Transcript Contributions of CIMO to Natural Disaster Prevention and Mitigation Agenda item 7.2 Doc.

Contributions of CIMO to
Natural Disaster Prevention and Mitigation
Agenda item 7.2
Doc. 7.2
Jointly Presented by:
Maryam Golnaraghi, Chief of DPM Programme
Rainer Dombrowsky, CIMO DPM Focal Point
Friday December 8, 2006
Issues in This Presentation
• Why WMO and NMHS are critical in Disaster Risk
Management (DRM) and vice versa
• International Movement in DRM and Hyogo
Framework for Action
– Relevance of HFA to NMHS and WMO => Five Strategic Thrusts of
WMO DPM
• Progress with WMO DPM Programme
implementation
• Role of CIMO in support of DRM
Number of Disasters (Global, 1980-2005)
Drought
4%
Extreme
Temperature
11%
Flood
35%
Epidemic, famine,
insects
5%
Volcano
0.5%
Slides
4%
Earthquake
11%
Windstorm
22%
Nearly 90% of disasters are related to
hydro-meteorological factors.
Wild Fires
8%
Source: EMDAT: The
OFDA/CRED
International
Disaster Database
- www.em-dat.net
- Université
Catholique de
Louvain - Brussels
- Belgium
Loss of Human Life (Global, 1980-2005)
Extreme
Temperature
3.4%
Flood
9%
Drought
28%
Slides
0.9%
Windstorm
13%
Epidemic, famine,
insects
19%
Wild Fires
0.06%
Earthquake
14%
Tsunami
11%
Nearly 70% of loss of life are related to
hydro-meteorological factors
Volcano
2.5%
Source: EM-DAT: The
OFDA/CRED
International Disaster
Database - www.emdat.net - Université
Catholique de Louvain Brussels - Belgium
Economic Losses (Global, 1980-2005)
Wild Fires
2.45%
Slides
0.4%
Windstorm
38%
Flood
28%
Extreme
Temperature
1.8%
Earthquake
24%
Drought
5%
Tsunami
1%
Nearly 75% of economic losses are related to
hydro-meteorological factors
Source: EM-DAT: The
OFDA/CRED
International Disaster
Database - www.emdat.net - Université
Catholique de Louvain Brussels - Belgium
At the core of NMHS and WMO
missions is protection of lives and
livelihoods of the communities.
WMO and NMHSs provide critical
infrastructure and information to
support decision processes for disaster
risk reduction at international, regional
and national levels
International Developments in DRM
• World Conference on Disaster Reduction
(Kobe, Japan, January 2005)
– 168 countries participated in the drafting and adopted Hyogo
Framework for Action 2005 - 2015(HFA)
– Shifting the paradigm of DRM towards planning and preventions
– Development planning is an integral part of DRM
– HFA provides outcomes that needs to be achieved at international,
regional and national levels
• G8 Summit and UN General Assembly (2005, 2006)
– Need for strengthening EWS in support of disaster risk management
• Reform of the International Strategy for Disaster
Reduction (ISDR) System
– Will ensure stronger coordination and collaborations among the
international and regional agencies in support of national capacities.
