Presentation Plus! Economics: Principles and Practices Copyright © by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Developed by FSCreations, Inc., Cincinnati, Ohio 45202 Send all inquiries.
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Presentation Plus! Economics: Principles and Practices Copyright © by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Developed by FSCreations, Inc., Cincinnati, Ohio 45202 Send all inquiries to: GLENCOE DIVISION Glencoe/McGraw-Hill 8787 Orion Place Columbus, Ohio 43240 Chapter 14 Economic Instability CHAPTER INTRODUCTION SECTION 1 Business Cycles and Fluctuations SECTION 2 Unemployment SECTION 3 Inflation SECTION 4 Poverty and the Distribution of Income CHAPTER SUMMARY CHAPTER ASSESSMENT 3 Click a hyperlink to go to the corresponding section. Press the ESC key at any time to exit the presentation. Economics and You Do you worry about the future? If you are concerned about getting a job, earning a decent income, or keeping up with inflation, the concept of economic stability is important to you. Click the Speaker button to listen to Economics and You. 4 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Chapter Objectives Section 1: Business Cycles and Fluctuations • Explain the phases of the business cycle. • Identify five causes of business cycles. 5 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Chapter Objectives Section 2: Unemployment • Explain how the Bureau of Labor Statistics determines if a person is employed. • Describe five kinds of unemployment. 6 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Chapter Objectives Section 3: Inflation • Explain how inflation is measured. • Discuss five causes of inflation. • Analyze the destabilizing consequences of inflation. 7 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Chapter Objectives Section 4: Poverty and the Distribution of Income • Explain how economists measure the distribution of income. • Discuss the reasons for the inequality of income. • Discuss antipoverty programs. 8 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Click the mouse button to return to the Contents slide. Study Guide Main Idea The term “business cycle” refers to alternating increases and decreases in the level of economic activity. Reading Strategy Graphic Organizer As you read the section, complete a graphic organizer similar to the one on page 375 of your textbook by listing factors that can cause changes in the business cycle. 10 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Section 1 begins on page 375 of your textbook. Study Guide (cont.) Key Terms – business cycle – depression scrip – business fluctuation – econometric model – recession – index of leading indicators – peak – trough – expansion – trend line – depression 11 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Section 1 begins on page 375 of your textbook. Study Guide (cont.) Objectives After studying this section, you will be able to: – Explain the phases of the business cycle. – Identify five causes of business cycles. Applying Economic Concepts Economic Security Do you have a job and a paycheck on which you depend? How can economic instability threaten your income? Click the Speaker button to listen to the Cover Story. 12 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Section 1 begins on page 375 of your textbook. Introduction • Economic growth is something that is beneficial to almost everyone. • Sometimes though, economic growth is interrupted by business cycles–largely systematic ups and downs of real GDP. • At other times economic growth is interrupted by business fluctuations–the rise and fall of real GDP over time in a nonsystematic manner. 13 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Introduction (cont.) • Either way, economic growth—even the record setting expansion that took place during the 1990s— always comes to a halt before it begins to take off again. • The inevitable ups and downs of the economy are among the reasons why economists have developed tools like the monthly index of leading indicators featured in the cover story. 14 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Did You Know? • The average recession in the United States lasted 15 months and reduced output by 8.7 percent. The average expansion lasted 46 months and increased output by 22.5 percent. 15 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Business Cycles in the United States • The business cycle consists of two phases: expansion and recession. • Recession begins with a peak and ends with a trough. • Expansion is the recovery from a recession. • If a recession becomes very severe, it can turn into a depression. 16 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Business Cycles in the United States (cont.) • The worst depression in U.S. history was the Great Depression, which began in 1929. • The Great Depression was caused by various factors, including excessive borrowing in the 1920s and global economic conditions. • Since the Great Depression, the United States has experienced several recessions, but each was short compared with the recovery that followed. 17 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Business Cycles in the United States (cont.) Figure 14.1 18 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Discussion Question What happens during a depression? Production slows, output declines, unemployment rises, and the standard of living falls. 19 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Causes of the Business Cycle • Businesses reduce their capital expenditures once they decide they have expanded enough. • Businesses cut back their inventories at the first sign of an economic slowdown. • Businesses cut back on investment after an innovation takes hold. • Tight money policies of the Federal Reserve System slow the economy. • External shocks, such as increases in oil prices and international conflicts, can cause business cycles. 20 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Discussion Question Why do businesses cut back on their inventories when they think the economy is turning down? Because they fear sales will decline. 21 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Predicting Business Cycles • Econometric models are macroeconomic model that use algebraic equations to describe how the economy behaves. • The index of leading indicators is a monthly statistical series that helps economists predict the direction of future economic activity. 