform Due Diligence checks, credit agencies etc..
 Degree of fit with requirement
 Price in Capital & Revenue terms over 7 years
 Take up references
 Site visits
 On site scripted scenario demos
 Review RFP responses with each supplier
 Refine indicative costs with each supplier
 Issue Invitation to Offer to finalise and formalise
costs
Programme and Project Strategy
Exercise 3: small groups
Closed Book
Based upon this more detailed
assessment what criteria would
you use in addition to the initial
evaluation of tenders. What other
measures would you
recommend?
5 mins, 2 min presentation.
Programme and Project Strategy
Evaluation of short list
Supplier A versus Supplier B
Criterion
Weighting
Score
Total
Capability –
Degree of fit
8
7.5
60
Track record maturity
5
6
30
Costs
8
3
24
Due Diligence
9
9
81
Confidence level
9
5
45
Site visits
References &
reliability
On site scenario
performance
Revised costs
Programme and Project Strategy
Confidence to
award level
Procurement Process
Market Research
Preparation
Starting Up a
Procurement
Issue the Request
for Proposal/ Invitation
to Tender
Refine
Requirements
Specification
and obtain
approval
Assess
Submissions
& short list
Choose Supplier
Final short list
Assessment
Controlled Start

Controlled
Progress

Programme and Project Strategy
Controlled Close
Award Contract






Notify successful supplier
Notify unsuccessful Supplier
Standstill period -10 days in case of appeal.
Contract signature.
Issue Award notice.
Prepare Implementation plan – based upon indicative
plan in RFP
 Complete follow on actions and lessons learned
report and publish.
 Archive all process paperwork – why?.
Programme and Project Strategy
Programme and Project Strategy
Section 11: Programme roles
and responsibilities
V2
Programme and Project Strategy
Organising for programmes
Programme board
Senior Responsible Owner (SRO)
Programme management office
Programme
Manager
Business Change
Manager
Programme management
Project
Project
Programme and Project Strategy
Project
The Programme/Project Board
Responsibilities:
• Appointment of key roles – Programme Manager
and Change Manager
• Providing direction to these incumbents
• Initiating and being involved in Programme
reviews
• Establishing and maintaining the programme
governance arrangements
• Ensuring risk management is undertaken
Necessary competencies:
• Having positional power in the organisation and
using it appropriately
• Comprehension of Corporate Strategy and how the
programmes fulfil it
• Political awareness and stakeholder management
ability
• Recognising and managing key strategic risks
facing the programmes
Programme and Project Strategy
Governance
The system by which organisations are
directed and controlled
•
•
•
•
•
Facilitates timely decision-making
Provides direction and leadership
Exercises control
Ensures consistency
Supports and facilitates issue resolution
Programme and Project Strategy
The role of S.R.O.
• Owning the vision for the Programme and being its
‘Champion’ – providing clear leadership and direction
• Securing the investment required
• Personally accountable for the Programme’s outcome
• Accountable for the Programme’s governance
arrangements
• Responsible for the Programme’s key information
• Manages the interfaces with key stakeholders
• Manages the key strategic risks facing the programme
• Maintains the alignment of the programme to the
organisation’s strategy
• Commissioning and chairing reviews
• Managing and supporting the Programme Manager
Programme and Project Strategy
The role of the Programme Mngr
• Planning/designing the programme, monitoring its progress,
resolving issues and initiating corrective actions
• Defining the Programme’s governance framework
• Ensuring the integrity of the Programme
• Managing the Programme’s budget on behalf of S.R.O.
• Facilitating appointments to the project teams
• Ensuring that the delivery of new products from the projects meet
requirements and are of appropriate quality
• Managing the interfaces and dependencies between the projects in
the programme
• Ensuring management of the programme risks
• Reporting the programme’s progress
Programme and Project Strategy
Types of project management office
Support
Admin
Partner
Emphasis
Control
Control
Manage
Source: CITI Group Ltd
Guidance
Capability
Improve
Programme and Project Strategy
Project management office: Admin
 Data collector
 Keeps the ‘scores’ and ‘history’
 Reports aggregator
 Supports individual projects
 Passive
 Staffed by administrators
 Conduit for information on current projects
 Reviews
Secretariat
Facilitator
Programme and Project Strategy
A
Project management office: Control









Information management
Interpreter
Focus on project delivery
Interventionist
Staffed by functional specialists
Some authority
Perform audits
Conduit for current
projects and reports on
the ‘portfolio’
Reviews
C
Cost
Cost
Technical
Time
Quality
Business
Benefits
Risk
Programme and Project Strategy
Project management office: Guidance







Centre of excellence - agency of change
Pro-active and interventionist
Staffed by process specialists
Supports portfolio and projects
Provides training and support
May ‘own’ PMs and resource management
Monitors portfolios and projects, - influences project
organisational performance
 Reviews Status
Programme and Project Strategy
G
Project management office: Partner
 Source of best practices
 Reactive and demand-driven
 Staffed by people capable/competent in PM
 Supports business-led initiatives to improve
 Monitors the portfolio and maintains information on the
capacity and capability
 Involved in establishing strategic direction
 Represents project management at board level
 Reviews Coach/trainer
Portfolio
Programme and Project Strategy reporting
P
Programme Manager competencies
Programme management
uses a mix of ambiguity and
uncertainty reduction
techniques.