– WMO is a critical player through the new ISDR Management
Oversight Board and Global Platform for Disaster Reduction
• Third International Early Warning Conference
– Global Early Warning Survey (Co-chaired by WMO and OCHA)
Strengthened International Strategy for
Disaster Risk Reduction (ISDR) System
• Coordinated efforts for mainstreaming disaster risk
management at the national level,
– by international ISDR System partners, such as UNDP, the World
Bank, OCHA, IFRC, UNEP and regional agencies
• WMO is a critical player in the strengthened ISDR
System
– ISDR Management Oversight Board and Global Platform for
Disaster Reduction
• WMO is proactively working with ISDR partners
to ensure role of WMO and NMHS in disaster risk
management are properly reflected for
implementation of HFA
– International and national level activities
Latest Developments in Disaster Risk
Management and HFA Aim to Shift
Paradigm from Post Disaster Response to a
Comprehensive Approach with Strong focus
on Prevention and Preparedness
Hyogo Framework for Action 2005 – 2015 Provide
Framework for Implementation of DRM at the
National level
•
Provides priorities for action 2005 – 2015
for entire DRM
Five Priority areas specified
•
–
•
Key activities outlined for each of the five priority
areas
Implementation and Follow up
–
–
–
–
–
States
Regional Organizations
International Organizations
ISDR Process
Resource Mobilization
Five Priority Areas of HFA
1) Governance: organizational, legal and
policy frameworks
2) Risk identification, assessment, monitoring
and early warning
3) Knowledge management and education
4) Reducing underlying risk factors
5) Preparedness for effective response and
recovery
Mapping WMO and NMHS Role (active, contributing) on HFA to
determine main strategic thrusts of WMO DPM Programme
Strategic Priorities of WMO DPM Programme
ST1 Improving systems for monitoring, data management, forecasting and
warnings, and telecommunications
ST2 Strengthening of hazard databases, analysis and assessments
capacities in support of all risk assessment applications, planning
and Warning Systems
ST3 Strengthening capacities in support of end-to-end early detection and
warning systems and provision of meteorological services in support
of pre- and post-disaster relief operations
ST4 Strengthening mechanisms for service delivery, information and
knowledge sharing
ST5 Mainstreaming of NMHSs in DRM through strengthening of
organizational partnerships and enabling mechanisms vertically and
horizontally
– International, Regional, National, Local
Note: Capacity development is a critical component of all these strategic priorities
Implementation of HFA provides significant
opportunities for mainstreaming WMO and
NMHS national disaster management and
development planning…
Opportunity and a challenge to WMO and
NMHSs
Opportunity to Raise the Importance of
Observing Systems as a Critical Investment
in Development and DRM Planning
Progress with WMO Disaster
Prevention and Mitigation
Programme
Implementation of DPM Programme
• Congress XIV established the WMO Crosscutting
DPM Programme (June 2003)
• EC Advisory Group on DPM (EC AG DPM)
established by EC-LVI (June 2004)
• First Meeting of EC AG DPM
(March 2005)
• DPM Crosscutting framework approved by EC –
LVIII
• Preparations for Congress XV underway
Preparations for Congress XV (May 2007)
• Policy recommendations for governance,
operational and Member Interventions
aspects of WMO structure to facilitate
crosscutting activities
– Roles, responsibilities and structuring of TCs, RAs,
Programmes, PTC, Secretariat in this new crosscutting
framework
• WMO DPM Programme Implementation
Plan
WMO DPM Crosscutting Framework
User Driven
Strategic Partnerships
DPM Focal Points
Technical
Commissions
Regional DPM Working Groups
Strengthened
Coordination
CIMO
Scientific and
Technical
Innovation
DPM Focal Points
DPM Focal Points
Regional
Associations &
Regional Committees
Programmes
Departments
NMHS
Regional
Issues &
Activities
Coordination
Capacity Building
Education and Training
USERS
(Disaster Risk Management)
Consultation Process for Development of DPM
Operating Plan and Preparations for Congress XV
Survey of
Countries,
Technical
Commissions
and
Programmes
Launched
