Transcript DSTI-EAS-IND-WPIA(2009)10 Norihiko YAMANO and Colin WEBB Directorate for Science, Technology and Industry WPTGS November 2009

DSTI-EAS-IND-WPIA(2009)10
Norihiko YAMANO and Colin WEBB
Directorate for Science, Technology and Industry
WPTGS November 2009
I-O system
A useful tool for international analyses
Globalisation
International Outsourcing
Fragmentation
Vertical Specialisation
Environment
Material Flows
Embodied CO2
Input-output
Impact of
Economic Crisis
Supply and Use
KLEMS Productivity (MFP)
Technology
Diffusion
Regional
Integration
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OECD Input-Output tables
• Format
– Symmetric Industry x industry: 48 sectors (max)
– ISIC Rev. 3 industry classification
– Import and domestic transactions are separated
– Basic price valuation (1993 SNA)
• History
– 1995 edition : 10 countries (1970-1990)
– 2002 edition: 24 countries (1995)
– 2006/09 edition : 40+ countries (1995-2000-2005)
OECD-1 / Accession countries / BRIICS/ (G20-1 )
– Many mid-2000 tables are preliminary. They will be
replaced as national benchmarks become available …
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Country coverage
OECD(A-J) mid90 early00 mid00 OECD(K-U)
mid90 early00 mid00 Non-OECD
mid90 early00 mid00
Australia
Korea
Argentina
Austria
Luxembourg
Brazil
Belgium
Mexico
Chile
Canada
Netherlands
China
Czech Rep.
New Zealand
- Chinese Taipei
Denmark
Norway
Estonia
Finland
Poland
India
France
Portugal
Indonesia
Germany
Slovak Republic
- Israel
Greece
Spain
Malaysia
Hungary
Sweden
Philippines
Iceland
- Switzerland
- Russia
Ireland
Turkey
Singapore
Italy
United Kingdom
Slovenia
Japan
United States
South Africa
Available year, -: not available
w ill be updated
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will be available
Data sources available for OECD I-O
OECD(A-J)
Eurostat I
(dnk,ita,nld,etc)
Eurostat II
(other)
Australia
Canada
Japan
Korea
Mexico
ISIC Siot ii SUT BasPr
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
pp
x
x
x
x
x
New Zealand
x
Norway
x
x
x
Switzerland x
x
x
Turkey
x
x
x
x
United States
pp
x
pp: prd x prd used
Im p Non-OECD
x
x
x
x
x
x
Argentina
Brazil
Chile
China
x
pp
pp
Chinese Taipei
India
Indonesia
Israel
Malaysia
Other EU(EST/SVN)
x
ISIC Siot ii SUT BasPr
Philippines
Russia
Singapore
South Africa
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
pp
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x: available
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Im p
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
Linking I-O tables with bilateral trade
• Multi-regional Input-Output (MRIO): a powerful tool
that links flows of goods and services across countries,
revealing inter-dependencies and allowing nth degree
effects of various global phenomena to be analysed ...
• … but ideally requires best estimates of trade in
intermediates (c.f. TAD paper and WIOD) …
• … which in turn requires adjustments and/or
improvements to measured trade as published by
international organisations …
Trade in goods – Data issues
(WPTGS 2008)
• Re-exports
– Trade discrepancies: Classic case = China /HK/USA
• Un-allocated trade data (confidential trade)
– Could be concentrated in certain industries and partners
• Trade in second-handed goods
– Not linked to recent manufacturing production
• Scrap and waste products
– Some identified by HS, others not (e.g. PCs)
• I-O = SNA (i.e. BOP) v. Customs trade data
• Identifying domestic using industries
– Standard HS to ISIC Rev. 3 conversion estimates imports
from partners’ industries
Trade in services (BOP) – Data issues
(WPTGS 2008)
• Limited availability of bilateral data
• Conceptual differences between EBOPS and Industry
classification
• Particular measurement issues
– Goods sent abroad for processing
– Merchanting
Wish list (WPTGS 2008)
• short-term
– Re-exports: more information from countries, particularly for
key I-O years (1995, 2000, 2005).
– Un-allocated (confidential) trade: more information
• longer-term
– Systematic reporting of re-exports
– New HS codes for scrap, waste, second-hand goods etc ?
– Reporting of BOP trade in goods by product groups
(cf. Australia’s BOP BEC)
– More bilateral trade in services data
+ Trade statisticians work with National I-O compilers to
estimate imported intermediates matrices
DSTI-EAS-IND-WPIA(2009)10
www.oecd.org/sti/inputoutput