Competencies:
 lateral thinking
 facilitating approach
 negotiation
 motivation
 strategic thinking
Programme and Project Strategy
Project cf. Programme Management
Project
Metrics
Programme
Progress
Style
Issue resolution
Control & efficiency
Manages
Accept ambiguity/collaborate
Regular resources
Attributes
Other managers
Team player
Outputs
Single objective
Delivers
Focus
Politician
Change
Business strategy
Linked to deliverables
Benefits
Determine deliverables
Narrow, avoid change
Scope
Wide, change inevitable
Bounded
Plan
Architectural
Directive leader
Powerful facilitator
Role
Programme management is NOT just ‘big project management’
Programme and Project Strategy
Managing multiple communication routes
Number of
communication
routes
Programme and Project Strategy
=
n x (n- 1)
2
Programme communications complexities
The Programme
Project 1
Product
1.1
Product
1.2
Project 3
Project 2
Product
2.1
Product
2.2
Product
3.1
W O R K
Project 4
Product
4.1
Product
4.2
Project 5
Product
5.1
G R O U P S
Programme and Project Strategy
Project 6
Product
6.1
Product
6.2
Some of the obstacles:
• Possessiveness
• Self-interest
• Ignorance
• Failure to see the ‘Big Picture’
• Lack of communications system
• ‘Hoping for the best’
Programme and Project Strategy
The communication plan
“Success or failure of a project tends to depend
on how well various members of the project
team communicate with each other”.
BS 6079-1:2002 Project Management
Programme and Project Strategy
Project Team Communication
 Patterns of communication lead to
important consequences for project team
efficiency and member satisfaction.
 Determined by:
 Number of potential channels available
 Equality of the communication possible
 Degree of centralisation/decentralisation
Leavitt (1951)
Programme and Project Strategy
Project Team Communication
 Different patterns are effective for different tasks.
 The greater the amount of interconnectedness,
the higher the general level of satisfaction of
members of the group.
 More complex work, as found in most project
teams within product or process development, is
performed more efficiently in decentralised
networks.
Programme and Project Strategy
Multiple stakeholder relationships
Senior management
Users
Customers
Suppliers
Departments
Subcontractors
Project manager
Other projects
Team members
Sponsor
Programme and Project Strategy
Programme and Project Strategy
Section12: Project roles and
responsibilties
V2
Programme and Project Strategy
Roles and responsibilities
Programme and Project Strategy
Who ‘owns’ the project?
Project team ?
The Sponsor ?
The Project Manager ?
Financial Stakeholders
?
YES
The Customers?
Programme and Project Strategy
!
PMP ownership
Produce
parts of the
PMP
How much?
Project team
Why?
Where?
How much?
How much
The Project
Management
Plan (PMP)
What?
Stakeholders
Who?
How much?
Agrees the
PMP
When?
Owns the
PMP
Consulted on
the PMP
Why
Project Manager
Sponsor
Programme and Project Strategy
Sponsor role






Ensures benefit
Owns business case
Accountable for the project
Mobilises management capability
Generates confidence
Supports the project manager
Programme and Project Strategy
Sponsor cf. Project Manager
Sponsor:
 directs the project
 appoints the project manager
 ensures delivery of benefits
 chairs the board
Project manager:
 creates conditions and the environment for the project to
be successful
 employs processes, tools and techniques
 develops and leads the project team
 manages the stakeholders
Programme and Project Strategy
The way the Sponsor likes it!
COSTS
BENEFITS
Programme and Project Strategy
Key project roles
Key Player
Project Sponsor
Programme Manager
Project Manager
Work Package Manager
Team
Function
Initiates project, ensures that the project
benefits are realised
Manages interactions between projects,
ensures programme benefits are delivered
Ensures project meets its objective
Ensures completion of work package
deliverables
Produces deliverables
Programme and Project Strategy
Project Manager competencies
 Decision-making
 Critical Thinking Skills
 Communication
 Teambuilding
 Project Management Technical Skills
Programme and Project Strategy
What it takes to be a good project manager
 Project Practitioners need all the skills of a regular
manager, plus a lot more!
