Child Poverty and Deprivation in South Asia: Key facts and UNICEF initiatives Gabriele Köhler, Regional Advisor Social Policy, and Mariana Stirbu, Project Officer Social Policy UNICEF.
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Child Poverty and Deprivation in South Asia: Key facts and UNICEF initiatives Gabriele Köhler, Regional Advisor Social Policy, and Mariana Stirbu, Project Officer Social Policy UNICEF Regional Office for South Asia 7 May 2008 Kathmandu Outline of the presentation • SOUTH ASIA – Key facts on poverty and inequality • SETTING THE STAGE – “Poverty reduction must begin with children”. • CHILD POVERTY – from income to multidimensional definitions of child poverty • MDGS, CHILDHOOD, AND POVERTY – the nexus and implications • MDG PROGRESS IN SOUTH ASIA – ‘a tale of disparities’ • UNICEF ROSA INITIATIVES– linking the various initiatives under Policy advocacy and Partnerships for Children’s Rights South Asia – some key facts on poverty and inequality Key facts on South Asia • 1.5 billion people • 613 million under 18 41% • 175 million under 5 12% • Over 428 million under the international 1 USD/day at PPP poverty line, as per 2001 data • At least 10 million migrants Source: UNICEF ROSA, Statistical pocketbook 2008 Trends in income/consumption poverty in South Asia • Insignificant share of the world income - in 2004, South Asia accounted for 22.4% of global population, while its combined GNI was only 2.1% of the world income. • Significant variations in GNI – in 2004, GNI ranged between 675 billion US$ in India and 0.7 billion US$ in Bhutan • Second lowest GNI per capita at PPP, after SubSaharan Africa - in 2004, GNI per capita at PPP (incl. AFG) of 2,830 US$ compared to the world average of 8,760 US$; with Maldives at the top of the list. • Reduction in incidence of income / consumption poverty - measured by % of pop living on less than 1 USD/day at PPP, from 51.5% to 41.3% between 1981 and 1990, and further to 31.3% in 2001 (less AFG) Source: SAARC Regional Poverty Profile 2005 Regional income poverty Source: WB, Global Monitoring Report 2008 Incidence of poverty by country, % of pop. below international poverty line of 1 US$/day at PPP 1981 1990 2001 26.2 35.2 32.8 - - 36.3 53.0 40.6 35.5 - - 1.0 Nepal 41.9 53.2 27.3 Pakistan 56.4 47.8 12.0 Sri Lanka 18.2 3.8 1.8 Bangladesh Bhutan India Maldives Source: SAARC Regional Poverty Profile 2005, please see report for footnotes and caveats Incidence of poverty by country, % of pop. below national poverty line Bangladesh 1980 1990 2000 2004 73.0 47.5 44.3 40.9 36.3 31.7 26.1 - 13.0 / 23.0 / 44.0 3.0 / 8.0 / 21.0 Bhutan India 44.5 36.0 Maldives Nepal 36.2 40 38.0 30.8 Pakistan 29.1 26.1 34.4 23.9 Sri Lanka 30.9 26.1 22.7 - Source: SAARC Regional Poverty Profile 2005, please see report for footnotes and caveats Regional inequality Source: WB, Global Monitoring Report 2008 Distribution of World Income Globalization for whom? Distribution of world GDP, 2000 (by quintiles, richest 20% top, poorest 20% bottom) Source: UNDP Development Report 2005 Historical Trend: Inequality Keeps Rising Ratio of the Income of the Richest 20% to the Poorest 20% Year Ratio 1820 3:1 Ratio of the Income of the Richest 20% to the Poorest 20%, 1820-2005 1870 7:1 120 1913 11:1 80 1991 30:1 RATIO 1960 100 61:1 60 40 20 0 1997 74:1 1820 1870 1913 1960 1991 1997 2005 2005 103:1 YEAR Source: UNDP Human Development Reports 1999 and 2005, New York ‘INEQUALITY’ at Global Scale Half of the world lives below the $2-a-day poverty line Need to bring redistribution to development agenda Source: Sutcliffe, 2005. Department of Economic and Social Affairs. WP 2. UNDESA South Asia - Growth rate of GDP (% per year) 25.0 Afghanistan 20.0 Bangladesh 15.0 Bhutan India 10.0 Maldives 5.0 Nepal 0.0 Source: ADB Asian Development Outlook Report 2008 ) ) ec te d Sri Lanka (p ro j 09 20 20 -10.0 08 (p ro j ec te d 07 20 06 20 05 20 04 20 03 20 -5.0 Pakistan South Asia South Asia - Inequality by country, acc. to HDR 2007/08 share of income or consumptio n (%) poorest HDI Rank 20% share of income or consumptio n (%) richest 20% inequality measures ratio of