First DPM Coordination
Meeting with
Programmes,
2nd EC AG DPM
Regional
TC, RA, and
Associations
Focal Points
Survey
Launched
Complete surveys &
develop databases
Activate all DPM focal
points and Working
Groups
April –
August
2006
Analyse, develop Prepare report of
reports and
outcomes of
recommendations EC AG DPM
Congress XV
Prepare
documentation for
Congress XV
Consultation for Drafting and Finalization of WMO DPM
Operating Plan for Submission to Congress XV
October
2006
4-6 December
2006
29 -31
January 2007
Coordinate and consult closely with Programmes,
Technical Commissions, Regional Associations and
Strategic Partners
June 2007
Four Level Surveys Conducted to
Benchmark …
• Members Capacities, Gaps and Needs
– Country-level DPM Surveys
– 139 responses received
• Regional Capacities, Gaps and Needs
– Regional-level DPM Surveys
– Underway by Regional Associations DPM Working Groups
• Mapping of WMO Technical Commissions Projects
and Activities, expertise
– Completed
• Mapping of Programme Departments Projects and
Activities
– Completed
Limiting factors of NMHSs in their
contribution to disaster risk management
Most critical factors limiting contributions of NMHSs to disaster risk management
(number of positive responses / number of responses)
GLOBAL
(out of 139
responses)
Visibility and recognition of NMHSs within the
Government as one of the main contributing agencies to
disaster risk reduction
Understanding at the ministerial level of the socioeconomic benefits of hydrometeorological products and
services
National disaster risk reduction organizational structures
Lack of understanding by governmental authorities of the
value that NMHSs provides
Legislation or policies regarding the role of the National
Meteorological and Hydrological Service in DRR
Observing networks for hydro-meteorological conditions
Resources for the maintenance of the observing networks
Value-added services in support of hydrometeorological
risk assessment
Resources and infrastructure to deliver products and
services
Operational forecasting and warning services
Readiness level system to ensure appropriate response
by authorities to the levels of information issued by
NMHSs
Collaboration and coordination with the WMO Regional
Specialized Meteorological Centres
Linkages with other organizations involved in disaster risk
reduction
Coordination with neighboring or adjacent countries
Forecaster training
Joint training between NMHS staff and disaster risk
managers
Joint training between NMHS staff and media
Joint training between NMHS staff and emergency
authorities and managers
Educational modules that NMHSs could target at Media,
Public, disaster risk reduction authorities
Public understanding of the effects of hazards
public understanding of warnings
LEAST
DEVELOPING DEVELOPED
COUNTRIES COUNTRIES Africa - RA I
(out of 85
(out of 25
(out of 28
responses)
responses)
responses)
Asia - RA II
(out of 25
responses)
Central and
North
America and
the
South
America - RA Caribbean RA IV
III
(out of 18
(out of 10
responses)
responses)
South-West
Pacific RA V
(out of 14
responses)
Europe RA VI
(out of 44
responses)
108/134
67/83
19/24
24/26
16/24
8/10
15/18
10/14
35/42
124/132
80/83
23/24
26/26
21/24
10/10
18/18
12/14
37/40
49/132
27/82
10/24
4/26
9/24
2/10
11/18
6/13
17/41
82/130
53/80
16/23
18/24
11/24
6/9
13/18
9/14
25/41
72/131
51/81
15/23
16/24
12/24
6/10
12/18
6/14
20/41
91/129
64/80
19/22
21/24
15/24
10/10
15/16
10/14
20/41
95/131
66/82
21/23
23/25
14/24
9/10
17/18
8/14
24/40
114/127
74/79
20/21
24/25
17/23
9/9
17/17
13/13
34/40
105/114
71/75
21/21
26/27
17/19
7/8
15/15
11/12
29/33
119/128
78/79
22/23
26/26
21/23
9/9
16/16
12/13
35/41
106/126
73/81
20/23
21/24
20/24
9/10
16/17
11/13
29/38
100/130
71/81
22/24
26/27
20/24
8/9
11/16
9/14
26/40
68/133
52/82
17/24
23/27
9/23
4/10
11/17
7/14
14/42
115/132
77/82
22/23
26/27
18/22
10/10
16/18
11/14
34/41
74/131
57/80
18/24
19/25
12/24
8/10
12/17
8/14
15/41
91/132
66/83
22/24
26/26
13/24
8/10
13/17
8/14
23/41
90/135
66/84
20/24
26/27
11/24
7/10
15/18
8/14
23/42
89/133
65/83
20/24
25/26
15/24
8/10
12/17
8/14
21/42
117/134
77/84
22/24
27/27
18/24
9/10
18/18
12/14
33/41
111/133
73/83
21/23
25/26
18/24
9/10
15/18
12/14
32/41
109/133
71/83
22/23
25/26
18/24
8/10
15/18
12/14
31/41
Overall Analysis of TC and Programme
Projects
Status
On-going
Technical
Commission / Program
Programme
me
CBS
1
Crosscutting
Implementation
Concept
Phase
Yes
No
Global
3
1
4
4
5
8
CIMO
1
CAS
2
CCl
2
CHy
9
JCOMM
1
1
2
1
2
1
1
2
7
9
6
1
2
1
CAeM
2
2
TCP
4
3
1
1
AREP
3
1
3
DPM
1
4
5
12
18
31
1
17
Combination
1
2
1
CAgM
Regional National
1
4
Grand Total
Scope
Work
Plan
Develop
ment
2
2
1
3
2
3
1
1
1
1
2
1
2
17
26
3
3
4
1
17
First WMO DPM Coordination Meeting
(Dec 4 – 6, 2006)
Preparations for EC AG DPM and PTC Meetings
(Jan/Early Feb 2007)
• Review Gap analysis, activities of TCs and
Programmes
• Provide input to drafting of the WMO DPM
Implementing Plan
• Provide Recommendations for policy
recommendations for Congress to facilitate
organizational structures for Project development:
– Based on understanding of Members Needs and requirements
– Crosscutting Coordination among TCs and Programmes
– Progress Monitoring
Policy recommendations for Congress’
consideration
• Governance, operational aspects and Members’
interventions for implementation of crosscutting
projects
• Criteria for project prioritisation and
implementation within WMO Network (TCs, RAs,
Programmes) and with partners
– Members needs and requirements
• Mechanisms for monitoring progress
• How to optimize WMO resources for project
implementation through integrated planning, and
extra-budgetary fundraising
CIMO Contributions to 7 Gap Areas of
WMO DPMP Programme
Project areas of DPM
CIMO Contributions
CIMO
OPAGs
Mainstreaming NMHS services in national disaster
risk management plans
Providing guidance needed to insure
sustainable and high performing monitoring
instruments & networks
All
Hazard monitoring, databases and analysis
=> Risk Identification (historical and forward
looking analysis of trends)
Contribute to hazard monitoring by insuring
performance of instruments through proper
maintenance and calibration. Data quality is
paramount to a quality historical data base
All
Operational hazard early detection and warnings
(next hour to longer climate timeframes)
• Develop guidelines for the operation and
calibration of instruments used in monitoring
and detection hazards.
• Work with Industry in developing robust
instruments able to sustain severe natural
hazard events and harsh environments.
All
Meteorological services for pre- and post-disaster
response and relief operations
Identify, develop, and certify sustainable
instruments based on user identified needs
and requirements
All
Education and training programmes with
stakeholders (risk management authorities,
emergency operators, media)
Our primary stakeholders are NMHSs and
we provide training and prepare guidelines
for maintaining optimum instrument
performance
All
Public outreach programmes and materials
CIMO supports public outreach by assisting
NMHSs in providing greater public
understanding of how instruments and
systems perform in monitoring of hazards
All
Enhancement and utilisation of NMHSs products
and services in
decision- making processes through cooperation with
other agencies
Proposed CIMO Inter-Commission and WMO
program Collaborations
CBS
• Develop guidelines for future observing instruments & systems
• Enhancement of Regional Instrument Centers
• Support Evolution of the Global Observing System
• Identify & validate performance of interoperable instruments & systems
• Standardization of instruments and platforms where feasible
• Standardization of Codes
• Assist NMHSs in optimizing their hazards monitoring capabilities
CCl, CAgM, CHy,
CAgM, and
JCOMM
• Assist in eliminating the gaps between manual and automatic monitoring
systems
• Validate Performance of Next Generation of Instruments
• Develop Guidelines for Future Observing Systems
• Validate Performance of the Next Generation of Instruments
CAS
• Assist in developing guidelines and procedures for taking atmospheric
composition measurements; monitoring UV Radiation, ozone and other
gases and particulates
GCOS
• Assist in preparing guidelines for the development of the future Global
Reference Upper-air Network (GRUAN)
• Involving Regional Instrument Centers in assisting the GUAN and GSN
networks in maintenance and calibration activities
Thank you