 Ability to perform or even excel within their own
specialist area is no guarantee that they will do so
in the heat of a project team
 Their ‘soft’ skills may even be more important than
excelling in their own ‘specialist’ abilities
Programme and Project Strategy
Stakeholder management loop
Which stakeholders shall we
concentrate on managing?
What stakeholder management
actions do we need to plan into
our strategy?
Review status
and iterate
Implement actions
Identify
stakeholders Classify/Map
Stakeholders
project
manager
Agree goals and
Value Criteria
Source : Association
for Project
Management
Record needs.
Uncover
Expectations.
Assess
achievability
Negotiate
trade-offs
Programme and Project Strategy
Reports back from the syndicates
Programme and Project Strategy
Programme and Project Strategy
Section 13: Stakeholder’s
interests, their WIIFMs, heuristics,
CSFs, and risk appetites – and
how these affect programme and
project strategy
V2
Programme and Project Strategy
Stakeholder expectations
stakeholder
extended
environment
functional managers
e.g finance
clients
Your
project
‘business as usual’
community
top
management
project
team
other projects
Programme and Project Strategy
Stakeholder management loop
Review status
and iterate
Implement actions
Identify
stakeholders Classify/Map
Stakeholders
project
manager
Agree goals and
Value Criteria
Source : ‘Program
management’,
Michel Thiry
Record needs.
Uncover
Expectations.
Assess
achievability
Negotiate
trade-offs
Programme and Project Strategy
Stakeholder map
Primary
Secondary
High
influence
Joe
Positive relations
Tom
Negative relations
Ali
Level of power
Pam
Bob
Sue
High
Low
Level of interest
Programme and Project Strategy
Stakeholder impacts
Schismatics
Gives unqualified
support
Allies
Zealots
Gives up if not
supported
Synergy
Source: d’Herbemont &
Cesar, 2001
Follows initiatives
proposed
Opponents
Passives
Unwilling to follow
any initiative
Mutineers
Moaners
Antagonism
Has no personal
point of view
Uses power to
get a deal
Surrenders when
not the strongest
Does not care about the price
which may need to be paid
Programme and Project Strategy
Generic CSFs
Communication
Project
mission
Senior
management
support
Project
plans
Client
consultation
Personnel
recruit
select
train
Technical
tasks
Client
acceptance
Monitoring
and
feedback
Source: Pinto and Slevin
Trouble shooting
Programme and Project Strategy
Formation of success criteria
Objective
Business case
Success criteria
Requirements
Stakeholder needs
Context
Stakeholder expectations
Programme and Project Strategy
Creating trust and openness
 Understanding their interests
 Being relationship focused
 Demonstrating integrity
Programme and Project Strategy
Plan stakeholder expectations
Name
Formal
Job Title
Functional
responsibility
goals
Interview
Assistant
Manager
Reviews all
orders,
responsible for
daily tasks and
personnel
supervisors
Organisation
ABC
Company
Degree of change
John
Smith
Status
Degree of involvement
Programme and Project Strategy
Exercise
It is a key project manager’s responsibility to create
a stakeholder management plan
The casework briefing material provides sufficient
material for your syndicate to produce a draft
stakeholder management plan
Programme and Project Strategy
Stakeholder management loop
Review status
and iterate
Implement actions
Identify
stakeholders Classify/Map
Stakeholders
project
manager
Agree goals and
Value Criteria
Source : Association
for Project
Management
What are their ‘WIIFMs?’
What is their attitude to the
Record needs. programme?
How will they exploit their
Uncover
involvement?
Expectations.
Assess
achievability
Negotiate
trade-offs
Programme and Project Strategy
Stakeholder management loop
Review status
and iterate
Implement actions
Identify
stakeholders Classify/Map
Stakeholders
project
manager
Agree goals and
Value Criteria
Source : Association
for Project
Management
Record needs.
Uncover
Expectations.
Assess
achievability
Negotiate
trade-offs
How might they contribute?
How might they cause risks?
How can we exploit their
strengths and manage their
weaknesses?
Programme and Project Strategy
Programme and Project Strategy
Section 14: The decisionmaking process
V2
Programme and Project Strategy
If projects address problems …..
What IS a ‘problem’?
“A deviation, or anticipated deviation, from a path to a
desired outcome.”
Ackoff (1981):
“… a decision-making individual or group has
alternative courses of action available, [….] the decisionmaker has some doubt as to which alternative should be
selected.”
Programme and Project Strategy
Which approach?
 Fast?
 Carefully?
 Frugally?
????