richest 20% to inequality poorest measures 20% gini index Maldives 98 … … … … Sri Lanka 99 7.0 48.0 6.9 40.2 India 128 8.1 45.3 5.6 36.8 Bhutan 133 … … … … Pakistan 136 9.3 40.3 4.3 30.6 Bangladesh 140 8.6 42.7 4.9 33.4 Nepal 6.0 54.6 9.1 47.2 142 Source: HDR 2007/08 Setting the stage – ‘poverty reduction begins with children’ “Poverty reduction must begin with children.” • Children hit the hardest by poverty – it causes lifelong damage to physical, emotional, spiritual growth and development • Poverty affects children disproportionately –– developing countries have a larger child population, and income-poor families generally have more children than wealthier families • Poverty is the cause of millions of preventable child deaths, hungry children, children missing school, exploited and abused children… Source: UNICEF Poverty Reduction Begins with Children2000, UNICEF SOWC Report 2005 “Poverty reduction must begin with children.” cont’d • Poverty in childhood is a root cause of poverty in adulthood – impoverished children often grow up to be impoverished parents who in turn bring up their children in poverty, cause a vicious poverty cycle • Well-being of children, future generations – a yardstick for measuring the wellbeing of nations • Economic prosperity at unprecedented levels – yet not every child has a good start in life • With less than a third of 1 percent of global income, all children could achieve a minimum standard of living! Source: UNICEF Poverty Reduction Begins with Children2000, UNICEF SOWC Report 2005 How is child poverty different from adult poverty? “I have to support my father as he cannot make much money to support our family,” Ramesh told IRIN in the Nepali capital, Kathmandu. The boy works 10 hours a day at a workshop in Kathmandu for US$15 per month. He quit school after migrating with his parents from Nawalparasi District, 200km southwest of Kathmandu, to escape hardship and poverty. “But life is more difficult here as we can’t afford to buy medicines and don’t have time to go to hospital,” said Ramesh. Source: IRIN 9 July 2007 Child poverty – from income-based to multidimensional definitions “Policy debates have indeed been distorted by overemphasis on income poverty and income deprivation, to the neglect of deprivation that relates to other variables, such as unemployment, ill health, lack of education, and social exclusion.” Amartya Sen, Development as Freedom 1999 Definitions of child poverty UNICEF SOWC REPORT 2005 “Children living in poverty experience deprivation of the material, spiritual and emotional resources needed to survive, develop and thrive, leaving them unable to enjoy their rights, achieve their full potential or participate as full and equal members of society.” Definitions of child poverty cont’d UN GENERAL ASSEMBLY 2007 “Children living in poverty are deprived of nutrition, water and sanitation facilities, access to basic health-care services, shelter, education, participation and protection, and that while a severe lack of goods and services hurts every human being, it is most threatening and harmful to children, leaving them unable to enjoy their rights, to reach their full potential and to participate as full members of the society”. Key facts on child poverty and deprivation in South Asia – SOWC ‘08 • • • • • • The largest absolute number of newborn deaths occurs in South Asia – India contributes a quarter of the world total. South Asia has the highest level of undernutrition – at 43% of children under 5 among the regions. South Asia has the second highest number of deaths among children under five, accounting for 32% of the global total. In 1990, 1 in every 8 South Asian children died before age five; by 2006, the ratio had decreased to 1 in 12. Although sub-Saharan Africa has the highest proportion (66%) of children not registered at birth, South Asia, with a corresponding ratio of 64%, has the highest number of unregistered children. South Asia has the highest rate of infants with low birth-weights, and the lowest rates of vitamin A supplementation. Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia together accounted for more than 80% of Child Poverty by Region, 2000 Percentage of children living in poverty by region % Children in absolute poverty % Children severely deprived of at least one basic need Sub-Saharan Africa 62 82 Central & West Asia 9 31 East Asia & Pacific 9 30 Latin America & Caribbean 15 32 Middle East & North Africa 35 61 South Asia 54 81 Developing World total 34 57 Region Source: Source: Townsend Centre for International Policy Research, http://www.bristol.ac.uk/poverty/child%20poverty.html MDGs, childhood and poverty – the nexus MDGs, childhood, and poverty n o n i n c o m e FACTOR GOAL IMPLICATIONS FOR CHILDHOOD Income Poverty Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger 73 million children < 5yrs suffer from malnutrition in South Asia. Many of them would eventually die. Primary education Achieve universal primary education Over 31 million children in South Asia, the majority of them girls, are out of school. The price of failure to achieve the target is their denied right to continue education and have a better Gender equality Promote gender equality and empower women In South Asia, girls who are often less valued than boys, are likely to receive less food, medical attention and schooling, which exacerbates gender inequality. Child survival Reduce child mortality 3.1 million children under 5 die in South Asia every year, of which the majority could have been prevented through a few cost-effective interventions. Families and women Improve maternal health Some 200,000 women in South Asia die from complications of pregnancy and childbirth every year, with infants having a lower probably of survival without the care of their mothers. Health Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria, and other diseases 130,000 thousands children (aged < 15 ) live with HIV/AIDS in South Asia. The number of orphaned children is on the rise. Poor nutrition leaves children vulnerable to TB. Water and sanitation Ensure environmental sustainability Access to water and sanitation is critical to child survival and disease prevention. In South Asia, millions of children are denied access to water and sanitation facilities Source: Table adapted from UNICEF SOWC Report 2005, p. 8-9, Data from various sources. South Asia MDG performance – ‘a tale of disparities’ Prevalence of underweight (moderate and severe), 2000 - 2006 (Percentage of children under five years old whose weight for age is less than minus two standard deviations from the median for the international reference population ages 0-59 months) Note: Data refers to the most recent year available during the period specified. Source: UNICEF ROSA, South Asia Info database, 2008 The boundaries and the names shown and the designations used on these maps do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations. The dotted line represents approximately the Line of Control in Jammu and Kashmir agreed upon by India and Pakistan. The final status of Jammu and Kashmir has not yet been agreed upon by the parties. Percentage of children uder five classified as underweight, dissaggregated by gender, location and wealth quintile, Bangladesh 2004 & Nepal 2006 60 Nepal: Weight-for-age (Underweight) below -2 SD 59 56 Bangladesh: Weight-for-age (Underweight) below -2 SD 50 49 49 46 40 42 38 40 47 41 39 30 30 23 20 19 10 0 Male Female Source:: Bangladesh DHS 2004, Dhaka 2005 Nepal DHS 2006, Kathmandu, 2007 Urban Rural Lowest Highest National Net enrolment ratio in primary education 2000-2004 Source: UNICEF ROSA, Progress and challenges in South Asia 2006, Kathmandu, 2006 Percentage of children of primary school age attending primary school by sex, location and wealth quintiles, Bangladesh 2006 100 Net Attendance Ratio Male Net Attendance Ratio Female Net Attendance Ratio Both sex 90 88 80 83 79 84 82 79 86 81 77 70 73 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Urban Rural Location Source:: Bangladesh MICS 2006 Lowest Highest Wealth quintile 87 Educational Attainment of Household Population by sex, location and wealth quintile, Nepal 2006 50 Some Primary Education Male Completed Primary education Male 45 