Transcript System of indicators for monitoring of MDG’s achievement in Uzbekistan Presentation at the Expert Group Meeting on MDG Indicators in Central Asia Astana, Kazakhstan, 5–8

System of indicators for
monitoring of MDG’s achievement
in Uzbekistan
Presentation at the
Expert Group Meeting on MDG Indicators in Central Asia
Astana, Kazakhstan, 5–8 October 2009
Ulugbek Olimov
MDG Statistics Project
UNDP Uzbekistan
Outline of presentation
1. Millennium goals: national context
2. Statistical data availability: selected issues
3. MDG indicators matrix for Uzbekistan
MDGS: NATIONAL CONTEXT

The Government of Uzbekistan, in collaboration with donor organizations (incl. ADB,
UNDP, WB) and civil society, has embarked on the process of formulating its own
national MDG targets and indicators.

“Linking Macroeconomic Policy to Poverty Reduction” (2003), “Living Standards
Strategy” (2004), and the Welfare Improvement Strategy document (2007)
contributed to the definition of the national goals, objectives and indicators.

The National MDG Report (2006), prepared jointly with the Government and the
UN’s Resident Office in Uzbekistan, reflects the principal MDG goals and targets
adapted to local conditions and the country’s requirements.

“System of Indicators for M&E of MDGs Achievement in Uzbekistan” (2007),
developed within the UNDP-funded MDG Statistics Project, report attempts to
evaluate the quality and availability of statistical data that can be to develop
quantitative indicators of global and national MDGs and to identify problems and
shortcomings in the process of data collection.
Goals
1. Improve living standards and reduce
malnutrition
Targets
1. Tohalve poverty by the year 2015
2. To improve the quality of primary and general
2. Improve the quality of primary and general
secondary
secondary education while maintaining universal
education while maintaining universal access by
access
2015
3. To achieve gender equality in primary,
general secondary and vocational education by
3. Promote gender equality and empower
2015
women
4. To improve the gender balance in higher
education by 2015
5. To reduction of the under-five mortality rate
4. Reduce child mortality
by two thirds by 2015
6. To reduce the maternal mortality rate by one
5. Improve maternal health
third by 2015
7: To halt and begin to reverse, the spread of
HIV/AIDS by 2015
6. Combat HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis and malaria
8: To halt and begin to reverse, the incidence of
tuberculosis and malaria by 2015
9: To integrate the principles of sustainable
development into country policies and programs
and reverse the loss of environmental resources
by 2015
7. Ensure environmental sustainability
10: To increase the share of urban and rural
Population with access to an iImproved water
source and sanitation by 2015
This goal assumes that will receive official
development assistance from developed
8. and global partnership for development
countries to help it achieve the MDGs
MDGs:
National goals and
targets
REPORT ON “SYSTEM OF INDICATORS FOR M&E
OF MDGS ACHIEVEMENT IN UZBEKISTAN”
Research objectives:


overall analysis aimed at identification of existing
problems (gaps);

incompatibilities and shortcomings in the process of
collection of data related to MDGs/WIS;

analysis of data sources in order to identify and
rectify duplication or lack of indicators while
considering their compliance with international
standards;


conclusions & recommendations
Involved partners:

Ministry of Economy

State Committee on Statistics

Ministry of Public Education

Ministry of Healthcare

Ministry of Labour and Social Protection of the
Population

State Committee for Nature Protection
DATA AVAILABILITY: SELECTED ISSUES (1)

The calories based poverty threshold (2,100 kcal) is calculated based on HBS data.
Use of HBS data in this regard does not reflect directly the actual nutritional status
of the population and cannot contain accurate data on the calorific value of food
based on the underestimated indicators of consumption. This poverty indicator also
does not allow adequate evaluation of extent and acuteness of poverty.

There is an urgent need to develop new methodologies to design a system of
indicators aimed at the indicator based assessment of quality of education
(measuring the quality of education) and its accessibility at any educational levels.

The existing informational database does not provide for detailed and complex
gender analysis in many areas of social and economic life (low income level; time
management; access to financial/material resources; salaries/wages; access/use of
ICT; labor migration; etc.)

Analysis of the monitoring and reporting system concerning child mortality has
identified the following issues: a) weaknesses in statistical accounting, reporting and
registration forms; b) non-compliance of specific national indicators with the WHO
criteria that leads to distortion of statistical data.
DATA AVAILABILITY: SELECTED ISSUES (2)

Taking into consideration the high rate of extra-genital pathology and widespread of
anemia in Uzbekistan a number of additional indicators are needed to be introduced
for improving the monitoring of maternal mortality.