Programme and Project Strategy
Six-stage decision-making wheel
Identify and
select
problem
Evaluate
preferred
option
6
Implement
preferred
option
1
2
5
4
Select and
plan
preferred
option
Analyse
problem
3
Generate
potential
options
Programme and Project Strategy
Source: Tom Docker,
CITI Group
Project strategy decision-making
The programme/project practitioner’s role is:
To produce insight and promote creativity to
help stakeholders make decisions that will
lead to project success
Programme and Project Strategy
Advantages of structured decision-making
 Reduces conflict
 Increases the likelihood of perceived success
 Creates and maintains support
 Is auditable and defensible
 Aids difficult judgements – such as high stakes,
limited resources, or overlapping jurisdictions and
other similar complexities
 Helps improve consistency of results
Source: www.structureddecisionmaking.org
Programme and Project Strategy
Some decision-making influences
 W.I.I.F.M.
 Values orientation (or decision making style)
 Bounded rationality
 Heuristics
 Organisational culture
 Level of interest
 ‘Regret’ level
Programme and Project Strategy
WIIFMs
Altruism
Intellectual challenge
Personal gain
Other psychological needs
Programme and Project Strategy
WIIFMs
Altruism
Intellectual
challenge
Personal gain
Other psychological needs
Programme and Project Strategy
WIIFMs
Altruism
Intellectual challenge
Personal gain
Other psychological needs
Programme and Project Strategy
Values orientation
Cognitive complexity
Logical
Tolerance
for
ambiguity
Analytical
Conceptual
Enjoys problem-solving
Wants best answer
Wants control
Uses considerable data
Enjoys variety
Is innovative
Uses careful analysis
Is achievement-oriented
(Needs challenges)
Directive
Need for
structure
Relational
Has a broad outlook
Is creative
Is humanistic/artistic
Initiates new ideas
Is future-orientated
Thinking
(ideas)
(Is independent and
wants recognition)
Behavioural
Expects results
Is aggressive
Acts rapidly
Uses rules
Uses intuition
Is verbal
Is supportive
Uses persuasion
Is empathetic
Communicates easily
Prefers meetings
Uses limited data
(Needs power)
(Needs affiliation)
Task/technical
People/social
Values orientation
Programme and Project Strategy
Doing
(action)
Bounded rationality
Many decisions in projects involve significant
complexity and the human brain is incapable of
making a rational decision where such
complexity is involved. The essential aspects
can be compromised as the decision-makers
oversimplify the process, operating within the
confines of their bounded rationality.
From: Simon, 1955
Programme and Project Strategy
Human heuristics
“The recollection of experiences that we reference
when making assessments in situations of
uncertainty with little supporting hard data.”
Source: Redfern, 2006
Programme and Project Strategy
The five key heuristics
 Availability
 Representativeness
 Anchoring
 Adjustment
 Affect
Source: Redfern, 2006
Programme and Project Strategy
Availability
Do we have an
available
recollection?
How does it
influence our
judgement and
actions?
Have we seen such a situation before?
Programme and Project Strategy
Representativeness
Does this
remind you of
another
product?
Programme and Project Strategy
Representativeness
But is it comparable?
Programme and Project Strategy
Anchoring (and adjustment)
How far can you
drag yourself (or
be dragged) from
your ‘natural’ risk
appetite position?
Programme and Project Strategy
Anchoring (and adjustment)
Programme and Project Strategy
Affect
Human emotions occurring rapidly and
involuntarily in response to a stimulus can cause
sufficient bias to overcome cognitive judgement
Programme and Project Strategy
The influence of heuristics in human decision-making
 Comfort-zone bias: Doing what is comfortable
 Motivation bias: Motivations and incentives can
bias judgements adversely
 Errors in reasoning: Flawed reasoning results in
incorrect conclusions
 Groupthink: Group dynamics cause distortions to
the reasoning processes
 Perception bias: Beliefs are distorted by faulty
perceptions
Programme and Project Strategy
Some known decision-making traps
 The ‘Anchoring’ or ‘Satisficing’ trap – where the
mind gives disproportionate weight to the first
information it receives
 The ‘Status quo’ trap – a bias towards decisions
that maintain the status quo
 The ‘Confirming evidence’ trap – where supporting
evidence is gathered and contradictory information
is avoided
Programme and Project Strategy
The influence of organisational culture
 The banking business – then and now
 The pharmaceutical industry –
Schizophrenic?
 The military hardware industries
Programme and Project Strategy
Decision-maker’s level of interest
If the ‘action’ is distant, the stakeholders will be less attentive!
Programme and Project Strategy
Decision-maker’s level of interest
If the outcome of the action could
obviously threaten them, then the
stakeholders are much more
attentive!