Some Primary Education Female Completed Primary education Female 44 40 35 37 35 30 25 30 27 26 26 25 24 22 20 15 10 9 5 7 6 8 5 7 5 8 6 5 0 Urban Source:: Nepal DHS 2006 Rural Lowest quintile Highest quintile National Under-five mortality rate, 2000-2007 (The probability of dying between birth and the fifth birthday) Deaths per 1,000 live births for the five-year period preceding the survey. Note: Data refers to the most recent year available during the period specified. Source: UNICEF ROSA, South Asia Info database, 2008 The boundaries and the names shown and the designations used on these maps do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations. The dotted line represents approximately the Line of Control in Jammu and Kashmir agreed upon by India and Pakistan. The final status of Jammu and Kashmir has not yet been agreed upon by the parties. Under-five mortality rate by sex, location and wealth quintile, Bangladesh 2004 & Nepal 2006 Deaths per 1,000 live births Bangladesh U5MR 120 100 Nepal U5MR 121 102 98 92 91 80 80 98 88 84 78 72 60 61 47 40 47 20 0 Male Female Source:: Bangladesh DHS 2004, Dhaka 2005 Nepal DHS 2006, Kathmandu, 2007 Urban Rural Lowest quintile Highest quintile National Under-five mortality rate by ecological zone and development regions, Nepal 2006 Deaths per 1,000 live births 120 128 122 100 100 80 85 73 68 60 62 61 60 40 20 0 Mountain Hill Ecological zone Source:: Nepal DHS 2006, Kathmandu, 2007 Terai Eastern Central Western Mid-western Far-western Development regions National Maternal mortality ratio Deaths per 100,000 live births (adjusted, 2005) 2000 1800 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 830 800 570 600 440 450 400 320 200 120 58 0 Afghanistan Bangladesh Bhutan Source: UNICEF ROSA, South Asia Info database, 2008 India Maldives Nepal Pakistan Sri Lanka Births attended by skilled health personnel (Deliveries assisted by Doctor/Nurse/LHV/ANM/Other health personnel) Note: Data refers to the most recent year available during the period specified. Source: UNICEF ROSA, South Asia Info database, 2008 The boundaries and the names shown and the designations used on these maps do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations. The dotted line represents approximately the Line of Control in Jammu and Kashmir agreed upon by India and Pakistan. The final status of Jammu and Kashmir has not yet been agreed upon by the parties. % of deliveries assisted by Skilled Birth Attendants by location and wealth quintile, Bangladesh 2006 & Nepal 2006 60 58 50 55 Nepal Bangladesh 51 40 40 30 20 19 14 10 20 14 5 7 0 Urban Rural Note: Skilled Birth Attendance includes Doctors, Nurses/midwives Source: Bangladesh MICS 2006 Nepal DHS 2006 Lowest quintile Highest quintile National People living with HIV/AIDS Countries India Pakistan Nepal Bangladesh Sri Lanka Afghanistan Bhutan HIV Estimates 2006 Adult & Children Prevalence 2,500,000 0.36 85,000 0.1 75,000 0.5 11,000 <0.1 3,100 <0.1 1,000 <0.1 500 <0.1 Source UNAIDS / WHO 2007 Proportion of the population using improved drinking water sources 2001 - 2006 (Improved drinking water sources includes household water connection, public standpipe, borehole, protected dug well, protected spring, rainwater collection and bottled water) Note: Data refers to the most recent year available during the period specified. Source: UNICEF ROSA, South Asia Info database, 2008 The boundaries and the names shown and the designations used on these maps do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations. The dotted line represents approximately the Line of Control in Jammu and Kashmir agreed upon by India and Pakistan. The final status of Jammu and Kashmir has not yet been agreed upon by the parties. Proportion of the population using improved sanitation facilities, 2001 - 2006 (Improved sanitation facilities include flush to piped sewer system, flush to septic tank, flush/pour flush to pit, flush/pour flush to elsewhere) Note: Data refers to the most recent year available during the period specified. Source: UNICEF ROSA, South Asia Info database, 2008 The boundaries and the names shown and