22 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Predicting Business Cycles (cont.) Figure 14.2 23 Discussion Question Why is it important to predict business cycles? Businesses and the government are better able to plan their actions if they know how the economy is likely to perform. A business that had planned to expand its plant, for example, might delay construction if it believed the economy was about to enter a recession. 24 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Section Assessment Main Idea Explain the difference between a business cycle and a business fluctuation. Business cycles are systematic increases and decreases in real GDP; unsystematic changes are business fluctuations. 25 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Section Assessment (cont.) Identify the two main phases of a business cycle. The two main phases of a business cycle are recession and expansion. 26 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Section Assessment (cont.) Explain how the Great Depression compared to other recessionary periods. The Great Depression was more severe than the other recessionary periods. It was the worst economic decline in U.S. history. 27 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Section Assessment (cont.) List five causes of business cycles. Five causes of business cycles are: 1. capital expenditures 2. inventory adjustments 3. innovation and imitation 4. monetary factors 5. external shocks 28 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Section Assessment (cont.) Understanding Cause and Effect If business inventories are falling, the average hours worked per week is going up, and there is an increase in the number of new building permits, we would expect the economy to be in an expansion phase of the business cycle. Explain why each of these indicators would show that the economy would grow in the near future. Falling inventories = many items being produced and sold. An increased number of hours worked = more work needed to keep up with increased demand. An increasing number of building permits = companies forming and expanding. 29 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Section Close Are there any measures that you can take to protect yourself from the ups and downs of the business cycle? If so, what are they? 30 Click the mouse button to return to the Contents slide. Study Guide Main Idea Frictional, structural, cyclical, seasonal, and technological are the general types of unemployment. Reading Strategy Graphic Organizer As you read the section, complete a graphic organizer similar to the one on page 382 by listing two ways that structural unemployment takes place. 32 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Section 2 begins on page 382 of your textbook. Study Guide (cont.) Key Terms – unemployed – unemployment rate – frictional unemployment – structural unemployment – cyclical unemployment – seasonal unemployment – technological unemployment – automation 33 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Section 2 begins on page 382 of your textbook. Study Guide (cont.) Objectives After studying this section, you will be able to: – Explain how the Bureau of Labor Statistics determines if a person is employed. – Describe five kinds of unemployment. Applying Economic Concepts Employment Did you work for at least one hour per week for pay or profit last month? How does your answer to this question determine your employment status? Click the Speaker button to listen to the Cover Story. 34 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Section 2 begins on page 382 of your textbook. Introduction • Nearly one-half of the population of the United States belongs to the civilian labor force, and at any given time millions of these people are without jobs. • This issue is so important that full employment is one of the seven economic and social goals of the American economy. 35 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Did You Know? • At the peak of the Great Depression, one out of every four people was unemployed. Between 1929 and 1933, real net national product, wholesale prices, and the money supply all declined by more than one-third. 36 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Measuring Unemployment • The unemployment rate shows the percentage of unemployed people divided by the total number of people in the civilian labor force. • The unemployment rate understates unemployment because it does not include “discouraged” workers or people who are working part-time because they cannot find full-time work. 37 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Measuring Unemployment (cont.) Figure 14.3 38 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Discussion Question What is a “discouraged” worker? Someone who has given up trying to find a job and is, therefore, not included in the unemployment rate. 39 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Kinds of Unemployment • Frictional unemployment occurs when workers are between jobs. • Structural unemployment occurs when a fundamental change in the economy reduces the demand for workers and their skills. • Cyclical unemployment results from changes in the weather or changes in demand for certain products. 40 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Kinds of Unemployment (cont.) • Seasonal unemployment results from changes in the weather or changes in demand for certain products. • Technological unemployment results from technological improvements that make some jobs obsolete. 41 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Discussion Question What kinds of unemployment are likely to affect construction workers? Cyclical unemployment, because construction slows in an economic downturn, and seasonal unemployment, because construction slows in the winter. 42 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. The Concept of Full Employment • Full employment is lowest possible rate when the economy is growing and all factors of production are being used as efficiently as possible. • Full employment is achieved when the unemployment rate falls below 4.5 percent. 