Programme and Project Strategy
Degree of change
Decision-maker’s level of interest
Degree of involvement
Programme and Project Strategy
‘Regret’ significance
Doing well and trying to do better?
Can afford to lose – with alacrity!
Programme and Project Strategy
‘Regret’ significance
Gambling on success?
Affordability of losing?
Programme and Project Strategy
‘Regret’ significance
Disastrous !
Programme and Project Strategy
‘Regret’ significance
Destitution?
Programme and Project Strategy
Decision trees
Problem
Install new server or
extend existing one?
20%
Stay with
existing
server
??
£0
30%
£40K
50%
£80k
Impacts
10%
Which option carries
least risk?
Swap to
new
server
Options
??
20%
70%
£20k
£50k
£30k
Programme and Project Strategy
Stakeholder management loop
Review status
and iterate
Implement actions
Identify
stakeholders Classify/Map
Stakeholders
project
manager
Agree goals and
Value Criteria
Source : ‘Program
management’,
Michel Thiry
Record needs.
Uncover
Expectations.
Assess
achievability
Negotiate
trade-offs
Programme and Project Strategy
Programme and Project Strategy
Making it real:
Converting strategy to action
in an actual organisational
environment
Programme and Project Strategy
The starting point
An agreed strategy, and a vision
for the future direction of the
organisation
- how to turn it into reality?
Programme and Project Strategy
Plan for the session
 Preparing the ground
 A real world example
 Conclusions: lessons and application
Programme and Project Strategy
Preparing the ground
Programme and Project Strategy
Agreement and backing
 Do we have real agreement?
 What’s the motivation?
 Is anyone against it?
 Do senior management realise how much time &
effort it will actually take?
Programme and Project Strategy
Organisational capability
 Has the organisation ever done anything like this
before?
 What project and programme skills – and
resources – are there?
 Will they be made available?
Programme and Project Strategy
Authority and responsibility
 Are there clear roles – and
clear accountabilities?
 Is there a clear sponsor/director
in the senior management
team?
Programme and Project Strategy
Is it a project?
Programme and Project Strategy
Project management lifecycle
Initiate
Plan
Do
Close
Clear end objective
Fixed endpoint
Linear (Start  Finish)
Tasked with delivering specific
products or results
Programme and Project Strategy
Programme management
D
E
D
R
E
D
R
E
D
R
D
E
D
D
To be
As is
D
E
Transition state
D
Transition state
R
R
D
E
D
Less clarity and/or greater rate of change
Repetitive/cyclical
A journey… with ‘waypoints’ where the direction
and destination is reviewed, and may be varied
Programme and Project Strategy
Stakeholder engagement
 A critical issue
Programme and Project Strategy
A case example
Programme and Project Strategy
Remploy: the history
 Set up following the Second World War, to employ
disabled ex-servicemen
 Subsidised by government
 Considered a ‘national institution’ by people
throughout the country
Programme and Project Strategy
A highly diverse business
Programme and Project Strategy
... throughout the UK
Programme and Project Strategy
The background (1)
 Loss per disabled employee £20k per annum
 Cost of finding a disabled person a job in
mainstream £5k
 Aspiration to help many more people into
work
 Disability opinion formers passionately
advocating mainstream employment
Programme and Project Strategy
The background (2)
 National Audit Office says: “Remploy needs
to re-engineer to withdraw from loss making
businesses”
 Remploy trade unions determined to oppose
any closures and redundancies (even if
voluntary)
Bob Warner, former CEO
- presentation to APM
Programme and Project Strategy
A new direction
... etc
Programme and Project Strategy
The strategy
 No compulsory redundancy and promise of
employment in the mainstream, on current
terms and conditions
 Propose quadrupling of number of disabled
people supported into the mainstream to 20k
per annum in 5 years
 Propose to reduce number of factories by 43
(50%)
Programme and Project Strategy
... Modernisation
Changing
economic
environment
‘National
institution’
60 years
of stable
history
No change
capability
Transformed
organisation
‘Fit for
future
challenges’
Modernisation
New
Strategic
thinking
Reduced costs
Commercial
management
Programme and Project Strategy
Controversy
Programme and Project Strategy
How would you do it?
 Challenges?
 Risks and issues?
 How might you structure a
solution?
Programme and Project Strategy
Programme and Project Strategy
Key elements of the solution
Programme and Project Strategy
Clarify the benefits
 Financial
 Strategic
Programme and Project Strategy
Engaging stakeholders
 Vital to success!
 What are the key stakeholder groups?
 How should we engage with them?
Programme and Project Strategy
Questions
 Project, programme or portfolio?
 How to organise/structure?
Programme and Project Strategy
Setting up the projects
 Take key products from Stage 1
 Merged and closed factories
 Transferred and outplaced people
 How should we set up projects to do
this?