the designations used on these maps do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations. The dotted line represents approximately the Line of Control in Jammu and Kashmir agreed upon by India and Pakistan. The final status of Jammu and Kashmir has not yet been agreed upon by the parties. % of household population using improved sources of drinking water and using sanitary means of excreta disposal by location and wealth quintile, Bangladesh 2006 Urban 100 99 97 99 99 98 Rural Lowest quintile 80 82 Highest quintile National 60 58 40 39 32 20 11 0 Source: % of HH Population using improved sources of drinking water Bangladesh MICS 2006 % of HH Population using sanitary means of excreta disposal Millennium Declaration – chapter VI on violence, exploitation and abuse Country Bangladesh India Nepal Pakistan Sri Lanka working children (5-14 yrs) 5.0 million 11.2 million 1.7 million 3.3 million 0.5 million total number of children (5-14 yrs) % of working children in child population (5-14 yrs) 35.1 million 210 million 6.2 million 40 million 3.2 million Source: ILO, http://www.ilo.org/public/english/region/asro/newdelhi/ipec/responses/index.htm 15% 5% 27% 8% 16% ROSA initiatives and their value added in the context of the study on child poverty and disparities ROSA initiatives and their value added • • • • • Broad approach to social policy including social exclusion, income inequality and related policy responses Social protection as a form of social policy (Conceptual framework and symposium) Social Budgets, Children and Society (Regional Fiscal Budget analysis – review of investments into social sectors and fiscal space to finance social policy) Migration and Impacts on Children (review of impacts on child outcomes) Capacity Development of Partners: CRC/CEDAW (SAARC Decade of the Rights of the Child), WFFC+ 5 (Regional Synthesis) ROSA Initiatives and their value added • Strengthening the human rights and child rights principles • Identifying ways to make economic and social development more inclusive and equitable and propoor • Building stronger links between economic and social policies, and recognising the role of social policy and social protection for livelihoods, social inclusion, poverty reduction, and development • Better strategies to make legislation, policies and budgets more child-relevant • Better strategies to make social services more responsive to children and in particular vulnerable children and socially excluded groups • Using social policy to accelerate MDG achievement NEPAL/ROSA: a universal child grant as a building block for a broader Social Protection Strategy •One example from recent practice •Technical and advocacy partnership with ILO Geneva and Nepal •Influencing Planning Commission, Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Local Development, Ministry of Labour • Rationale: •rights-based •economic revival •political healing A survey of the interests of potential beneficiaries underway with WFP Possibly pilot in one disadvantaged area of Nepal DfID and World Bank interested Social Protection Symposium: Some policy ideas and outcomes • • • • • • • • • Portability of rights to basic social services - Looking at “mobile” forms of social protection across state and country borders and at the right to social protection for migrants Idea of a tri-fold approach, combining – Enhanced, inclusive social services delivery (education, health, water and sanitation, etc.) – Cash transfers to households to improve economic security – Provision of trained and salaried care services by government or non-profit sector- recognising the “care economy” The need for inclusiveness in social protection The case for a citizens’ or social compact for social protection Case for a “generative” or transformative social protection model embracing a plurality of models Consensus on the shift towards universalising social protection Emphasise the need for a child-sensitive social protection which prioritises the key rights and development needs of children Seizing opportunities from economic growth and political change in South Asia Advocacy for a global social