43 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. The Concept of Full Employment (cont.) Figure 14.4 44 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Discussion Question How can the economy be considered at full employment when some people are still unemployed? Some people are always unemployed because of frictional employment. When a two-income family moves, for example, both spouses do not always find jobs right away. 45 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Section Assessment Main Idea Why is structural unemployment a more difficult problem for the economy and for individual workers than other types of unemployment? Structural unemployment causes long-term unemployment and the unemployed must learn new skills. 46 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Section Assessment (cont.) Describe how the government collects monthly data on unemployment. The Census Bureau surveys and turns data over to the Bureau of Labor Statistics for analysis. 47 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Section Assessment (cont.) Differentiate between the five major kinds of unemployment. The five kinds of unemployment are frictional, structural, cyclical, seasonal, and technological. 48 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Section Assessment (cont.) Drawing Inferences What factors make it difficult to determine the unemployment rate? The unemployment rate does not count part-time workers or those too discouraged to look for work. 49 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Section Assessment (cont.) Categorizing Information Make a list of three reasons that could cause a person to become a discouraged worker. Answers will vary. 50 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Section Close Write a paragraph explaining the kind of unemployment that provides the greatest challenge for the economy and why. 51 Click the mouse button to return to the Contents slide. Study Guide Main Idea “Inflation” is a rise in the general level of prices. Reading Strategy Graphic Organizer As you read this section, complete a graphic organizer similar to the one on page 389 of your textbook by identifying the steps in a wage-price spiral. 53 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Section 3 begins on page 389 of your textbook. Study Guide (cont.) Key Terms – price level – deflation – creeping inflation – galloping inflation – hyperinflation 54 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Section 3 begins on page 389 of your textbook. Study Guide (cont.) Objectives After studying this section, you will be able to: – Explain how inflation is measured. – Discuss five causes of inflation. – Analyze the destabilizing consequences of inflation. Applying Economic Concepts Inflation Have you ever wondered if you should buy something before the price of the item goes up? How does inflation change our spending habits? Click the Speaker button to listen to the Cover Story. 55 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Section 3 begins on page 389 of your textbook. Introduction • Inflation is a special kind of economic instability, one that deals with changes in the level of prices rather than the level of employment and output. • Even so, changes in prices, employment, and output are all linked. 56 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Did You Know? • Hyperinflation was so sever in Germany in the 1920s that it completely wiped out the savings of many middle-class Germans. By the end of 1923, $1 was worth four trillion German marks. 57 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Inflation in the United States • The inflation rate is determined by comparing the price level at the beginning and end of a period. • Sometimes deflation can occur when there is a decrease in the general price level. • Creeping inflation is inflation in a range of 1 to 3 percent annually. • Galloping inflation is when inflation can go as high as 100 to 300 percent annually. • Inflation of more than 500 percent a year is known as hyperinflation. 58 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Inflation in the United States (cont.) Figure 14.5 59 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Discussion Question What are some of the consequences of hyperinflation? Money loses its value, people have difficulty comparing prices, and bartering takes place. 60 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Causes of Inflation • Demand-pull inflation occurs when all sectors of the economy try to buy more goods and services than the economy can produce. • Sometimes demand-pull inflation is caused by the federal government’s deficit spending. • Cost-push inflation occurs when input costs, especially labor, drive production costs up. 61 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Causes of Inflation (cont.) • The wage-price spiral occurs when higher prices force workers to demand higher wages, forcing producers to raise their prices even more. • Excessive monetary growth can cause inflation. 62 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Discussion Question How can demands for higher wages by unions contribute to inflation? Higher wages increase a company’s production costs, forcing it to raise its prices. 63 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Consequences of Inflation • When inflation occurs the dollar buys less. • Inflation hurts people with fixed incomes. • Inflation can cause people to change their spending habits, which disrupts the economy. • Inflation tempts some people to speculate heavily to take advantage of the higher price level. • Inflation alters the distribution of income. 64 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Consequences of Inflation (cont.) Figure 14.6 65 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Discussion Question Why does inflation hurt people on fixed incomes more than other people? People who earn wages or salaries see their incomes rise when prices go up. In contrast, people on fixed incomes must pay more for the things they buy without an increase in their incomes. 66 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Section Assessment Main Idea What is the difference between the price level and the rate of inflation? The price level is the relative magnitude of prices at one point in time and is the starting point for measuring the rate of inflation. The rate of inflation is the rate of change in the level of prices. 