Despite ongoing initiatives, still there is a weak monitoring and reporting system of
the programs countering HIV/ AIDS epidemics, in such areas, as data collection,
information quality, statistical analysis and the application of statistics in developing
policy measures.

There is an informational system for data collection that allows monitoring and
assessment of the prevalence of malaria in absolute indicators. At the same time, it
is desirable to add a number of indicators being used in international practice in
order to assess the level of accessibility of the anti-mosquito interventions.

The existing informational and reporting system does not fully provide the
quantitative data required for comprehensive monitoring environmental situation in
the country. In recent years the decline in reports on protection of the environment
and natural resources resulted in deterioration of the quality and reliability of
information contained in the reports submitted by the enterprises.
EXAMPLE 1: MDG 1 MONITORING APPROACH
Goal
Group of
indicators
Amount of
consumed
food
MDG 1:
To reach
balanced
nutrition
Subgroup of
indicators
Indicators
Accessibility of
food Items
Production of Main Food Items Per capita / per annum;
Share of family’ expenses for food items (%); Cost of
consumption of 100 calories (USD)
Level of
consumption
Per Capita consumption in % to medical standards;
Calories consumption / per day; Calories consumption
in % to WHO standards; Number of underweight
children under five years of age
Accomplishment
of balanced
nutrition
Quality of
consumption
Quality of food
items
Proportion of proteins, fat and carbohydrate; Vitamins
consumption in % to medical standard
Share of ecologically clean products in the resources
of domestic market (%); Share GMP in the resources
of domestic market (%)
EXAMPLE 2: MDG 2 MONITORING APPROACH
MDG 2:
Improve the
quality of
primary and
general
secondary
education while
maintaining
universal
access
Educational
enrollment
Demographic situation; Number of children enrolled in education;
Number of children with special needs not enrolled in education;
Number of street-children and homeless teenagers
Attendance of
classes
Health status of young generation in all age groups; Level of
involvement of schoolchildren into sports and recreation activities;
Rate of child and juvenile violations
Level of financial and
technical base of
schools
Rate of availability of school places for students; Level of equal
standards in education for children in urban and rural areas ; Level of
computerization of urban and rural schools
Level of
complementary
education of school
children
Level of enrollment of school children in extended –day classes;
Status of development of extra curricular facilities; Rate of tutoring use
Level of manuals and
textbooks supply
Level of development of library resources; Introduction of rent system for use of
library resources; Cost of textbooks; Replacement of textbooks’ content –
frequency of introduction of new textbooks; Quality of published educationalmethodological literature
Level of availability of
teachers
Balance of demand for education personnel and training teachers;
Level of safety of pedagogical personnel
Qualification level of
teachers
Level of teachers participation in development of textbooks, training
methodologies, etc; Teachers retraining and improving qualifications; Level of
equipping teachers with programs and methodological training aids; Level of
introducing advanced pedagogical technologies
MDG MATRIX OF INDICATORS
FOR UZBEKISTAN
1. Algorithm for selection and development of an indicator
2. Matrix of indicators:
•
•
•
•
•
Living standards & nutrition indicators
Education indicators
Gender equality indicators
Healthcare indicators
Indicators of monitoring environmental situation
Algorithm for
selection and
development of an
indicator
Indicator “Х”
Is the indicator
approved for use in
the international
MDG monitoring?
Yes
Include indicator into
the list
Is there
information
on current
indicator?
No
Yes
No
Methodology
development or
proposal of a set of
questions that might be
integrated into present
study and be used
during development of
indicator
No
Exclude indicator
Yes
Elaboration of
metadata and other
methodological
remarks
Is the indicator
related to local
informational
needs?
Data collection and
calculation of indicator
Development of schemes, tables, charts and
diagrams
Agency in Charge
Coverage /
