Trends and Outlook: Murray Gaylord VP, Brand Marketing Yahoo!, Inc. eMarketing Association April 25, 2006
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Trends and Outlook: 2006 Murray Gaylord VP, Brand Marketing Yahoo!, Inc. eMarketing Association April 25, 2006 1908 The Model T Ford… Essential Transportation For The Masses 1950 2000 Online Creative Tacky Pop-Up Ads 2004 Today… We Are Moving Through A Time of Irrevocable Change Huge Changes in Behavior, Technology & Media Consumption Proliferation of Broadband Changes in Behavior Online Engagement Changes in Media Usage Innovations In Technology Mobile Devices Media Evolution: The Digital Era Is Here _1999_ PVR _1990_ 40 VOIP Vlogging Number of Media Channels Email _1990_ WWW _1986_ Infrared Remote _1941_ 1st TV Broadcast _1972_ 1st VCR 1984_ TV 20 _1924_ 1st Radio Broadcast _1704 NewsPaper Ad 1st 0 Newspaper Ads 1700 1750 Advergaming IM Blogs Webmercials Bluecasting Posters Billboard Retail Branded Ent. Cinema Mechanical Billboards 1880 1890 1900 Outdoor Interactive Billboards Video Billboards Print Free Tabloids Catalogs Magazine Ads 1850 Cinema Ads 1910 1920 1930 1940 Television PR 1st TV Commercials Radio Commercials AM FM Pageants/Parades Telecom Radio Cable TV Interactive TV In-store TV 1st Internet Streaming TV Pop-up Ads _1890’s_ Corp VCR Advertising In-store Display PR Rise of Sponsor In-store Demo Product Placement Dept. Stores Store Windows _1742_ 1st Mag. Ad 1800 Pod Casts Comm Chat Banner AdsTexting PVR Websites Ads MinitelTelemktg Sat. TV Deregulated _1929_ Torches of Freedom _2006_ IPTV 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 Ken Auletta, Author, Journalist “I can’t think of an industry that is more challenged today than the advertising industry” March 6th, 2006 Dean Barrett, SVP Global Marketing, McDonald’s “We need to change as the world changes… We aren’t restricting our media to traditional media” Sir Martin Sorrell, CEO WPP “I think there's a certain amount of panic among media owners” Sir Martin Sorrell, CEO WPP “I think there's a certain amount of panic among media owners” “You don’t get fired for spending on the Internet now” FT 4-22-06 Dan Quayle, 44th Vice President of the United States “The future is ahead of us and the past is behind us” Roadmap • • • • What’s Going On? Connecting the Dots A Mini Case Q&A A Communications Revolution… Globally ~ 6.5 billion people ~1.0 billion online ~300 million in Asia ~180 million in US 60% Penetration ~110 million in China 7- 8% Penetration Huge Growth of Internet Users Globally in Next 3 years 1,484 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,039 1,000 800 485 600 400 180 200 39 0 1995 1998 2001 2005E 2008E Two-thirds of new user growth will be in developing Asia Source: World Bank and Morgan Stanley (August 2005). Today, Internet Represents 15% of Media Time Spent In The USA U.S. adults age 12-64 Source: SRI/Knowledge Networks Media Fall 2004. Other includes cinema, yellow pages and videogames. Simultaneous Usage of TV & Internet Has Increased 72% in 4 Years TV and Internet Multitasking = 66% * * Simultaneous Media Usage Study (SIMM) There is No ‘Mass’ in ‘Mass Media’ Anymore 1960 2004 Mass Media Matures Mass Media TV channels per home: 5.7 Radio stations: 4,400 Magazine titles: 8,400 TV channels per home: 82.4 4.4 Billion pages indexed by Yahoo!: Internet broadcast stations: 25,000+ Source: Forrester Research, April 2004. (Stats from FCC, MPA, TV Dimensions 2003, Media Dynamics, NullSoft, TvRadioWorld). Magazine titles: 17,300 Radio stations: 13,500 Huge Implications for Advertisers and Media Time Shifting & Place Shifting Are Growing Facts of Life AOL.com -- In2TV BLOGS Broadband Use is Pervasive 70% 60% 50% 40% 3-D Column 1 30% 20% 10% 0% Feb '03 Feb '04 Feb '05 Feb '06 % of active Internet users in US using BB at home Source: Nielsen/NetRatings Guy Kawasaki, Former Apple Evangelist and Branding Guru “The ubiquity and freedom of broadband are absolutely changing the world… making it easier to build brands, not harder.” Geoff Ramsey, CEO, eMarketer “Embrace The Most Exciting Opportunity in Media History” Next Phase of the Internet: Social Media Mass Media Digital Media My Media The Consumer is in Control: The user is the creator, distributor, and programmer Web 2.0: The Emergence of Social Media News Music Old Internet Today’s Internet “taking old media online” “community, integrated” Putting the newspaper online Citizen journalism, video, photos, debate Putting radio online Music videos, playlists, music communities, fan clubs, knowledge centers Commerce Putting up your catalogue online Consumer product reviews and recommendations, Price & feature comparison Beth Comstock, President NBC Universal Digital Media “ The company saw submissions by users, not content it created, as the greatest means of expansion. "What we are excited about here is that it is a community," MySpace.com 72 Million Users and Growing Flickr.com Photo Sharing • 14,000 images uploaded every hour • 100 million photos uploaded to date • 80+% are tagged YouTube.com: 3000 Videos Served a Day Wikipedia: The Free Encyclopedia • Wikipedia is an encyclopedia