67 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Section Assessment (cont.) Describe how the CPI is used to compute the inflation rate. Change in the price level is divided by the beginning price level, then multiplied by 100. 68 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Section Assessment (cont.) List five explanations for the causes of inflation. The causes of inflation are: 1. demand-pull 2. government deficit 3. cost-push 4. wage-spiral 5. excessive monetary growth 69 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Section Assessment (cont.) Identify four ways inflation destabilizes the economy. The dollar buys less, spending habits change, speculation increases, and the distribution of income is altered. 70 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Section Assessment (cont.) Categorizing Information What kind of inflation might be described as “too many dollars chasing too few goods”? Answers may include demand-pull or excessive monetary growth. 71 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Section Assessment (cont.) Understanding Cause and Effect In 1974 the price of crude oil increased greatly. Which type of inflation did this cause? This caused cost-push inflation. 72 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Section Close Debate the following: In a free enterprise economy, economic growth automatically means rising prices. 73 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Click the mouse button to return to the Contents slide. Study Guide Main Idea Reasons for income inequality include ability differences, education and training, and discrimination. Reading Strategy Graphic Organizer As you read the section, complete a graphic organizer like the one on page 394 of your textbook by listing three explanations for a growing income gap. 75 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Section 4 begins on page 394 of your textbook. Study Guide (cont.) Key Terms – Lorenz curve – poverty guidelines – welfare – food stamps – Earned Income Tax Credits (EITC) – enterprise zone – workfare – negative income tax 76 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Section 4 begins on page 394 of your textbook. Study Guide (cont.) Objectives After studying this section, you will be able to: – Explain how economists measure the distribution of income. – Discuss the reasons for the inequality of income. – Discuss antipoverty programs. Applying Economic Concepts Distribution of Income Do you compare what you make to the earnings of others? Find out more about how income is distributed in the United States. Click the Speaker button to listen to the Cover Story. 77 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Section 4 begins on page 394 of your textbook. Introduction • In the United States, as in other parts of the world, people do not all have the same income. • A large number of people live in poverty despite the efforts of programs. 78 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Did You Know? • In 1999, the U.S. poverty guidelines for a family of four set a maximum income level of $20,880 for people living in Alaska, $19,210 for people living in Hawaii, and $16,700 for people living in the 48 contiguous states and the District of Columbia. 79 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. The Distribution of Income • The Lorenz curve shows how the actual distribution of income differs from an equal distribution. • Since 1980 the distribution of income in the United States has become more unequal. 80 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. The Distribution of Income (cont.) Figure 14.7a&b 81 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Discussion Question What are some of the possible negative consequences of a very unequal distribution of income? Crime can increase, and poor people can become bitter and disillusioned. 82 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Reasons for Income Inequity • Level of education affects people’s ability to get high-paying jobs. • Differences in wealth lead to difference in income. • Discrimination reduces the incomes of women and minorities. • Differences in abilities allow some people to earn more than others. • Monopoly power allows some groups, such as doctors, to maintain high incomes. 83 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Discussion Question What are some of the reasons why a person from a lower-income family might end up earning less than a person from a higher-income family? The lower-income person might receive less education or they might face discrimination based on gender or ethnicity. 84 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Poverty • Poverty is defined as having an income below a certain level (poverty guidelines). • Poverty in America is extensive: more than 13 percent of the population lives in poverty. • Poverty has increased as a result of the growing gap in the distribution of income because of structural changes from a goods production to a service production economy, the widening gap between welleducated and poorly educated workers, declining unionism, and the changing structure of the American family. 85 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Poverty (cont.) 86 Figure 14.8 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Discussion Question Why do poverty guidelines vary across different parts of the country? The cost of living differs. On average, it is more expensive to live in Hawaii and Alaska than in the rest of the United States. 87 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Antipoverty Programs • Income assistance provides cash to people in need. • General assistance provides noncash assistance, such as food stamps, to people in need. • Social service programs provide assistance with family planning, job training, child abuse prevention, and other problems affecting lower-income people. • The earned income tax credit provides federal tax credits and/or cash to lowincome workers. 