Programme and Project Strategy
Developing the capability
 We don’t have the capability or
experience to do this
 highlighted by report to Parliament by
PwC
 How can this be addressed?
Programme and Project Strategy
Governance
 How can we give authority and
accountability to a change programme
of this kind?
 What governance structures and
processes are needed?
Programme and Project Strategy
Programme/project structure
Steering Group
(Programme Board)
Programme
Director
Delivery
Manager
PSO
Functional
Functional
Functional
Heads
Heads
Finance
Heads
Finance, IS, Property...
Project
Support Mgr
Project
Project
Project
Project
Project
Managers
Project
Managers
Managers
Managers
Managers
Managers
Project
Support Mgr
Project
Project
Project
Project
Project
Managers
Project
Managers
Managers
Managers
Managers
Managers
Programme and Project Strategy
Consultancy staff
Steering Group
(Programme Board)
Programme
Director
Engagement
Director
Planning
Consultants
Delivery
Manager
PSO
Functional
Functional
Functional
Heads
Heads
Finance
Heads
Finance, IS, Property...
Project
Support Mgr
Project
Project
Project
Project
Project
Managers
Project
Managers
Managers
Managers
Managers
Managers
Project
Support Mgr
Project
Project
Project
Project
Project
Managers
Project
Managers
Managers
Managers
Managers
Managers
Programme and Project Strategy
A PMO/PSO
‘One truth’
reporting &
forecasting
Guidance &
discipline
Standard
processes
Standard
tools & templates
... ‘instant’
process &
discipline
Programme and Project Strategy
Product based planning
 Why is it important?
Programme and Project Strategy
What else?
Programme and Project Strategy
A standard approach to
project management
Monitor &
control
Initiate
Mission
(Mandate)
Plan
Do
Plan
Baseline
Products
Close
Acceptance
& Review
Programme and Project Strategy
Professional project management
oversight
Assessing &
developing
capability
Categorising
projects
Providing
assurance
Defining project
management
approaches
Assigning
project
managers
Educating
senior
managers
... exercising professional judgement
Programme and Project Strategy
Senior management support
Respect for
project management
judgement
Allocation of
resources
Support for
professionalism
Clear policy
decisions
... an effective working relationship
based on mutual respect
Programme and Project Strategy
Adequate corporate systems
HR
Finance
IT
Commercial &
contracting
... etc
Programme and Project Strategy
Logistics
The result
 All objectives achieved on time and within
budget, including:
- cost savings of £148m + £30m
- enabled a strategic change of direction
 Minimal stakeholder/media controversy
 Won APM Programme of the Year Award 2009
Programme and Project Strategy
What can be learnt?
Programme and Project Strategy
Section 15: Benefits realisation
planning
Programme and Project Strategy
Benefits management
Choosing the
‘right’ things to
do
Doing those
things right
Achieving
the benefits
Programme and Project Strategy
The Benefits Management Process
Vision
statement
Establish and
maintain a
Benefits
Management
Strategy
Identify and
map
benefits
Plan
benefits
realisation
Execute
benefits
realisation
Review and
evaluate the
realisation
Optimise and
look for other
benefits
Source: O.G.C. ‘Managing Successful Programmes’
Programme and Project Strategy
Benefits realisation is:
…. a structured, repeatable process applied
to corporate initiatives to maximise the
likelihood of achieving the expected
business benefits.
Attracting the best
employees
1 million new passengers next
year?
99.997% reliability
Programme and Project Strategy
Perspectives on Benefits realisation
Traditional project
success measures
Project outPUTS
on time, and to
cost
Programme management success
measures are business outCOMES:
Organisational
Benefits
Strategic and
financial gains
Performance
improvements
Programme and Project Strategy
BRM process with review points
R6
Identify vision
and Objectives
R1
Manage
performance
Identify
Benefits and
changes
Engage
R5
R2
Stakeholders
Manage
Initiatives
Define
Initiatves
R4
Optimise
Initiatives
R3
Source: Bradley 2010
Programme and Project Strategy
The benefits management process
Process
Benefits Management Process
Benefits
concept
Benefits
management
Benefits
realisation
Linking the project to
the business
Linking the benefits
required to the scope
defined
Tracking benefits
delivery following
project delivery
Knowing ‘what’ has to
be delivered and ‘how’
it will be delivered
Knowing ‘what’ has
been delivered and
that it matches the
‘why’
‘Why’ Checklist
‘How’ Checklist
Benefits Hierarchy
Roadmap Decision
Matrix
Benefits Realised
Checklist
Knowing ‘why’ the
project is needed
Tools
Benefits Mapping Tool
Benefits Matrix
Benefits Scoring Tool
Benefits Specification
Table
Business Case Tool
Scope Definition Tool
Business Environment
Checklist
Benefits Influence Matrix
Business Case Template
Benefits Tracking Tool
Sustainability Checklist
Benefits Realisation
Planning Tool
Benefits Realisation Risk
Tool
Customer Satisfaction
An alysis Tool
In Place – In Use
An alysis Tool
Programme and Project Strategy
Source: Melton,
2009
Who is responsible for B.R.M. ? . . . . .
