Transcript SOFTWOODS: SAWNWOOD AND LOGS •Secretariat introduction by Mr. Ed Pepke •Mr. Matti Sihvonen, Director, Wood Products Unit, Finnish Forest Industries Federation, Helsinki •Dr.

SOFTWOODS: SAWNWOOD AND LOGS
•Secretariat introduction by Mr. Ed Pepke
•Mr. Matti Sihvonen, Director, Wood Products Unit,
Finnish Forest Industries Federation, Helsinki
•Dr. Eduard Akim, Head, Department of Technology of
Pulp and Composite Materials, St. Petersburg
Rome, 10 October 2000
TIMBER COMMITTEE
Fifty-eighth session
EUROPEAN FORESTRY COMMISSION
Thirtieth session
INTRODUCTORY TOPICS
• Overview of Forest Products Annual Market Review,
1999-2000 findings
• Sawnwood forecasts for 2000 and 2001
–Europe
–North America
–Russian Federation
• Log forecasts for 2000 and 2001
Rome, 10 October 2000
TIMBER COMMITTEE
Fifty-eighth session
EUROPEAN FORESTRY COMMISSION
Thirtieth session
Forest Products Annual Market Review,
1999-2000 findings (1 of 3)
• Consumption, production and trade of sawn softwood
rose to record levels in North America and Europe
in1999 and were even stronger in early 2000.
• Consumption of sawn softwood in the ECE region grew
4% in 1999, with growth of 6% in North America, 3% in
Europe and a decrease of 18% in Russia.
• Strong economies in North America and Europe are
driving demand for sawnwood for construction and other
uses.
Rome, 10 October 2000
TIMBER COMMITTEE
Fifty-eighth session
EUROPEAN FORESTRY COMMISSION
Thirtieth session
Forest Products Annual Market Review,
1999-2000 findings (2 of 3)
• Prices moved in opposite directions in 2000, falling to
near-term lows in North America and firming in Europe.
• The United States increased imports by over 1 million
m3, with much of the new increase coming from Europe,
as well as new sources from South America and Russia.
• Germany became the largest sawnwood producer in
Europe and continues to be the greatest consumer by far.
Rome, 10 October 2000
TIMBER COMMITTEE
Fifty-eighth session
EUROPEAN FORESTRY COMMISSION
Thirtieth session
Forest Products Annual Market Review,
1999-2000 findings (3 of 3)
• Central and eastern European countries are rapidly
increasing domestic consumption, albeit from low levels,
and are succeeding in finding new export markets in
western Europe, United States and Asia.
• Russian Federation exports increased dramatically in
1999, although production fell.
• The ongoing recovery from the 1998 Asian economic
crisis allowed ECE region exporters’ markets in Japan to
rebound.
Rome, 10 October 2000
TIMBER COMMITTEE
Fifty-eighth session
EUROPEAN FORESTRY COMMISSION
Thirtieth session
EUROPE: SAWN SOFTWOOD
100 000
90 000
1000 m
3
80 000
70 000
60 000
50 000
40 000
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
Production
Consumption
Rome, 10 October 2000
TIMBER COMMITTEE
Fifty-eighth session
EUROPEAN FORESTRY COMMISSION
Thirtieth session
EUROPE: SAWN SOFTWOOD
50,000
1000 m
3
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
Exports
Imports
Rome, 10 October 2000
TIMBER COMMITTEE
Fifty-eighth session
EUROPEAN FORESTRY COMMISSION
Thirtieth session
SWEDISH SAWN SOFTWOOD PRICES
2200
Swedish kronor / m
3
2000
1800
1600
1400
1200
1000
800
1994
1995
1996
Pine
1997
1998
1999
Spruce & fir
Rome, 10 October 2000
TIMBER COMMITTEE
Fifty-eighth session
EUROPEAN FORESTRY COMMISSION
Thirtieth session
2000
NORTH AMERICA: SAWN SOFTWOOD
170,000
160,000
1000 m
3
150,000
140,000
130,000
120,000
110,000
100,000
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
Production
Consumption
Rome, 10 October 2000
TIMBER COMMITTEE
Fifty-eighth session
EUROPEAN FORESTRY COMMISSION
Thirtieth session
NORTH AMERICA: SAWN SOFTWOOD
60,000
1000 m
3
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
Exports
Imports
Rome, 10 October 2000
TIMBER COMMITTEE
Fifty-eighth session
EUROPEAN FORESTRY COMMISSION
Thirtieth session
NORTH AMERICAN SAWN SOFTWOOD
PRICES
$ 1000 board feet
500
450
400
350
300
250
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
Rome, 10 October 2000
TIMBER COMMITTEE
Fifty-eighth session
EUROPEAN FORESTRY COMMISSION
Thirtieth session
RUSSIA: SAWN SOFTWOOD
1000 m
3
45,000
40,000
35,000
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
1992
1993
Exports
1994
1995
1996
1997
Consumption
1998
1999
2000
2001
Production
Rome, 10 October 2000
TIMBER COMMITTEE
Fifty-eighth session
EUROPEAN FORESTRY COMMISSION
Thirtieth session
EUROPE: SOFTWOOD LOGS
165,000
1000 m
3
161,000
157,000
153,000
149,000
145,000
1998
1999
Production
2000
2001
Consumption
Rome, 10 October 2000
TIMBER COMMITTEE
Fifty-eighth session
EUROPEAN FORESTRY COMMISSION
Thirtieth session
EUROPE: SOFTWOOD LOG TRADE
12,000
1000 m
3
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
1998
1999
Exports
2000
2001
Imports
Rome, 10 October 2000
TIMBER COMMITTEE
Fifty-eighth session
EUROPEAN FORESTRY COMMISSION
Thirtieth session
NORTH AMERICA: SOFTWOOD LOGS
190,000
180,000
1000 m3
170,000
160,000
150,000
140,000
130,000
120,000
1998
1999
2000
Canada
2001
US
Rome, 10 October 2000
TIMBER COMMITTEE
Fifty-eighth session
EUROPEAN FORESTRY COMMISSION
Thirtieth session
NORTH AMERICA: SOFTWOOD LOGS
3,000
2,500
1000 m3
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
1998
1999
2000
Canada - imports
2001
Canada - exports
Rome, 10 October 2000
TIMBER COMMITTEE
Fifty-eighth session
EUROPEAN FORESTRY COMMISSION
Thirtieth session
NEXT SOFTWOOD PRESENTATIONS
• Mr. Matti Sihvonen, Director, Wood Products Unit
Finnish Forest Industries Federation, Helsinki
• Dr. Eduard Akim, Head, Department of Technology
of Pulp and Composite Materials, St. Petersburg
Rome, 10 October 2000
TIMBER COMMITTEE
Fifty-eighth session
EUROPEAN FORESTRY COMMISSION
Thirtieth session