88 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Antipoverty Programs • Enterprise zones provide jobs in poor neighborhoods. • Workfare programs require welfare recipients to work in order to receive benefits. • A negative income tax would replace welfare programs by providing cash to people living below the poverty line. 89 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Antipoverty Programs (cont.) Figure 14.9 a 90 Antipoverty Programs (cont.) Figure 14.9b 91 Antipoverty Programs (cont.) Figure 14.9c 92 Discussion Question Do you think people who receive government assistance should have to work in order to receive benefits? Answers will vary, but students should consider all aspects of these programs and the people who use them when making their arguments. 93 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Section Assessment Main Idea Using your notes from the graphic organizer activity on page 394, list the reasons for the growing income gap. The reasons for the growing income gap are: structural change in the economy as industry changes from goods production to service production, the gap between educated and poorly educated workers, declining unionism, and the changing structure of families. 94 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Section Assessment (cont.) Describe how the distribution of income is measured. Incomes are ranked by families from lowest to highest, then divided into quintiles. Quintile data is then plotted as a Lorenz curve. 95 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Section Assessment (cont.) List the five main reasons for inequality of income. Inequality of income exists because of education, wealth, discrimination, ability, and monopoly power. 96 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Section Assessment (cont.) Identify the major programs and proposals designed to alleviate the problem of poverty. TANF; SSI; food stamps; medicaid; social service programs such as child abuse prevention, foster care, family planning; enterprise zones; workfare 97 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Section Assessment (cont.) Analyzing Information Some people have said that “the rich got richer” in the 1990s. What factors can you cite to explain that what actually happened was more complex than this simple statement? 98 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Section Close Imagine that you will be designing a time capsule to be opened in the year 2100. Select 12 items to include in the time capsule that would tell people of the future about unemployment, inflation, and poverty in the 1990s and 2000s. 99 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Click the mouse button to return to the Contents slide. Section 1: Business Cycles and Fluctuations • Business cycles are systematic increases and decreases in real GDP; unsystematic changes are business fluctuations. • The two phases of the cycle are recession and expansion; a peak is when the expansion ends, while a trough is when the recession ends. • The Great Depression of the 1930s was the worst economic decline in U.S. history; income distribution inequalities, risky credit practices, weak international economic conditions, and tariff wars all contributed to the Depression. 101 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Section 1: Business Cycles and Fluctuations (cont.) • Several short, mild recessions have occurred since WWII. • Business cycles are caused by changes in capital and inventory spending by businesses, stimuli supplied by innovations and imitations, monetary factors, and external shocks. • Econometric models and the index of leading indicators are used to predict changes in future economic activity. 102 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Section 2: Unemployment • Unemployed persons are identified monthly by the Census Bureau. The number of unemployed is divided by the civilian labor force to arrive at the unemployment rate. • The unemployment rate does not count dropouts, nor does it distinguish between fulland part-time employment. • Frictional, structural, cyclical, seasonal, and technological are different forms of unemployment. 103 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Section 3: Inflation • Inflation is the rate of change in the price level as measured by the CPI. • Terms used to describe the severity of inflation are creeping inflation, galloping inflation, and hyperinflation. • Generous credit conditions and excessive growth of the money supply allow demand-pull, deficit spending, cost-push, and wage-price spiral inflation to take place. • Inflation erodes the value of the dollar, makes life difficult for people on fixed incomes, changes the spending habits of consumers and businesses, and alters the distribution of income in favor of debtors. 104 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Section 4: Poverty and the Distribution of Income • The distribution of income is measured by ranking family incomes from lowest to highest and then dividing the ranking into quintiles. The income earned by each quintile is then compared to other quintiles. • The Lorenz curve shows that incomes are not evenly distributed, and that they are becoming less equal. • Factors accounting for the unequal distribution of income include educational levels, wealth, discrimination, ability, and monopoly power. 105 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Section 4: Poverty and the Distribution of Income (cont.) • Poverty is determined by comparing the amount of income earned by families to measures called the poverty guidelines. • The growing income gap is due to the increased importance of the service industry, the widening workers’ skills gap, the decline of union influence, and the changing composition of the American family. 