floor or minimum social protection among UN agencies (ILO, DESA, UNICEF, UN-ESCAP) and regional partners (SAARC) ROSA: Fiscal budget analysis across 8 countries of South Asia Observation: Rapid economic growth in South Asia has created a strategic opportunity to advocate for larger (and more effective) social expenditures Outcomes: Devinfo database at ROSA to include countries’ fiscal budget data Use as analytical and advocacy tool at country and regional level examples of applications: Afghanistan, Nepal, Maldives, Pakistan Social expenditure - sectoral allocation Year 2005 100% 8.10 90% 8.84 16.93 9.63 10.38 21.81 37.27 80% 17.22 14.74 17.04 70% 25.21 16.34 41.96 24.19 60% 22.54 45.18 16.61 50% 18.35 40% 30% 20.16 17.65 60.08 8.24 57.07 43.49 20% 40.23 24.77 10% 28.48 27.51 0% BGD BTN IND Education as % social expenditure Health as % social expenditure Social Security & Welfare as % social expenditure Source: UNICEF ROSA, South Asia Fiscal Budget database, 2008 MDV NPL LKA AVG Housing & Community Amenities as % social expenditure Social Exp as % total expenditure Social expenditure - sectoral allocation (% GDP) Year 2005 32.50 30.00 27.50 25.00 22.50 % GDP 20.00 17.50 15.00 12.50 10.00 7.50 5.00 2.50 0.00 BGD Education BTN Health IND MDV Social Security & Welfare Source: UNICEF ROSA, South Asia Fiscal Budget database, 2008 NPL LKA AVG Housing & Community Amenities Percent of total social sector expenditures allocated to education Year 2002 to 2006 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% AFG BGD BHU IND 2002 Source: UNICEF ROSA, South Asia Fiscal Budget database, 2008 2003 MDV 2004 2005 NEP 2006 LKA AVG Percent of total social sector expenditures allocated to health Year 2002 to 2006 35.0% 30.0% 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% AFG BGD BHU IND 2002 Source: UNICEF ROSA, South Asia Fiscal Budget database, 2008 2003 MDV 2004 2005 NEP 2006 LKA AVG Percent of total social sector expenditures allocated to social protection Year 2002 to 2006 50.0% 45.0% 40.0% 35.0% 30.0% 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% AFG BGD BHU IND 2002 Source: UNICEF ROSA, South Asia Fiscal Budget database, 2008 2003 MDV 2004 2005 NEP 2006 LKA AVG ROSA: Impact of Migration on Children and Policy Options Desk study on 8 countries to asses the problem, survey existing policies and develop policy ideas quantitative aspect: gauge number of children affected qualitative aspects: impact on education, health, protection policies and strategies in place To address impact of migration for migrant children, children migrating with the family, children left behind To reduce the reliance on migration as the only source of income in situations of distress Regional migration study: Some findings • Health outcomes – U5MR for children of urban migrants is 1.6 times higher than children of urban natives, but 1.1 times better than rural non migrants (Bangladesh case study) • Education outcomes – 40% of children in urban slum and settlements in Dhaka (mainly inhabited by migrants) are out of school (Bangladesh case study) – 100,000 children in age group 9-15 drop out of school to go for seasonal work (Case Study, South Rajasthan, India) • Protection outcomes – Single migrant children in urban centres are almost always working on the streets and in the informal sector- rag picking, vending, domestic work, etc. (Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Maldives) The Study strengthens the evidence base for supporting the idea of ‘portability of rights’ Partner Capacity Building: CRC/ CEDAW and WFFC Linkages The CRC and CEDAW: two core rights conventions with clear synergies and wide accession, that are rarely utilised together. Learning package of conceptual links and practical approaches Inter-agency workshops led by UNFPA and UNICEF to improve CEDAW reporting, incl. in Nepal South Asia World Fit for Children +5 South Asia (2008); SAARC child summit (2009); Various consultations to create awareness and advocacy • This workshop • opportunity to analyse poverty and deprivation specific to South Asia and • discuss policy options which are child sensitive