Norihiko Yamano November 2009 DSTI-EAS-IND-WPIA(2009)10 The I-O system is a core database for economic analysis Environment Material flow CO2embodiement Globalisation Fragmentation Out sourcing Vertical Spec. Import contents Input-output Multiproduct Supplier Capital formation Supply and Use R-D exp Innovation Labour Productivity KLEMS (MFP) VA ratio.
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Transcript Norihiko Yamano November 2009 DSTI-EAS-IND-WPIA(2009)10 The I-O system is a core database for economic analysis Environment Material flow CO2embodiement Globalisation Fragmentation Out sourcing Vertical Spec. Import contents Input-output Multiproduct Supplier Capital formation Supply and Use R-D exp Innovation Labour Productivity KLEMS (MFP) VA ratio.
Norihiko Yamano
November 2009
DSTI-EAS-IND-WPIA(2009)10
The I-O system is a core database for
economic analysis
Environment
Material flow
CO2embodiement
Globalisation
Fragmentation
Out sourcing
Vertical Spec.
Import
contents
Input-output
Multiproduct
Supplier
Capital
formation
Supply and Use
R-D exp
Innovation
Labour
Productivity
KLEMS
(MFP)
VA ratio
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OECD Input-Output tables
• Format
– Industry-by-industry symmetric 48 sectors (max)
– ISIC Rev 3 industry classification
– Import and domestic transactions are separated
– Basic price (1993 SNA)
• History
– 1995ed : 10 countries (1970-1990)
– 2002ed: 24 countries (1995)
– 2006/09ed : 40+ (1995-2000-2005)
(OECD-1 / G20-1 / BRIICS)
– Most Mid 2000s tables are preliminary, they will be
replaced when national benchmarks are available
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Country coverage
OECD(A-J) mid90 early00 mid00
Australia
Austria
Belgium
Canada
Czech Rep.
Denmark
Finland
France
Germany
Greece
Hungary
Iceland
Ireland
Italy
Japan
Available year, -: not available
OECD(K-U)
mid90 early00 mid00
Korea
Luxembourg
Mexico
Netherlands
New Zealand
Norway
Poland
Portugal
Slovak Republic
Spain
Sweden
Switzerland
Turkey
United Kingdom
United States
Non-OECD
mid90 early00 mid00
Argentina
Brazil
Chile
China
Chinese Taipei
Estonia
India
Indonesia
Israel
Malaysia
Russia
Singapore
Slovenia
South Africa
w ill be updated
will be available
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Data source format wide different
(latest year)
OECD(A-J)
Eurostat I
(fin,nld,ita)
Eurostat II
Australia
Canada
Denmark
Japan
Korea
Mexico
New Zealand
Norway
Switzerland
Turkey
United States
ISIC Siot ii SUT BasPr Non-OECD
x
x
x
x
ISIC Siot ii SUT BasPr
Argentina
Brazil
Chile
China
Chinese Taipei
Estonia
India
Indonesia
Israel
Malaysia
Will
Russia
Singapore
Slovenia
South Africa
be finalised
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Estimation approaches
Data source submissions from NSIs
1. Sector aggregation: Symmetric (ind x ind) for
domestic and import tables
2. Supply (make) ,Use and Symmetric (prd x prd)
OECD Estimates necessary:
Conversion from Purchaser’s price / producer’s
price to basic price
Use domestic at bp / Use import
Symmetric (ind x ind)
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Example of analytical works
(STI/EAS)
• Economic crisis: Impacts on trade and
employment
– ECB/IMF/OECD: discussion paper on trade
impact
– IDE-JETRO: employment impact
• Globalisation indicators of production processes
– OECD STI/SPD, TAD, STD, ECO, external
NGOs, and Consultant comp.
• Embodied CO2 emissions in international trade
= (CO2 emissions/ output) *exported goods &
services
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Direct imports and induced intermediate
imports by household consumption
(in market exchange rate base USD)
(Imports in bil usd)
1200
direct import
import contents (as intermediate)
1000
800
600
400
200
United Germany Japan United France
States
Kingdom
Italy
Spain
China
Canada
Korea
2005
1995
2005
1995
2005
1995
2005
1995
2005
1995
2005
1995
2005
1995
2005
1995
2005
1995
2005
1995
2005
1995
2005
1995
0
Nether Australia
lands
B. I-O / BTD linked indicators
Bilateral
Trade
National
Input-Output
Intermediate
Household cp
Goods
Services
Re-export
Opt. (BEC)
Investment
Regional clusters detection technique
Export
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Luxembourg
Hungary
Ireland
Estonia
Czech Republic
Slovenia
Slovak Republic
Belgium
Denmark
Austria
Finland
Sweden
Spain
Portugal
Netherlands
Poland
Italy
Germany
France
40%
Switzerland
50%
Greece
Turkey
United Kingdom
Norway
Import contents by partner share
(Europe)
60%
RoW
Asia
NAFTA
Europe
30%
20%
10%
0%
Import contents by partner share
(Asia,North America,ROW)
70%
60%
50%
Asia
N.Am
ROW
RoW
Asia
NAFTA
40%
Europe
30%
20%
10%
0%
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Conclusion
• Quality and availability of National I-O and
SUTs much improved in recent years
• Increasing use of OECD I-Os for wide
range of analysis
• Delegates encouraged to continue
improvements on data sources (eg, use
tables of domestic and import transactions
at basic price )
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