106 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Click the mouse button to return to the Contents slide. Identifying Key Terms Identify the letter of the key term that best matches each definition below. F ___ marks the end of a recession D ___ an example of a welfare program J annual benchmark used to evaluate the money ___ income that families receive A. B. C. D. E. F. G. H. 108 trend line cyclical unemployment unemployed food stamps frictional unemployment peak trough inflation I. Lorenz curve J. poverty guidelines K. price level L. seasonal unemployment M. structural unemployment N. technological unemployment O. recession P. workfare Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. The Chapter Assessment is on pages 402–403. Identifying Key Terms (cont.) Identify the letter of the key term that best matches each definition below. M caused by a shift in demand or a change in the way ___ the economy operates L caused by annual changes in weather and holiday ___ seasons B caused by periodic swings in business activity ___ A. B. C. D. E. F. G. H. 109 trend line cyclical unemployment unemployed food stamps frictional unemployment peak trough inflation I. Lorenz curve J. poverty guidelines K. price level L. seasonal unemployment M. structural unemployment N. technological unemployment O. recession P. workfare Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Identifying Key Terms (cont.) Identify the letter of the key term that best matches each definition below. E caused by workers who are “between jobs” for short ___ periods P describes the requirement that welfare recipients ___ exchange labor for benefits ___ N happens when workers face the threat of automation A. B. C. D. E. F. G. H. 110 trend line cyclical unemployment unemployed food stamps frictional unemployment peak trough inflation I. Lorenz curve J. poverty guidelines K. price level L. seasonal unemployment M. structural unemployment N. technological unemployment O. recession P. workfare Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Identifying Key Terms (cont.) Identify the letter of the key term that best matches each definition below. A growth path in absence of recession or expansion ___ H measured by changes in the CPI ___ G lowest point of the business cycle ___ K measured by the CPI ___ A. B. C. D. E. F. G. H. 111 trend line cyclical unemployment unemployed food stamps frictional unemployment peak trough inflation I. Lorenz curve J. poverty guidelines K. price level L. seasonal unemployment M. structural unemployment N. technological unemployment O. recession P. workfare Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Identifying Key Terms (cont.) Identify the letter of the key term that best matches each definition below. I ___ shows how much the actual distribution of income differs from an equal distribution O real GDP declines two consecutive quarters ___ C works less than one hour per week for pay or profit ___ A. B. C. D. E. F. G. H. 112 trend line cyclical unemployment unemployed food stamps frictional unemployment peak trough inflation I. Lorenz curve J. poverty guidelines K. price level L. seasonal unemployment M. structural unemployment N. technological unemployment O. recession P. workfare Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Reviewing the Facts Describe the Great Depression. It was the worst economic decline in U.S. history, resulting in income distribution inequalities, risky credit practices, weak international economic conditions, and tariff wars. 113 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Reviewing the Facts (cont.) Distinguish between depressions and recessions. depression: phase of business cycle characterized by high unemployment, acute shortages, and excess capacity in plants; recession: phase of business cycle that occurs when the real GDP declines for two consecutive quarters 114 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Reviewing the Facts (cont.) Analyze two methods economists use to predict business cycles. econometric models, index of leading indicators 115 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Reviewing the Facts (cont.) Describe how the unemployment rate is computed. It is the number of unemployed individuals divided by the total number of persons in the civilian labor force. 116 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Reviewing the Facts (cont.) Identify the major types of unemployment. frictional, structural, cyclical, seasonal, technological 117 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Reviewing the Facts (cont.) Analyze what is meant by full employment. It is reached when the unemployment rate drops below 4.5 percent. 118 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Reviewing the Facts (cont.) Compare the difference between the price level and inflation. The price level refers to the relative magnitude of prices at one point in time. Inflation is a rise in the general price level and is generally reported in terms of annual rates of change. 119 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Reviewing the Facts (cont.) Identify the five causes of inflation. demand-pull, the government deficit, cost-push, wage-price spiral, and excessive monetary growth 120 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Reviewing the Facts (cont.) List four destabilizing effects of inflation. The dollar buys less, spending habits change, speculation increases, and the distribution of income is altered. 121 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Reviewing the Facts (cont.) Explain what is meant by the distribution of income. the way income is distributed among individuals, families, households, and other groups 122 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Reviewing the Facts (cont.) Identify five major reasons for inequality in the distribution of income. education, wealth, discrimination, ability, and monopoly power 123 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Reviewing the Facts (cont.) Explain how the Lorenz curve is used to show the inequality of income distribution. Family incomes are ranked from lowest to highest, then the ranking is divided into quintiles. This information, plotted as a Lorenz curve, shows how much the actual distribution of income varies from an equal distribution. 