written collaboratively by many of its readers. • Lots of people are constantly improving Wikipedia, making thousands of changes an hour… • Inappropriate changes are usually removed quickly. sixapart.com: Blog Tools, Bloggers and More LiveJournal Stats Total Accounts: 9.6mm Posts per hour: 18k Consumer as Content Provider, Producer, and Distributor The Consumer Is (truly) In Control A Marketing Framework When The Consumer is in Control Roadmap • • • • What’s Going On? Connecting the Dots Mini Case Q&A Connecting the Dots Brand Search Engage So, What is a Brand Anyway? A brand is a set of differentiating promises that link a product to its customers. The brand assures the customer of consistent quality plus a superior value (both functional and emotional) for which the customer is willing to give loyalty and pay a price that brings a reasonable return to the brand. A Great Brand • Clear differentiation in the marketplace – Functional – Emotional • Consistent Quality • Creates loyalty • Allows premium pricing A Strong & Differentiated Brand Heightens Margins: +50% 100 Operating Margin 80 10.5% 60 Differentiation Grows 40 Operating Margin 7.0% 20 0 0 20 40 60 80 Differentiation Declines Source: Stern Stewart 100 The Power Of Search 80% of internet traffic begins at a Search Engine Source: Harris Interactive as reported in Ad Age 4-24-06 Search Marketing Will Continue to Grow Big market and expanding, $25B by 2010. A Cost Efficient Marketing Medium $70 Direct mail $60 eMail $50 Online display ads $20 Yellow pages $8.5 Search Approximate customer acquisition cost across various channels Source: Piper Jaffray & Co., Test & Learn… Test & Learn So What Makes For Great Creative? Compelling Offer Multimedia Opt-in ROI Personalization Rich Media Usability Tell a Story Interaction with Brand Immersive Viral So What Makes For Great Creative? Compelling Offer Multimedia ROI Opt-in Rich Media Usability Engagement Personalization Interaction with Brand Immersive Viral Tell a Story It’s Called “Interactive” For A Reason • Users must be brought in to the creative, or else it’s just more noise – Get noticed – Get people engaged – Give them something to do next Engagement Defined Engagement is turning on a prospect to a brand idea enhanced by the surrounding context Source: American Research Foundation 3-06 Engage In A Way That’s Relevant Wendy’s MySpace Offline Engagement: Starbuck’s Holiday Promotion The Cup is Glued to the Car! Pedestrian: “Hey! You left your coffee on the roof!” Driver: “What?” Pedestrian: “Your coffee! On the roof of your car!” Driver: “Oh, thanks! (handing a discount Starbuck’s coupon to the friendly pedestrian) Driver: “Happy Holidays from Starbucks!” The Latest Low-technology Billboards in the Netherlands New York Times 4-24-06 Engage By Stopping Traffic in its Tracks Adidas Hangs Humans From Billboards Two soccer players ropedto a billboard in Tokyo with a soccer filed backdrop and have the two play a soccer match for ten minutes at a time. Worldwide media coverage Viral Engagement Land Rover Introduces “Go Beyond” First IPTV Channel Run By a Car Co. Bacardi B-Live Online Radio Engage in a Way That Informs • Yahoo! Messenger with Voice Creative can provide a lot of information, as long as it’s seen as valuable to the consumer. Engage Beyond The Banner • IBM US Open Engaged Users Keep Coming Back American Express “Andy Roddick v. Pong” –TV, Interactive and live events surrounding 2006 Australian Open –Website let users take control of Andy Roddick to try to defeat Pong – save scores, send to a friend, competition for hiscore •80,000 Unique players •5 minutes per game •155,000 games played Roadmap • • • • Changes Connecting the Dots Mini Case Q&A Yahoo! Music Mini Case Music Campaign Objectives Logo Create awareness of new music product Configuration Energize young audiences and invigorate the Yahoo! brand Hottest, most innovative, creative brand campaign online EVER Target Audience Music lovers, 18-34 Considered ‘insiders’ and influencers by friends Heavy Internet users Spend 3 hours a day online (IM, blogs, Yahoo! Music videos, music news) Swaps free songs with friends Own, or intending to buy, a portable music player An Idea… Over 1 million songs. 5 bucks a month. Media Plan Launched on Video Music Awards for Maximum Impact Buzz Marketing at VMA Event 13,000 Trial Applications Passed Out on The FIRST DAY 1,400 Celebrities, Influencers & Clients Entertained Over Three Days Free CD’s for All The First 3 TV Commercials UFO Green Day Missy Interactive Rich Media Ads Targeted Ads on Contextually Relevant Sites Integrate the “Mini Pops” Across Across The Yahoo! Site Celebrity Online Ads Search Marketing Acquisition Email Out of Home Advertising Logo Configuration Trade Ads in Billboard and Hits Results Exceeded All Goals OK… So What’s The Takeaway? Metamorphosis in media consumption Consumers are in control Social Media era has begun Internet is central to engaging marketing campaigns brand, direct marketing and promotions Big Ideas…integrated flawlessly across channels… remain powerful Roadmap • • • • Changes Connecting the Dots Mini Case Q&A Thank You [email protected]