Frequency
Desegrega
tion
Data
Sources
1: Share of people living on
less than… soum per month
(as per expenses from the
households budget), in %
SCS
ME
2001-2006
annually
region,
gender, age
HBS
2: Poverty gap ratio, in %
SCS
ME
2001-2006
annually
region,
gender, age
HBS
3: Share of the poorest quintile
in national income or
consumption, in %
SCS
ME
2001-2006
annually
region,
gender, age
HBS
--
MH
Institutions
, UNICEF
--
MH
Institutions
, UNICEF
--
MH
Institutions
, UNICEF
--
MH
Institutions
, UNICEF
4: Prevalence of
underweight/stunting among
children under five
5а: Number of children under
five with iodine deficiency
5b: Number of children under
five with apparent vitamin
deficiency
5c: Number of children under
five with iron deficiency
MH
SCS
MH
SCS
MH
SCS
MH
SCS
1995-2006
annually
1995-2006
annually
1995-2006
annually
1995-2006
annually
MDG INDICATORS MATRIX FOR UZBEKISTAN
Indicators
MDG 1:
Improve living
standards and
malnutrition
6: Net enrollment in primary
and secondary education, in
%
7: Ratio of schoolchildren
reaching the next
educational stage, in %
7а: Ratio of educational
progress based on the
results of graduation exams
in schools, in %
7b: School graduates
enrolled into higher
educational institutions, in %
8: Literacy rate of 15-24
years old
Agency in Charge
SCS
SCS
MPE
SCS
SCS
Frequency
1997-2006
annually
1997-2006
annually
2001-2006
annually
1997-2006
annually
1997-2006
annually
Desegrega
tion
Data
Sources
region,
gender,
age
Compiled
Statistics
region,
gender,
age
region
Compiled
Statistics
Sectoral
Statistics
region,
gender
Compiled
region,
gender,
age
Compiled
Statistics
Statistics
MDG INDICATORS MATRIX FOR UZBEKISTAN
Indicators
Coverage /
MDG 2:
Achievement of
the universal
quality
education
Agency in Charge
9: Proportion of females and
males in primary, secondary
and higher education, in %
SCS
10: Proportion of “literate
females/ males” among 1524 years old, in %
SCS
11: Share of women
engaged in paid, nonagriculture sectors, in %
12: Share of seats held by
women in the National
Parliament, in %
MLSS
Coverage /
Frequency
1998-2006
annually
1998-2006
Desegrega
tion
Data
Sources
region
Compiled
Statistics
region
Compiled
Statistics
region
Compiled
Statistics
region
Compiled
Statistics
annually
2000-2006
annually
SCS
1998-2006
WC
annually
MDG INDICATORS MATRIX FOR UZBEKISTAN
Indicators
MDG 3:
Promotion of
gender equality
and empowering
women
13: “Under- five mortality rate
(UNICEF)”, per one thousand
children
13а: “Under- five mortality rate
(WHO)», per one thousand
children
14: “Infant mortality rate
(UNICEF)”, per one thousand
babies
14а: “Infant mortality rate
(WHO)”, per one thousand
babies
15: “Proportion of 1-year-old
children immunized against
measles”, in %
15а: “Share of children on
exclusive breast feeding until the
age of six months”, in %
Agency in Charge
SCS
MH
SCS
MH
SCS
MH
SCS
MH
SCS
MH
SCS
MH
Coverage /
Frequency
Desegrega
tion
1996-2006
region,
gender, age
Starting from
2008
region,
gender, age
Data
Sources
1996, 2002
surveys,
HDR,
Civil
Registry
Office
1996, 2002
surveys,
HDR,
1996-2006
region,
gender, age
Starting from
2008
region,
gender, age
1996-2006
region
Institutions
of the MOH
1996-2006
region
Compiled
Statistics
Civil
Registry
Office
MDG INDICATORS MATRIX FOR UZBEKISTAN
Indicators
MDG 4:
Reduction of
child mortality
16: “Maternal mortality rate
(WHO)”, per one thousand of
women
16а: “Proportion of women of
fertile age suffering from
anemia and extra-genital
diseases”, in %
16b: “Proportion of women
under medical supervision
during first three months of
pregnancy”,
Agency in Charge
SCS
MH
SCS
MH
SCS
MH
Coverage /
Frequency
1996-2006
Desegrega
tion
Data
Sources
age ,
region,
district
Primary
healthcare
institutions
Primary
healthcare
institutions
1996-2006
age ,
region,
district
1996-2006
age ,
region,
district
Primary
healthcare
institutions
1996-2006
age ,
region,
district
Primary
healthcare
institutions
1996-2006
age ,
region,
district
Primary
healthcare
institutions
Civilian
Registry
Office
in %
16c: “Number of abortions per
1000 women”, in units
17: “Proportion of births
attended by skilled health
personnel”, in %
SCS
MH
SCS
MH
MDG INDICATORS MATRIX FOR UZBEKISTAN
Indicators
MDG 5:
Improvement of
maternal health
18: “HIV prevalence among 15 to
24 years old pregnant women”, in
%
18а: “Share of HIV-infected
children over 18 months of age,
born from HIV-infected mothers”,
in %
18b: “HIV prevalence rate among