124 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Reviewing the Facts (cont.) Name seven antipoverty programs. income assistance, general assistance, social service programs, tax credits, enterprise zones, workfare programs, and any specific programs under these general headings 125 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Thinking Critically Analyzing Information Why is it important to understand the impact of business cycles? Answers will vary. 126 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Thinking Critically Drawing Conclusions Why might a government statistic about the number of employed people be misleading? Answers will vary. 127 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Thinking Critically (cont.) Understanding Cause and Effect Explain the effect that inflation has on the financial positions of borrowers and lenders. Use a chart similar to the one on page 403 of your textbook to help you organize your answer. If you managed a bank, what interest rate would you charge to overcome the disadvantage of long-term inflation? Lenders need to raise interest rates, leading to borrowers borrowing less; borrowers generally benefit because the money they pay back is worth less. 128 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Applying Economic Concepts Unemployment rate If we were to enter a period of recession, what would likely happen to the unemployment rate? The inflation rate? The poverty rate? inflation would fall, others rise 129 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Applying Economic Concepts (cont.) Inflation Explain why inflation cannot take place without an expansion of the money supply. If the money supply stayed the same, people would buy the same amount of products, and prices would remain at their equilibrium. The money supply must expand for inflation to occur. An expanding money supply causes people to purchase more products, which results in higher prices. 130 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Applying Economic Concepts (cont.) Lorenz curve Suppose that a new government program reduced the level of poverty in the country. How would this affect the Lorenz curve? Reduction of poverty would raise the left side of the Lorenz curve, which shows the percentage of total income received by families in the lowest quintiles. 131 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Find the unemployment rate under the following circumstances: The civilian labor force numbers 15,000; there are 945 people available and looking for work; 20 of these people worked more than 3 hours last week; another 10 worked more than 15 hours last week in a family business. [945 - 20 - 10] 15,000 X 100 = 6.10 132 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Click the mouse button to return to the Contents slide. Continued on next slide. Continued on next slide. Continued on next slide. Continued on next slide. Monitor television newscasts, newspapers, and current affairs magazines for stories on unemployment, inflation, and poverty. Then write a report summarizing these stories, paying special attention to the causes and solutions discussed. Explore online information about the topics introduced in this chapter. Click on the Connect button to launch your browser and go to the Economics: Principles and Practices Web site. At this site, you will find interactive activities, current events information, and Web sites correlated with the chapters and units in the textbook. When you finish exploring, exit the browser program to return to this presentation. If you experience difficulty connecting to the Web site, manually launch your Web browser and go to http://epp.glencoe.com/sec/socialstudies/economics/econ principles2005/index.php Explore online information about the topics introduced in this chapter. Click on the Connect button to launch your browser and go to the BusinessWeek Web site. At this site, you will find up-to-date information dealing with all aspects of economics. When you finish exploring, exit the browser program to return to this presentation. If you experience difficulty connecting to the Web site, manually launch your Web browser and go to http://www.businessweek.com The Business Cycle The term “business cycle” describes economy-wide fluctuations in output, incomes, and employment. Generally, periods of expansion follow periods of low output. Rubles? Who Needs Rubles? Across the world from Russia in a society that still subscribes to communist principles, Cubans carry on another form of barter. They cannot legally buy or sell a house or an apartment. If they want to move, they find other homeowners who will agree to swap accommodations. Responsible Tourism Americans can affect the levels of employment in other countries, according to a group called the Center for Responsible Tourism. Its members urge American visitors in foreign countries to patronize cafes and guest houses owned by indigenous peoples. In this way, tourists support native workers rather than international travel consortiums, which often exploit native workers by paying low wages. The center also advises “bargaining with compassion” when buying souvenirs from the local merchants. In March 1930, about five months after “Black Tuesday,” President Herbert Hoover predicted: “The crisis will be over in sixty days.” In fact, the Great Depression dragged on for ten more years. Some European countries, worried by rising unemployment rates, have called for the institution of a four-day workweek. Although it would mean a cut in workers’ wages, many unions support the idea. In Italy, unions are campaigning with the slogan: “Work less, and everyone works.” More About . . . Working in the New Economy A great source for information on employment trends is the Occupational Outlook Handbook printed by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. According to the Handbook, 246 industries employed 140,513,683 American workers in 1998. The ten industries with the most workers were education, public and private; self-employed workers; eating and drinking establishments; hospitals, public and private; local government, except education and hospitals; wholesale trade; personnel supply services; grocery stores; department stores; and state government, except education and hospitals. Continued on the next slide. Together these industries employed about 54 million people. The occupational outlook for the year 2008 is a little different. Supposedly, computer and data processing services will replace grocery stores as the eighth largest employer in the nation. Also, hospitals will have more employees than local governments, and the need for doctors will increase more than the need for workers in state government. Why? Most likely because the population will be aging as well as becoming more technologically proficient. Interactive Economics Northwestern Mutual Life Insurance has set up a Web site (themint.org) for high school students. The site has several interactive sections. Visitors to Learning and Earning, for example, learn about how finishing high school helps them to get ahead financially. This Time, It Really Is a New Economy Can we safely put away our books on the Great Depression, 19th century deflations, and Japanese economic history? Hardly. Deflation isn’t a temporary consequence of the 2000-03 downturn. It’s a signal that the age of inflation is over. Read the BusinessWeek Newsclip article on page 388 of your textbook. Continued on next slide. This feature is found on page 388 of your textbook. Click the Speaker button to listen to an audio introduction. This Time, It Really Is a New Economy Analyzing Information With a strong recovery, what may be the new threat to the economy? Persistent deflation. Continued on next slide. Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. This feature is found on page 388 of your textbook. This Time, It Really Is a New Economy Analyzing Information What is preventing resurgence in inflation? Global financial markets and the ability of consumers to shop worldwide. Continued on next slide. Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. This feature is found on page 388 of your textbook. This Time, It Really Is a New Economy Drawing Conclusions From 1776 to 1965, why were price levels in America flat? The technology didn’t exist to support a global, deflated economy. Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. This feature is found on page 388 of your textbook. Economics and You Video 21: Fighting Unemployment, Inflation, and Poverty After viewing Fighting Unemployment, Inflation, and Poverty, you should be able to: • Define unemployment and discuss its impact on individuals and families. • Describe the effects of inflation on businesses and individual consumers. • Identify at least two strategies that are used by the government and its agencies to control inflation and unemployment. Continued on next slide. Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. Economics and You Video 21: Fighting Unemployment, Inflation, and Poverty Side 2 Disc 1 Chapter 21 Click the Videodisc button anytime throughout this section to play the complete video if you have a videodisc player attached to your computer. Click the Forward button to view the discussion questions and other related slides. Click inside the box to play the preview. Continued on next slide. Economics and You Video 21: Fighting Unemployment, Inflation, and Poverty What problems are associated with unemployment? It is a sign of a troubled economy. It reduces living standards, and can disrupt families and reduce individuals’ self-respect. Side 2 Disc 1 Chapter 21 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. Using the Internet To learn more about almost any topic imaginable, use the Internet–a global network of computers. Many features, such as E-mail, interactive educational classes, and shopping services are offered on the Net. To get on the Internet, you need three things: (a) a personal computer, (b) a modem (a device that connects your computer to a telephone line), and (c) an account with an Internet Service Provider (ISP). An ISP, such as America Online, is a company that enables you to log on to Continued on next slide. the Internet, usually for a fee. This feature is found on page 393 of your textbook. Using the Internet Learning the Skill • After you are connected, the easiest way to access Internet sites is to use a “Web browser,” a program that lets you view and explore information on the World Wide Web. • The Web consists of many documents called “Web sites,” each of which has its own address, or Uniform Resource Locator (URL). Many URLs start with the keystrokes http:// Continued on next slide. Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. This feature is found on page 393 of your textbook. Using the Internet Learning the Skill (cont.) • If you don’t know the exact URL of a site, commercial “search engines” such as Yahoo! or AltaVista, can help you find information. • Type a subject or name into the “search” box, then press Enter. • The search engine lists available sites that may have the information you are looking for. Continued on next slide. Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. This feature is found on page 393 of your textbook. Using the Internet Practicing the Skill • Follow these steps to learn more about the inflation rate. 1. Log on to the Internet and choose a search engine to use. 2. Search by selecting one of the listed categories or by typing in the subject you want to find, such as “inflation” or “the inflation rate.” Continued on next slide. Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. This feature is found on page 393 of your textbook. Using the Internet Practicing the Skill (cont.) 3. Continue your search by scrolling down the list that appears on your screen. When you select an entry, click on it to access the information. Sometimes the information you first access will not be exactly what you need. If so, continue searching until you find the information that you want. Continued on next slide. This feature is found on page 393 of your textbook. Using the Internet Practicing the Skill (cont.) 4. If you get “lost” on the Internet, click on the back-arrow key at the top of the screen until you find a site that looks familiar. 5. Continue selecting sites until you have enough information to write a short report on inflation trends over the past three months. Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the information. This feature is found on page 393 of your textbook. Walter E. Williams 1936– Click the picture to learn more about Walter E. Williams. Be prepared to answer the questions that appear on the next two slides. Continued on next slide. This feature is found on page 381 of your textbook. Walter E. Williams 1936– Summarizing Information Write a short paragraph that identifies and describes Williams’s basic views. Answers will vary. Continued on next slide. Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. This feature is found on page 381 of your textbook. Walter E. Williams 1936– Applying the Writing Process Write a response to what Williams said about unemployment levels among white and African American teenagers. Explain why you agree or disagree with his analysis. Answers will vary. Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answer. This feature is found on page 381 of your textbook. End of Custom Shows WARNING! Do Not Remove This slide is intentionally blank and is set to auto-advance to end custom shows and return to the main presentation. Click the mouse button to return to the Contents slide.