 The project manager(s) ensure that the appropriate
products (outputs) from their projects are delivered to
specification and on time
 The programme management team ensure that those
products are integrated into operations
 The S.R.O. (and senior management governance team)
ensure that those innovations achieve fulfilment of
corporate strategy
 And who else ???
Programme and Project Strategy
Programme and Project Strategy
Section 16: Summary
Programme and Project Strategy
The Enterprise Programme Management framework
Programme Architecture: “The establishment of
Strategic
Management
Strategic portfolio
management
Programme delivery
management
leadership, structures, team dynamics, and support
mechanisms that enable the delivery of
programmes and projects”
Change Architecture: “is
concerned with the human
considerations of those in the
organisation who will be impacted
by programmes and projects –
beyond the delivery teams”
Project management
Source: Williams and Parr,
‘Enterprise Programme
Management’
Programme and Project Strategy
Benefits - impacts - deliverables
achieve
Vision
trigger
Benefits
cause
Impacts
produce
Deliverables
Programmes
Projects
Programme and Project Strategy
Programme Initiation – Scoping Document
Programme Title aqua regia total
sulphate
Responsibilities.
Sponsor:
Jason Rogers (lab Manager)
Project manager: Darren Lewis
Problem / Purpose- a high number of insufficient samples are being reported for total
sulphate. Turnaround time needs to be improved.
Objective- perform routine total sulphate analysis by ICP OES using an aqua regia
extraction in January 2008. Reporting results will be through the workflow manager and
LABS data management systems and must meet the MCERTs accreditation.
Critical Success Factor
1.
MCERTs accreditation obtained
2.
smooth transition with regards to reporting results to customers
3.
quality of results maintained if not improved.
4.
cost reductions.
Primary Products
1.
quality management system
2.
MCERTs accreditation
3.
instrument method
4.
method documentation
5.
I.T. specifications
6.
final report.
Start Date
End Date
Budget / Effort
1 September 2007
31 December 2007
Benefits / Impacts
1.
Cost savings can be made
2.
turnaround time will be improved.
3.
less insufficient samples will be reported.
Risks
1. Obtaining MCERTs accreditation is time consuming and expensive and is not
guaranteed
2. Customers may object to the change in methodology.
3. New method may be more problematic than the old method
Programme and Project Strategy
An acceptance test
Functional
Non-functional
Requirement
Met
Effective
Scale
Test
Worst
Plan
Best
1.1.1
3
Accurate
%
Reduction in number
of internally-originated
changes
5%
10%
15%
Independent
Time
Weeks to solo
operation
26
20
15
40
Efficient
Count
Number of successful
projects run in each
year
7
10
15
5
1.1.2
1.2.1
3
+
Programme and Project Strategy
Now
The underpinning model
Strategic
Intent
The project
Objective
Constraints
CSFs
Products
(Deliverables)
Programme and Project Strategy
Deriving projects from programmes
Impacts
Benefits
Products
Heightened
awareness
New
passengers
New
income
Advertising
campaign
Awareness
project
Faster
trains
New trains
project
More
More
frequent
frequent
trains
trains
new
services
Better
signalling
Additional
income
(Source: CITI Group)
More
frequent
passengers
More money
from existing
passengers
Projects
Increased
Increased
speed
speed
limit
limit
Better
rails
More
ticket
inspectors
Programme and Project Strategy
Infrastructure
Upgrade
project
Recruitment
& training
project
Projects deliver outputs, Programmes deliver outcomes, outcomes realise benefits
Benefits management
Choosing the
‘right’ things to
do
Doing those
things right
Achieving
the benefits
Programme and Project Strategy
Benefits management
Identify
benefits
The identification of the benefits at
an organisational level and the monitoring
and realisation of those benefits
Structure
Plan benefit
realisation
Executing
BRP
Programme and Project Strategy
The PMA
Programme and Project Strategy
Tackling the Assignment
 Understand and identify key tasks in the question
 Ask the tutor for clarification




Draft a structure
Identify information requirements (e.g., interviews)
Plan your time
Research the literature
 Use references to give authority and credibility
 Ensure you are using the module material
 Data collection /investigation
 Structure ideas
 Ensure a logical progression of the argument
 Trail of evidence leading to sensible conclusions
 Critical analysis eg
 How does reality relate to the theory
 Discussion of options and final selection
 Write
 Improve
Programme and Project Strategy
Justify
Analyse
Review
Understand
the question
Assess
?
Discuss
Comment
Compare
 Analyse – identifying what
factors are important & how
they interact
 Discuss – A reasoned
examination of the subject,
with consideration of all
aspects & arguments “for”
and “against”
• Assess/evaluate – to
“weigh-up” strengths &
weaknesses & draw your
own conclusions
• Review – to survey
information/data on the
subject. Will often be a
preliminary step, to be
followed by analyse for
example
• Comment – state your views
on a subject, supported by
evidence
• Compare and Contrast – set
items side by side & examine
the similarities & differences
• Justify – to prove a
statement, decision, idea or
theory is valid with evidence
to support it
Programme and Project Strategy
Using evidence to build an argument
Evidence?
Wrong
The productivity of UK companies is very poor. Obviously more investment in plant and
machinery is required.
Right
Conclusion, but where
has it come from
The long term decline of the UK economy is demonstrated by the relative productivity gap
found in UK companies in comparison to those in the USA, Japan, Germany and France.
Maddison (1987) calculated this productivity gap (as measured by output per employee) to
range between 10% to 30% advantage for these other countries in comparison to the UK. He
also established that these countries tended to invest more in fixed assets compared to the UK
and from the study by De Long and Summers (1992) a positive relationship was shown to exist
between productivity performance and fixed asset investment. Thus one way in which this
productivity gap could be closed is by encouraging more investment by firms in the UK. Of
course this begs the question as to how to get UK firms to increase their investment
intentions….
Credible evidence based on looking at many
companies. Argument logical and referenced
Programme and Project Strategy
Sources of Information
 Module notes
 Library i.e., books and journals
 Internet (NB credibility of source)
 Meetings
 Discussions with individuals
 Ensure non-original work is referenced
 Avoid plagiarism
Programme and Project Strategy
Avoiding Plagiarism
DO
 Read and understand the document
 Write about it in your own words
 Reference it correctly
DO NOT
 Copy it word for word
 Quote large sections of it
 Fail to reference the source of the ideas
Programme and Project Strategy
References – Numerical System
The most important pre-requisite for successful
implementation is the commitment of senior
management and shop floor operators [1]. This
ensures the willingness to try to make the new
procedures successful.
Reference
[1]
Taylor, F. Implementing New Systems,
International Journal of Production
Technology, Vol. 4 No. 1 July 1995.
References numerically in the order they appear in the text
Programme and Project Strategy
References – Harvard System
The most important pre-requisite for successful
implementation is the commitment of senior
management and shop floor operators (Taylor,
1995). This ensures the willingness to try to
make the new procedures successful.
Reference
Taylor, F. Implementing New Systems,
International Journal of Production Technology,
Vol. 4 No. 1 July 1995.
List references alphabetically by author and date
Programme and Project Strategy
References – The Web
Due to the increase of web based publishing a
standard method of referencing web pages has
emerged (Shields and Walton 1998)
Reference
Shields, G & Walton, G., Sep 1998, Cite the
right! [Online]. University of Northumbria.
http://www.unn.ac.uk/central/isd/cite [2 Sep
1999]
Author, copyright date, title of article, page publisher, web address, last date
accessed
Programme and Project Strategy
Structure




Title page
Include PMA question as given
Executive summary
List of contents, tables, figures & appendices (where
applicable)
 Acknowledgements (if appropriate)
 Author’s Declaration
 Main body of the answer
 Introduction (You, Your company, Subject area)
 Structured as appropriate to the topic & the question
 Conclusions and Recommendations
 References/bibliography
 Appendices
 Only to be included where necessary
Programme and Project Strategy
Feedback
 Percentage mark
 Subject to review by the exam board
 Feedback
 Comprehension (70%)
 Interpretation, relevance, factual content, insight and
originality, critical analysis
 Effort (15%)
 Use of specific examples and reference material, appropriate
length
 Presentation (15%)
 Professional layout, logical structure, diagrams, grammar,
spelling, legibility, contents, page numbers, references
 Specific Comments
 Feedback sheet
Programme
 Annotated
script
and Project Strategy
Tips for success
 Try and get started ASAP
 Plan it! – it’s a project in itself!
Programme and Project Strategy
Late Submission
 3% penalty per working day
 Maximum of 14 days late, thereafter will only
count for Module Attendance Credit
 Your responsibility to ensure PMA is
submitted on time (before 9.00am on the due
date).
Programme and Project Strategy
Thank you !
Programme and Project Strategy