the vulnerable groups of the
population”, in %
19: “Awareness of young people
in the age of 15-24 about
HIV/AIDS related issues”, in %
20а: “Share of drug users having
access to the harm reduction
programs (exchange of syringes,
distribution of condoms, etc.)”, in
%
20b: “Distribution of prevention
means (condoms, disposable
syringes)”, in units
Agency in Charge
Coverage /
Frequency
1999-2006
MH
MH
monthly and
quarterly
1999-2006
annually
Desegrega
tion
Data
Sources
age, region,
district
Primary
healthcare
institutions
age, region,
district
Primary
healthcare
institutions
annually
age, region,
district
Primary
healthcare
institutions
--
--
--
MH
1999-2006
NGO
annually
age, region,
district
Primary
healthcare
institutions
MH
1999-2006
NGO
annually
age, region,
district
Primary
healthcare
institutions
MH
1999-2006
NGO
MH
NGO
MDG INDICATORS MATRIX FOR UZBEKISTAN
Indicators
MDG 6:
Combat
HIV/AIDS,
tuberculosis and
malaria
Have halted and
begun to reverse
the spread of
HIV/AIDS
21: “Number of malaria
cases”, in cases
22: “Prevalence and
death rates associated
with Tuberculosis
(WHO)”, per one
thousand
23: “Proportion of
tuberculosis cases
detected and treated
under directly observed
treatment short course”,
in %
Agency in
Charge
MH
MH
SCS
MI
Coverage /
Frequency
1999-2006
annually
1999-2006
annually
MH
2001-2006
(DOTS
Program)
annually
Desegregation
age, region,
district
gender,
region, districts
(tuberculosis
prophylactic
centers)
by gender
gender,
region, districts
(tuberculosis
prophylactic
centers)
Data Sources
Primary healthcare
institutions
Compiled Statistics
Medical institutions
(tuberculosis
dispensaries)
Penitentiary
institutions
Compiled Statistics
Medical institutions
(tuberculosis
dispensaries)
Penitentiary
institutions
Compiled Statistics
MDG INDICATORS MATRIX FOR UZBEKISTAN
Indicators
MDG 6:
Combat
HIV/AIDS,
tuberculosis and
malaria
Combating
malaria and
tuberculosis
24: “Irrigated lands salinity ratio”, in
%
Agency in
Charge
Coverage /
SCLGC
MAWR, SCS
Desegregatio
n
Data
Sources
Every fifth
year
region
Compiled
Statistics
Frequency
25: “Quality of irrigated arable land”,
yield class
SCLGC
Every fifth
year
region
Sectoral
reports
26: “Share of agricultural lands
exposed to wind and water erosion”,
in % and thousand hectares
SCLGC
Every fifth
year
region
Sectoral
reports
Annually
region
Sectoral
reports
ME, SCS, SCNP
Annually
region
Sectoral
reports
SCNP
Annually
region
Sectoral
reports
Annually
region
National
programs
on
greenhous
e gases
Annually
region
Compiled
Statistics
Annually
by region
World Bank
survey
27: “Protected wildlife territories”, in
% and thousand hectares
28: “ Energy use (kg oil equivalent)
per $1 gross domestic product “
29: “ Usage of ozone-depleting
substances in tons in ozonedepleting capacity”, in tons
30: “ Per capita Carbon dioxide
emissions”, in tons
31: “Total emissions of acidifying SО2
and NОх pollutants by stationary and
mobile emitters”, in thousand tons
32: “Share of population using solid
fuel”, in %
SCLGC, SCNP,
SDF, SCG
UzHM
SCNP
SCS
SCS
MDG INDICATORS MATRIX FOR UZBEKISTAN
Indicators
MDG 7:
Integration of
sustainable
development
principles into
the country’s
policy and
program
CONCLUDING REMARKS

Improvement of the information exchange system among statistical agencies (ensure the
harmonization and coordination of activities of statistical bodies at all stages of data collection
and distribution in order to achieve consistency and authenticity of statistical information
acquired from different sources)

Establishment of the monitoring on school education (ensure maximum reliable
information and unbiased outcomes, continuity and regularity of monitoring, as well as a regular
renewal of themes and toolkits)

Measures on enhancing access to data in the field of gender equality (develop a
methodology of selective surveys and a special program to carry out such surveys by state
institutions dealing with gender issues and to involve the stake-holding public organizations and
consultants from the international organizations)

Database on child health (a single statistical database on child health should be created by
SCS with desegregation by major patterns through unification of data from institutions
regardless of their ownership forms and institutional subordination)

Use of additional indicators for monitoring the prevalence of diseases (HIV/AIDS, malaria
and other diseases)
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION!